The systemic risk taxonomy
Hazard domains, contexts, risk classes, indicator domains, risk components, the risk chain, method fabrics, the twenty systems, platforms, domain packs and programme pillars, each node linked to the standards that govern it.
재해 영역
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
대기와 기상atmo |
Hazards that live in the air column: storms, winds, precipitation extremes, thermal extremes, airborne particles and large-scale circulation anomalies. | |
수계water |
Hazards of fresh and salt water: floods, water deficit, sea-level and wave hazards, ocean-state extremes and water-quality degradation. | |
얼음과 눈cryo |
Hazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice. | |
고체 지구geo |
Hazards of the crust and ground: fault shaking, eruptions, slope failure, ground deformation and surface erosion. | |
우주와 지구 근접space |
Hazards that arrive from or act in space: solar-terrestrial storms, impacts and orbital debris. | |
육지와 생태계eco |
Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts. | |
행성 한계와 지구 시스템 티핑planet |
Hazards of the Earth system as a whole: transgression of the boundaries that keep the planet in a stable state, tipping of large climate, ice, ocean and biome components, carbon-cycle feedbacks, and rare deep-time and cosmic catastrophes. | |
오염과 유해 물질poll |
Harmful substances in air, water, soil and food, toxic releases, ionising radiation and waste-containment failures. | |
보건과 생물안보health |
Disease and biological harm to people, animals and plants, grouped by transmission route, plus systemic biological risks, chronic and mental-health burdens, drug resistance and the failure of health systems. | |
건조 시스템infra |
Failure and accident hazards of structures, energy, water, digital and space-service networks, mobility, food systems, cities, ageing assets and industrial plants. | |
정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템cyber |
Compromise or failure of information systems, including attacks that reach physical processes, identity and trust services, systemic cyber events and platforms everything else depends on. | |
첨단 및 기하급수적 기술tech |
Hazards that arise from frontier and exponential technologies: artificial intelligence, biotechnology, advanced materials, quantum, neurotechnology, autonomy, climate intervention, space systems, digital concentration, advanced manufacturing and energy-transition technology. | |
사회, 분쟁, 경제soc |
Violence, geopolitical and nuclear confrontation, conflict-induced harm, humanitarian crises, governance and cohesion failure, crime, demographic and labour transitions, macro-fiscal and financial-system shocks, and loss of heritage. | |
시스템 및 복합 사건sys |
Events defined by interaction rather than by one process: supply-chain disruption, cascading failure, compound multi-hazard events and the structural fragility (concentration, coupling, polycrisis) that lets them spread. |
Hazard Standard contexts (the six anchor streams, global risks and the nexus)
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
물water |
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에너지energy |
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식량food |
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보건health |
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생물다양성biodiversity |
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핵심 인프라critical-infrastructure |
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Global risksglobal-risks |
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Nexusnexus |
risk classes (global, catastrophic, existential, emerging, planetary, exponential, frontier technology)
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
Global riskglobal |
A hazard is global when its occurrence, its consequences or its causal chain cross national borders and act at continental or planetary scale, so that no single country can fully assess, prevent or absorb it. | |
파국적 리스크catastrophic |
A hazard is catastrophic when at least one plausible scenario for it would cause global catastrophe: a very large loss of life, the crippling of global systems, or a civilisational setback that would take generations to recover from. | |
Existential riskexistential |
A hazard is existential when a plausible scenario for it would cause human extinction or a permanent, unrecoverable collapse of humanity’s long-term potential. | |
Emerging riskemerging |
A hazard is emerging when it is new, or is changing fast in nature, scale, likelihood or reach, and the evidence base for assessing it is still thin or immature. | |
Planetary riskplanetary |
A hazard is planetary when it concerns the stability of an Earth-system process: it pressures a planetary boundary, or it is, or directly drives, a tipping element whose change of state would alter the Earth system as a whole. | |
Exponential riskexponential |
A hazard is exponential when its growth or diffusion is self-accelerating, through compounding technology capability, contagion, network effects or reinforcing feedback, so that its scale can outrun linear planning and response. | |
Frontier technology riskfrontier-tech |
A hazard is frontier-tech when it arises from frontier or fast-advancing technology, through accident, misuse, unintended system behaviour or structural effects of its deployment. |
indicator domains
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
MacroeconomyMAC |
Output, prices, external position and monetary conditions of an economy. | |
Fiscal and public debtFIS |
Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities. | |
금융 시스템FIN |
Soundness, depth and vulnerabilities of banks, non-banks, households, corporates and markets, including climate-related financial risk. | |
기후CLI |
Physical climate hazards and trends, emissions and transition exposure, and adaptation readiness. | |
Hazard and exposureHAZ |
Natural and technological hazard intensity, frequency and the people, assets and systems exposed, keyed to Hazard Standard. | |
보건HLT |
Disease burden, health-system capacity and health-security preparedness. | |
식량 시스템FOO |
Food availability, access, utilisation, stability and acute food insecurity. | |
물WAT |
Water availability, stress, access, quality and transboundary dependence. | |
에너지ENE |
Energy access, supply security, import dependence, diversity, reliability and transition. | |
인프라INF |
Critical infrastructure stock, condition, service continuity, connectivity and urban systems. | |
사이버와 디지털CYB |
Cyber-security commitment and capability, digital dependence and incident exposure. | |
거버넌스와 제도GOV |
Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity. | |
분쟁과 안보CON |
Organised violence, its deadliness, diffusion and civilian harm, militarisation and peace. | |
Social and human developmentSOC |
Poverty, inequality, education, gender, social protection and human development. | |
Demography and mobilityDEM |
Population size and structure, urbanisation, migration and forced displacement. | |
환경과 생물다양성ENV |
Pollution, ecosystem condition, land and biodiversity, and nature dependence. | |
Technology and frontierTEC |
