Risk engine – GLOBAL RISKS INDEX (GRIx)

01Kernel

What the kernel does

The risk engine sits over the Foundry systems and does not duplicate NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) risk science; it composes what the science already produced.

Context

Resolve

Places, times, assets and portfolios resolve to UNIs, with every source assertion kept.

Plan

Discover and route

Capabilities are found by stable ID and version, never by title, and routed by latency and scientific assurance.

Run

Run and compose

A dependency plan runs on governed NXS-GRX kernels; products compose across domains on the risk product graph.

Deliver

Project and correct

Products project to the form each client needs, and a correction upstream supersedes every dependent product.

02A composition

From request to product

Every composition is a governed run: the policy gate refuses with a type, the assurance gate fails closed, and the product carries its lineage.

on: product requested

Compose a risk intelligence product with the risk engine

In progressTriggered by You or your system10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job5 checks1 deployment

Graph

01Context

02Context

03Plan

04Plan

05Plan

06Run

07Run

08Check

09Deliver

10Deliver

100%

Timeline

Job0 h1 hTarget

Resolve contextRisk engineinstant

Purpose and rights checkIdentity and policy authorityinstant

Discover capabilitiesRisk engineinstant

Route by quality of intelligenceRisk engineinstant

Compile the DAG planRisk engineinstant

Run governed scienceNXS-GRX run serviceoperational

Compose across domainsRisk engineinstant

Evidence and assurance gateRisk engineinstant

Project the productRisk engineinstant

Lineage and correctionRisk enginecontinuous

End to end on the longest path: about 1.1 h of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps

Resolve context
Context · Risk engine · instant
Place, time, asset or portfolio resolved to UNIs · Purpose and tenant scope bound to the request · Source assertions kept, never merged silently
Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogue
Purpose and rights check approval
Context · Identity and policy authority · automatic
Identity and purpose verified · Rights, sovereignty and disclosure policy applied · Refusal is typed, never silent
FoundryLicence register
Discover capabilities
Plan · Risk engine · instant
Capabilities found by stable ID and version, never by title · Implementation and release state read per capability · Held capabilities excluded
Risk engineTested model kernels
Route by quality of intelligence
Plan · Risk engine · instant
Paths scored on latency class and scientific assurance · Fastest path that meets the assurance asked for · Trade-off recorded
Risk engine
Compile the DAG plan
Plan · Risk engine · instant
Dependencies ordered topologically · Cycles refused · Plan versioned and hashed
Risk engineNXS-GRX run service
Run governed science matrix ·
Run · NXS-GRX run service · operational
Each node runs on its bound kernel · Seeds, inputs and versions recorded · Failures stay failures
NXS-GRX run serviceTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
Compose across domains
Run · Risk engine · instant
Products joined on the risk product graph · Weakest assurance carried forward · Every upstream evidence reference kept
Risk engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
Evidence and assurance gate
Check · Risk engine · automatic
Claim ceiling never raised above its inputs · Missing evidence fails closed as INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE · High-reliance projections need complete evidence
Verification engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
Project the product
Deliver · Risk engine · instant
Scalar, table, series, distribution, features, network or evidence pack · Agent-context, feature-vector and compact forms · Each projection carries its UNI and lineage
Risk enginePublic cut APIVector tiles
Lineage and correction
Deliver · Risk engine · continuous
Derivation and composition edges recorded · A superseded input marks every dependent product SUPERSEDED · Stale intelligence never stays current
Correction logPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)

Artifacts

Artifact	Job	Who	Stage
Resolved context	Resolve context	Risk engine	Context
Policy decision	Purpose and rights check	Identity and policy authority	Context
Capability set	Discover capabilities	Risk engine	Plan
Route decision	Route by quality of intelligence	Risk engine	Plan
Execution plan	Compile the DAG plan	Risk engine	Plan
Upstream products	Run governed science	NXS-GRX run service	Run
Composite product	Compose across domains	Risk engine	Run
Assurance record	Evidence and assurance gate	Risk engine	Check
Projection	Project the product	Risk engine	Deliver
Lineage graph	Lineage and correction	Risk engine	Deliver
Correction notices	Lineage and correction	Risk engine	Deliver

DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and claim ceiling. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is an illustration, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.

03Product truth

The kernel never upgrades science

Claim ceiling: A composite is bounded by the claim ceiling of its inputs. An integrated engine output stays integrated; it never becomes institutional acceptance.
Assurance: Composition carries the weakest scientific assurance of its inputs and every upstream evidence reference.
Missing evidence: High-reliance projections fail closed as INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE instead of inventing a value.
Correction: Superseding an upstream product marks every dependent composition SUPERSEDED, so stale intelligence cannot stay current.
Non-claims: The kernel issues no official warning, certifies no engineering, prescribes no treatment, executes no financial transaction and actuates no external system.

