Stewarded in the open
Three independent stewards, a published review path, a public correction log and a right of reply for every country.
Three independent stewards
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
GCRI Canada
증거, 방법, 리스크 온톨로지, 데이터 규율, 검증 가능한 기록과 정정.
글로벌 리스크 포럼(The Global Risks Forum)
리더십, 기관 간 대화, Nexus Universe 관리. 프로그램 관문 G0~G7을 기록합니다.
글로벌 리스크 얼라이언스(The Global Risks Alliance)
금융, 보험 및 개발 준비도. 리스크 증거는 실사 자료가 될 뿐, 결코 승인이나 거래가 되지 않습니다.
Review and release
Each edition passes method review, data and licence review, the public-safe screen and steward review; an independent statistical audit reviews each major methodology version.
Review gates in the release workflow
The audit and steward gates hold the run until the named reviewers record a disposition.
Edition release: review gates
End to end on the longest path: about 20.9 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.
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Evidence cut frozenCut · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hourInput vintages pinnedNXS-GRX 실행 서비스PostgreSQL 원장(행 수준 보안)
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라이선스 관문Ingest · Licence register · 1 hourAdmitted, isolated or withheld라이선스 등록부
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Harmonise matrix · 150 sourcesIngest · NXS-GRX run service · 6 hoursUnits, areas, timeNXS-GRX 실행 서비스지표 표준
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Indicators matrix · 451 × 195Indicators · NXS-GRX run service · 4 hoursDerivations, flagged imputationNXS-GRX 실행 서비스지표 표준
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Sub-indices matrix · 86Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hourNormalise, weight, aggregateNXS-GRX 실행 서비스시험을 거친 모델 커널
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Domain indices matrix · 20Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour20개 영역 지수NXS-GRX 실행 서비스시험을 거친 모델 커널
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Coupling scoreIndices · NXS-GRX run service · 2 hoursDebtRank, clearing, cascades의존 네트워크시험을 거친 모델 커널
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1,000 Monte Carlo draws matrix · 1,000Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 3 hoursWeights, normalisation, aggregation, imputation몬테카를로 엔진
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Intervals, classes, SobolUncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour90% intervals · Class probabilities · Sensitivity몬테카를로 엔진
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Statistical audit approvalReview · Independent reviewer · 10 daysCoherence, stability시험을 거친 모델 커널
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Steward review approvalReview · Stewards · 10 daysMethod, evidence, public-safe screenPostgreSQL 원장(행 수준 보안)
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Profiles and series matrix · 195 + 59Publish · Foundry · 2 hoursPublished with intervalsPublic cut APINS-1 UNI catalogue
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Tiles and bulk filesPublish · Foundry · 2 hoursISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3 · Deposit with DOI벡터 타일Zenodo 기탁
| 산출물 | 작업 | 담당 | 단계 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut record | Evidence cut frozen | NXS-GRX 실행 서비스 | Cut |
| Withheld counts | 라이선스 관문 | 라이선스 등록부 | Ingest |
| HAR series | Harmonise | NXS-GRX 실행 서비스 | Ingest |
| IND values | 지표 | NXS-GRX 실행 서비스 | 지표 |
| SUB values | Sub-indices | NXS-GRX 실행 서비스 | 지수 |
| IDX values | 영역 지수 | NXS-GRX 실행 서비스 | 지수 |
| S per country | Coupling score | NXS-GRX 실행 서비스 | 지수 |
| Draw set with seed | 1,000 Monte Carlo draws | 몬테카를로 엔진 | 불확실성 |
| Uncertainty report | Intervals, classes, Sobol | 몬테카를로 엔진 | 불확실성 |
| Audit note | Statistical audit | Independent reviewer | 검토 |
| Release decision | Steward review | 관리 주체 | 검토 |
| 판 | Profiles and series | Foundry | 공개 |
| 타일 | Tiles and bulk files | Foundry | 공개 |
| DOI | Tiles and bulk files | Foundry | 공개 |
Integrity rules
Declared interests
Conflict-of-interest declarations for every reviewer and contributor of values.
No outside edits
No party, funder or provider can change a value outside the published method and correction process.
반론권
Country right of reply and a public correction log.
Do no harm
Sensitive outputs (conflict, famine, biosecurity) pass a do-no-harm screen; publication can be delayed or generalised where detail could cause harm.
Replication
Methods, seeds and digests published for replication.
권한이 아닌 정보
NXS-GRX makes risk visible without making it officially rated; makes disaster risk reduction actionable for learning without issuing commands; makes disaster risk finance questions readable without creating finance or insurance execution; makes intelligence useful without creating public warnings; and makes frontier technology risks structured without certifying anything.
