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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Contribute

Contribute to the index

Correct a value, reply for a country, review a method, offer data or take part in the perception survey.

Contribute now Correction or reply Expert review
Page GRX-CTBEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · What happens to a contribution
ReceivedAcknowledgedTriagedReviewedDispositionLogged
6
ways to contribute
195
country rights of reply
20
indices open for review
7
instruments open for review

01Changia

Six ways to contribute

Anyone

Correction

Reviewed in public; logged with its effect on each value.

Governments and national institutions

Haki ya kujibu

Published beside the profile with the review outcome.

Anyone

Method comment

Answered in the methodology review record

Invited and volunteer experts

Expert review

Recorded with a conflict-of-interest declaration and credit

Data holders

Data offer

Registered, licence-checked, then used only as its licence admits.

Experts and the public

Perception survey

Feeds the Perception instrument only

02Safari

Follow your contribution

Choose what you are submitting to see every job it passes through and where it waits for people.

on: correction submitted

Submit a correction

In progressTriggered by You10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Intake
02Intake
03Verify
04Recompute
05Recompute
06Review
07Chapisha
08Chapisha

100%
Timeline
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 dTarget
Correction receivedYouinstant
AcknowledgedSecretariat2 d
TriageIndex editors5 d
Evidence checkData stewards5 d
Recompute dependent valuesNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run service1 d
What changed and whyNXS-GRX run service1 h
Steward reviewStewards10 d
Correction log entrySecretariat1 d
Propagate to profiles, tiles and APIFoundry1 h
Reply to youSecretariat1 d

End to end on the longest path: about 20 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Correction received

    Intake · You · instant
    Page ID and value captured · Evidence and source attached · Contact for the reply
    NXS-GRX gateway
  2. Acknowledged

    Intake · Secretariat · 2 days
    Receipt sent · Request logged in the ledger
    NXS-GRX gatewayPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  3. Triage

    Verify · Index editors · 5 days
    Scope: value, definition or method · Affected definitions resolved · Priority set
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)indicator standard
  4. Evidence check

    Verify · Data stewards · 5 days
    Source release verified · Licence admits the use · Lineage traced to the value
    Licence registerProvenance (W3C PROV)
  5. Recompute dependent values matrix · every dependent value

    Recompute · NXS-GRX run service · 1 day
    Dependency graph walked · Values recomputed with 1,000 draws · Intervals and classes updated
    NXS-GRX run serviceTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
  6. What changed and why

    Recompute · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Before and after per value · Driver decomposition
    NXS-GRX run serviceProvenance (W3C PROV)
  7. Steward review approval

    Review · Stewards · 10 days
    Method and evidence reviewed · Disposition recorded
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  8. Correction log entry

    Publish · Secretariat · 1 day
    Public log entry · Record version bumped
    Correction logNS-1 UNI catalogue
  9. Propagate to profiles, tiles and API

    Publish · Foundry · 1 hour
    Profiles republished · Tiles invalidated · API caches refreshed
    Public cut APIVector tilesAttribution service
  10. Reply to you

    Publish · Secretariat · 1 day
    Outcome and effect on each value
    NXS-GRX gateway
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Hatua
Request record GRX-REQ-… Correction received You Intake
Acknowledgement Acknowledged Secretariat Intake
Triage note Triage Index editors Verify
Evidence record Evidence check Data stewards Verify
Run record with seed and digest Recompute dependent values NXS-GRX run service Recompute
Change report What changed and why NXS-GRX run service Recompute
Disposition Steward review Stewards Review
Correction GRX-COR-… Correction log entry Secretariat Chapisha
Release note Propagate to profiles, tiles and API Foundry Chapisha
Reply Reply to you Secretariat Chapisha
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.

on: reply submitted by a national institution

Country right of reply

In progressTriggered by National institution7 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Intake
02Intake
03Review
04Amua
05Amua
06Chapisha

100%
Timeline
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 d25 dTarget
Reply receivedNational institutioninstant
Institution verifiedSecretariat3 d
Evidence reviewData stewards10 d
Method reviewIndex editors10 d
Steward decisionStewards10 d
Recompute if acceptedNXS-GRX run service1 d
Reply published beside the profileSecretariat2 d

End to end on the longest path: about 26 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Reply received

    Intake · National institution · instant
    Institution identified · Reply and evidence attached
    NXS-GRX gateway
  2. Institution verified

    Intake · Secretariat · 3 days
    Mandate checked · Contact confirmed
    ORCID and RORPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  3. Evidence review matrix · per indicator raised

    Review · Data stewards · 10 days
    Each point mapped to indicators · Sources checked · Licence admits the use
    Licence registerProvenance (W3C PROV)indicator standard
  4. Method review

    Review · Index editors · 10 days
    Method questions answered
    Tested model kernels
  5. Steward decision approval

    Decide · Stewards · 10 days
    Accept, partly accept or keep · Reasons written
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  6. Recompute if accepted

    Decide · NXS-GRX run service · 1 day
    Dependent values recomputed
    NXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engine
  7. Reply published beside the profile

    Publish · Secretariat · 2 days
    Reply and outcome public · Log entry
    Correction logPublic cut API
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Hatua
Request record Reply received National institution Intake
Verification note Institution verified Secretariat Intake
Evidence record Evidence review Data stewards Review
Method note Method review Index editors Review
Uamuzi Steward decision Stewards Amua
Run record Recompute if accepted NXS-GRX run service Amua
Public reply Reply published beside the profile Secretariat Chapisha
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.