04Authority

Who decides what

Authority	Owns
NXS-GRX	Canonical governed risk data, scientific products and evidence.
Identity and policy authority	Identity, purpose, rights, sovereignty, disclosure and claim boundaries.
Compute authority (NXS-COR)	Execution placement, runtime and infrastructure lifecycle.
Capability lifecycle authority	Software, model and agent capability lifecycle.
Operational map authority	Operational map and common operating picture composition.
Risk engine	Composes, routes and projects governed risk intelligence. It does not manufacture scientific truth.
External institutions	Keep legal, regulatory, emergency, warning, medical, financial and other consequential authority.

05Products

15 kernel products

3 of 15 products are release-held until their science and assurance evidence is complete. Products project to 50 kinds, from scalars and tables to rasters, meshes, networks, digital-twin deltas and evidence packs.

Filter products

Product	What it does	Product kinds	State
the risk engineunrisk.command	Operational entry surface for kernel status, model registry coverage, active compositions, products, corrections and integration posture.	status, capability graph, risk product graph	Integrated
NXS-STU Composerunrisk.nexus-composer	Build arbitrary domain × lens × scenario × Chronotope compositions and compile them into evidence-bound scientific execution graphs.	time series, data cube, dependency graph, scenario tree, ensemble	Integrated
Chronotope Studiounrisk.chronotope-studio	Construct and inspect ordered observation, valid, forecast, scenario and transaction-time frames for cross-engine Nexus computation.	time series, trajectory, scenario tree	Integrated
model registryunrisk.risk-master	Search the complete NXS-GRX model registry, inspect stable capability IDs, methods, evidence, VVUQ obligations, implementation state and execution availability.	capability graph, model diagnostic, evidence pack	Release held
Scientific Runsunrisk.scientific-runs	Provider-neutral orchestration of fast kernels and durable Julia, Python, R and HPC scientific runs through canonical NXS-GRX execution authorities.	model diagnostic, ensemble, monte carlo sample, evidence pack	Release held
Risk Product Graphunrisk.product-graph	Inspect polymorphic risk products, derivation edges, provenance, evidence, uncertainty, corrections and supersession dependencies.	scalar, vector, matrix, tensor, table, time series, distribution, raster, coverage, data cube, mesh, network graph, trajectory, 3d scene, evidence pack	Integrated
Assuranceunrisk.assurance	Inspect numerical verification, calibration, validation, applicability, uncertainty decomposition, benchmarks and claim ceilings without promoting software state into scientific truth.	model diagnostic, benchmark result, evidence pack	Release held
Builder APIunrisk.developer	Discovery, API contracts, typed SDK metadata, templates, protocol profiles and semantic-conformance tooling for building any risk-aware application.	sdk manifest, api manifest, protocol profile, template	Integrated
Integration Studiounrisk.integration-studio	Discover and validate risk-intelligence projections for web, mobile, cloud, GIS, OT, IoT, XR, robotics, vehicles, digital twins, analytics and future platforms.	integration profile, conformance report	Integrated
Agentic Riskunrisk.agentic	Chronotope and evidence-bearing agent collaboration for querying, challenging, explaining and composing risk intelligence without granting agents truth or actuation authority.	risk agent context, evidence pack, time series	Integrated
Spatial Riskunrisk.spatial	Risk projections for Maps, GIS, digital twins, routes, fields, volumes, trajectories and spatial-computing clients while preserving actual spatial support and geometry provenance.	raster, coverage, vector features, vector tiles, mesh, point cloud, trajectory, route, 3d scene, digital twin delta	Integrated
Industrial Riskunrisk.industrial	Read-only risk-intelligence projection for critical infrastructure, industrial control, asset management and operational technology environments.	risk object, time series, dependency graph, state transition	Integrated
Edge Runtimeunrisk.edge	System-Pack-driven risk-intelligence deployment for regional, national, institutional, site, vehicle and device edge with explicit staleness and degraded-state semantics.	system pack, risk product cache, correction feed	Integrated
Risk Packsunrisk.packs	Versioned semantic, science, integration, policy and assurance compositions for technologies, disciplines, industries and deployment profiles.	domain pack, science pack, integration pack, policy pack, assurance pack	Integrated
Operationsunrisk.operations	Operational truth for plans, scientific runs, composition coverage, event subscriptions, corrections, materiality and safe scientific observability.	execution record, correction record, observability summary, subscription	Integrated

06Frontier domains

35 frontier science and technology domains

The kernel's domain registry covers the frontier technologies whose risks the index tracks, so a capability, product or pack always names its domain.