Benchmark principles, applied voluntarily
The index is not a regulated financial benchmark. It applies the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks (2013) voluntarily, because people use risk indices to make financial decisions.
| 면적 | Principle | How the index meets it | 상태 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 거버넌스 | 1 · Overall responsibility | The three stewards hold responsibility for every stage, from evidence cut to correction; GCRI acts as Lead Institution and Consortium Secretariat. | In place |
| 거버넌스 | 2 · Oversight of third parties | Technology, infrastructure and service providers act at arm’s length and cannot change a value outside the published method. | In place |
| 거버넌스 | 3 · Conflicts of interest | Reviewers and contributors declare interests; funders and providers have no role in determinations. A public register of declarations opens with the first edition. | Designed |
| 거버넌스 | 4 · Control framework | Each edition runs as a workflow with method, data, licence, public-safe and steward gates that hold the run until a named reviewer records a disposition. | In place |
| 거버넌스 | 5 · Internal oversight | Steward review of every edition; an independent statistical audit of each major method version, its auditor to be appointed. | Stewards to decide |
| Quality of the index | 6 · Design | The method documents what each index measures, its polarity, aggregation and limits, with intervals instead of league tables. | In place |
| Quality of the index | 7 · Data sufficiency | Coverage thresholds per value, imputation flagged and capped, withheld values counted and stated. | In place |
| Quality of the index | 8 · Hierarchy of inputs | Registered sources only, each admitted on its own licence; official statistics first, then peer-reviewed and open research products, each labelled. | In place |
| Quality of the index | 9 · Transparency of determinations | Every value opens to its indicators, sources, method version and correction log. | In place |
| Quality of the index | 10 · Periodic review | An annual method review with an open consultation; every comment receives a disposition. | Designed |
| Quality of the method | 11 · Content of the method | The full method is published: construction steps, aggregation, imputation, classes, uncertainty and validation. | In place |
| Quality of the method | 12 · Changes to the method | Proposal, public consultation of at least 30 days, disposition, semantic version and notice before the change takes effect. | Designed |
| Quality of the method | 13 · Transition and cessation | A discontinued indicator or series is announced with its replacement, overlap period and back-cast where inputs allow. | Designed |
| Quality of the method | 14 · Contributor code of conduct | Contributions arrive through structured forms with licence, provenance and declarations; contributors keep their rights. | In place |
| Quality of the method | 15 · Controls over data collection | Licence gate, provenance on every record, frozen inputs per vintage and build checks that fail on drift. | In place |
| 책무성 | 16 · Complaints | Right of reply and correction requests through a public form, acknowledged, reviewed and published with their effect on any value. | In place |
| 책무성 | 17 · Audits | External audit of the method and its application, scope and auditor to be decided by the stewards. | Stewards to decide |
| 책무성 | 18 · Audit trail | Vintages, provenance, the release workflow record and the correction log are kept for every edition. | In place |
| 책무성 | 19 · Cooperation with authorities | The index is not a regulated benchmark; records are available to competent authorities on request. | In place |
Policies a user of the index can rely on
Conflicts of interest
Every reviewer, contributor of values and working-group member declares funding, employment and holdings. A declared conflict excludes that person from the determination it touches.
Complaints and right of reply
Anyone can ask for a correction, and a national authority can file a reply, through the form on this page. Each request is acknowledged, reviewed in public and published with its outcome.
Revisions and restatements
Values are never revised silently. A correction creates a new vintage, states what changed and why, and keeps the earlier vintage retrievable.
Method changes
A change is proposed, consulted on for at least 30 days, answered, versioned and announced before it takes effect, with a back-cast where inputs allow.
Transition and cessation
An indicator or series that has to stop is announced with its replacement and an overlap period, so users can move without a break.
Use in decisions and contracts
The index informs judgement; it is not investment advice and not intended as a reference rate in contracts. Users remain responsible for how they use it.
AI 사용
AI assists drafting, coding and quality checks; every published value is computed by declared kernels from governed inputs, and AI-assisted text is reviewed and disclosed. No value is generated by a language model.
Right of reply and correction request
A national authority, institution or person concerned asks for a correction or files a reply; it is reviewed in public and recorded with its effect on any value.
- 01작성하기(필수)로 표시된 항목은 반드시 입력해야 하며, 나머지 항목은 검토에 도움이 됩니다.
- 02참조 번호화면에 참조 번호가 표시됩니다. 기록은 이 사이트의 WordPress 데이터베이스에 보관됩니다.
- 03검토결과는 공개적으로 기록됩니다. 연락처 정보는 이 사이트에만 보관되며 공개되거나 공유되지 않습니다.
이 양식은 활성화되면 여기에서 열립니다. 그때까지는 다음 창구를 통해 보내 주십시오: Nexus Reports 게이트웨이.
오류 신고
Every correction is reviewed in public and logged with its effect on each value.
상태
Global Risks Index의 방법론, 구조, 정의는 검토와 의견 수렴을 위해 배포된 예비 작업 초안(2026)이며 이행용이 아닙니다. 관리되는 근거 마감에 따라 판이 공개되기 전까지는 어떠한 값도 표시되지 않으며, 공개 후 값에는 구간, 등급, 출처, 정정 경로가 함께 표시됩니다. 시뮬레이터는 귀하가 선택한 숫자에 공개된 방법을 적용할 뿐이며 NXS-GRX 값을 표시하지 않습니다.
NXS-GRX가 아닌 것
NXS-GRX는 연구 및 리스크 분석 정보입니다. 신용등급이나 ESG 등급이 아니며 등급 척도를 사용하지 않고, 금융상품의 벤치마크도, 공식 통계도, 긴급 경보나 공식 분류도, 자문도 아닙니다. 자연인 평가에 사용해서는 안 됩니다. 리스크 등급은 공개된 척도 위의 구간이며, 국가나 사람의 순위가 결코 아닙니다.
기관과 출처
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
모든 값에는 출처 표시가 함께 제공되며, 각 출처는 고유한 라이선스를 유지합니다. 외부 명칭은 상호운용성을 위해서만 인용됩니다. Nexus가 작성한 텍스트는 공개 시 CC BY 4.0 적용을 예정합니다.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.