on: dataset offered

Offer a dataset

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Data holder8 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Intake
02Intake
03Rights
04Harmonise
05Quality
06Admit
07Admit

100%
Timeline
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 d25 dTarget
Dataset offeredYouinstant
Source registeredData stewards3 d
Licence reviewCounsel15 d
Harmonise seriesNXS-GRX run service2 d
Map to indicatorsIndicator editors5 d
Quality checksNXS-GRX run service1 d
Admitted to the fabricFoundry1 d
Credit on every valueAttribution serviceinstant

End to end on the longest path: about 25 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Dataset offered

    Intake · You · instant
    Description, coverage and licence
    NXS-GRX gateway
  2. Source registered

    Intake · Data stewards · 3 days
    Source record and UNI · Vintage and checksum
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)NS-1 UNI catalogue
  3. Licence review approval

    Rights · Counsel · 15 days
    Terms read · Public, isolated or restricted use decided
    Licence register
  4. Harmonise series matrix · per series

    Harmonise · NXS-GRX run service · 2 days
    Units, areas and time aligned · No imputation
    NXS-GRX run serviceindicator standard
  5. Map to indicators

    Harmonise · Indicator editors · 5 days
    Crosswalks with relation and confidence
    indicator standard
  6. Quality checks

    Quality · NXS-GRX run service · 1 day
    Coverage vector · Outliers and breaks · Evidence class
    NXS-GRX run serviceProvenance (W3C PROV)
  7. Admitted to the fabric

    Admit · Foundry · 1 day
    Available to the next evidence cut
    FoundryPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  8. Credit on every value

    Admit · Attribution service · automatic
    Attribution rows rendered
    Attribution service
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Hatua
Offer record Dataset offered You Intake
Source record Source registered Data stewards Intake
Register row Licence review Counsel Rights
HAR series Harmonise series NXS-GRX run service Harmonise
Crosswalk rows Map to indicators Indicator editors Harmonise
Quality report Quality checks NXS-GRX run service Quality
Admission record Admitted to the fabric Foundry Admit
Credit Credit on every value Attribution service Admit
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.

on: reviewer application

Become an expert reviewer

Waiting for approvalTriggered by Expert5 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Tumia
02Check
03Review
04Review
05Credit

100%
Timeline
Job0 d10 d20 d30 d40 dTarget
ApplicationYouinstant
Conflict-of-interest declarationSecretariat5 d
AssignmentIndex editors5 d
ReviewYou30 d
CreditedSecretariatwith the edition

End to end on the longest path: about 44.8 d of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Application

    Apply · You · instant
    Expertise and ORCID
    NXS-GRX gatewayORCID and ROR
  2. Conflict-of-interest declaration approval

    Check · Secretariat · 5 days
    Interests declared and recorded
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  3. Assignment

    Review · Index editors · 5 days
    Index, instrument or region
    indicator standardTested model kernels
  4. Review matrix · per item

    Review · You · 30 days
    Comments with evidence
    Tested model kernels
  5. Credited

    Credit · Secretariat · with the edition
    CRediT role on the release
    ORCID and RORZenodo deposit
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Hatua
Application Application You Tumia
Declaration Conflict-of-interest declaration Secretariat Check
Assignment Assignment Index editors Review
Review record Review You Review
Credit Credited Secretariat Credit
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
03Reply

Corrections and right of reply

Name the page ID (for example GRX-PRF-KEN), the value or definition, the evidence and its source. Every submission is acknowledged, triaged and given a recorded disposition; accepted corrections propagate to every dependent value.

04Wataalamu

Expert review

Reviewers are sought for every domain index, the instruments (nowcasting, forecast verification, scenario pathways, catastrophe modelling, network contagion) and every region. Review is credited and declared.

05Data

Data contributions

Data enters only through registered sources with a recorded licence. Contributors keep their rights; NXS-GRX uses data only as its licence admits and credits it on every value it reaches.

06Credit

Credit and licence

Contributors are credited by role (CRediT) with ORCID and ROR identifiers. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release; contributed material keeps its own licence.

Form

Contribute data, code, design or research

Structured intake for datasets, methods, code, designs, research and corrections, the way Nexus Reports expects them: deposit on Zenodo first, then send the DOI here.

  1. 01Fill inFields marked (required) are needed; everything else helps the review.
  2. 02ReferenceYou get a reference on screen; the record is kept in this site’s WordPress database.
  3. 03ReviewThe outcome is recorded in public. Contact details stay on this site and are never published or shared.
Form · grx-contribute

This form opens here once it is switched on. Until then, send it through the Nexus Reports gateway, with your deposit on Zenodo.

Every contribution is answered

Acknowledged, triaged and given a recorded disposition, in public.

Open the form Nexus Reports gateway Zenodo

Hali

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

A country profile reads public evidence about a place. It is not a statement by or about the policy of any government, takes no position on the status of any territory, and does not imply a national programme or participation. Names follow UN M49.

NXS-GRX si nini

NXS-GRX ni taarifa ya utafiti na uchambuzi wa hatari. Si daraja la mikopo wala la ESG na haitumii kipimo chochote cha daraja, si kigezo cha vyombo vya fedha, si takwimu rasmi, si onyo la dharura wala uainishaji rasmi, na si ushauri. Haipaswi kutumiwa kutathmini watu binafsi. Madaraja ya hatari ni mikanda kwenye kipimo kilichochapishwa, kamwe si mpangilio wa nchi au watu.

Taasisi na vyanzo

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.