The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · GS-07 · Global sector series

Global Climate

Chronic and acute physical climate hazard, transition exposure, adaptation gaps and scenario pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100.

Page GRX-SER-GS-07Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports GS-07 (planned)Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Domain indices

2

Climate physical hazard · Climate transition exposure

Indicators

191

5 index domains

Hazard families

23

Atmosphere and weather · Water systems · Ice and snow

Methods

118

Climate, nature and biodiversity · Hazard science

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
2
domain indices
191
indicators in scope
4
hazard domains
6
client groups
01Scope

Scope and questions

The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.

  1. Where is physical climate risk rising fastest?
  2. Which economies carry the largest transition exposure?
  3. How do pathways diverge under alternative warming levels?
02Construction

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation
How the Global Climate index is built
Graph6 nodes
Graph
01Domain indices
02Series index
03Readings
100%
List
  1. Climate physical hazard
    Domain index · IDX · CLI
    0-10 index of physical climate hazard combining chronic change, observed extremes and projected change (projection sub-index taken at SSP2-4.5, 2041-2060 by default, with other scenarios as alternative runs).
  2. Climate transition exposure
    Domain index · IDX · CLI
    0-10 index of an economy's exposure to a low-carbon transition, combining transition exposure (fossil rents, fuel exports, subsidies) and emissions intensity (per capita and per unit of GDP).
  3. Global Climate index
    Series index · SERIES · GS-07
    Chronic and acute physical climate hazard, transition exposure, adaptation gaps and scenario pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100.
  4. Country readings
    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Regional readings
    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  6. Global reading
    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Not runIn progressDone
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation.
03Indices

Domain indices in this series

NXS-GRX · GS-07 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Global Climate index, world
—
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
IndexValueChangeChange %90% intervalClass · probabilityTrendRange
Climate physical hazardNXS-GRX · CLI—————
Climate transition exposureNXS-GRX · CLI—————

Domains read: Climate, Hazard and exposure, Environment and biodiversity, Energy, Financial system.

