Indice di pressione degli sfollamenti
Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
4 components
10 leaf indicators
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
From indicators to the composite
One view of the demographic and mobility strain a country carries; the sub-indices stay visible so outflow and hosting pressure are never confused.
- Rifugiati per paese di origine, per 100,000 abitantiIndicator · IND · /10*5Refugees originating from the country at year end per 100,000 of the country’s mid-year population.
- Sfollati interni, per 100,000 abitantiIndicator · IND · /10*5Sum of the year-end conflict and disaster displacement stocks per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- Nuovi sfollamenti interni, per 100,000 abitantiIndicator · IND · /10*5Conflict and disaster displacement movements of the year combined, per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- Rifugiati accolti, per 100,000 abitantiIndicator · IND · /10*5Refugees residing in the country at year end per 100,000 of the host’s mid-year population.
- Richiedenti asilo accolti, per 100,000 abitantiIndicator · IND · /10*5People in the country whose claim for international protection is pending at year end, per 100,000 of the host population.
- Indice di dipendenza per etàIndicator · IND · %People younger than 15 or older than 64 per hundred people aged 15 to 64.
- Popolazione di 65 anni e oltre, quota del totaleIndicator · IND · %Residents aged 65 years or more as a percentage of the mid-year population.
- Crescita della popolazioneIndicator · IND · %Annual exponential rate of change of the mid-year population, in percent.
- Crescita della popolazione urbanaIndicator · IND · %Annual exponential rate of change of the urban population, in percent.
- Popolazione urbana che vive in baraccopoliIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living in households that lack one or more of improved water, improved sanitation, durable housing, sufficient living area or secure tenure.
- Displacement outflow sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 50.0%Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
- Refugee hosting pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 25.0%Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
- Age-structure pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
- Unplanned urbanisation sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
- Indice di pressione degli sfollamentiDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
- Vulnerabilità umana e dei sistemiPillar · PILLAR · 8 indicesHow susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- esperto
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertezza
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM Risk 2024 vulnerability dimension (structure only)
4 components, 10 indicators
Displacement outflow sub-index w 2
Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rifugiati per paese di origine, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin | 33.3% |
Sfollati interni, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k | /10*5 | Class C | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster | 33.3% |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k | /10*5 | Class C | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster | 33.3% |
Refugee hosting pressure sub-index w 1
Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rifugiati accolti, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted | 66.7% |
Richiedenti asilo accolti, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | unhcr-refugee-data-finder | 33.3% |
Age-structure pressure sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Indice di dipendenza per etàIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Popolazione di 65 anni e oltre, quota del totaleIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Crescita della popolazioneIND.DEM.population.growth | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Unplanned urbanisation sub-index w 0.5
Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Crescita della popolazione urbanaIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth | % | Class B | wb-wdi, un-wup | 50.0% |
Popolazione urbana che vive in baraccopoliIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
Demography and mobility
Population size and structure, urbanisation, migration and forced displacement.
| Sub-domain | Indicatori |
|---|---|
| Popolazione | 4 |
| Age structure | 3 |
| Urbanisation | 3 |
| Forced displacement | 11 |
| Migration | 3 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): UN WPP; UNHCR; IDMC.
All 24 demography and mobility indicators
| Indicatore | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unità | Livelli | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Popolazione totaleIND.DEM.population.total | DEM | Popolazione | context | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July |
Densità di popolazioneIND.DEM.population.density | DEM | Popolazione | context | {persons}/km2 | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity |
Crescita della popolazioneIND.DEM.population.growth | DEM | Popolazione | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate |
Tasso di fecondità totaleIND.DEM.population.fertility_rate | DEM | Popolazione | context | {births}/{woman} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR |
Indice di dipendenza per etàIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.DPND |
Popolazione di 65 anni e oltre, quota del totaleIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS |
Popolazione sotto i 15 anni, quota del totaleIND.DEM.structure.share_under15 | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS |
Popolazione urbana, quota del totaleIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share | DEM | Urbanisation | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS |
Crescita della popolazione urbanaIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth | DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW |
Popolazione urbana che vive in baraccopoliIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share | DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1 |
Rifugiati per paese di origineIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
Rifugiati per paese di origine, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
Rifugiati accolti (paese d'asilo)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG |
Rifugiati accolti, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
Richiedenti asilo accolti, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 | COUNTRY | UNHCR ASY |
Sfollati interni, conflitti e violenza (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
Sfollati interni, disastri (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_total_displacement |
Sfollati interni, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, conflitti e violenzaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, disastriIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
Migrazione nettaIND.DEM.migration.net_migration | DEM | Migration | context | {persons} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations |
Tasso di migrazione nettaIND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rate | DEM | Migration | context | /10*3 | COUNTRY | UN_WPP CNMR |
Stock di migranti internazionali, quota della popolazioneIND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_share | DEM | Migration | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS |
Displacement pressure index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- Edizione precedente
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Composito accoppiato
- –
- Punteggio di accoppiamento S
- –
- Pulse, ultima settimana
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Metodo
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Estrazioni
- 1,000
Nessun valore ancora pubblicato. La prima edizione traccia qui lo storico con la banda dell'intervallo e i limiti di classe.
Country values
- Tile
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/dem/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Chiave di osservazione
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 5 |
SDG | 2 |
UNHCR | 1 |
UN_WPP | 1 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Cita e riutilizza
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Stato
La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.
Che cosa non è NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.
Istituzioni e fonti
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Ogni valore riporta l’attribuzione delle proprie fonti, che mantengono le rispettive licenze. I nomi esterni sono citati unicamente a fini di interoperabilità. I testi redatti da Nexus sono destinati alla licenza CC BY 4.0 al momento della pubblicazione.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.