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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Governance

Stewarded in the open

Three independent stewards, a published review path, a public correction log and a right of reply for every country.

Review and release
पृष्ठ GRX-GOVसंस्करण आधार-रेखा संस्करण 2026साक्ष्य समापन 2026-09-30मान अभी प्रकाशित नहींपद्धति v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Lifecycle of a value
मसौदापरिकलितसाक्ष्य-बद्धसमीक्षितरिलीज़ के लिए स्वीकृतप्रकाशितसुधारा गयाअधिक्रमित
3
independent stewards
8
lifecycle states
195
rights of reply
1
public correction log

01संरक्षक

Three independent stewards

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

साक्ष्य और विधियाँ

GCRI Canada

साक्ष्य, विधियाँ, जोखिम ऑन्टोलॉजी, डेटा अनुशासन, सत्यापन योग्य रिकॉर्ड और सुधार।

नेतृत्व और वार्षिक कार्यक्रम

वैश्विक जोखिम मंच (The Global Risks Forum)

नेतृत्व, संस्थागत संवाद और Nexus Universe का संरक्षण। यह कार्यक्रम द्वार G0 से G7 दर्ज करता है।

वित्त तत्परता

वैश्विक जोखिम गठबंधन (The Global Risks Alliance)

वित्त, बीमा और विकास तैयारी। जोखिम साक्ष्य सम्यक जाँच सामग्री बनता है, कभी स्वीकृति या लेन-देन नहीं।

02समीक्षा

Review and release

Each edition passes method review, data and licence review, the public-safe screen and steward review; an independent statistical audit reviews each major methodology version.

मसौदापरिकलितसाक्ष्य-बद्धसमीक्षितरिलीज़ के लिए स्वीकृतप्रकाशितसुधारा गयाअधिक्रमित
03Release run

Review gates in the release workflow

The audit and steward gates hold the run until the named reviewers record a disposition.

on: evidence cut

Edition release: review gates

In progressTriggered by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run service13 jobs2 approval gates6 matrix jobs

ग्राफ़
01Cut
02Ingest
03Ingest
04संकेतक
05सूचकांक
06सूचकांक
07सूचकांक
08अनिश्चितता
09अनिश्चितता
10समीक्षा
11समीक्षा
12प्रकाशित करें

100%
समयरेखा
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 dTarget
Evidence cut frozenNXS-GRX run service1 h
Licence gateLicence register1 h
HarmoniseNXS-GRX run service6 h
IndicatorsNXS-GRX run service4 h
Sub-indicesNXS-GRX run service1 h
Domain indicesNXS-GRX run service1 h
Coupling scoreNXS-GRX run service2 h
1,000 Monte Carlo drawsMonte Carlo engine3 h
Intervals, classes, SobolMonte Carlo engine1 h
Statistical auditIndependent reviewer10 d
Steward reviewStewards10 d
Profiles and seriesFoundry2 h
Tiles and bulk filesFoundry2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 20.9 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

चरण
  1. Evidence cut frozen

    Cut · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Input vintages pinned
    NXS-GRX रन सेवाPostgreSQL खाता-बही (पंक्ति-स्तरीय सुरक्षा)
  2. लाइसेंस द्वार

    Ingest · Licence register · 1 hour
    Admitted, isolated or withheld
    लाइसेंस रजिस्टर
  3. Harmonise matrix · 150 sources

    Ingest · NXS-GRX run service · 6 hours
    Units, areas, time
    NXS-GRX रन सेवासंकेतक मानक
  4. Indicators matrix · 451 × 195

    Indicators · NXS-GRX run service · 4 hours
    Derivations, flagged imputation
    NXS-GRX रन सेवासंकेतक मानक
  5. Sub-indices matrix · 86

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Normalise, weight, aggregate
    NXS-GRX रन सेवापरीक्षित मॉडल कर्नेल
  6. Domain indices matrix · 20

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    बीस क्षेत्र सूचकांक
    NXS-GRX रन सेवापरीक्षित मॉडल कर्नेल
  7. Coupling score

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 2 hours
    DebtRank, clearing, cascades
    निर्भरता नेटवर्कपरीक्षित मॉडल कर्नेल
  8. 1,000 Monte Carlo draws matrix · 1,000

    Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 3 hours
    Weights, normalisation, aggregation, imputation
    मोंटे कार्लो इंजन
  9. Intervals, classes, Sobol

    Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour
    90% intervals · Class probabilities · Sensitivity
    मोंटे कार्लो इंजन
  10. Statistical audit approval

    Review · Independent reviewer · 10 days
    Coherence, stability
    परीक्षित मॉडल कर्नेल
  11. Steward review approval