04Indicators

191 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
HAZ · 53FIN · 32CLI · 31ENE · 23ENV · 22
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table.
IndicatorDomainSub-domainComponentUnitLevelsCrosswalks
Expected annual fiscal cost of disasters, share of GDPIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
Regulatory capital to risk-weighted assetsIND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwaFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKRC_PT
Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assetsIND.FIN.capital.tier1_rwaFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKRTC_PT
Common Equity Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assetsIND.FIN.capital.cet1_rwaFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCET_PT
Capital to total assets (leverage)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assetsFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKA_PT WB_WDI FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS
Non-performing loans net of provisions to capitalIND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capitalFINCapital adequacyvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKNL_PT
Non-performing loans to total gross loansIND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratioFINAsset qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSANL_PT WB_WDI FB.AST.NPER.ZS
Provisions to non-performing loansIND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_nplFINAsset qualitycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSPN_PT
Loan concentration by economic activityIND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentrationFINAsset qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCLE_PT
Bank claims on general government, share of bank assetsIND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposureFINAsset qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSASDG_PT
Return on assetsIND.FIN.earnings.roaFINEarningscoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSERA_PT
Return on equityIND.FIN.earnings.roeFINEarningscoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSERE_PT
Liquid assets to total assetsIND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_totalFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSLT_PT WB_WDI FD.RES.LIQU.AS.ZS
Liquid assets to short-term liabilitiesIND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilitiesFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSLS_PT
Liquidity coverage ratioIND.FIN.liquidity.lcrFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSLCR_PT
Net stable funding ratioIND.FIN.liquidity.nsfrFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSNSF_PT
Customer deposits to total non-interbank loansIND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loansFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCD_PT
Net open foreign-exchange position to capital (absolute)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capitalFINForeign-exchange riskvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSSNO_PT
Foreign-currency loans, share of total loans (credit dollarisation)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_shareFINForeign-exchange riskvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSFC_PT
Foreign-currency deposits, share of total deposits (deposit dollarisation)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_shareFINForeign-exchange riskvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSFCD_PT
Domestic credit to the private sector, share of GDPIND.FIN.depth.private_credit.gdpFINFinancial depth and inclusioncontext%COUNTRYWB_WDI FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS WB_WDI GFDD.DI.14
Credit-to-GDP gap (BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gapFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRY
Real growth of credit to the private sectorIND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growthFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCGPS_PT
Household debt, share of GDPIND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdpFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSHG_PT
Non-financial corporate debt, share of GDPIND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdpFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSTDGDP_PT
Account ownership, adultsIND.FIN.depth.account_ownershipFINFinancial depth and inclusioncoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2
Real residential property price growthIND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growthFINReal estatevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSREPRR_PC_CP_A_PT
House price-to-income ratio, deviation from long-run averageIND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gapFINReal estatevulnerability%COUNTRY, CITY
Assets of other financial corporations, share of GDPIND.FIN.nbfi.ofc_assets.gdpFINNon-bank financial intermediationcontext%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSFAG_PT
Insurance penetration (premiums to GDP)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetrationFINNon-bank financial intermediationcoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10
Natural-catastrophe protection gapIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gapFINNon-bank financial intermediationvulnerability%REGION, COUNTRY
Bank exposure to carbon-intensive sectorsIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposureFINClimate-related financial exposureexposure%COUNTRY
Bank lending exposed to high physical climate riskIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lendingFINClimate-related financial exposureexposure%COUNTRY
Natural-resource rents, share of GDPIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdpECOExport and import concentrationvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS
Fuel imports, share of merchandise importsIND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_shareECOExport and import concentrationvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Net import reliance for critical mineralsIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_relianceECOExport and import concentrationvulnerability%COUNTRY
Surface warming since pre-industrialIND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrialCLIChronic physical changehazardKGLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDFAO_FAOSTAT ET
Change in annual precipitationIND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_changeCLIChronic physical changehazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Relative sea-level rise rateIND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trendCLIChronic physical changehazardmm/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402
Hottest day of the year (TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txxCLIAcute climate extremeshazardCelCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Share of warm days (TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90pCLIAcute climate extremeshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Change in very hot days (35 °C or more)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_changeCLIAcute climate extremeshazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Warm spell duration (WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_durationCLIAcute climate extremeshazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Wettest day of the year (Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1dayCLIAcute climate extremeshazardmmCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Wettest five days of the year (Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5dayCLIAcute climate extremeshazardmmCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Precipitation from very wet days (R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_shareCLIAcute climate extremeshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Longest dry spell (CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_daysCLIAcute climate extremeshazarddCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.shareCLIAcute climate extremesexposure%SITE, PORTFOLIOIFRS_S2 29(c)
