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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · 26 journeys

Every journey, as a run you can follow

Each action on NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) is a workflow with named jobs, the people who act, the technology each job runs on, the checks it must pass and the gates where it waits for review.

Build an index Platform
페이지 GRX-JRN판 2026 기준판근거 마감 2026-09-30값 미게시방법 v1.0.0-draft

on: scenario run requested

시나리오 또는 스트레스 테스트 실행

In progressTriggered by Risk analyst7 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

그래프
01Design
02Design
03Run
04Propagate
05읽기
06읽기

100%
타임라인
Job0 h10 h20 h30 h40 h50 hTarget
Choose the scenario familyYouinstant
Configure shocks and horizonYouinstant
Model runsModel Lab3 h
Coupling propagationDependency network1 h
Tail and exceedanceModel Lab1 h
Results and driversYouinstant
Analyst sign-offYour reviewer2 d

End to end on the longest path: about 2.2 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

단계
  1. Choose the scenario family

    Design · You · instant
    Warming, socio-economic or transition families · Or a structured shock: fiscal, compound hazard, supply
    Model Lab
  2. Configure shocks and horizon

    Design · You · self-serve
    Shock size, timing and entry points · Horizon to 2030, 2050 or 2100
    Model LabTested model kernels
  3. Model runs matrix · entities × scenarios × draws

    Run · Model Lab · 3 hours
    Kernels from the method library · Seeds recorded per run
    Model LabTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
  4. Coupling propagation

    Propagate · Dependency network · 1 hour
    DebtRank and threshold cascades · Cross-border spillovers
    의존 네트워크시험을 거친 모델 커널
  5. Tail and exceedance

    Propagate · Model Lab · 1 hour
    Exceedance curves · 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 losses · Expected shortfall
    몬테카를로 엔진
  6. Results and drivers

    Read · You · instant
    Fan charts against class bounds · Driver decomposition · Export with citation
    Model LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
  7. Analyst sign-off approval

    Read · Your reviewer · 2 days
    Assumptions and limits recorded
    PostgreSQL 원장(행 수준 보안)
산출물
산출물 작업 담당 단계
Scenario spec Choose the scenario family 나 Design
Run configuration Configure shocks and horizon 나 Design
Run record with seed and digest Model runs Model Lab Run
Cascade paths Coupling propagation 의존 네트워크 Propagate
Tail report Tail and exceedance Model Lab Propagate
Results pack Results and drivers 나 읽기
Sign-off Analyst sign-off Your reviewer 읽기
완료진행 중승인 대기 중대기 중승인 게이트매트릭스 작업현재 위치
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
26
journeys
179
jobs
27
approval gates
57
checks

01둘러보기

Read profiles, maps and series; find the indicator or hazard behind a value.

NXS-GRX · Govern

정정 제출

A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

API 요청 한 번

What happens to a single public request, from the edge to an attributed, licence-filtered response. 6 jobs.

Open the run

02구축

Compose a custom index, fuse your data, or build an application on the open API.

NXS-GRX Indices · Build

Index Studio에서 맞춤 지수 구축

Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Build

자체 데이터 사용

Fuse your own data with NXS-GRX in a private scope: mapped to Indicator Standard, quality-checked and never shared outside your tenant. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Build

공개 API로 구축

Free access to the open cut for applications, research, agents and newsrooms, with licences and attribution resolved for you. 5 jobs.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Build

위성 영상에서 지도화된 리스크 제품까지

Search imagery, pass the licence gate, make scenes comparable, detect change, put exposure on H3 cells and publish a spatial risk product as tiles, with every scene and source in its lineage. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run

03모델링

Run scenarios, stress tests, tails and cascades on the method library.

Models of the Index · Model

시나리오 또는 스트레스 테스트 실행

Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run Models of the Index · Model

모수형 트리거 설계

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Model

리스크 엔진으로 리스크 인텔리전스 제품 구성

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. 10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run

04시험

Backtest, verify, run sensitivity and reproduce any value from its seed and digest.

Models of the Index · Test

모델 시험 및 검증

Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Indices · Test

어떤 값이든 재현

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.

Open the run

05Deploy

Move from sandbox to production, into a private tenant or a sovereign instance.

NXS-GRX · Govern

API 접근 요청

Institutional access to the NXS-GRX API with service levels, contracted with GCRI Canada. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Deploy

주권 인스턴스 배포

A NXS-GRX instance in national scope: national data stays in country, the national index is co-produced, and a public-safe cut is released only if the institution chooses. 7 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run

06Scale

Production throughput, streaming, webhooks and service levels.

NXS-GRX Platform · Scale

운영 규모로 확장

From sandbox to production traffic: load testing, keys, streaming and webhooks, with usage and service levels watched continuously. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Scale

포트폴리오 또는 공급망 검토

Locations, assets, suppliers or sovereign exposures matched and overlaid with hazard, country and coupling layers, then read as a portfolio posture. 6 jobs · 3 checks.

Open the run

07Monitor

Watchlists, Pulse, outlooks and analyst-reviewed briefings.

NXS-GRX · Govern

검토를 위한 신호

How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

관심 목록과 알림으로 모니터링

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

동향 탐색 및 브리핑

Emerging risks found, scored for likelihood and impact with uncertainty, and turned into a briefing after review. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

08거버넌스

Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.

NXS-GRX · Govern

국가 반론권

A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

데이터셋 제공

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

맞춤 지수 의뢰

A sector, portfolio, city or project index built on the Indicator Standard grammar with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

국가 지수 공동 개발

A national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope. 7 jobs · 2 gates.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

시나리오 패키지 요청

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

판 발행 실행

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

전문 검토자 되기

Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Govern

센다이 및 SDG 목표에 대한 보고

Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks.

Open the run

Start a journey

The open commons is free; enterprise and public-sector journeys are agreed with the Secretariat.

Start free

상태

Global Risks Index의 방법론, 구조, 정의는 검토와 의견 수렴을 위해 배포된 예비 작업 초안(2026)이며 이행용이 아닙니다. 관리되는 근거 마감에 따라 판이 공개되기 전까지는 어떠한 값도 표시되지 않으며, 공개 후 값에는 구간, 등급, 출처, 정정 경로가 함께 표시됩니다. 시뮬레이터는 귀하가 선택한 숫자에 공개된 방법을 적용할 뿐이며 NXS-GRX 값을 표시하지 않습니다.

NXS-GRX가 아닌 것

NXS-GRX는 연구 및 리스크 분석 정보입니다. 신용등급이나 ESG 등급이 아니며 등급 척도를 사용하지 않고, 금융상품의 벤치마크도, 공식 통계도, 긴급 경보나 공식 분류도, 자문도 아닙니다. 자연인 평가에 사용해서는 안 됩니다. 리스크 등급은 공개된 척도 위의 구간이며, 국가나 사람의 순위가 결코 아닙니다.

기관과 출처

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

모든 값에는 출처 표시가 함께 제공되며, 각 출처는 고유한 라이선스를 유지합니다. 외부 명칭은 상호운용성을 위해서만 인용됩니다. Nexus가 작성한 텍스트는 공개 시 CC BY 4.0 적용을 예정합니다.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.