The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX platform · 5 product lines · 26 journeys

One platform for risk data, indices, models and intelligence

Open to everyone at the base, private and sovereign where it must be, and systemic by construction: build an index, run a scenario, test a model, deploy it and monitor what changes, on one governed fabric.

Page GRX-PLTEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
Platform · One stack, four access layers
Open commonsEnterprisePublic sectorPlanet
Open commonsIndicator Standard · Hazard Standard · methods · open API · replication packs
GovernanceLicence gate · provenance · corrections · review gates · releases
5
product lines
4
access layers
12
solutions
26
journeys
01Product lines

Data, indices, models, intelligence and platform

Five product lines on one governed fabric: every value, model run and signal carries its sources, method version, seed and correction pathway.

DATA

NXS-GRX Data

Observations, indicators and hazard keys from licence-gated sources, harmonised, versioned and traceable to the source release.

  • 451 indicator definitions with crosswalks
  • 905 hazards keyed to HIPs 2025
  • Vector tiles at country, ADM1, ADM2 and H3
  • Bulk files, SDMX keys and change feeds
  • Bring-your-own-data fusion in a private scope
  • Provenance for every value
IDX

NXS-GRX Indices

The global composite, twenty domain indices, specialised series, country and subnational profiles, and custom indices built in Index Studio on the same grammar.

  • Composite and coupled composite
  • 20 domain indices, 4 pillars
  • 54 specialised series
  • 195 country profiles, subnational layers
  • Index Studio for custom and portfolio indices
  • Classes with probabilities, never league tables
MOD

NXS-GRX Models

Scenario pathways, stress tests, tail and exceedance analytics, coupling contagion and forecasting on the open method library, with tests and model cards.

  • 670 methods in 23 fabrics
  • Scenario and stress-test runs
  • Tail, exceedance and protection gap
  • Systemic coupling and cascades
  • Backtests and verification scorecards
  • Model cards and replication packs
INT

NXS-GRX Intelligence

Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

  • Weekly Pulse by country and domain
  • Outlooks at 1 to 36 months, verified
  • Horizon scanning and emerging risks
  • Watchlists and threshold alerts
  • Analyst workbench and briefings
  • Handoff to the authority that decides
PLT

NXS-GRX Platform

Open and institutional APIs, SDKs and embeds, private tenants with row-level security, and sovereign instances that keep national data in national scope.

  • Open API and SDKs
  • Institutional API with service levels
  • Webhooks and streaming
  • Private tenants, row-level security
  • Sovereign in-country instances
  • Embeds for sites, reports and newsrooms
02Access layers

Public, private, planet

The open commons is free and stays free; enterprise and public-sector layers add private scope, depth and service levels on the same methods.

Everyone: researchers, developers, startups, civil society, media, citizens

Open commons

Free to read, cite, build on and reproduce. The commons is the base every other layer is built on.

  • Country, series and index pages
  • Methodology, Indicator Standard and Hazard Standard definitions and crosswalks
  • Open API cut and SDKs
  • Replication packs: seeds, kernels, digests
  • Embeds with attribution
  • Reference implementations of the published methods
  • Correction log and right of reply
  • Courses with the Risk Academy

Banks, asset managers, insurers, corporates, infrastructure operators

Enterprise

Private scope, service levels and depth: your data fused with NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk), custom indices, models and monitoring.

  • Institutional API with service levels
  • Private tenant with your own data
  • Index Studio and portfolio indices
  • Model Lab: scenarios, stress tests, tails
  • Watchlists, alerts and briefings
  • Supply-chain and site screening

Governments, national agencies, regulators, central banks, cities, multilaterals, the UN system

Public sector

National co-production and sovereign deployment, with a public-safe cut only where the institution chooses.

  • National and subnational index co-development
  • Sovereign instance in national scope
  • Sendai and SDG reporting support
  • Supervisory scenario design
  • Anticipatory action and early-warning inputs
  • Capacity building with the Risk Academy

The global commons, science partnerships, stewards of systemic risk

Planet

Global systems read directly: coupling across borders, planetary pressures and the tail of the distribution, published as open science.

