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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Intelligence · Model · on: product requested

使用风险引擎组合风险情报产品

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level.

Follow the run All journeys
页面 GRX-JRN-COMPOSE-PRODUCT版本 2026 基线版证据截止 2026-09-30就业 10数值 尚未发布方法 v1.0.0-draft
on: product requested · Compose a risk intelligence product with the risk engine10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks
  1. Resolve context instant
  2. Purpose and rights check automatic
  3. Discover capabilities instant
  4. Route by quality of intelligence instant
  5. Compile the DAG plan instant
  6. Run governed science operational
  7. Compose across domains instant
  8. Evidence and assurance gate automatic
  9. Project the product instant
  10. Lineage and correction continuous

01建模

使用风险引擎组合风险情报产品

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level.

on: product requested

使用风险引擎组合风险情报产品

In progressTriggered by You or your system10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job5 checks1 deployment

流程图
01背景
02背景
03Plan
04Plan
05Plan
06Run
07Run
08核查
09交付
10交付

100%
时间线
Job0 h1 hTarget
Resolve contextRisk engineinstant
Purpose and rights checkIdentity and policy authorityinstant
Discover capabilitiesRisk engineinstant
Route by quality of intelligenceRisk engineinstant
Compile the DAG planRisk engineinstant
Run governed scienceNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run serviceoperational
Compose across domainsRisk engineinstant
Evidence and assurance gateRisk engineinstant
Project the productRisk engineinstant
Lineage and correctionRisk enginecontinuous

End to end on the longest path: about 1.1 h of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. Resolve context

    Context · Risk engine · instant
    Place, time, asset or portfolio resolved to UNIs · Purpose and tenant scope bound to the request · Source assertions kept, never merged silently
    Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogue
  2. Purpose and rights check approval

    Context · Identity and policy authority · automatic
    Identity and purpose verified · Rights, sovereignty and disclosure policy applied · Refusal is typed, never silent
    FoundryLicence register
  3. Discover capabilities

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Capabilities found by stable ID and version, never by title · Implementation and release state read per capability · Held capabilities excluded
    风险引擎经测试的模型内核
  4. Route by quality of intelligence

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Paths scored on latency class and scientific assurance · Fastest path that meets the assurance asked for · Trade-off recorded
    风险引擎
  5. Compile the DAG plan

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Dependencies ordered topologically · Cycles refused · Plan versioned and hashed
    风险引擎NXS-GRX 运行服务
  6. Run governed science matrix ·

    Run · NXS-GRX run service · operational
    Each node runs on its bound kernel · Seeds, inputs and versions recorded · Failures stay failures
    NXS-GRX 运行服务经测试的模型内核蒙特卡罗引擎
  7. Compose across domains

    Run · Risk engine · instant
    Products joined on the risk product graph · Weakest assurance carried forward · Every upstream evidence reference kept
    风险引擎来源追溯（W3C PROV）
  8. Evidence and assurance gate

    Check · Risk engine · automatic
    Supported claim level never raised above its inputs · Missing evidence fails closed as INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE · High-reliance projections need complete evidence
    Verification engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
  9. Project the product

    Deliver · Risk engine · instant
    Scalar, table, series, distribution, features, network or evidence pack · Agent-context, feature-vector and compact forms · Each projection carries its UNI and lineage
    风险引擎公开截止数据 API矢量瓦片
  10. Lineage and correction

    Deliver · Risk engine · continuous
    Derivation and composition edges recorded · A superseded input marks every dependent product SUPERSEDED · Stale intelligence never stays current
    更正记录PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
Resolved context Resolve context 风险引擎 背景
Policy decision Purpose and rights check Identity and policy authority 背景
Capability set Discover capabilities 风险引擎 Plan
Route decision Route by quality of intelligence 风险引擎 Plan
Execution plan Compile the DAG plan 风险引擎 Plan
Upstream products Run governed science NXS-GRX 运行服务 Run
Composite product Compose across domains 风险引擎 Run
Assurance record Evidence and assurance gate 风险引擎 核查
Projection Project the product 风险引擎 交付
Lineage graph Lineage and correction 风险引擎 交付
Correction notices Lineage and correction 风险引擎 交付
已完成进行中等待批准QueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02面向谁

Solutions that use this journey

Open to every reader. This journey is part of the open commons and governance of NXS-GRX.
03技术

13 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogueFoundryLicence registerTested model kernelsNXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engineProvenance (W3C PROV)Verification enginePublic cut APIVector tilesCorrection logPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)

Part of NXS-GRX Intelligence: Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

联系

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.