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Le Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index platform · 5 product lines · 26 journeys

One platform for risk data, indices, models and intelligence

Open to everyone at the base, private and sovereign where it must be, and systemic by construction: build an index, run a scenario, test a model, deploy it and monitor what changes, on one governed fabric.

Start free Solutions All journeys
Page GRX-PLTEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
Platform · One stack, four access layers
Open commonsEnterprisePublic sectorPlanet
DataThe governed risk data fabric6 capabilities IndicesIndex families with intervals6 capabilities ModelsModel Lab for scenarios and stress6 capabilities IntelligenceSignals, outlooks and briefings6 capabilities PlatformAPIs, tenants and sovereign deployments6 capabilities
Open commonsIndicator Standard · Hazard Standard · methods · open API · replication packs
GovernanceLicence gate · provenance · corrections · review gates · releases
5
product lines
4
access layers
12
solutions
26
journeys

01Product lines

Data, indices, models, intelligence and platform

Five product lines on one governed fabric: every value, model run and signal carries its sources, method version, seed and correction pathway.

DATA

NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Data

Observations, indicators and hazard keys from licence-gated sources, harmonised, versioned and traceable to the source release.

  • 451 indicator definitions with crosswalks
  • 905 hazards keyed to HIPs 2025
  • Vector tiles at country, ADM1, ADM2 and H3
  • Bulk files, SDMX keys and change feeds
  • Bring-your-own-data fusion in a private scope
  • Provenance for every value

IDX

NXS-GRX Indices

The global composite, twenty domain indices, specialised series, country and subnational profiles, and custom indices built in Index Studio on the same grammar.

  • Composite and coupled composite
  • 20 domain indices, 4 pillars
  • 54 specialised series
  • 195 country profiles, subnational layers
  • Index Studio for custom and portfolio indices
  • Classes with probabilities, never league tables

MOD

Models of the Index

Scenario pathways, stress tests, tail and exceedance analytics, coupling contagion and forecasting on the open method library, with tests and model cards.

  • 670 methods in 23 fabrics
  • Scenario and stress-test runs
  • Tail, exceedance and protection gap
  • Systemic coupling and cascades
  • Backtests and verification scorecards
  • Model cards and replication packs

INT

NXS-GRX Intelligence

Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

  • Weekly Pulse by country and domain
  • Outlooks at 1 to 36 months, verified
  • Horizon scanning and emerging risks
  • Watchlists and threshold alerts
  • Analyst workbench and briefings
  • Handoff to the authority that decides

PLT

NXS-GRX Platform

Open and institutional APIs, SDKs and embeds, private tenants with row-level security, and sovereign instances that keep national data in national scope.

  • Open API and SDKs
  • Institutional API with service levels
  • Webhooks and streaming
  • Private tenants, row-level security
  • Sovereign in-country instances
  • Embeds for sites, reports and newsrooms
02Access layers

Public, private, planet

The open commons is free and stays free; enterprise and public-sector layers add private scope, depth and service levels on the same methods.

Everyone: researchers, developers, startups, civil society, media, citizens

Open commons

Free to read, cite, build on and reproduce. The commons is the base every other layer is built on.

  • Country, series and index pages
  • Methodology, Indicator Standard and Hazard Standard definitions and crosswalks
  • Open API cut and SDKs
  • Replication packs: seeds, kernels, digests
  • Embeds with attribution
  • Reference implementations of the published methods
  • Correction log and right of reply
  • Courses with the Risk Academy
Banks, asset managers, insurers, corporates, infrastructure operators

Enterprise

Private scope, service levels and depth: your data fused with NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk), custom indices, models and monitoring.

  • Institutional API with service levels
  • Private tenant with your own data
  • Index Studio and portfolio indices
  • Model Lab: scenarios, stress tests, tails
  • Watchlists, alerts and briefings
  • Supply-chain and site screening
Governments, national agencies, regulators, central banks, cities, multilaterals, the UN system

Secteur public

National co-production and sovereign deployment, with a public-safe cut only where the institution chooses.

  • National and subnational index co-development
  • Sovereign instance in national scope
  • Sendai and SDG reporting support
  • Supervisory scenario design
  • Anticipatory action and early-warning inputs
  • Capacity building with the Risk Academy
The global commons, science partnerships, stewards of systemic risk

Planète

Global systems read directly: coupling across borders, planetary pressures and the tail of the distribution, published as open science.

