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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Contribute

Contribute to the index

Correct a value, reply for a country, review a method, offer data or take part in the perception survey.

Contribute now Correction or reply Expert review
页面 GRX-CTB版本 2026 基线版证据截止 2026-09-30数值 尚未发布方法 v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · What happens to a contribution
ReceivedAcknowledgedTriagedReviewedDispositionLogged
6
ways to contribute
195
country rights of reply
20
indices open for review
7
instruments open for review

01贡献

Six ways to contribute

任何人

更正

Reviewed in public; logged with its effect on each value.

Governments and national institutions

答辩权

Published beside the profile with the review outcome.

任何人

Method comment

Answered in the methodology review record

Invited and volunteer experts

Expert review

Recorded with a conflict-of-interest declaration and credit

Data holders

数据提供

Registered, licence-checked, then used only as its licence admits.

Experts and the public

Perception survey

Feeds the Perception instrument only

02旅程

Follow your contribution

Choose what you are submitting to see every job it passes through and where it waits for people.

on: correction submitted

提交更正

In progressTriggered by You10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

流程图
01受理
02受理
03核实
04Recompute
05Recompute
06评审
07发布
08发布

100%
时间线
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 dTarget
Correction receivedYouinstant
AcknowledgedSecretariat2 d
TriageIndex editors5 d
Evidence checkData stewards5 d
Recompute dependent valuesNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run service1 d
What changed and whyNXS-GRX run service1 h
Steward reviewStewards10 d
Correction log entrySecretariat1 d
Propagate to profiles, tiles and APIFoundry1 h
Reply to youSecretariat1 d

End to end on the longest path: about 20 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. Correction received

    Intake · You · instant
    Page ID and value captured · Evidence and source attached · Contact for the reply
    NXS-GRX 网关
  2. Acknowledged

    Intake · Secretariat · 2 days
    Receipt sent · Request logged in the ledger
    NXS-GRX 网关PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  3. Triage

    Verify · Index editors · 5 days
    Scope: value, definition or method · Affected definitions resolved · Priority set
    PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）指标标准
  4. Evidence check

    Verify · Data stewards · 5 days
    Source release verified · Licence admits the use · Lineage traced to the value
    许可登记册来源追溯（W3C PROV）
  5. Recompute dependent values matrix · every dependent value

    Recompute · NXS-GRX run service · 1 day
    Dependency graph walked · Values recomputed with 1,000 draws · Intervals and classes updated
    NXS-GRX 运行服务经测试的模型内核蒙特卡罗引擎
  6. What changed and why

    Recompute · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Before and after per value · Driver decomposition
    NXS-GRX 运行服务来源追溯（W3C PROV）
  7. Steward review approval

    Review · Stewards · 10 days
    Method and evidence reviewed · Disposition recorded
    PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  8. Correction log entry

    Publish · Secretariat · 1 day
    Public log entry · Record version bumped
    Correction logNS-1 UNI catalogue
  9. Propagate to profiles, tiles and API

    Publish · Foundry · 1 hour
    Profiles republished · Tiles invalidated · API caches refreshed
    Public cut APIVector tilesAttribution service
  10. Reply to you

    Publish · Secretariat · 1 day
    Outcome and effect on each value
    NXS-GRX 网关
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
Request record GRX-REQ-… Correction received 您 受理
Acknowledgement Acknowledged 秘书处 受理
Triage note Triage 指数编辑 核实
证据记录 Evidence check 数据管理方 核实
Run record with seed and digest Recompute dependent values NXS-GRX 运行服务 Recompute
Change report What changed and why NXS-GRX 运行服务 Recompute
Disposition Steward review 管理方 评审
Correction GRX-COR-… Correction log entry 秘书处 发布
Release note Propagate to profiles, tiles and API Foundry 发布
答复 Reply to you 秘书处 发布
已完成进行中等待批准排队中审批关口矩阵作业当前位置
A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.

开启：国家机构提交答复时

国家答复权

进行中由国家机构触发7 个作业1 个审批关口1 个矩阵作业

流程图
01受理
02受理
03评审
04决定
05决定
06发布

100%
时间线
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 d25 dTarget
已收到答复国家机构即时
Institution verifiedSecretariat3 d
Evidence reviewData stewards10 d
Method reviewIndex editors10 d
Steward decisionStewards10 d
Recompute if acceptedNXS-GRX run service1 d
Reply published beside the profileSecretariat2 d

最长路径全程：按拟议目标服务水平约需 26 天。关口需等待指定人员处理；末端渐隐的条形没有固定时长。

步骤
  1. 已收到答复

    受理 · 国家机构 · 即时
    机构已识别 · 已附答复和证据
    NXS-GRX 网关
  2. 机构已核实

    受理 · 秘书处 · 3 天
    授权已核查 · 联系人已确认
    ORCID 和 RORPostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  3. 证据审查 矩阵 · 按所涉指标逐项

    审查 · 数据管理方 · 10 天
    每一点都对应到指标 · 来源已核查 · 许可协议允许该用途
    许可登记册来源追溯（W3C PROV）指标标准
  4. 方法审查

    审查 · 指数编辑 · 10 天
    方法问题已答复
    经测试的模型内核
  5. 管理方决定 审批

    决定 · 管理方 · 10 天
    接受、部分接受或维持原值 · 书面说明理由
    PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  6. 如获接受则重新计算

