NXS-GRX · GRX-IDX-CRS · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity
Lack of coping capacity index
Index on a 0-10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
Page GRX-IDX-CRSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacityValues not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Uncertainty
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Structure
6 components
26 leaf indicators
Coverage
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 30%
26
leaf indicators
6
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
3
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.
computation
How Lack of coping capacity is computedGraph
01Indicators
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pillar
05Composite
100%
List
- National DRR strategy aligned with the Sendai FrameworkIndicator · IND · {score}Score (0-1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
- Local governments with DRR strategies aligned to the national strategyIndicator · IND · %Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
- Multi-hazard monitoring and forecasting systemsIndicator · IND · {score}Score (0-1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
- People covered by early warning informationIndicator · IND · /10*5Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
- Local governments with a plan to act on early warningsIndicator · IND · %Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
- Accessible disaster risk information and assessmentIndicator · IND · {score}Score (0-1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
- Exposed population protected by pre-emptive evacuationIndicator · IND · %Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
- Disaster risk financing strategy adoptedIndicator · IND · {bool}Whether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
- Participation in a sovereign regional risk poolIndicator · IND · {bool}Whether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
- Pre-arranged contingent disaster credit, share of GDPIndicator · IND · %Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
- Sovereign catastrophe risk transfer limit, share of GDPIndicator · IND · %Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
- Non-life insurance premiums, share of GDPIndicator · IND · %Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
- Natural-catastrophe insurance protection gapIndicator · IND · %Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
- Population within 15 minutes of emergency servicesIndicator · IND · %Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
- INSARAG-classified urban search and rescue teamIndicator · IND · {bool}Whether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
- International official support for DRR received, share of GDPIndicator · IND · %Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
- Shock-responsive social protection readinessIndicator · IND · {score}Score (0-1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
- Rural population within 2 km of an all-season roadIndicator · IND · %Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
- Logistics performanceIndicator · IND · {score}Overall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1-5 scale, as an external source series.
- Liner shipping connectivity relative to the frontierIndicator · IND · %Liner shipping connectivity of the economy's ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
- Air passengers carried per capitaIndicator · IND · {passengers}/a/{person}Passengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
- Urban population with convenient access to public transportIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
- Individuals using the InternetIndicator · IND · %Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
- Population covered by a mobile network, by technologyIndicator · IND · %Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
- Fixed broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitantsIndicator · IND · /10*2Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
- International connectivity route redundancyIndicator · IND · 1Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
- DRR governance sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
- Early warning capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
- Disaster risk financing capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
- Response capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
- Transport connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
- Digital connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
- Lack of coping capacity indexDomain index · IDX · geometricIndex on a 0-10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
- Lack of coping and adaptive capacityPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
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02Simulator
Run this index's own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component's contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate lack of coping capacity on your numbers
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03Method
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM_0_10
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 30% of weight
- Weighting
- expert
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Uncertainty
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
Very low0.0 to < 2.0
Low2.0 to < 3.5
Medium3.5 to < 5.0
High5.0 to < 6.5
Very high6.5 to 10.0
04Components
6 components, 26 indicators
DRR governance sub-index w 1
Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National DRR strategy aligned with the Sendai FrameworkIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 50.0% |
| Local governments with DRR strategies aligned to the national strategyIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap | 50.0% |
Early warning capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi-hazard monitoring and forecasting systemsIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis | 22.2% |
| People covered by early warning informationIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | /10*5 | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments | 22.2% |
| Local governments with a plan to act on early warningsIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
| Accessible disaster risk information and assessmentIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
| Exposed population protected by pre-emptive evacuationIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports | 11.1% |
Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disaster risk financing strategy adoptedIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | {bool} | Class B | wb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications | 9.1% |
| Participation in a sovereign regional risk poolIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | {bool} | Class A | arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports | 9.1% |
| Pre-arranged contingent disaster credit, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | % | Class A | wb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases | 18.2% |
| Sovereign catastrophe risk transfer limit, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | % | Class B | wb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed | 18.2% |
| Non-life insurance premiums, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | % | Class B | oecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed | 18.2% |