  • Global Systems series
  • Systemic coupling across trade, finance, energy, food, infrastructure and information
  • Planetary and Earth-system pressures
  • Standing catastrophic tail register
  • Open verification of outlooks
03Lifecycle

Explore, build, model, test, deploy, scale, monitor, govern

Every interaction is a workflow with named jobs, people, technology, checks and gates. Open any journey to follow a run.

Explore. Read profiles, maps and series; find the indicator or hazard behind a value.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Une requête API

What happens to a single public request, from the edge to an attributed, licence-filtered response. 6 jobs.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Soumettre une correction

A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

Build. Compose a custom index, fuse your data, or build an application on the open API.

NXS-GRX Indices · Build

Créer un indice personnalisé dans Index Studio

Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Build

Apporter vos propres données

Fuse your own data with NXS-GRX in a private scope: mapped to Indicator Standard, quality-checked and never shared outside your tenant. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Build

Construire sur l’API ouverte

Free access to the open cut for applications, research, agents and newsrooms, with licences and attribution resolved for you. 5 jobs.

Open the run

Model. Run scenarios, stress tests, tails and cascades on the method library.

Models of the Index · Model

Exécuter un scénario ou un test de résistance

Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run Models of the Index · Model

Concevoir un déclencheur paramétrique

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run

Test. Backtest, verify, run sensitivity and reproduce any value from its seed and digest.

Models of the Index · Test

Tester et valider un modèle

Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Indices · Test

Reproduire n'importe quelle valeur

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.

Open the run

Deploy. Move from sandbox to production, into a private tenant or a sovereign instance.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Demander un accès à l'API

Institutional access to the NXS-GRX API with service levels, contracted with GCRI Canada. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Deploy

Déployer une instance souveraine

A NXS-GRX instance in national scope: national data stays in country, the national index is co-produced, and a public-safe cut is released only if the institution chooses. 7 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run

Scale. Production throughput, streaming, webhooks and service levels.

NXS-GRX Platform · Scale

Passer à l'échelle de production

From sandbox to production traffic: load testing, keys, streaming and webhooks, with usage and service levels watched continuously. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Scale

Examiner un portefeuille ou une chaîne d’approvisionnement

Locations, assets, suppliers or sovereign exposures matched and overlaid with hazard, country and coupling layers, then read as a portfolio posture. 6 jobs · 3 checks.

Open the run

Monitor. Watchlists, Pulse, outlooks and analyst-reviewed briefings.

NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Suivre avec des listes de veille et des alertes

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Veille prospective et note

Emerging risks found, scored for likelihood and impact with uncertainty, and turned into a briefing after review. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Un signal à examiner

How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

Govern. Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Exécution de la publication de l’édition

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Droit de réponse du pays

A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Govern

Rendre compte des objectifs de Sendai et des ODD

Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks.

Open the run

04A run

Index Studio, end to end

A custom index passes the same licence gate, uncertainty analysis, validation suite and review as NXS-GRX itself before it reaches your tenant.

on: studio project created

Créer un indice personnalisé dans Index Studio

In progressTriggered by You9 jobs2 approval gates2 matrix jobs5 checks1 deployment

Graphe
01Périmètre
02Périmètre
03Données
04Données
05Construct
06Construct
07Tester
08Tester
09Ship

100%
Chronologie
Job0 d1 d2 d3 d4 d5 dTarget
Define scope and questionYouinstant
Select indicatorsYouinstant
Licence and coverage gateNXS-GRX run serviceinstant
Harmonise and imputeNXS-GRX run service1 h
Normalise, weight and aggregateYouinstant
Uncertainty: 1,000 drawsMonte Carlo engine1 h
Validation suiteNXS-GRX run service1 h
Method reviewIndex editors5 d
Publish to your tenantNXS-GRX Platforminstant

End to end on the longest path: about 5.1 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Étapes
  1. Define scope and question

    Scope · You · instant
    Entities: countries, ADM areas, sites or assets · Question and decision the index serves · Risk-chain components to cover
    Index Studio
  2. Select indicators

    Scope · You · self-serve
    Search 451 indicator definitions · Add your own indicators · Polarity and unit checked
    Index Studioindicator standard
  3. Licence and coverage gate approval

    Data · NXS-GRX run service · automatic
    Each input’s licence checked for the use · Coverage per entity measured · Gaps flagged, never zero-filled
    Registre des licencesRegistre PostgreSQL (sécurité au niveau des lignes)
  4. Harmonise and impute matrix · indicators × entities

