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The Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-DEM · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

Indeks tekanan pengungsian

Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.

Page GRX-IDX-DEMEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressureValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

arithmetic

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Ketidakpastian

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Struktur

4 components

10 leaf indicators

Cakupan

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
10
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
4
series read it
01Konstruksi

From indicators to the composite

One view of the demographic and mobility strain a country carries; the sub-indices stay visible so outflow and hosting pressure are never confused.

computation
How Displacement pressure is computed
Graph17 nodes
Grafik
01Indikator
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Komposit
100%
Indeks
  1. Pengungsi menurut negara asal, per 100,000 penduduk
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Refugees originating from the country at year end per 100,000 of the country’s mid-year population.
  2. Pengungsi internal, per 100,000 penduduk
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Sum of the year-end conflict and disaster displacement stocks per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
  3. Pengungsian internal baru, per 100,000 penduduk
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Conflict and disaster displacement movements of the year combined, per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
  4. Pengungsi yang ditampung, per 100,000 penduduk
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Refugees residing in the country at year end per 100,000 of the host’s mid-year population.
  5. Pencari suaka yang ditampung, per 100,000 penduduk
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    People in the country whose claim for international protection is pending at year end, per 100,000 of the host population.
  6. Rasio ketergantungan usia
    Indicator · IND · %
    People younger than 15 or older than 64 per hundred people aged 15 to 64.
  7. Penduduk usia 65 tahun ke atas, porsi terhadap total
    Indicator · IND · %
    Residents aged 65 years or more as a percentage of the mid-year population.
  8. Pertumbuhan penduduk
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual exponential rate of change of the mid-year population, in percent.
  9. Pertumbuhan penduduk perkotaan
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual exponential rate of change of the urban population, in percent.
  10. Penduduk perkotaan yang tinggal di permukiman kumuh
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the urban population living in households that lack one or more of improved water, improved sanitation, durable housing, sufficient living area or secure tenure.
  11. Displacement outflow sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 50.0%
    Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
  12. Refugee hosting pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 25.0%
    Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
  13. Age-structure pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%
    Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
  14. Unplanned urbanisation sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%
    Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
  15. Indeks tekanan pengungsian
    Domain index · IDX · arithmetic
    Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
  16. Kerentanan manusia dan sistem
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  17. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. 10 indicators, 4 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate displacement pressure on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
25
1
–
berjalan di peramban Anda
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Metode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
ahli
Aggregation
arithmetic
Scale
0 to 10
Ketidakpastian
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM Risk 2024 vulnerability dimension (structure only)
Sangat rendah0.0 hingga < 2.0
Rendah2.0 hingga < 3.5
Sedang3.5 hingga < 5.0
Tinggi5.0 hingga < 6.5
Sangat tinggi6.5 hingga 10.0
04Components

4 components, 10 indicators

Displacement outflow sub-index w 2

Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Pengungsi menurut negara asal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k/10*5Class Bderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin33.3%
Pengungsi internal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k/10*5Class Cderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster33.3%
Pengungsian internal baru, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k/10*5Class Cderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster33.3%

Refugee hosting pressure sub-index w 1

Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Pengungsi yang ditampung, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k/10*5Class Bderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted66.7%
Pencari suaka yang ditampung, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k/10*5Class Bunhcr-refugee-data-finder33.3%

Age-structure pressure sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Rasio ketergantungan usiaIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency%Class Awb-wdi, un-wpp33.3%
Penduduk usia 65 tahun ke atas, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus%Class Awb-wdi, un-wpp33.3%
Pertumbuhan pendudukIND.DEM.population.growth%Class Awb-wdi, un-wpp33.3%

Unplanned urbanisation sub-index w 0.5

Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Pertumbuhan penduduk perkotaanIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth%Class Bwb-wdi, un-wup50.0%
Penduduk perkotaan yang tinggal di permukiman kumuhIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share%Class Cun-habitat-urban-indicators, wb-wdi50.0%
05Domain

Demography and mobility

Population size and structure, urbanisation, migration and forced displacement.

