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The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · Methods · 19 capabilities

Vulnerability, fragility and resilience

Methods for vulnerability, resilience on the julia and python compute planes.

CapabilitiesAll methods
Page GRX-MTH-VFREdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
19
capabilities
8
kernel-bound
5
method families
3
standards
01Capabilities

19 capabilities

8 of 19 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.

MethodCapability IDStateRuns on
Simple Vulnerability Factor Screeningrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.simple.vulnerability.factor.screening.v1Connectedengine.grix.risk.vulnerability.simple.factor.v1
Fragility Curverisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.fragility.curve.v1Adapter requiredpython · vulnerability.lognormal_fragility
Vulnerability Curverisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.vulnerability.curve.v1Adapter requiredpython · vulnerability.curve
Multi-State Damagerisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.multi.state.damage.v1Adapter requiredpython · vulnerability.multi_state_damage
Component Fragilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.component.fragility.v1Adapter required—
Structural Vulnerabilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.structural.vulnerability.v1Adapter requiredpython · vulnerability.damage_ratio_batch
Infrastructure Fragilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.infrastructure.fragility.v1Adapter required—
Utility Fragilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.utility.fragility.v1Adapter required—
Agricultural Vulnerabilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.agricultural.vulnerability.v1Adapter required—
Ecosystem Vulnerabilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.ecosystem.vulnerability.v1Adapter required—
Population Vulnerabilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.population.vulnerability.v1Adapter required—
Adaptive Capacityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.adaptive.capacity.v1Adapter required—
Control Effectivenessrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.control.effectiveness.v1Adapter requiredpython · cyber.control_effectiveness_whatif
Resiliencerisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.resilience.v1Adapter requiredpython · resilience.recovery_curve
Recovery Curverisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.recovery.curve.v1Adapter requiredpython · resilience.recovery_curve
Degradation and Agingrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.degradation.and.aging.v1Adapter required—
Maintenance Riskrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.maintenance.risk.v1Adapter required—
Human Factorsrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.human.factors.v1Adapter required—
Cyber Physical Vulnerabilityrisk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.cyber.physical.vulnerability.v1Adapter required—
02Scope

Methods, data and supports

Method families
bayesian inference, survival reliability, scientific simulation, regression, monte carlo
Domains
vulnerability, resilience
Compute planes
julia, python
Source classes
damage-observations, engineering, asset-condition, intervention-evidence
Spatial supports
object, portfolio, network
Temporal supports
event, recovery, lifecycle
Connected1
Adapter required18
03Standards

Standards that govern this fabric

NRS-C3NRS-C14NRS-M4

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.

Contribute

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

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Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.