  • Global Systems series
  • Systemic coupling across trade, finance, energy, food, infrastructure and information
  • Planetary and Earth-system pressures
  • Standing catastrophic tail register
  • Open verification of outlooks

03Lifecycle

Explore, build, model, test, deploy, scale, monitor, govern

Every interaction is a workflow with named jobs, people, technology, checks and gates. Open any journey to follow a run.

04A run

Index Studio, end to end

A custom index passes the same licence gate, uncertainty analysis, validation suite and review as NXS-GRX itself before it reaches your tenant.

on: studio project created
Build a custom index in Index Studio
In progressTriggered by You9 jobs2 approval gates2 matrix jobs5 checks1 deployment
Graph
01Scope
02Scope
03Data
04Data
05Construct
06Construct
07Test
08Test
09Ship
100%
Timeline
Job0 d1 d2 d3 d4 d5 dTarget
Define scope and questionYouinstant
Select indicatorsYouinstant
Licence and coverage gateNXS-GRX run serviceinstant
Harmonise and imputeNXS-GRX run service1 h
Normalise, weight and aggregateYouinstant
Uncertainty: 1,000 drawsMonte Carlo engine1 h
Validation suiteNXS-GRX run service1 h
Method reviewIndex editors5 d
Publish to your tenantNXS-GRX Platforminstant

End to end on the longest path: about 5.1 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Define scope and question
    Scope · You · instant
    Entities: countries, ADM areas, sites or assets · Question and decision the index serves · Risk-chain components to cover
    Index Studio
  2. Select indicators
    Scope · You · self-serve
    Search 451 indicator definitions · Add your own indicators · Polarity and unit checked
    Index Studioindicator standard
  3. Licence and coverage gate approval
    Data · NXS-GRX run service · automatic
    Each input's licence checked for the use · Coverage per entity measured · Gaps flagged, never zero-filled
    Licence registerPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  4. Harmonise and impute matrix · indicators × entities
    Data · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Units and periods aligned · Flagged imputation only at indicator level
    NXS-GRX run serviceindicator standard
  5. Normalise, weight and aggregate
    Construct · You · self-serve
    Normalisation per indicator · Expert or statistical weights · Geometric, arithmetic or penalised aggregation
    Index StudioTested model kernels
  6. Uncertainty: 1,000 draws matrix · 1,000 draws
    Construct · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour
    Weights, normalisation and imputation varied · 90% intervals and class probabilities
    Monte Carlo engine
  7. Validation suite
    Test · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Internal coherence · Sensitivity (Sobol) · Correlation with established indices · Leave-one-out stability
    Verification engineTested model kernels
  8. Method review approval
    Test · Index editors · 5 days
    Method and tests reviewed · Disposition recorded
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  9. Publish to your tenant
    Ship · NXS-GRX Platform · instant
    API endpoint and tiles · Dashboard and embeds · Model card
    Private tenant (row-level security)Public cut APIVector tiles
Artifacts
ArtifactJobWhoStage
Studio projectDefine scope and questionYouScope
Indicator setSelect indicatorsYouScope
Coverage reportLicence and coverage gateNXS-GRX run serviceData
Harmonised panelHarmonise and imputeNXS-GRX run serviceData
Method recordNormalise, weight and aggregateYouConstruct
Draws file with seedUncertainty: 1,000 drawsMonte Carlo engineConstruct
Validation reportValidation suiteNXS-GRX run serviceTest
Review noteMethod reviewIndex editorsTest
Index endpointPublish to your tenantNXS-GRX PlatformShip
Model cardPublish to your tenantNXS-GRX PlatformShip
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here
Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is an illustration, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
05Solutions

Built for each kind of institution

Public sector

Governments and national agencies

Prioritise prevention, plan subnationally and report on Sendai and SDG targets with national data in national scope.

See the solution
Public sector

Multilaterals and development banks

Screen country and project context, read fiscal resilience and protection gaps, and design pre-arranged finance.

See the solution
Public sector

UN system and humanitarian agencies

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution
Public sector

Central banks and supervisors

Design supervisory scenarios, read systemic coupling and replicate methods.