Projected warming since pre-industrialIND.CLI.projection.projected_warmingCLIScenario projectionshazardKGLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Projected change in hottest-day temperatureIND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_changeCLIScenario projectionshazardKCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Projected change in wettest five-day precipitationIND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_changeCLIScenario projectionshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Projected relative sea-level riseIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_riseCLIScenario projectionshazardmCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Population below the future 100-year coastal flood level, shareIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.shareCLIScenario projectionsexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYWB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Total greenhouse gas emissions excluding LULUCFIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_totalCLIEmissionsexposureMt/aCOUNTRYWB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
Greenhouse gas emissions per capitaIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capitaCLIEmissionsexposuret/a/{person}COUNTRYWB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP
Carbon intensity of GDPIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdpCLIEmissionsexposurekg/[USD]COUNTRYWB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissionsCLIEmissionsexposureMt/aPORTFOLIOIFRS_S2 29(a)(vi)
Fossil-fuel rents, share of GDPIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdpCLITransition exposureexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS
Fuel exports, share of merchandise exportsIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.shareCLITransition exposureexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Explicit fossil-fuel subsidies, share of GDPIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdpCLITransition exposureexposure%COUNTRY
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.shareCLITransition exposureexposure%PORTFOLIOIFRS_S2 29(b)
NDC 2030 economy-wide emissions targetIND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambitionCLITransition exposureresponse%COUNTRYSDG 13.2.1
National adaptation plan submittedIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submittedCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{bool}COUNTRYSDG 13.2.1
Economic readiness for adaptation investmentIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readinessCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYND_GAIN economic
Governance readiness for adaptationIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readinessCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYND_GAIN governance
Social readiness for adaptationIND.CLI.adaptation.social_readinessCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYND_GAIN social
International adaptation finance received per capitaIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pcCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity[USD]COUNTRY
Population exposed to two or more major hazards, shareIND.HAZ.multi.multi_hazard_exposure.shareHAZMulti-hazardexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRIDINFORM HA.NAT
Multi-hazard average annual loss, share of GDPIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdpHAZMulti-hazardimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Multi-hazard average annual loss, share of produced capital stockIND.HAZ.multi.aal.capital_stockHAZMulti-hazardimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Probable maximum loss at 250-year return period, share of GDPIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdpHAZMulti-hazardimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Peak ground acceleration at 475-year return periodIND.HAZ.seismic.pga_rp475HAZSeismic and volcanichazard[g]COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0101 INFORM HA.NAT.EQ
People exposed to strong earthquake shaking, annual averageIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposedHAZSeismic and volcanicexposure{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRIDINFORM EX_EQ_MMI8
People exposed to strong earthquake shaking, share of populationIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed.shareHAZSeismic and volcanicexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Earthquake average annual loss, share of GDPIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdpHAZSeismic and volcanicimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Population within 30 km of a Holocene volcanoIND.HAZ.seismic.volcano_population_30kmHAZSeismic and volcanicexposure{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYUNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0203
Probability of damaging volcanic ash fall in 100 yearsIND.HAZ.seismic.ash_fall_probabilityHAZSeismic and volcanichazard1COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0202 EMDAT nat-geo-vol-ash
Extreme still-water sea level at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.coastal.extreme_sea_level_rp100HAZCoastal and sea levelhazardmCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0703 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sur
Population in the 100-year coastal floodplain, shareIND.HAZ.coastal.coastal_flood_population_exposed.shareHAZCoastal and sea levelexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYINFORM EX_CFL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0601
Population below 5 m elevation, shareIND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.shareHAZCoastal and sea levelexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYWB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Tsunami maximum inundation height at 500-year return periodIND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_inundation_rp500HAZCoastal and sea levelhazardmCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0705 INFORM HA.NAT.TS
Population exposed to tsunami, shareIND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_population_exposed.shareHAZCoastal and sea levelexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYINFORM EX_TS EMDAT nat-geo-ear-tsu
Fluvial flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.river_flood_depth_rp100HAZFloodhazardmADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0604 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-riv
Pluvial and flash flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.pluvial_flood_depth_rp100HAZFloodhazardmADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0603 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0606 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-fla
People exposed to river flooding, annual averageIND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposedHAZFloodexposure{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITYINFORM EX_FL INFORM HA.NAT.FL
People exposed to river flooding, share of populationIND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed.shareHAZFloodexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY
Flood protection design standardIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standardHAZFloodcoping capacityaCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
River flood average annual loss, share of GDPIND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdpHAZFloodimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Tropical cyclone wind speed at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.storm.tc_wind_rp100HAZTropical and severe stormshazardm/sCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0309 INFORM HA.NAT.TC
Annual probability of category 1 or stronger cyclone windIND.HAZ.storm.tc_cat1_probabilityHAZTropical and severe stormshazard1COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE
People exposed to category 1 cyclone wind, annual averageIND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposedHAZTropical and severe stormsexposure{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYINFORM EX_TC_SS1
People exposed to category 1 cyclone wind, share of populationIND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed.shareHAZTropical and severe stormsexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Tropical cyclone average annual loss, share of GDPIND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdpHAZTropical and severe stormsimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Large-hail days per yearIND.HAZ.storm.large_hail_daysHAZTropical and severe stormshazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0404 EMDAT nat-met-sto-hai