Frontier technology capability, concentration and systemic technology risk (AI, biotech, space, quantum). | |
Coping capacity and resilienceCRS |
Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps. | |
Economic structure and tradeECO |
Trade openness, concentration and dependence, supply-chain exposure and economic complexity. | |
Space environmentSPC |
Space weather and the exposure of space-dependent services. |
Indicator Standard risk components
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
재해HAZARD |
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노출EXPOSURE |
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VulnerabilityVULNERABILITY |
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Coping capacityCOPING_CAPACITY |
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Adaptive capacityADAPTIVE_CAPACITY |
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대응RESPONSE |
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ImpactIMPACT |
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맥락CONTEXT |
systemic risk chain stages
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
재해HAZARD |
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노출EXPOSURE |
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VulnerabilityVULNERABILITY |
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ImpactIMPACT |
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LikelihoodLIKELIHOOD |
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리스크RISK |
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CapacityCAPACITY |
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대응RESPONSE |
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FinancingFINANCING |
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결과OUTCOME |
Method libraries
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
보편 수학 및 통계universal-mathematics-statistics |
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재해 과학hazard-science |
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노출 및 자산 인텔리전스exposure-asset-intelligence |
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취약성, 불안정성 및 회복력vulnerability-fragility-resilience |
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결과와 손실consequence-loss |
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대재해 리스크catastrophe-risk |
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네트워크, 의존성, 시스템 리스크network-dependency-systemic |
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금융 리스크financial-risk |
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보험과 재보험insurance-reinsurance |
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시장, 무역, 공급망market-trade-supply-chain |
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Sovereign, macroeconomic and development risksovereign-macro-development |
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정책, 규제, 거버넌스policy-regulation-governance |
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물 리스크water-risk |
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식량, 농업 및 수산food-agriculture-fisheries |
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에너지 리스크energy-risk |
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보건과 역학health-epidemiology |
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기후, 자연, 생물다양성climate-nature-biodiversity |
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Critical infrastructure and industrial riskcritical-infrastructure-industrial |
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사이버, AI, 프런티어 기술cyber-ai-frontier-tech |
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지정학, 분쟁 및 인간 안보geopolitical-conflict-human-security |
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사업, 프로그램 및 인프라 투자project-programme-infrastructure-investment |
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리스크 데이터risk-data |
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과학적 보증scientific-assurance |
The twenty functional system classes
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
NXS-CMD (Integrated posture and executive synthesis)executive-synthesis |
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NXS-NST (Civilian common operating picture)common-operating-picture |
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NXS-DSS (Decision cases and deliberation)decision-support |
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NXS-COR (Compute, nodes and runtimes)compute-runtime |
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NXS-NXQ (Software, models and capability lifecycle)software-model-lifecycle |
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NXS-GRX (Canonical data, provenance and risk)risk-data-provenance |
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NXS-EOP (Earth observation and digital twins)earth-observation-twins |
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NXS-EWS (Multi-hazard monitoring and warning)monitoring-warning |
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NXS-AAP (Anticipatory action and triggers)anticipatory-action |
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NXS-NET (Network topology and continuity)network-continuity |
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NXS-OPS (Instruments, sensors and calibration)instruments-sensing |
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NXS-SIG (Signal, spectrum, timing and PNT)signal-timing-pnt |
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NXS-NSF (Trust, authorisation and assurance)trust-assurance |
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NXS-HUB (Knowledge, records and learning)knowledge-records |
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NXS-STU (Composition, dashboards and workflows)composition-workflow |
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NXS-FAC (Blueprints, builds and signing)build-signing |
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NXS-APP (Application catalogue and lifecycle)application-lifecycle |
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NXS-RLS (Participants, agreements and handoffs)participation-agreements |
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NXS-POR (Public, client and partner delivery)public-delivery |
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NXS-LAB (Research, experiments and simulations)research-simulation |
Nexus Universe platforms
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
Asset Management Nexusasset-management-nexus |
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Banking Nexusbanking-nexus |
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Biodiversity Nexusbiodiversity-nexus |
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Capital Markets Nexuscapital-markets-nexus |
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Capital Nexuscapital-nexus |
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Development Finance Nexusdevelopment-finance-nexus |
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Diplomacy Nexusdiplomacy-nexus |
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Energy Nexusenergy-nexus |