    Review · Stewards · 10 days
    Method, evidence, public-safe screen
    PostgreSQL खाता-बही (पंक्ति-स्तरीय सुरक्षा)
  12. Profiles and series matrix · 195 + 59

    Publish · Foundry · 2 hours
    Published with intervals
    Public cut APINS-1 UNI catalogue
  13. Tiles and bulk files

    Publish · Foundry · 2 hours
    ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3 · Deposit with DOI
    वेक्टर टाइलेंZenodo जमा
परिणाम
कृति कार्य कौन चरण
Cut record Evidence cut frozen NXS-GRX रन सेवा Cut
Withheld counts लाइसेंस द्वार लाइसेंस रजिस्टर Ingest
HAR series Harmonise NXS-GRX रन सेवा Ingest
IND values संकेतक NXS-GRX रन सेवा संकेतक
SUB values Sub-indices NXS-GRX रन सेवा सूचकांक
IDX values क्षेत्र सूचकांक NXS-GRX रन सेवा सूचकांक
S per country Coupling score NXS-GRX रन सेवा सूचकांक
Draw set with seed 1,000 Monte Carlo draws मोंटे कार्लो इंजन अनिश्चितता
Uncertainty report Intervals, classes, Sobol मोंटे कार्लो इंजन अनिश्चितता
Audit note Statistical audit Independent reviewer समीक्षा
Release decision Steward review संरक्षक समीक्षा
संस्करण Profiles and series Foundry प्रकाशित करें
टाइलें Tiles and bulk files Foundry प्रकाशित करें
DOI Tiles and bulk files Foundry प्रकाशित करें
पूर्णप्रगति मेंअनुमोदन की प्रतीक्षा मेंकतार मेंअनुमोदन गेटमैट्रिक्स कार्यआप यहाँ हैं
From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
04सत्यनिष्ठा

Integrity rules

Declared interests

Conflict-of-interest declarations for every reviewer and contributor of values.

No outside edits

No party, funder or provider can change a value outside the published method and correction process.

उत्तर का अधिकार

Country right of reply and a public correction log.

Do no harm

Sensitive outputs (conflict, famine, biosecurity) pass a do-no-harm screen; publication can be delayed or generalised where detail could cause harm.

Replication

Methods, seeds and digests published for replication.

05सीमाएँ

सूचना, अधिकार नहीं

NXS-GRX makes risk visible without making it officially rated; makes disaster risk reduction actionable for learning without issuing commands; makes disaster risk finance questions readable without creating finance or insurance execution; makes intelligence useful without creating public warnings; and makes frontier technology risks structured without certifying anything.

06Benchmark

Benchmark principles, applied voluntarily

The index is not a regulated financial benchmark. It applies the IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks (2013) voluntarily, because people use risk indices to make financial decisions.

क्षेत्रफल Principle How the index meets it स्थिति
शासन 1 · Overall responsibility The three stewards hold responsibility for every stage, from evidence cut to correction; GCRI acts as Lead Institution and Consortium Secretariat. In place
शासन 2 · Oversight of third parties Technology, infrastructure and service providers act at arm’s length and cannot change a value outside the published method. In place
शासन 3 · Conflicts of interest Reviewers and contributors declare interests; funders and providers have no role in determinations. A public register of declarations opens with the first edition. Designed
शासन 4 · Control framework Each edition runs as a workflow with method, data, licence, public-safe and steward gates that hold the run until a named reviewer records a disposition. In place
शासन 5 · Internal oversight Steward review of every edition; an independent statistical audit of each major method version, its auditor to be appointed. Stewards to decide
Quality of the index 6 · Design The method documents what each index measures, its polarity, aggregation and limits, with intervals instead of league tables. In place
Quality of the index 7 · Data sufficiency Coverage thresholds per value, imputation flagged and capped, withheld values counted and stated. In place
Quality of the index 8 · Hierarchy of inputs Registered sources only, each admitted on its own licence; official statistics first, then peer-reviewed and open research products, each labelled. In place
Quality of the index 9 · Transparency of determinations Every value opens to its indicators, sources, method version and correction log. In place
Quality of the index 10 · Periodic review An annual method review with an open consultation; every comment receives a disposition. Designed
Quality of the method 11 · Content of the method The full method is published: construction steps, aggregation, imputation, classes, uncertainty and validation. In place
Quality of the method 12 · Changes to the method Proposal, public consultation of at least 30 days, disposition, semantic version and notice before the change takes effect. Designed
Quality of the method 13 · Transition and cessation A discontinued indicator or series is announced with its replacement, overlap period and back-cast where inputs allow. Designed
Quality of the method 14 · Contributor code of conduct Contributions arrive through structured forms with licence, provenance and declarations; contributors keep their rights. In place
Quality of the method 15 · Controls over data collection Licence gate, provenance on every record, frozen inputs per vintage and build checks that fail on drift. In place
जवाबदेही 16 · Complaints Right of reply and correction requests through a public form, acknowledged, reviewed and published with their effect on any value. In place
जवाबदेही 17 · Audits External audit of the method and its application, scope and auditor to be decided by the stewards. Stewards to decide
जवाबदेही 18 · Audit trail Vintages, provenance, the release workflow record and the correction log are kept for every edition. In place
जवाबदेही 19 · Cooperation with authorities The index is not a regulated benchmark; records are available to competent authorities on request. In place
07नीतियाँ

