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Le Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Intelligence · Model · on: product requested

Composer un produit de renseignement sur les risques avec le moteur de risque

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level.

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Page GRX-JRN-COMPOSE-PRODUCTEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Jobs 10Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
on: product requested · Compose a risk intelligence product with the risk engine10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks
  1. Resolve context instant
  2. Purpose and rights check automatic
  3. Discover capabilities instant
  4. Route by quality of intelligence instant
  5. Compile the DAG plan instant
  6. Run governed science operational
  7. Compose across domains instant
  8. Evidence and assurance gate automatic
  9. Project the product instant
  10. Lineage and correction continuous

01Modèle

Composer un produit de renseignement sur les risques avec le moteur de risque

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level.

on: product requested

Composer un produit de renseignement sur les risques avec le moteur de risque

In progressTriggered by You or your system10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job5 checks1 deployment

Graphe
01Contexte
02Contexte
03Forfait
04Forfait
05Forfait
06Run
07Run
08Vérifier
09Livrer
10Livrer

100%
Chronologie
Job0 h1 hTarget
Resolve contextRisk engineinstant
Purpose and rights checkIdentity and policy authorityinstant
Discover capabilitiesRisk engineinstant
Route by quality of intelligenceRisk engineinstant
Compile the DAG planRisk engineinstant
Run governed scienceNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run serviceoperational
Compose across domainsRisk engineinstant
Evidence and assurance gateRisk engineinstant
Project the productRisk engineinstant
Lineage and correctionRisk enginecontinuous

End to end on the longest path: about 1.1 h of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Étapes
  1. Resolve context

    Context · Risk engine · instant
    Place, time, asset or portfolio resolved to UNIs · Purpose and tenant scope bound to the request · Source assertions kept, never merged silently
    Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogue
  2. Purpose and rights check approval

    Context · Identity and policy authority · automatic
    Identity and purpose verified · Rights, sovereignty and disclosure policy applied · Refusal is typed, never silent
    FoundryLicence register
  3. Discover capabilities

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Capabilities found by stable ID and version, never by title · Implementation and release state read per capability · Held capabilities excluded
    Moteur de risqueNoyaux de modèles testés
  4. Route by quality of intelligence

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Paths scored on latency class and scientific assurance · Fastest path that meets the assurance asked for · Trade-off recorded
    Moteur de risque
  5. Compile the DAG plan

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Dependencies ordered topologically · Cycles refused · Plan versioned and hashed
    Moteur de risqueService d'exécution NXS-GRX
  6. Run governed science matrix ·

    Run · NXS-GRX run service · operational
    Each node runs on its bound kernel · Seeds, inputs and versions recorded · Failures stay failures
    Service d'exécution NXS-GRXNoyaux de modèles testésMoteur Monte Carlo
  7. Compose across domains

    Run · Risk engine · instant
    Products joined on the risk product graph · Weakest assurance carried forward · Every upstream evidence reference kept
    Risk engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
  8. Evidence and assurance gate

    Check · Risk engine · automatic
    Supported claim level never raised above its inputs · Missing evidence fails closed as INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE · High-reliance projections need complete evidence
    Verification engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
  9. Project the product

    Deliver · Risk engine · instant
    Scalar, table, series, distribution, features, network or evidence pack · Agent-context, feature-vector and compact forms · Each projection carries its UNI and lineage
    Moteur de risqueAPI de coupe publiqueTuiles vectorielles
  10. Lineage and correction

    Deliver · Risk engine · continuous
    Derivation and composition edges recorded · A superseded input marks every dependent product SUPERSEDED · Stale intelligence never stays current
    Journal des correctionsRegistre PostgreSQL (sécurité au niveau des lignes)
Artefacts
Artefact Tâche Qui Étape
Resolved context Resolve context Moteur de risque Contexte
Policy decision Purpose and rights check Identity and policy authority Contexte
Capability set Discover capabilities Moteur de risque Forfait
Route decision Route by quality of intelligence Moteur de risque Forfait
Execution plan Compile the DAG plan Moteur de risque Forfait
Upstream products Run governed science Service d'exécution NXS-GRX Run
Composite product Compose across domains Moteur de risque Run
Assurance record Evidence and assurance gate Moteur de risque Vérifier
Projection Project the product Moteur de risque Livrer
Lineage graph Lineage and correction Moteur de risque Livrer
Correction notices Lineage and correction Moteur de risque Livrer
TerminéEn coursEn attente d'approbationQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02À qui il s'adresse

Solutions that use this journey

Open to every reader. This journey is part of the open commons and governance of NXS-GRX.
03Technologie

13 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogueFoundryLicence registerTested model kernelsNXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engineProvenance (W3C PROV)Verification enginePublic cut APIVector tilesCorrection logPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)

Part of NXS-GRX Intelligence: Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

Contact

Statut

La méthodologie, la structure et les définitions de The Global Risks Index constituent un projet de travail préparatoire (2026), diffusé pour examen et commentaires et non pour mise en œuvre. Aucune valeur n'apparaît avant la publication d'une édition à partir d'une coupe de données probantes encadrée ; les valeurs comportent alors des intervalles, des classes, des sources et leur voie de correction. Les simulateurs appliquent les méthodes publiées à des nombres que vous choisissez et n'affichent jamais de valeur NXS-GRX.

Ce que NXS-GRX n'est pas

NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques. Ce n'est pas une notation de crédit ou ESG et il n'utilise aucune échelle de notation ; ce n'est pas un indice de référence pour des instruments financiers, ni une statistique officielle, ni une alerte d'urgence ou une classification officielle, ni un conseil. Il ne doit pas servir à évaluer des personnes physiques. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, jamais des classements de pays ou de personnes.

Institutions et sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Chaque valeur porte l'attribution de ses sources, qui conservent leurs propres licences. Les noms externes ne sont cités qu'à des fins d'interopérabilité. Les textes rédigés par Nexus sont destinés à être publiés sous licence CC BY 4.0.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.