Vulnerability, fragility and resilience
Methods for vulnerability, resilience on the Julia and Python compute planes.
19 capabilities
8 of 19 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.
| Indlela yokusebenza | Capability ID | Imeko | Runs on |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.simple.vulnerability.factor.screening.v1 |
Connected | engine.grix.risk.vulnerability.simple.factor.v1 |
| Fragility Curve | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.fragility.curve.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · vulnerability.lognormal_fragility |
| Vulnerability Curve | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.vulnerability.curve.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · vulnerability.curve |
| Multi-State Damage | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.multi.state.damage.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · vulnerability.multi_state_damage |
| Component Fragility | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.component.fragility.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Structural Vulnerability | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.structural.vulnerability.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · vulnerability.damage_ratio_batch |
| Infrastructure Fragility | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.infrastructure.fragility.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Utility Fragility | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.utility.fragility.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Agricultural Vulnerability | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.agricultural.vulnerability.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Ecosystem Vulnerability | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.ecosystem.vulnerability.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Population Vulnerability | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.population.vulnerability.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Adaptive Capacity | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.adaptive.capacity.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Control Effectiveness | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.control.effectiveness.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · cyber.control_effectiveness_whatif |
| Resilience | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.resilience.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · resilience.recovery_curve |
| Recovery Curve | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.recovery.curve.v1 |
Adapter required | Python · resilience.recovery_curve |
| Degradation and Aging | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.degradation.and.aging.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Maintenance Risk | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.maintenance.risk.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Human Factors | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.human.factors.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
| Cyber Physical Vulnerability | risk.capability.vulnerability-fragility-resilience.cyber.physical.vulnerability.v1 |
Adapter required | – |
Methods, data and supports
- Method families
- Bayesian inference, survival reliability, scientific simulation, regression, Monte Carlo
- Domains
- vulnerability, resilience
- Compute planes
- Julia, Python
- Source classes
- damage-observations, engineering, asset-condition, intervention-evidence
- Spatial supports
- object, portfolio, network
- Temporal supports
- event, recovery, lifecycle
Propose a method
New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.
Imeko
The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.
What NXS-GRX is not
NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.
Institutions and sources
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.