Days with severe-thunderstorm environmentsIND.HAZ.storm.severe_convective_daysHAZTropical and severe stormshazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0103 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sev
Frequency of severe meteorological droughtIND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequencyHAZDroughthazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR
Frequency of agricultural drought stressIND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequencyHAZDroughthazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDINFORM ASI
People affected by drought, annual average shareIND.HAZ.drought.drought_affected.shareHAZDroughtimpact%COUNTRYINFORM AFF_DR EMDAT nat-cli-dro-dro
Days of dangerous humid heat per yearIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_daysHAZExtreme heathazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRIDUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501
Heatwave exposure events per personIND.HAZ.heat.heatwave_person_daysHAZExtreme heatexposured/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Population exposed to extreme heat, shareIND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.shareHAZExtreme heatexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Extreme fire-weather days per yearIND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_daysHAZWildfirehazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Annual burned area, share of land areaIND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.shareHAZWildfirehazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDUNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil
Population in the wildland-urban interface, shareIND.HAZ.wildfire.wui_population.shareHAZWildfireexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Population in high landslide susceptibility zones, shareIND.HAZ.landslide.landslide_susceptible_population.shareHAZLandslideexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRIDUNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0300
Fatal landslide deaths per 100,000, annual averageIND.HAZ.landslide.fatal_landslide_rateHAZLandslideimpact/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1EMDAT nat-hyd-mmw-lan
Population near major-hazard industrial sites, shareIND.HAZ.technological.major_hazard_site_population.shareHAZTechnologicalexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYUNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0304 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0309
Population within 30 km of an operating nuclear reactorIND.HAZ.technological.nuclear_population_30kmHAZTechnologicalexposure{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYUNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0208
Industrial accident deaths per 100,000, annual averageIND.HAZ.technological.industrial_accident_deathsHAZTechnologicalimpact/10*5COUNTRYEMDAT tec-ind-ind-ind
Built-up surface areaIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_areaHAZExposurecontextkm2COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Produced capital stockIND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stockHAZExposurecontext[USD]COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Built-up area in high-hazard zonesIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposedHAZExposureexposurekm2COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Built-up area in high-hazard zones, shareIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed.shareHAZExposureexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY
GDP generated in high-hazard zones, shareIND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.shareHAZExposureexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Disaster deaths and missing persons per 100,000IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rateHAZLosses and impactsimpact/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1
People directly affected by disasters per 100,000IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rateHAZLosses and impactsimpact/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1
Direct economic loss from disasters, share of GDPIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdpHAZLosses and impactsimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2
Recorded disaster deaths per 100,000, 30-year averageIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_deathsHAZLosses and impactsimpact/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1EMDAT Total Deaths
Recorded people affected by disasters per 100,000, 30-year averageIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_affectedHAZLosses and impactsimpact/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1EMDAT Total Affected
Recorded disaster damage, share of GDP, 30-year averageIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdpHAZLosses and impactsimpact%COUNTRYEMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$)
PM2.5 exposure, population-weighted meanIND.ENV.air.pm25_exposureENVAir qualityhazardug/m3COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRIDWB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD
Population exposed above the WHO PM2.5 guideline, shareIND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.shareENVAir qualityexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYWB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS
Seasonal peak ozone exposureIND.ENV.air.ozone_exposureENVAir qualityhazard[ppb]COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Land areaIND.ENV.land.land_areaENVLand and forestscontextkm2COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITYWB_WDI AG.LND.TOTL.K2
Forest area, share of land areaIND.ENV.land.forest_cover.shareENVLand and forestsvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 15.1.1 WB_WDI AG.LND.FRST.ZS
Annual tree cover loss rateIND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.shareENVLand and forestshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDEPI TCL
Degraded land, share of land areaIND.ENV.land.land_degradation.shareENVLand and forestshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDSDG 15.3.1
Road densityIND.ENV.land.road_densityENVLand and forestshazardkm/km2COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Red List IndexIND.ENV.biodiversity.red_list_indexENVBiodiversityvulnerability1GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRYSDG 15.5.1
Biodiversity Intactness IndexIND.ENV.biodiversity.biodiversity_intactnessENVBiodiversityvulnerability1COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Terrestrial protected areas, share of land areaIND.ENV.biodiversity.terrestrial_protected.shareENVBiodiversityresponse%COUNTRY, ADM1WB_WDI ER.LND.PTLD.ZS
Key biodiversity areas covered by protected areasIND.ENV.biodiversity.key_biodiversity_area_protected.shareENVBiodiversityresponse%COUNTRY, REGIONSDG 15.1.2
Marine protected areas, share of territorial watersIND.ENV.ocean.marine_protected.shareENVOceanresponse%COUNTRYWB_WDI ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS SDG 14.5.1
Coastal eutrophication indexIND.ENV.ocean.coastal_eutrophicationENVOceanhazard%COUNTRY, REGIONSDG 14.1.1
Average marine acidity (pH)IND.ENV.ocean.ocean_acidityENVOceanhazard[pH]COUNTRY, REGION, SITESDG 14.3.1
Fish stocks within biologically sustainable levelsIND.ENV.ocean.sustainable_fish_stocks.shareENVOceanvulnerability%GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRYSDG 14.4.1
Marine heatwave days per yearIND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_daysENVOceanhazardd/aCOUNTRY, REGION, GRIDUNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708
Municipal solid waste generated per capitaIND.ENV.pollution.msw_generation.pcENVPollution and wastehazardkg/a/{person}COUNTRY, CITY
Municipal solid waste managed in controlled facilitiesIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.shareENVPollution and wastecoping capacity%COUNTRY, CITYSDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
Mismanaged plastic waste per capitaIND.ENV.pollution.mismanaged_plastic_waste.pcENVPollution and wastehazardkg/a/{person}COUNTRY, ADM1
GDP in sectors highly dependent on nature, shareIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.shareENVNature dependenceexposure%COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO
