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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-DEM · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

이주 압력 지수

Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.

Page GRX-IDX-DEMEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressureValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

arithmetic

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

불확실성

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

구조

4 components

10 leaf indicators

적용 범위

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
10
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
4
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

One view of the demographic and mobility strain a country carries; the sub-indices stay visible so outflow and hosting pressure are never confused.

computation
How Displacement pressure is computed
Graph17 nodes
그래프
01지표
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04기둥
05종합
100%
색인
  1. 출신국별 난민, 인구 100,000명당
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Refugees originating from the country at year end per 100,000 of the country’s mid-year population.
  2. 국내 실향민, 인구 100,000명당
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Sum of the year-end conflict and disaster displacement stocks per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
  3. 신규 국내 실향, 인구 100,000명당
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Conflict and disaster displacement movements of the year combined, per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
  4. 수용 난민, 인구 100,000명당
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Refugees residing in the country at year end per 100,000 of the host’s mid-year population.
  5. 수용 비호 신청자, 인구 100,000명당
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    People in the country whose claim for international protection is pending at year end, per 100,000 of the host population.
  6. 연령 부양비
    Indicator · IND · %
    People younger than 15 or older than 64 per hundred people aged 15 to 64.
  7. 65세 이상 인구, 전체 대비 비율
    Indicator · IND · %
    Residents aged 65 years or more as a percentage of the mid-year population.
  8. 인구 증가율
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual exponential rate of change of the mid-year population, in percent.
  9. 도시 인구 증가율
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual exponential rate of change of the urban population, in percent.
  10. 슬럼 거주 도시 인구
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the urban population living in households that lack one or more of improved water, improved sanitation, durable housing, sufficient living area or secure tenure.
  11. Displacement outflow sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 50.0%
    Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
  12. Refugee hosting pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 25.0%
    Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
  13. Age-structure pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%
    Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
  14. Unplanned urbanisation sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%
    Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
  15. 이주 압력 지수
    Domain index · IDX · arithmetic
    Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
  16. 인간 및 시스템 취약성
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  17. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
실행 전진행 중완료
FIG 2. 10 indicators, 4 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate displacement pressure on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
25
1
–
브라우저에서 실행됨
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03방법

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
전문가
Aggregation
arithmetic
Scale
0 to 10
불확실성
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM Risk 2024 vulnerability dimension (structure only)
매우 낮음0.0 이상 2.0 미만
낮음2.0 이상 3.5 미만
중간3.5 이상 5.0 미만
높음5.0 이상 6.5 미만
매우 높음6.5~10.0
04Components

4 components, 10 indicators

Displacement outflow sub-index w 2

Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.

지표단위근거출처비중
출신국별 난민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k/10*5Class Bderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin33.3%
국내 실향민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k/10*5Class Cderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster33.3%
신규 국내 실향, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k/10*5Class Cderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster33.3%

Refugee hosting pressure sub-index w 1

Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.

지표단위근거출처비중
수용 난민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k/10*5Class Bderived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted66.7%
수용 비호 신청자, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k/10*5Class Bunhcr-refugee-data-finder33.3%

Age-structure pressure sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.

지표단위근거출처비중
연령 부양비IND.DEM.structure.age_dependency%Class Awb-wdi, un-wpp33.3%
65세 이상 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.structure.share_65plus%Class Awb-wdi, un-wpp33.3%
인구 증가율IND.DEM.population.growth%Class Awb-wdi, un-wpp33.3%

Unplanned urbanisation sub-index w 0.5

Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.

지표단위근거출처비중
도시 인구 증가율IND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth%Class Bwb-wdi, un-wup50.0%
슬럼 거주 도시 인구IND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share%Class Cun-habitat-urban-indicators, wb-wdi50.0%
05영역

Demography and mobility

Population size and structure, urbanisation, migration and forced displacement.

Sub-domain지표
인구4
Age structure3
Urbanisation3
Forced displacement11
Migration3

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): UN WPP; UNHCR; IDMC.

06지표

All 24 demography and mobility indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
DEM · 24
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
지표영역Sub-domain구성 요소단위단계Crosswalks
총인구IND.DEM.population.totalDEM인구context{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July
인구 밀도IND.DEM.population.densityDEM인구context{persons}/km2COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity
인구 증가율IND.DEM.population.growthDEM인구vulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate
합계출산율IND.DEM.population.fertility_rateDEM인구context{births}/{woman}COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR
연령 부양비IND.DEM.structure.age_dependencyDEMAge structurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.DPND
65세 이상 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.structure.share_65plusDEMAge structurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS
15세 미만 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.structure.share_under15DEMAge structurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS
도시 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_shareDEMUrbanisationcontext%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
도시 인구 증가율IND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growthDEMUrbanisationvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
슬럼 거주 도시 인구IND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_shareDEMUrbanisationvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
출신국별 난민IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_originDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRYUNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
출신국별 난민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRYSDG 10.7.4
수용 난민(비호국 기준)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hostedDEMForced displacementexposure{persons}COUNTRYUNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG
수용 난민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100kDEMForced displacementexposure/10*5COUNTRY
수용 비호 신청자, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100kDEMForced displacementexposure/10*5COUNTRYUNHCR ASY
국내 실향민, 분쟁 및 폭력(누적)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflictDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
국내 실향민, 재난(누적)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disasterDEMForced displacementimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC disaster_total_displacement
국내 실향민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRY
신규 국내 실향, 분쟁 및 폭력IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflictDEMForced displacementimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
신규 국내 실향, 재난IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disasterDEMForced displacementimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS
신규 국내 실향, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100kDEMForced displacementimpact/10*5COUNTRY
순이주IND.DEM.migration.net_migrationDEMMigrationcontext{persons}COUNTRYWB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations
순이주율IND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rateDEMMigrationcontext/10*3COUNTRYUN_WPP CNMR
국제 이주민 수, 인구 대비 비율IND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_shareDEMMigrationcontext%COUNTRYWB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS
07인용

Displacement pressure index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · DEM · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Displacement pressure index, world
–
값은 판과 함께 게시되며, 구간, 등급, 변화가 여기에 표시됩니다.
이전 판
–
Range since 2016
–
결합 종합
–
결합 점수 S
–
동향, 최근 1주
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
방법
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
추출
1,000
Displacement pressure index, world, by edition

아직 공개된 값이 없습니다. 첫 판에서 구간 띠와 등급 경계와 함께 이력이 여기에 그려집니다.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
아직 변동이 없습니다. 두 번째 판부터는 이전 판 대비 변화가 이를 이끈 지표와 함께 여기에 표시됩니다.
08값

Country values

FIG 5 · Displacement pressure index: countries (values when released)
지도를 불러오는 중
안도라앤티가 바부다바레인바베이도스코모로카보베르데도미니카미크로네시아그레나다키리바시세인트키츠 네비스세인트루시아리히텐슈타인모나코몰디브마셜 제도몰타모리셔스나우루팔라우싱가포르산마리노상투메 프린시페세이셸통가투발루교황청세인트빈센트 그레나딘사모아
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
타일
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/dem/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
관측 키
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI5
SDG2
UNHCR1
UN_WPP1
11Nexus 전반

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12인용

인용과 재사용

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Displacement pressure index (GRX-IDX-DEM), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/displacement-pressure/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000117.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.