    Data · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Units and periods aligned · Flagged imputation only at indicator level
    Service d'exécution NXS-GRXnorme d'indicateurs
  5. Normalise, weight and aggregate

    Construct · You · self-serve
    Normalisation per indicator · Expert or statistical weights · Geometric, arithmetic or penalised aggregation
    Index StudioTested model kernels
  6. Uncertainty: 1,000 draws matrix · 1,000 draws

    Construct · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour
    Weights, normalisation and imputation varied · 90% intervals and class probabilities
    Moteur Monte Carlo
  7. Validation suite

    Test · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Internal coherence · Sensitivity (Sobol) · Correlation with established indices · Leave-one-out stability
    Verification engineTested model kernels
  8. Examen de la méthode approbation

    Test · Index editors · 5 days
    Method and tests reviewed · Disposition recorded
    Registre PostgreSQL (sécurité au niveau des lignes)
  9. Publish to your tenant

    Ship · NXS-GRX Platform · instant
    API endpoint and tiles · Dashboard and embeds · Model card
    Private tenant (row-level security)Public cut APIVector tiles
Artefacts
Artefact Tâche Qui Étape
Studio project Define scope and question Vous Périmètre
Indicator set Select indicators Vous Périmètre
Coverage report Licence and coverage gate Service d'exécution NXS-GRX Données
Harmonised panel Harmonise and impute Service d'exécution NXS-GRX Données
Method record Normalise, weight and aggregate Vous Construct
Draws file with seed Uncertainty: 1,000 draws Moteur Monte Carlo Construct
Rapport de validation Validation suite Service d'exécution NXS-GRX Tester
Review note Examen de la méthode Éditeurs de l'indice Tester
Index endpoint Publish to your tenant NXS-GRX Platform Ship
Model card Publish to your tenant NXS-GRX Platform Ship
TerminéEn coursEn attente d'approbationQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here
Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
05Solutions

Built for each kind of institution

Secteur public

Gouvernements et agences nationales

Prioritise prevention, plan subnationally and report on Sendai and SDG targets with national data in national scope.

See the solution Public sector

Organisations multilatérales et banques de développement

Screen country and project context, read fiscal resilience and protection gaps, and design pre-arranged finance.

See the solution Public sector

Système des Nations Unies et agences humanitaires

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution Public sector

Banques centrales et autorités de surveillance

Concevoir des scénarios prudentiels, lire le couplage systémique et reproduire les méthodes.

See the solution Enterprise

Assureurs et réassureurs

Read hazard, exposure and protection gaps, run tails and study parametric index design.

See the solution Enterprise

Banques et gestionnaires d'actifs

Read sovereign and systemic context, run climate pathways and build portfolio postures.

See the solution Enterprise

Entreprises et chaînes d'approvisionnement

Examiner les sites et les fournisseurs, surveiller les points d’étranglement et tenir à jour le contexte des pays.

See the solution Public sector

Villes et opérateurs d'infrastructures

Read hexagon-level hazard and dependency layers for planning, investment and continuity.

See the solution Open commons

Recherche et monde universitaire

Reproduire chaque valeur, étudier et étendre les méthodes, contribuer des données et des revues.

See the solution Open commons

Développeurs et concepteurs de technologies de pointe

Build applications, models and agents on open risk data with clear licences and attribution.

See the solution Open commons

Société civile et ONG

Cibler les programmes grâce aux profils ouverts et apporter des preuves locales.

See the solution Open commons

Médias et citoyens

Explain risk with intervals and classes, and embed maps and charts with attribution.

See the solution

06Portfolio

13 products and services

OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources. OPENSpecialised index seriesGlobal, sector, strategic-system, technology, thematic and regional series, each with its own method record, indicator set and edition. OPENMethodology, indicator standard and crosswalksThe full construction method, the indicator definitions, the hazard keys and crosswalks to source code lists and established indices. INSTNXS-GRX API and data servicesREST endpoints, SDMX-compatible observation keys, vector tiles (ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3), bulk files and webhooks for threshold crossings; public anonymous cut for open values. INSTPulse and watchlistsWeekly nowcast by country and domain with signals for review and subscriber alerts. Signals are information for review, not warnings. INSTOutlook forecastsProbabilistic outlooks at 1, 3, 12 and 36 months for defined events, with verification scorecards. INSTScenario and stress-test packsPathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests (compound hazards, transition shocks, fiscal shocks) for planning and supervisory exercises. INSTTail and protection-gap analyticsExceedance curves, return-period losses and protection-gap readings where loss can be modelled, and the catastrophic risk register. INSTBespoke and portfolio indicesIndices built for a sector, portfolio, supply chain, city or project on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. Portfolio postures are exposure-weighted views, never ratings. INSTSubnational and hexagon risk layersADM1, ADM2 and H3 layers for site screening, planning and allocation. PROGNational index co-developmentA national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope, with a public-safe cut where they choose. PROGTraining and capacity buildingCourses and labs with the Risk Academy on composite indicators, uncertainty, forecasting verification and risk communication. PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps.
07Every product