Policies a user of the index can rely on

Conflicts

Conflicts of interest

Every reviewer, contributor of values and working-group member declares funding, employment and holdings. A declared conflict excludes that person from the determination it touches.

शिकायतें

Complaints and right of reply

Anyone can ask for a correction, and a national authority can file a reply, through the form on this page. Each request is acknowledged, reviewed in public and published with its outcome.

Revisions

Revisions and restatements

Values are never revised silently. A correction creates a new vintage, states what changed and why, and keeps the earlier vintage retrievable.

परिवर्तन

Method changes

A change is proposed, consulted on for at least 30 days, answered, versioned and announced before it takes effect, with a back-cast where inputs allow.

Cessation

Transition and cessation

An indicator or series that has to stop is announced with its replacement and an overlap period, so users can move without a break.

उपयोग करें

Use in decisions and contracts

The index informs judgement; it is not investment advice and not intended as a reference rate in contracts. Users remain responsible for how they use it.

08AI

एआई का उपयोग

AI assists drafting, coding and quality checks; every published value is computed by declared kernels from governed inputs, and AI-assisted text is reviewed and disclosed. No value is generated by a language model.

फ़ॉर्म

Right of reply and correction request

A national authority, institution or person concerned asks for a correction or files a reply; it is reviewed in public and recorded with its effect on any value.

  1. 01भरें(आवश्यक) चिह्नित फ़ील्ड भरना ज़रूरी है; बाकी सब समीक्षा में मदद करता है।
  2. 02संदर्भआपको स्क्रीन पर एक संदर्भ संख्या मिलती है; रिकॉर्ड इस साइट के WordPress डेटाबेस में रखा जाता है।
  3. 03समीक्षापरिणाम सार्वजनिक रूप से दर्ज किया जाता है। संपर्क विवरण इसी साइट पर रहते हैं और कभी प्रकाशित या साझा नहीं किए जाते।
Form · grx-reply

यह फ़ॉर्म चालू होते ही यहाँ खुलेगा। तब तक इसे इस माध्यम से भेजें: Nexus Reports गेटवे.

त्रुटि की रिपोर्ट करें

Every correction is reviewed in public and logged with its effect on each value.

Send a correction

स्थिति

The Global Risks Index की पद्धति, संरचना और परिभाषाएँ एक प्रारंभिक कार्यकारी मसौदा (2026) हैं, जो समीक्षा और टिप्पणी के लिए परिचालित हैं, कार्यान्वयन के लिए नहीं। किसी शासित साक्ष्य कटौती से संस्करण जारी होने तक कोई मान प्रकट नहीं होता; तब मानों के साथ अंतराल, वर्ग, स्रोत और उनका सुधार मार्ग होता है। सिम्युलेटर आपके चुने हुए अंकों पर प्रकाशित पद्धतियाँ चलाते हैं और कभी कोई NXS-GRX मान नहीं दिखाते।

NXS-GRX क्या नहीं है

NXS-GRX अनुसंधान और जोखिम-विश्लेषण की सूचना है। यह क्रेडिट या ESG रेटिंग नहीं है और किसी रेटिंग पैमाने का उपयोग नहीं करता। यह वित्तीय लिखतों का बेंचमार्क नहीं है, आधिकारिक सांख्यिकी नहीं है, आपातकालीन चेतावनी या आधिकारिक वर्गीकरण नहीं है और सलाह नहीं है। इसका उपयोग प्राकृतिक व्यक्तियों के मूल्यांकन के लिए नहीं किया जाना चाहिए। जोखिम वर्ग प्रकाशित पैमाने के बैंड हैं, देशों या व्यक्तियों की रैंकिंग कभी नहीं।

संस्थान और स्रोत

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

प्रत्येक मान के साथ उसके स्रोतों का श्रेय होता है, जो अपने लाइसेंस बनाए रखते हैं। बाहरी नाम केवल अंतरसंचालनीयता के लिए उद्धृत किए गए हैं। Nexus द्वारा लिखित पाठ जारी होने पर CC BY 4.0 के अंतर्गत होना अभिप्रेत है।

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.