See the solution
Enterprise

Insurers and reinsurers

Read hazard, exposure and protection gaps, run tails and study parametric index design.

See the solution
Enterprise

Banks and asset managers

Read sovereign and systemic context, run climate pathways and build portfolio postures.

See the solution
Enterprise

Corporates and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers, watch chokepoints and keep country context current.

See the solution
Public sector

Cities and infrastructure operators

Read hexagon-level hazard and dependency layers for planning, investment and continuity.

See the solution
Open commons

Research and academia

Replicate every value, study and extend the methods, contribute data and review.

See the solution
Open commons

Developers and frontier-tech builders

Build applications, models and agents on open risk data with clear licences and attribution.

See the solution
Open commons

Civil society and NGOs

Target programmes with open profiles and contribute local evidence.

See the solution
Open commons

Media and citizens

Explain risk with intervals and classes, and embed maps and charts with attribution.

See the solution
06Portfolio

13 products and services

OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources.OPENSpecialised index seriesGlobal, sector, strategic-system, technology, thematic and regional series, each with its own method record, indicator set and edition.OPENMethodology, indicator standard and crosswalksThe full construction method, the indicator definitions, the hazard keys and crosswalks to source code lists and established indices.INSTNXS-GRX API and data servicesREST endpoints, SDMX-compatible observation keys, vector tiles (ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3), bulk files and webhooks for threshold crossings; public anonymous cut for open values.INSTPulse and watchlistsWeekly nowcast by country and domain with signals for review and subscriber alerts. Signals are information for review, not warnings.INSTOutlook forecastsProbabilistic outlooks at 1, 3, 12 and 36 months for defined events, with verification scorecards.INSTScenario and stress-test packsPathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests (compound hazards, transition shocks, fiscal shocks) for planning and supervisory exercises.INSTTail and protection-gap analyticsExceedance curves, return-period losses and protection-gap readings where loss can be modelled, and the catastrophic risk register.INSTBespoke and portfolio indicesIndices built for a sector, portfolio, supply chain, city or project on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. Portfolio postures are exposure-weighted views, never ratings.INSTSubnational and hexagon risk layersADM1, ADM2 and H3 layers for site screening, planning and allocation.PROGNational index co-developmentA national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope, with a public-safe cut where they choose.PROGTraining and capacity buildingCourses and labs with the Risk Academy on composite indicators, uncertainty, forecasting verification and risk communication.PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps.
07Every product

What every product carries

Intervals everywhere

Every value with a 90% interval and class probability.

Driver decomposition

Each value broken down to indicator contributions.

What changed and why

Every update explains its movement by indicator and source.

Provenance on click

Source release, licence, method version and transformation chain.

Coupled and standalone

Systemic coupling shown beside standalone risk.

Method explainer

Interactive aggregation explainer on every index page, run on your own numbers.

Machine access

API, SDMX keys, tiles, bulk files, JSON-LD on every page.

Corrections in public

Correction log and propagation to every dependent value.

Both themes, accessible

Light and dark, keyboard navigation, no colour-only meaning.

Live where licensed

Pages hydrate from the NXS-GRX public cut; static pages stay complete without it.

08Terms

Terms of use

The NXS-GRX platform as designed: product lines, access layers, audiences, the user lifecycle and the journeys that run each step. Availability is stated per capability; nothing here is offered as a rating, warning, benchmark, certification or advice. Target service levels are proposals for design review.

NIS outputs are indicator composites with published methodology, not opinions on the creditworthiness of any entity, debt or issuer, and use no rating-category scale (EU Regulation 1060/2009 and equivalents).

NIS indices are not licensed as benchmarks for financial instruments, financial contracts or fund performance; any such use needs a separate licence and an administrator assessment under the EU and UK Benchmarks Regulations and the IOSCO principles.

NIS outputs are Nexus-modelled; they are not official statistics and are not endorsed by any source publisher.

NIS outputs must not be used to evaluate natural persons (creditworthiness, insurance pricing, access to essential services); such uses are high-risk under the EU AI Act Annex III.

Build on NXS-GRX

Start free on the open commons, or talk to the Secretariat about enterprise, public-sector and sovereign deployments.