What every product carries

Intervals everywhere

Every value with a 90% interval and class probability.

Driver decomposition

Each value broken down to indicator contributions.

What changed and why

Every update explains its movement by indicator and source.

Provenance on click

Source release, licence, method version and transformation chain.

Coupled and standalone

Systemic coupling shown beside standalone risk.

Method explainer

Interactive aggregation explainer on every index page, run on your own numbers.

Machine access

API, SDMX keys, tiles, bulk files, JSON-LD on every page.

Corrections in public

Correction log and propagation to every dependent value.

Both themes, accessible

Light and dark, keyboard navigation, no colour-only meaning.

Live where licensed

Pages hydrate from the NXS-GRX public cut; static pages stay complete without it.

08Conditions

Conditions d'utilisation

The NXS-GRX platform as designed: product lines, access layers, audiences, the user lifecycle and the journeys that run each step. Availability is stated per capability; nothing here is offered as a rating, warning, benchmark, certification or advice. Target service levels are proposals for design review.

NIS outputs are indicator composites with published methodology, not opinions on the creditworthiness of any entity, debt or issuer, and use no rating-category scale (EU Regulation 1060/2009 and equivalents).

NIS indices are not licensed as benchmarks for financial instruments, financial contracts or fund performance; any such use needs a separate licence and an administrator assessment under the EU and UK Benchmarks Regulations and the IOSCO principles.

NIS outputs are Nexus-modelled; they are not official statistics and are not endorsed by any source publisher.

NIS outputs must not be used to evaluate natural persons (creditworthiness, insurance pricing, access to essential services); such uses are high-risk under the EU AI Act Annex III.

Formulaire

Request institutional access

Requests for the engines, API keys, bulk files and service levels for institutions; the reply states plan, terms and limits.

  1. 01RemplirLes champs marqués (obligatoire) sont requis ; tout le reste facilite l'examen.
  2. 02RéférenceVous obtenez une référence à l'écran ; l'enregistrement est conservé dans la base de données WordPress de ce site.
  3. 03ExamenLa décision est consignée publiquement. Les coordonnées restent sur ce site et ne sont jamais publiées ni communiquées.
Form · grx-access

Ce formulaire s'ouvrira ici dès qu'il sera activé. D'ici là, envoyez votre demande par la passerelle Nexus Reports.

Build on NXS-GRX

Start free on the open commons, or talk to the Secretariat about enterprise, public-sector and sovereign deployments.

Start free Talk to the Secretariat

Statut

La méthodologie, la structure et les définitions de The Global Risks Index constituent un projet de travail préparatoire (2026), diffusé pour examen et commentaires et non pour mise en œuvre. Aucune valeur n'apparaît avant la publication d'une édition à partir d'une coupe de données probantes encadrée ; les valeurs comportent alors des intervalles, des classes, des sources et leur voie de correction. Les simulateurs appliquent les méthodes publiées à des nombres que vous choisissez et n'affichent jamais de valeur NXS-GRX.

Ce que NXS-GRX n'est pas

NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques. Ce n'est pas une notation de crédit ou ESG et il n'utilise aucune échelle de notation ; ce n'est pas un indice de référence pour des instruments financiers, ni une statistique officielle, ni une alerte d'urgence ou une classification officielle, ni un conseil. Il ne doit pas servir à évaluer des personnes physiques. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, jamais des classements de pays ou de personnes.

Les signaux Pulse et les probabilités de perspective sont des informations soumises à l'examen des autorités compétentes, jamais des alertes publiques ; les alertes officielles viennent uniquement des autorités mandatées.

Institutions et sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Chaque valeur porte l'attribution de ses sources, qui conservent leurs propres licences. Les noms externes ne sont cités qu'à des fins d'interopérabilité. Les textes rédigés par Nexus sont destinés à être publiés sous licence CC BY 4.0.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.