Filter domains

Domain	Subdomains	Converges with
Artificial intelligence, machine learning and agentic systems	foundation models, multimodal AI, scientific ML, agentic AI, reinforcement learning, AI safety, AI assurance	—
Advanced computing and computational infrastructure	HPC, GPU accelerators, edge computing, cloud, neuromorphic, photonic computing, confidential computing	—
Semiconductors, microelectronics and chip systems	advanced nodes, chiplets, 3D integration, power electronics, RF, MEMS, advanced packaging, EDA	—
Quantum technologies	quantum computing, sensing, networking, communications, metrology, materials	—
Advanced communications and networked systems	5G-Advanced, 6G, NTN, AI-RAN, O-RAN, MEC, optical networks, PNT	—
Cybersecurity, cryptography and privacy engineering	zero trust, post-quantum cryptography, confidential computing, OT security, identity, privacy engineering	—
Data and distributed digital infrastructure	data fabrics, knowledge graphs, distributed ledgers, DePIN, streaming, federated data	—
Robotics, autonomy and physical AI	industrial robotics, humanoids, UAS, autonomous systems, swarm robotics, field robotics	—
XR, spatial computing, human-machine interfaces and neurotechnology	AR, VR, XR, smart glasses, BCI, haptics, spatial interfaces	—
Biotechnology, genomics and synthetic biology	genomics, gene editing, synthetic biology, cell engineering, biofoundries, computational biology	—
Medical technology and computational health	digital health, medical devices, computational medicine, diagnostics, public health intelligence	—
Advanced materials and nanotechnology	nanomaterials, metamaterials, composites, 2D materials, smart materials	—
Advanced manufacturing	additive manufacturing, digital manufacturing, industrial automation, precision manufacturing, bio-manufacturing	—
Advanced energy systems	fusion, fission, renewables, storage, hydrogen, grid technologies, carbon management	—
Climate and carbon technologies	climate intervention, carbon removal, MRV, adaptation technology, climate modelling	—
Earth observation and geospatial intelligence	remote sensing, SAR, hyperspectral, geodesy, GIS, digital Earth	—
Space systems	satellites, constellations, launch, in-space servicing, space situational awareness, space communications	—
Aerospace and propulsion	advanced air mobility, hypersonics, electric propulsion, rocket propulsion, uncrewed aviation	—
Future mobility	connected vehicles, autonomous vehicles, rail automation, maritime autonomy, micromobility	—
Chemical and process engineering	process intensification, electrochemistry, catalysis, industrial chemistry, process safety	—
Civil and critical-infrastructure engineering	structures, bridges, dams, utilities, lifelines, resilience engineering	—
Water, hydrology, ocean and coastal science	hydrology, hydraulics, groundwater, oceanography, coastal engineering, water treatment	—
Agriculture, food and fisheries technologies	precision agriculture, crop science, aquaculture, fisheries, food systems, agri-robotics	—
Environmental and biodiversity science	ecology, conservation technology, biodiversity monitoring, ecosystem modelling	—
Geoscience, geotechnical systems and critical minerals	geophysics, geotechnics, mining, critical minerals, subsurface systems	—
Nuclear and radiological technologies	fission, radiological systems, fuel cycle, waste, radiation sensing	—
Photonics, optics and laser systems	photonics, lasers, lidar, optical sensing, integrated photonics	—
Frontier physics and plasma science	plasma, high-energy physics, condensed matter, accelerators, precision physics	—
Mathematics, statistics, operations research and complex systems	probability, optimization, network science, dynamical systems, stochastic processes	—
Computational science, simulation and uncertainty quantification	numerical methods, multiphysics, digital twins, UQ, scientific computing	—
Metrology, sensing and autonomous scientific instrumentation	metrology, sensor networks, autonomous labs, scientific instruments, calibration	—
Industrial systems, reliability and process safety	reliability, FMEA, HAZOP, LOPA, SIL, asset integrity, OT	—
Financial engineering and computational risk	market risk, credit risk, insurance, actuarial science, systemic finance, quantitative finance	—
Supply-chain and industrial ecosystems	trade, logistics, supplier networks, critical dependencies, industrial policy	—
Convergent technologies and system-of-systems risk	cross-domain risk, emergent risk, technology convergence, systemic interactions, cascades	—

07Integrations

Integration profiles

Each profile carries independent truth states: implemented is not tested, tested is not observed in operation, and none of these is a release.

Profile	Standard	Formats and transport	Truth state
unrisk.openapi.v1	OpenAPI 3.2	application/json, application/geo+json, HTTP/1.1, HTTP/2, HTTP/3	implementation: implemented interoperability: untested operational: unobserved release: hold claim: integrated
unrisk.mqtt.v1	MQTT 5.0	application/json, application/cbor, MQTT/TLS	implementation: registered interoperability: untested operational: unobserved release: hold claim: integrated
unrisk.agent.mcp.v1	MCP 2026-07-28	application/json, HTTP	implementation: implemented interoperability: untested operational: unobserved release: hold claim: integrated

08API

Where it runs

Mount: /api/grix/v2/unrisk
Routes: GET /status GET /frontier-stem/domains GET /capabilities POST /resolve POST /discover POST /plans POST /plans/:id/execute GET /products/:id/lineage POST /products/:id/project POST /products/:id/correct GET /integrations
Access: Tenant-scoped, inside authenticated NXS-GRX authority. Enterprise and public-sector plans reach it through the enterprise platform.
Snapshot: nexus-foundry@31a753f76

One kernel for risk intelligence