Every journey, as a run you can follow
Each action on NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) is a workflow with named jobs, the people who act, the technology each job runs on, the checks it must pass and the gates where it waits for review.
运行情景或压力测试
End to end on the longest path: about 2.2 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.
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Choose the scenario familyDesign · You · instantWarming, socio-economic or transition families · Or a structured shock: fiscal, compound hazard, supplyModel Lab
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Configure shocks and horizonDesign · You · self-serveShock size, timing and entry points · Horizon to 2030, 2050 or 2100Model LabTested model kernels
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Model runs matrix · entities × scenarios × drawsRun · Model Lab · 3 hoursKernels from the method library · Seeds recorded per runModel LabTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
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Coupling propagationPropagate · Dependency network · 1 hourDebtRank and threshold cascades · Cross-border spillovers依赖网络经测试的模型内核
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Tail and exceedancePropagate · Model Lab · 1 hourExceedance curves · 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 losses · Expected shortfall蒙特卡罗引擎
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Results and driversRead · You · instantFan charts against class bounds · Driver decomposition · Export with citationModel LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
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Analyst sign-off approvalRead · Your reviewer · 2 daysAssumptions and limits recordedPostgreSQL 账本(行级安全)
| 产出物 | 作业 | 执行方 | 阶段 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario spec | Choose the scenario family | 您 | Design |
| Run configuration | Configure shocks and horizon | 您 | Design |
| Run record with seed and digest | Model runs | Model Lab | Run |
| Cascade paths | Coupling propagation | 依赖网络 | Propagate |
| Tail report | Tail and exceedance | Model Lab | Propagate |
| Results pack | Results and drivers | 您 | 阅读 |
| Sign-off | Analyst sign-off | Your reviewer | 阅读 |
Read profiles, maps and series; find the indicator or hazard behind a value.
提交更正
A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern一次 API 请求
What happens to a single public request, from the edge to an attributed, licence-filtered response. 6 jobs.
Open the run
Compose a custom index, fuse your data, or build an application on the open API.
在 Index Studio 中构建自定义指数
Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Data · Build使用您自己的数据
Fuse your own data with NXS-GRX in a private scope: mapped to Indicator Standard, quality-checked and never shared outside your tenant. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · Build基于开放 API 构建
Free access to the open cut for applications, research, agents and newsrooms, with licences and attribution resolved for you. 5 jobs.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Data · Build从卫星影像到绘制的风险产品
Search imagery, pass the licence gate, make scenes comparable, detect change, put exposure on H3 cells and publish a spatial risk product as tiles, with every scene and source in its lineage. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.
Open the run
Run scenarios, stress tests, tails and cascades on the method library.
运行情景或压力测试
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
Models of the Index · Model设计参数化触发条件
Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Intelligence · Model使用风险引擎组合风险情报产品
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. 10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
Backtest, verify, run sensitivity and reproduce any value from its seed and digest.
测试并验证模型
Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Indices · Test复现任意数值
Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.
Open the run
Move from sandbox to production, into a private tenant or a sovereign instance.
申请 API 访问权限
Institutional access to the NXS-GRX API with service levels, contracted with GCRI Canada. 6 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · Deploy部署主权实例
A NXS-GRX instance in national scope: national data stays in country, the national index is co-produced, and a public-safe cut is released only if the institution chooses. 7 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.
Open the run
Production throughput, streaming, webhooks and service levels.
扩展到生产环境
From sandbox to production traffic: load testing, keys, streaming and webhooks, with usage and service levels watched continuously. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Data · Scale筛查投资组合或供应链
Locations, assets, suppliers or sovereign exposures matched and overlaid with hazard, country and coupling layers, then read as a portfolio posture. 6 jobs · 3 checks.
Open the run
Watchlists, Pulse, outlooks and analyst-reviewed briefings.
供审查的信号
How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor通过关注列表和提醒进行监测
Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor前景扫描与简报
Emerging risks found, scored for likelihood and impact with uncertainty, and turned into a briefing after review. 6 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.
国家答复权
A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern提供数据集
A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern委托定制指数
A sector, portfolio, city or project index built on the Indicator Standard grammar with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. 7 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern共同开发国家指数
A national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope. 7 jobs · 2 gates.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern申请情景包
Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern版本发布运行
From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · Govern成为专家评审员
Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · Govern就仙台框架和 SDG 目标进行报告
Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks.
Open the run
Start a journey
The open commons is free; enterprise and public-sector journeys are agreed with the Secretariat.
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案(2026),供审阅和评论,不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前,不会出现任何数值;届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法,绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级,不使用任何评级尺度;它不是金融工具的基准,不是官方统计,不是紧急警报或官方分类,也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间,绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名,这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.