Displacement pressure index
Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
4 components
10 leaf indicators
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
From indicators to the composite
One view of the demographic and mobility strain a country carries; the sub-indices stay visible so outflow and hosting pressure are never confused.
- Refugees by country of origin, per 100,000 populationIndicator · IND · /10*5Refugees originating from the country at year end per 100,000 of the country's mid-year population.
- Internally displaced people, per 100,000 populationIndicator · IND · /10*5Sum of the year-end conflict and disaster displacement stocks per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- New internal displacements, per 100,000 populationIndicator · IND · /10*5Conflict and disaster displacement movements of the year combined, per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- Refugees hosted, per 100,000 populationIndicator · IND · /10*5Refugees residing in the country at year end per 100,000 of the host's mid-year population.
- Asylum-seekers hosted, per 100,000 populationIndicator · IND · /10*5People in the country whose claim for international protection is pending at year end, per 100,000 of the host population.
- Age dependency ratioIndicator · IND · %People younger than 15 or older than 64 per hundred people aged 15 to 64.
- Population aged 65 and over, share of totalIndicator · IND · %Residents aged 65 years or more as a percentage of the mid-year population.
- Population growthIndicator · IND · %Annual exponential rate of change of the mid-year population, in percent.
- Urban population growthIndicator · IND · %Annual exponential rate of change of the urban population, in percent.
- Urban population living in slumsIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living in households that lack one or more of improved water, improved sanitation, durable housing, sufficient living area or secure tenure.
- Displacement outflow sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 50.0%Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
- Refugee hosting pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 25.0%Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
- Age-structure pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
- Unplanned urbanisation sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
- Displacement pressure indexDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
- Human and systems vulnerabilityPillar · PILLAR · 8 indicesHow susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
- NXS-GRX Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index's own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component's contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- expert
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Uncertainty
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM Risk 2024 vulnerability dimension (structure only)
4 components, 10 indicators
Displacement outflow sub-index w 2
Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Refugees by country of origin, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin | 33.3% |
| Internally displaced people, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k | /10*5 | Class C | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster | 33.3% |
| New internal displacements, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k | /10*5 | Class C | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster | 33.3% |
Refugee hosting pressure sub-index w 1
Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Refugees hosted, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted | 66.7% |
| Asylum-seekers hosted, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | unhcr-refugee-data-finder | 33.3% |
Age-structure pressure sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age dependency ratioIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
| Population aged 65 and over, share of totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
| Population growthIND.DEM.population.growth | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Unplanned urbanisation sub-index w 0.5
Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban population growthIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth | % | Class B | wb-wdi, un-wup | 50.0% |
| Urban population living in slumsIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
Demography and mobility
Population size and structure, urbanisation, migration and forced displacement.
| Sub-domain | Indicators |
|---|---|
| Population | 4 |
| Age structure | 3 |
| Urbanisation | 3 |
| Forced displacement | 11 |
| Migration | 3 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): UN WPP; UNHCR; IDMC.
All 24 demography and mobility indicators
| Indicator | Domain | Sub-domain | Component | Unit | Levels | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total populationIND.DEM.population.total | DEM | Population | context | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July |
| Population densityIND.DEM.population.density | DEM | Population | context | {persons}/km2 | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity |
| Population growthIND.DEM.population.growth | DEM | Population | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate |
| Total fertility rateIND.DEM.population.fertility_rate | DEM | Population | context | {births}/{woman} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR |
| Age dependency ratioIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.DPND |
| Population aged 65 and over, share of totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS |
| Population aged under 15, share of totalIND.DEM.structure.share_under15 | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS |
| Urban population, share of totalIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share | DEM | Urbanisation | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS |
| Urban population growthIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth | DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW |
| Urban population living in slumsIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share | DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1 |
| Refugees by country of originIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
| Refugees by country of origin, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
| Refugees hosted (country of asylum)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG |
| Refugees hosted, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
| Asylum-seekers hosted, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 | COUNTRY | UNHCR ASY |
| Internally displaced people, conflict and violence (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
| Internally displaced people, disasters (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_total_displacement |
| Internally displaced people, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
| New internal displacements, conflict and violenceIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
| New internal displacements, disastersIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS |
| New internal displacements, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
| Net migrationIND.DEM.migration.net_migration | DEM | Migration | context | {persons} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations |
| Net migration rateIND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rate | DEM | Migration | context | /10*3 | COUNTRY | UN_WPP CNMR |
| International migrant stock, share of populationIND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_share | DEM | Migration | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS |
Displacement pressure index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- Previous edition
- —
- Range since 2016
- —
- Coupled composite
- —
- Coupling score S
- —
- Pulse, latest week
- —
- Outlook, 12 months
- —
- Method
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Draws
- 1,000
No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.
Country values
- Tiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/dem/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Observation key
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 5 |
SDG | 2 |
UNHCR | 1 |
UN_WPP | 1 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Cite and reuse
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Status
The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.
What NXS-GRX is not
NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.
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Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.