    决定 · NXS-GRX 运行服务 · 1 天
    相关数值已重新计算
    NXS-GRX 运行服务蒙特卡罗引擎
  7. 答复与概况并列发布

    发布 · 秘书处 · 2 天
    答复和结果公开 · 记录条目
    更正记录公开截止数据 API
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
请求记录 已收到答复 国家机构 受理
核实说明 机构已核实 秘书处 受理
证据记录 证据审查 数据管理方 评审
方法说明 方法审查 指数编辑 评审
决定 管理方决定 管理方 决定
运行记录 如获接受则重新计算 NXS-GRX 运行服务 决定
公开答复 答复与概况并列发布 秘书处 发布
已完成进行中等待批准排队中审批关口矩阵作业当前位置
政府或国家机构对概况作出答复；答复经公开审查后与概况并列发布。画布显示请求在所标记作业处的进度；仅作示意，并非真实请求的状态。时长为拟议的目标服务水平。选择一个作业，可查看其步骤、执行者、所用技术及产出。

on: dataset offered

提供数据集

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Data holder8 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

流程图
01受理
02受理
03权利
04Harmonise
05Quality
06Admit
07Admit

100%
时间线
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 d25 dTarget
Dataset offeredYouinstant
Source registeredData stewards3 d
Licence reviewCounsel15 d
Harmonise seriesNXS-GRX run service2 d
Map to indicatorsIndicator editors5 d
Quality checksNXS-GRX run service1 d
Admitted to the fabricFoundry1 d
Credit on every valueAttribution serviceinstant

End to end on the longest path: about 25 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. Dataset offered

    Intake · You · instant
    Description, coverage and licence
    NXS-GRX 网关
  2. Source registered

    Intake · Data stewards · 3 days
    Source record and UNI · Vintage and checksum
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)NS-1 UNI catalogue
  3. Licence review approval

    Rights · Counsel · 15 days
    Terms read · Public, isolated or restricted use decided
    许可登记册
  4. Harmonise series matrix · per series

    Harmonise · NXS-GRX run service · 2 days
    Units, areas and time aligned · No imputation
    NXS-GRX 运行服务指标标准
  5. Map to indicators

    Harmonise · Indicator editors · 5 days
    Crosswalks with relation and confidence
    指标标准
  6. Quality checks

    Quality · NXS-GRX run service · 1 day
    Coverage vector · Outliers and breaks · Evidence class
    NXS-GRX 运行服务来源追溯（W3C PROV）
  7. Admitted to the fabric

    Admit · Foundry · 1 day
    Available to the next evidence cut
    FoundryPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  8. Credit on every value

    Admit · Attribution service · automatic
    Attribution rows rendered
    Attribution service
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
Offer record Dataset offered 您 受理
Source record Source registered 数据管理方 受理
Register row Licence review Counsel 权利
HAR series Harmonise series NXS-GRX 运行服务 Harmonise
Crosswalk rows Map to indicators Indicator editors Harmonise
Quality report Quality checks NXS-GRX 运行服务 Quality
准入记录 Admitted to the fabric Foundry Admit
致谢 Credit on every value Attribution service Admit
已完成进行中等待批准排队中审批关口矩阵作业当前位置
A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.

on: reviewer application

成为专家评审员

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Expert5 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

流程图
01应用
02核查
03评审
04评审
05致谢

100%
时间线
Job0 d10 d20 d30 d40 dTarget
申请您即时
Conflict-of-interest declarationSecretariat5 d
AssignmentIndex editors5 d
ReviewYou30 d
CreditedSecretariatwith the edition

End to end on the longest path: about 44.8 d of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. 申请

    Apply · You · instant
    Expertise and ORCID
    NXS-GRX 网关ORCID 和 ROR
  2. Conflict-of-interest declaration approval

    Check · Secretariat · 5 days
    Interests declared and recorded
    PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  3. Assignment

    Review · Index editors · 5 days
    Index, instrument or region
    指标标准经测试的模型内核
  4. Review matrix · per item

    Review · You · 30 days
    Comments with evidence
    经测试的模型内核
  5. Credited

    Credit · Secretariat · with the edition
    CRediT role on the release
    ORCID 和 RORZenodo 存缴
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
申请 申请 您 应用
声明 Conflict-of-interest declaration 秘书处 核查
Assignment Assignment 指数编辑 评审
Review record 评审 您 评审
致谢 Credited 秘书处 致谢
已完成进行中等待批准排队中审批关口矩阵作业当前位置
Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03答复

Corrections and right of reply

Name the page ID (for example GRX-PRF-KEN), the value or definition, the evidence and its source. Every submission is acknowledged, triaged and given a recorded disposition; accepted corrections propagate to every dependent value.

04专家

Expert review

Reviewers are sought for every domain index, the instruments (nowcasting, forecast verification, scenario pathways, catastrophe modelling, network contagion) and every region. Review is credited and declared.

05数据

Data contributions

Data enters only through registered sources with a recorded licence. Contributors keep their rights; NXS-GRX uses data only as its licence admits and credits it on every value it reaches.

06致谢

Credit and licence

Contributors are credited by role (CRediT) with ORCID and ROR identifiers. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release; contributed material keeps its own licence.

表单

Contribute data, code, design or research

Structured intake for datasets, methods, code, designs, research and corrections, the way Nexus Reports expects them: deposit on Zenodo first, then send the DOI here.

  1. 01填写标有（必填）的字段为必填项；其余内容有助于审核。
  2. 02编号您会在屏幕上获得一个编号；记录保存在本网站的 WordPress 数据库中。
  3. 03评审结果会公开记录。联系方式保留在本网站，绝不会公开或共享。
Form · grx-contribute

This form opens here once it is switched on. Until then, send it through the Nexus Reports gateway, with your deposit on Zenodo.

Every contribution is answered

Acknowledged, triaged and given a recorded disposition, in public.

Open the form Nexus Reports gateway Zenodo

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

国家概况解读的是关于某地的公开证据。它不是任何政府的声明，也不是关于任何政府政策的声明；不对任何领土的地位表明立场，也不意味着存在国家计划或参与。名称遵循 UN M49。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.