Crop production value dependent on animal pollination, shareIND.ENV.nature_dependence.pollinator_dependent_crops.shareENVNature dependenceexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1
Level of water stressIND.WAT.stress.water_stressWATWater stresshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 6.4.2 WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWST.ZS
Baseline water stress score (sub-basin)IND.WAT.stress.baseline_water_stressWATWater stresshazard{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE, PORTFOLIO
Water bodies with good ambient water qualityIND.WAT.quality.good_ambient_water_quality.shareWATWater qualityvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 6.3.2
Wastewater flows safely treatedIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.shareWATWater qualitycoping capacity%COUNTRY, CITYSDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
High-voltage grid in high geoelectric hazard zones, shareIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.shareSPCSpace-service dependenceexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1
Malaria incidenceIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidenceHLTDisease burden and mortalityhazard/10*3COUNTRYWB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA
Agriculture, forestry and fishing value added, share of GDPIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdpFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Employment in agriculture, share of total employmentIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_shareFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Cereal yield variability (15-year)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variabilityFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRY
Cropland, share of land areaIND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.shareFOOAgricultural production and dependenceexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS
Vegetation Health Index on croplandIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_indexFOOAgricultural production and dependencehazard{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
Internally displaced people, disasters (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disasterDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC disaster_total_displacement
Internally displaced people, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRY
New internal displacements, disastersIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disasterDEMForced displacementimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS
New internal displacements, per 100,000 populationIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRY
Population with access to electricityIND.ENE.access.electricity_accessENEAccessvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 7.1.1 WB_WDI EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
Population relying primarily on clean cooking fuels and technologiesIND.ENE.access.clean_cookingENEAccessvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
Electricity consumption per capitaIND.ENE.access.electricity_consumption.pcENEAccesscontextkW.h/a/{person}COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC
Renewable share of total final energy consumptionIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfecENEEnergy mixadaptive capacity%COUNTRYSDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
Primary energy intensity of GDPIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensityENEEnergy mixvulnerabilityMJ/[USD]COUNTRYSDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
Electricity generation-mix concentrationIND.ENE.mix.generation_concentrationENEEnergy mixvulnerability1COUNTRY
Fossil share of electricity generationIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_shareENEEnergy mixvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
Installed renewable generating capacity per capitaIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pcENEEnergy mixadaptive capacityW/{person}COUNTRYSDG 7.b.1
Water-dependent electricity generation, shareIND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.shareENEEnergy mixvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1
Net energy import dependenceIND.ENE.security.net_energy_importsENESupply security and import dependenceexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.IMP.CONS.ZS
Fuel import bill, share of exports of goods and servicesIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exportsENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Crude oil and products import supplier concentrationIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentrationENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
Natural gas import supplier concentrationIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentrationENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
Coal import supplier concentrationIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentrationENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
Oil stocks in days of net importsIND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocksENESupply security and import dependencecoping capacitydCOUNTRY
Power outages experienced by firms in a typical monthIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outagesENEReliabilityvulnerability/moCOUNTRYWB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
Value lost to electrical outages, share of firm salesIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_lossENEReliabilityimpact%COUNTRYWB_WDI IC.FRM.OUTG.ZS
System average interruption duration (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidiENEReliabilityvulnerabilityh/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
System average interruption frequency (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifiENEReliabilityvulnerability/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Electric power transmission and distribution lossesIND.ENE.reliability.td_lossesENEReliabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS
Heating and cooling degree daysIND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_daysENEReliabilityhazardK.d/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Critical-mineral import supplier concentrationIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentrationENECritical mineralsvulnerability1COUNTRY
Largest single supplier share of critical-mineral importsIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_shareENECritical mineralsvulnerability%COUNTRY
Road and rail network in high-hazard zones, shareIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.shareINFTransportexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Power grid resilienceIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilienceINFUtilitiescoping capacity{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Water supply assets in high-hazard zones, shareIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.shareINFUtilitiesexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Power generation and grid assets in high-hazard zones, shareIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.shareINFUtilitiesexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Lifeline facilities in high-hazard zones, shareIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.shareINFUtilitiesexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hoursINFUrban systemsvulnerabilityh/aCITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Critical infrastructure units damaged or destroyed by disastersIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damageINFService disruptionimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Direct economic loss to critical infrastructure, share of GDPIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdpINFService disruptionimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI C-5
Sovereign catastrophe risk transfer limit, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Natural-catastrophe insurance protection gapIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gapCRSRisk financing and protection gapvulnerability%COUNTRY
Non-life insurance premiums, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetrationCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
05Hazards

