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The Global Risks Index
NXS-GRX · Methods · 26 capabilities

Energy risk

Methods for energy on the julia and python compute planes.

CapabilitiesAll methods
Page GRX-MTH-EREdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedSnapshot 31a753f76
26
capabilities
7
kernel-bound
5
method families
3
standards
01Capabilities

26 capabilities

7 of 26 have a bound kernel or engine. States are shown as the registry records them; a request fails closed wherever an adapter, specialist model or governed data is still missing.

MethodCapability IDStateRuns on
Generation Adequacyrisk.capability.energy-risk.generation.adequacy.v1Specialist model required—
Load Forecastingrisk.capability.energy-risk.load.forecasting.v1Specialist model required—
Renewable Intermittencyrisk.capability.energy-risk.renewable.intermittency.v1Specialist model required—
Reserve Marginrisk.capability.energy-risk.reserve.margin.v1Specialist model requiredpython · power.reserve_margin
Loss of Load Probabilityrisk.capability.energy-risk.loss.of.load.probability.v1Reference implementationpython · power.copt_adequacy
Expected Unserved Energyrisk.capability.energy-risk.expected.unserved.energy.v1Reference implementationpython · power.copt_adequacy
Grid Reliabilityrisk.capability.energy-risk.grid.reliability.v1Specialist model requiredpython · power.n_minus_one_dc
Transmission Congestionrisk.capability.energy-risk.transmission.congestion.v1Specialist model requiredpython · power.dc_power_flow
Cascading Outagerisk.capability.energy-risk.cascading.outage.v1Specialist model required—
Generator Failurerisk.capability.energy-risk.generator.failure.v1Specialist model required—
Fuel Supply Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.fuel.supply.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Gas Network Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.gas.network.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Oil Logisticsrisk.capability.energy-risk.oil.logistics.v1Specialist model required—
Storage Adequacyrisk.capability.energy-risk.storage.adequacy.v1Specialist model required—
Hydro Availabilityrisk.capability.energy-risk.hydro.availability.v1Specialist model required—
Drought Power Nexusrisk.capability.energy-risk.drought.power.nexus.v1Specialist model required—
Cooling Water Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.cooling.water.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Electricity Price Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.electricity.price.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Fuel Price Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.fuel.price.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Market Imbalancerisk.capability.energy-risk.market.imbalance.v1Specialist model required—
Cyber Physical Energy Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.cyber.physical.energy.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Interconnector Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.interconnector.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Geopolitical Energy Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.geopolitical.energy.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Energy Transition Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.energy.transition.risk.v1Specialist model required—
Stranded Asset Riskrisk.capability.energy-risk.stranded.asset.risk.v1Specialist model requiredpython · transition.stranded_asset_exposure
Emissions Carbon Price Exposurerisk.capability.energy-risk.emissions.carbon.price.exposure.v1Specialist model requiredpython · transition.carbon_cost_pass_through
02Scope

Methods, data and supports

Method families
scientific simulation, stochastic process, optimization, network science, time series
Domains
energy
Compute planes
julia, python
Source classes
grid-telemetry, generation, load, fuel, market, weather
Spatial supports
grid-network, facility, region
Temporal supports
subhourly, hourly, daily, scenario
Reference implementation2
Specialist model required24
03Standards

Standards that govern this fabric

NRS-M15NRS-N2NRS-T12

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID and a hand-derived golden test.

Contribute

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organization, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm's length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.