01Need
What this solution does
Design supervisory scenarios, read systemic coupling and replicate methods.
Design supervisory scenarios
Read systemic coupling
Replicate methods
02Featured run
Run a scenario or stress test
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails.
on: scenario run requested
Run a scenario or stress testGraph
01Design
02Design
03Run
04Propagate
05Read
06Read
100%
Timeline
Job0 h10 h20 h30 h40 h50 hTarget
Choose the scenario familyYouinstant
Configure shocks and horizonYouinstant
Model runsModel Lab3 h
Coupling propagationDependency network1 h
Tail and exceedanceModel Lab1 h
Results and driversYouinstant
Analyst sign-offYour reviewer2 d
End to end on the longest path: about 2.2 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.
Steps
- Choose the scenario familyDesign · You · instantWarming, socio-economic or transition families · Or a structured shock: fiscal, compound hazard, supplyModel Lab
- Configure shocks and horizonDesign · You · self-serveShock size, timing and entry points · Horizon to 2030, 2050 or 2100Model LabTested model kernels
- Model runs matrix · entities × scenarios × drawsRun · Model Lab · 3 hoursKernels from the method library · Seeds recorded per runModel LabTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
- Coupling propagationPropagate · Dependency network · 1 hourDebtRank and threshold cascades · Cross-border spilloversDependency networkTested model kernels
- Tail and exceedancePropagate · Model Lab · 1 hourExceedance curves · 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 losses · Expected shortfallMonte Carlo engine
- Results and driversRead · You · instantFan charts against class bounds · Driver decomposition · Export with citationModel LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
- Analyst sign-off approvalRead · Your reviewer · 2 daysAssumptions and limits recordedPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
Artifacts
| Artifact | Job | Who | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario spec | Choose the scenario family | You | Design |
| Run config | Configure shocks and horizon | You | Design |
| Run record with seed and digest | Model runs | Model Lab | Run |
| Cascade paths | Coupling propagation | Dependency network | Propagate |
| Tail report | Tail and exceedance | Model Lab | Propagate |
| Results pack | Results and drivers | You | Read |
| Sign-off | Analyst sign-off | Your reviewer | Read |
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
03Journeys
Every journey in this solution
NXS-GRX Models · Model
Run a scenario or stress test
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate
Open the runNXS-GRX Models · TestTest and validate a model
Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks
Open the runNXS-GRX Indices · TestReproduce any value
Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks
Open the run04Products
Products and services
INSTScenario and stress-test packsPathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests (compound hazards, transition shocks, fiscal shocks) for planning and supervisory exercises.PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps.INSTNXS-GRX API and data servicesREST endpoints, SDMX-compatible observation keys, vector tiles (ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3), bulk files and webhooks for threshold crossings; public anonymous cut for open values.
05Series
Series most read
GS-02Global EnergySupply adequacy, import dependency, grid reliability, affordability, extreme-weather exposure, critical minerals and transition pathways.GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk.GS-07Global ClimateChronic and acute physical climate hazard, transition exposure, adaptation gaps and scenario pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100.GS-13Global Cyber and digitalCyber capability and threat exposure, digital dependency, connectivity resilience and the cyber-physical channels into essential services.SR-08Financial contagion and systemic financeInterconnected exposures, sovereign–bank links, capital-flow reversals and contagion through financial networks.XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps.XT-02Cyber and cyber-physical systemsThreats to operational technology, industrial control and cyber-physical systems across energy, water, health, ports and logistics.XT-03Telecommunications, open radio networks and edgeTelecom resilience, open and AI-native radio access networks, private wireless, edge compute and spectrum constraints.XT-05Quantum-relevant securityCryptographic resilience and the migration to post-quantum cryptography across public and financial systems.