| Natural-catastrophe insurance protection gapIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | % | Class C | eiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat | 27.3% |
Response capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population within 15 minutes of emergency servicesIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | % | Class D | openstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers | 42.9% |
| INSARAG-classified urban search and rescue teamIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | {bool} | Class A | insarag-classified-teams-list | 14.3% |
| International official support for DRR received, share of GDPIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | % | Class B | oecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 14.3% |
| Shock-responsive social protection readinessIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | {score} | Class E | wb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies | 28.6% |
Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rural population within 2 km of an all-season roadIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access | % | Class C | wb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop | 33.3% |
| Logistics performanceIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance | {score} | Class E | wb-lpi | 22.2% |
| Liner shipping connectivity relative to the frontierIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity | % | Class B | unctad-lsci, wb-wdi | 22.2% |
| Air passengers carried per capitaIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc | {passengers}/a/{person} | Class B | icao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
| Urban population with convenient access to public transportIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap | 11.1% |
Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
| Indicator | Unit | Evidence | Sources | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Individuals using the InternetIND.INF.digital.internet_users | % | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys | 33.3% |
| Population covered by a mobile network, by technologyIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage | % | Class B | itu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps | 33.3% |
| Fixed broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitantsIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband | /10*2 | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal | 16.7% |
| International connectivity route redundancyIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy | 1 | Class D | telegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb | 16.7% |
05Domain
Coping capacity and resilience
Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.
| Sub-domain | Indicators |
|---|---|
| DRR strategy | 2 |
| Early warning | 6 |
| Risk financing and protection gap | 6 |
| Response capacity | 4 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.
06Indicators
All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Indicator | Domain | Sub-domain | Component | Unit | Levels | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National DRR strategy aligned with the Sendai FrameworkIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
| Local governments with DRR strategies aligned to the national strategyIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
| Multi-hazard early warning system scoreIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score | CRS | Early warning | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-1 |
| Multi-hazard monitoring and forecasting systemsIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | CRS | Early warning | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-2 |
| People covered by early warning informationIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | CRS | Early warning | coping capacity | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-3 |
| Local governments with a plan to act on early warningsIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | CRS | Early warning | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-4 |
| Accessible disaster risk information and assessmentIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | CRS | Early warning | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-5 |
| Exposed population protected by pre-emptive evacuationIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | CRS | Early warning | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-6 |
| Disaster risk financing strategy adoptedIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
| Participation in a sovereign regional risk poolIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
| Pre-arranged contingent disaster credit, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
| Sovereign catastrophe risk transfer limit, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
| Natural-catastrophe insurance protection gapIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
| Non-life insurance premiums, share of GDPIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
| Population within 15 minutes of emergency servicesIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
| INSARAG-classified urban search and rescue teamIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
| International official support for DRR received, share of GDPIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
| Shock-responsive social protection readinessIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY |
07Quote
Lack of coping capacity index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · CRS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Lack of coping capacity index, world
—
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
- Previous edition
- —
- Range since 2016
- —
- Coupled composite
- —
- Coupling score S
- —
- Pulse, latest week
- —
- Outlook, 12 months
- —
- Method
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Draws
- 1,000
Lack of coping capacity index, world, by edition
No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.
Africa54
Americas35
Asia48
Europe44
No movements yet. Changes since the previous edition are listed here from the second edition on, with the indicators that drove them.
08Values
Country values
FIG 5 · Lack of coping capacity index: countries (values when released)
Loading the map
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Tiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Observation key
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Series
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.GS-08Global DisasterMulti-hazard exposure, disaster losses and mortality, return-period losses, protection gaps and coping capacity.TH-02Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)Hazard, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, preparedness, redundancy and recovery readings for planning and learning, aligned to the Sendai Framework targets.
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
SDG | 11 |
SENDAI | 8 |
WB_WDI | 5 |
ISO_37120 | 2 |
11Across the Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
12Cite
Cite and reuse
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Lack of coping capacity index (GRX-IDX-CRS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/lack-of-coping-capacity/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000115.
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Status
The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.
What NXS-GRX is not
NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.
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Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.