The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · 26 journeys

Every journey, as a run you can follow

Each action on NXS-GRX is a workflow with named jobs, the people who act, the technology each job runs on, the checks it must pass and the gates where it waits for review.

Page GRX-JRNEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
on: scenario run requested
Run a scenario or stress test
In progressTriggered by Risk analyst7 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job
Graph
01Design
02Design
03Run
04Propagate
05Read
06Read
100%
Timeline
Job0 h10 h20 h30 h40 h50 hTarget
Choose the scenario familyYouinstant
Configure shocks and horizonYouinstant
Model runsModel Lab3 h
Coupling propagationDependency network1 h
Tail and exceedanceModel Lab1 h
Results and driversYouinstant
Analyst sign-offYour reviewer2 d

End to end on the longest path: about 2.2 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Choose the scenario family
    Design · You · instant
    Warming, socio-economic or transition families · Or a structured shock: fiscal, compound hazard, supply
    Model Lab
  2. Configure shocks and horizon
    Design · You · self-serve
    Shock size, timing and entry points · Horizon to 2030, 2050 or 2100
    Model LabTested model kernels
  3. Model runs matrix · entities × scenarios × draws
    Run · Model Lab · 3 hours
    Kernels from the method library · Seeds recorded per run
    Model LabTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
  4. Coupling propagation
    Propagate · Dependency network · 1 hour
    DebtRank and threshold cascades · Cross-border spillovers
    Dependency networkTested model kernels
  5. Tail and exceedance
    Propagate · Model Lab · 1 hour
    Exceedance curves · 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 losses · Expected shortfall
    Monte Carlo engine
  6. Results and drivers
    Read · You · instant
    Fan charts against class bounds · Driver decomposition · Export with citation
    Model LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
  7. Analyst sign-off approval
    Read · Your reviewer · 2 days
    Assumptions and limits recorded
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
Artifacts
ArtifactJobWhoStage
Scenario specChoose the scenario familyYouDesign
Run configConfigure shocks and horizonYouDesign
Run record with seed and digestModel runsModel LabRun
Cascade pathsCoupling propagationDependency networkPropagate
Tail reportTail and exceedanceModel LabPropagate
Results packResults and driversYouRead
Sign-offAnalyst sign-offYour reviewerRead
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is an illustration, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
26
journeys
179
jobs
27
approval gates
57
checks
08Govern

Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Country right of reply

A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern

Offer a dataset

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern

Commission a bespoke index

A sector, portfolio, city or project index built on the Indicator Standard grammar with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. 7 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern

Co-develop a national index

A national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope. 7 jobs · 2 gates

Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern

Request a scenario pack

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern

Edition release run

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates

Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern

Become an expert reviewer

Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate

Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · Govern

Report on Sendai and SDG targets

Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks

Open the run

Start a journey

The open commons is free; enterprise and public-sector journeys are agreed with the Secretariat.