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Financial Regulation Nexusfinancial-regulation-nexus |
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Fintech Nexusfintech-nexus |
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Food Nexusfood-nexus |
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Foresight Nexusforesight-nexus |
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Governance Nexusgovernance-nexus |
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Health Nexushealth-nexus |
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Innovation Nexusinnovation-nexus |
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Institutional Funds Nexusinstitutional-funds-nexus |
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Insurance Nexusinsurance-nexus |
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Nexus Agencynexus-agency |
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Nexus Campaignsnexus-campaigns |
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Nexus Labsnexus-labs |
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Nexus Registrynexus-registry |
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Nexus Reportsnexus-reports |
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Policy Nexuspolicy-nexus |
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Private Equity Nexusprivate-equity-nexus |
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Research Nexusresearch-nexus |
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Sovereign Capital Nexussovereign-capital-nexus |
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Water Nexuswater-nexus |
Universe applied domain packs
| Node | Definition | 표준 |
|---|---|---|
Aviationaviation |
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해양maritime |
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Railrail |
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Roads mobilityroads-mobility |
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Transport logisticstransport-logistics |
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Ports trade corridorsports-trade-corridors |
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Cities urbancities-urban |
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Buildings housingbuildings-housing |
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Data centresdata-centers |
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반도체semiconductors |
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Telecom digital infrastructuretelecom-digital-infrastructure |
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Space satellitespace-satellite |
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Mining critical mineralsmining-critical-minerals |
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Manufacturing industrialmanufacturing-industrial |
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Chemicals processchemicals-process |
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Waste circular economywaste-circular-economy |
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Forests landforests-land |
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Oceans coastaloceans-coastal |
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Fisheries blue economyfisheries-blue-economy |
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Climate adaptationclimate-adaptation |
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Climate mitigation carbonclimate-mitigation-carbon |
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Disaster risk resiliencedisaster-risk-resilience |
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Humanitarian crisishumanitarian-crisis |
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Education workforceeducation-workforce |
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Digital governmentdigital-government |
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Public finance fiscal riskpublic-finance-fiscal-risk |
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Biotechnology bioeconomybiotechnology-bioeconomy |
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Quantum ecosystemquantum-ecosystem |
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Robotics autonomyrobotics-autonomy |
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Ai national adoptionai-national-adoption |
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Cyber national resiliencecyber-national-resilience |
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Nuclear fusionnuclear-fusion |
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Hydrogen storagehydrogen-storage |
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Agriculture ruralagriculture-rural |
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Health infrastructurehealth-infrastructure |
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핵심 인프라critical-infrastructure |
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Research infrastructureresearch-infrastructure |
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Supply chain tradesupply-chain-trade |
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Community local resiliencecommunity-local-resilience |
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Islands small statesislands-small-states |
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Arctic polararctic-polar |
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Cross border basinscross-border-basins |
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Industrial decarbonisationindustrial-decarbonization |
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Construction infrastructure deliveryconstruction-infrastructure-delivery |
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Emergency communicationsemergency-communications |
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Food supply chainsfood-supply-chains |
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Pharmaceutical medical supplypharmaceutical-medical-supply |
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Financial system resiliencefinancial-system-resilience |
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Nature finance projectsnature-finance-projects |
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Sovereign compute ai infrastructuresovereign-compute-ai-infrastructure |
Propose a change to the taxonomy
The taxonomy is a proposal under the standards development process.
상태
Global Risks Index의 방법론, 구조, 정의는 검토와 의견 수렴을 위해 배포된 예비 작업 초안(2026)이며 이행용이 아닙니다. 관리되는 근거 마감에 따라 판이 공개되기 전까지는 어떠한 값도 표시되지 않으며, 공개 후 값에는 구간, 등급, 출처, 정정 경로가 함께 표시됩니다. 시뮬레이터는 귀하가 선택한 숫자에 공개된 방법을 적용할 뿐이며 NXS-GRX 값을 표시하지 않습니다.
NXS-GRX가 아닌 것
NXS-GRX는 연구 및 리스크 분석 정보입니다. 신용등급이나 ESG 등급이 아니며 등급 척도를 사용하지 않고, 금융상품의 벤치마크도, 공식 통계도, 긴급 경보나 공식 분류도, 자문도 아닙니다. 자연인 평가에 사용해서는 안 됩니다. 리스크 등급은 공개된 척도 위의 구간이며, 국가나 사람의 순위가 결코 아닙니다.
기관과 출처
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
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Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.