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
AtmosphereWaterIcePlanetary171HAZARDS
4 hazard domains (inner ring) and 23 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below.
FamilyDomainHazardsCount
Convective stormsAtmosphere and weatherThunderstorm, Lightning strike, Downburst, Tornado, Waterspout, Hail, Squall, Derecho …11
Cyclonic storm systemsAtmosphere and weatherTropical cyclone, Subtropical cyclone, Extratropical cyclone, Low-pressure system, Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, Polar low, Rapid cyclone intensification, Explosive cyclogenesis8
Damaging windAtmosphere and weatherWindstorm, Gale, Downslope windstorm, Clear-air turbulence4
Precipitation extremesAtmosphere and weatherIntense rainfall, Heavy snowfall, Snowstorm, Blizzard, Lake-effect snow band, Freezing rain, Structural icing7
Thermal extremesAtmosphere and weatherHeatwave, Humid heat stress, Cold wave, Livestock winter disaster, Hard freeze, Frost, Rapid thaw, Extreme night-time heat …9
Airborne particles and low visibilityAtmosphere and weatherFog, Dust storm, Dust haze, Haze, Smoke plume, Airborne allergen surge6
Large-scale circulation anomaliesAtmosphere and weatherAtmospheric river, Atmospheric blocking, Tropical Pacific climate swing, Monsoon failure, Polar vortex disruption, Indian Ocean dipole event, North Atlantic pressure-seesaw extreme7
Surface radiation extremesAtmosphere and weatherExtreme ultraviolet exposure, Stratospheric ozone loss episode2
Freshwater inundationWater systemsRiver flood, Flash flood, Surface-water flood, Groundwater flood, Snowmelt flood, Ice-jam flood, Reservoir release flood, Natural-dam outburst flood …9
Water deficitWater systemsMeteorological drought, Agricultural drought, Hydrological drought, Groundwater depletion, Flash drought, Water supply shortfall, Megadrought, Lake and inland sea desiccation …9
Coastal and sea-level hazardsWater systemsStorm surge, Storm tide, Coastal flood, Estuary flood, High-tide flooding, Tsunami, Seiche, Rogue wave …13
Ocean-state extremesWater systemsMarine heatwave, Ocean acidification, Marine oxygen depletion, Upper-ocean stratification increase, Marine cold spell, Lake and river heatwave6
Water-quality degradationWater systemsEutrophication, Harmful algal bloom, Freshwater salinisation, Sargassum seaweed influx4
Snowpack hazardsIce and snowSnow avalanche, Snow drought, Rain-on-snow event3
Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost changeIce and snowGlacial lake outburst flood, Glacier or ice-mass collapse, Glacier mass loss, Ice-sheet mass loss, Permafrost thaw, Ice-shelf disintegration, Subglacial outburst flood, Glacier surge …10
Floating iceIce and snowSea ice, Iceberg and ice-floe drift, Sea-ice loss, Lake and river ice loss, Shoreline ice shove5
Planetary boundary transgressionsPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingClimate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance …14
Ice tipping elementsPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingGreenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction6
Ocean circulation and marine tippingPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingAtlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation7
Biome tipping elementsPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingAmazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift5
Carbon-cycle feedbacksPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingPermafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback7
Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tippingPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingSouth Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup …9
Deep-time and cosmic catastrophesPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingSupereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova …10
06Pathways