Sub-domainIndikator
Penduduk4
Age structure3
Urbanisation3
Forced displacement11
Migrasi3

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): UN WPP; UNHCR; IDMC.

06Indikator

All 24 demography and mobility indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
DEM · 24
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndikatorDomainSub-domainKomponenUnitTingkatCrosswalks
Total pendudukIND.DEM.population.totalDEMPendudukcontext{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July
Kepadatan pendudukIND.DEM.population.densityDEMPendudukcontext{persons}/km2COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity
Pertumbuhan pendudukIND.DEM.population.growthDEMPendudukvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate
Angka fertilitas totalIND.DEM.population.fertility_rateDEMPendudukcontext{births}/{woman}COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR
Rasio ketergantungan usiaIND.DEM.structure.age_dependencyDEMAge structurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.DPND
Penduduk usia 65 tahun ke atas, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plusDEMAge structurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS
Penduduk usia di bawah 15 tahun, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_under15DEMAge structurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS
Penduduk perkotaan, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_shareDEMUrbanisationcontext%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
Pertumbuhan penduduk perkotaanIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growthDEMUrbanisationvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
Penduduk perkotaan yang tinggal di permukiman kumuhIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_shareDEMUrbanisationvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
Pengungsi menurut negara asalIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_originDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRYUNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
Pengungsi menurut negara asal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRYSDG 10.7.4
Pengungsi yang ditampung (negara suaka)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hostedDEMForced displacementketerpaparan{persons}COUNTRYUNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG
Pengungsi yang ditampung, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100kDEMForced displacementketerpaparan/10*5COUNTRY
Pencari suaka yang ditampung, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100kDEMForced displacementketerpaparan/10*5COUNTRYUNHCR ASY
Pengungsi internal, konflik dan kekerasan (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflictDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
Pengungsi internal, bencana (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disasterDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC disaster_total_displacement
Pengungsi internal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRY
Pengungsian internal baru, konflik dan kekerasanIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflictDEMForced displacementimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
Pengungsian internal baru, bencanaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disasterDEMForced displacementimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS
Pengungsian internal baru, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRY
Migrasi netoIND.DEM.migration.net_migrationDEMMigrasicontext{persons}COUNTRYWB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations
Angka migrasi netoIND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rateDEMMigrasicontext/10*3COUNTRYUN_WPP CNMR
Stok migran internasional, porsi terhadap populasiIND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_shareDEMMigrasicontext%COUNTRYWB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS
07Kuotasi

Displacement pressure index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · DEM · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Displacement pressure index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Edisi sebelumnya
–
Range since 2016
–
Komposit terkait
–
Skor keterkaitan S
–
Pulse, minggu terakhir
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Metode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Sampel
1,000
Displacement pressure index, world, by edition

Belum ada nilai yang diterbitkan. Edisi pertama menggambar riwayat di sini dengan pita interval dan batas kelas.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Belum ada pergerakan. Perubahan sejak edisi sebelumnya dicantumkan di sini mulai edisi kedua, beserta indikator yang mendorongnya.
08Nilai

Country values

FIG 5 · Displacement pressure index: countries (values when released)
Memuat peta
AndorraAntigua dan BarbudaBahrainBarbadosKomoroTanjung VerdeDominikaMikronesiaGrenadaKiribatiSaint Kitts dan NevisSaint LuciaLiechtensteinMonakoMaladewaKepulauan MarshallMaltaMauritiusNauruPalauSingapuraSan MarinoSao Tome dan PrincipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluVatikanSaint Vincent dan GrenadineSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Ubin peta
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/dem/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Kunci observasi
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI5
SDG2
UNHCR1
UN_WPP1
11Di seluruh Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Displacement pressure index (GRX-IDX-DEM), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/displacement-pressure/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000117.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.