How this risk can move to 2100

FIG 5 · Explorer: a pathway fan chart to 2100
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runs in your browser
Explorer: 2,000 paths from your drift, volatility and shock settings, shown as a fan chart (50% and 90% bands, median line) against the class bounds. Pathways editions project each domain under named scenario families; this explainer uses no scenario data.
07Methods

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

24 methods

Climate, nature and biodiversity

Climate Extremes · Chronic Climate Risk · Compound Climate Risk · Climate Scenario Ensemble · Climate Attribution Science · Land Cover Change · Deforestation …

37 methods

Hazard science

Hazard Intensity Footprint Screening · Earthquake Hazard · Earthquake Ground Motion · Earthquake Rupture · Liquefaction · Landslide · Tsunami …

57 methods

Financial risk

Probability of Default · Loss Given Default · Exposure at Default · Expected Credit Loss · Unexpected Credit Loss · Credit Migration · Structural Credit Merton …

08Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness; Plan with subnational layers; Track Sendai targets; Co-develop a national index

Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors

Read sovereign and systemic context; Run climate pathway packs; Build portfolio postures

Regulators, supervisors and central banks

Design supervisory scenarios; Read systemic coupling; Replicate methods

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context; Run scenario and tail analytics; Study parametric index design questions

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers; Watch chokepoints and pulse; Read country context

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context; Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps; Design pre-arranged finance questions

09Reports

Nexus Reports

Edition code
GS-07
Edition status
planned
Subject
Named by Nexus Reports
Nexus Reports
10Cite

Cite and reuse

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Global Climate series (GRX-SER-GS-07), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/gs-07/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000065.
Series key
grix:SER.GS-07:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.CLI.physical_chronic.climate_physical_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.CLI.transition.transition_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.