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Der Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index platform · 5 product lines · 26 journeys

One platform for risk data, indices, models and intelligence

Open to everyone at the base, private and sovereign where it must be, and systemic by construction: build an index, run a scenario, test a model, deploy it and monitor what changes, on one governed fabric.

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Seite GRX-PLTAusgabe Basisausgabe 2026Evidenzschluss 2026-09-30Werte noch nicht veröffentlichtMethode v1.0.0-draft
Platform · One stack, four access layers
Open commonsEnterprisePublic sectorPlanet
DataThe governed risk data fabric6 capabilities IndicesIndex families with intervals6 capabilities ModelsModel Lab for scenarios and stress6 capabilities IntelligenceSignals, outlooks and briefings6 capabilities PlatformAPIs, tenants and sovereign deployments6 capabilities
Open commonsIndicator Standard · Hazard Standard · methods · open API · replication packs
GovernanceLicence gate · provenance · corrections · review gates · releases
5
product lines
4
access layers
12
solutions
26
journeys

01Product lines

Data, indices, models, intelligence and platform

Five product lines on one governed fabric: every value, model run and signal carries its sources, method version, seed and correction pathway.

DATA

NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Data

Observations, indicators and hazard keys from licence-gated sources, harmonised, versioned and traceable to the source release.

  • 451 indicator definitions with crosswalks
  • 905 hazards keyed to HIPs 2025
  • Vector tiles at country, ADM1, ADM2 and H3
  • Bulk files, SDMX keys and change feeds
  • Bring-your-own-data fusion in a private scope
  • Provenance for every value

IDX

NXS-GRX Indices

The global composite, twenty domain indices, specialised series, country and subnational profiles, and custom indices built in Index Studio on the same grammar.

  • Composite and coupled composite
  • 20 domain indices, 4 pillars
  • 54 specialised series
  • 195 country profiles, subnational layers
  • Index Studio for custom and portfolio indices
  • Classes with probabilities, never league tables

MOD

Models of the Index

Scenario pathways, stress tests, tail and exceedance analytics, coupling contagion and forecasting on the open method library, with tests and model cards.

  • 670 methods in 23 fabrics
  • Scenario and stress-test runs
  • Tail, exceedance and protection gap
  • Systemic coupling and cascades
  • Backtests and verification scorecards
  • Model cards and replication packs

INT

NXS-GRX Intelligence

Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

  • Weekly Pulse by country and domain
  • Outlooks at 1 to 36 months, verified
  • Horizon scanning and emerging risks
  • Watchlists and threshold alerts
  • Analyst workbench and briefings
  • Handoff to the authority that decides

PLT

NXS-GRX Platform

Open and institutional APIs, SDKs and embeds, private tenants with row-level security, and sovereign instances that keep national data in national scope.

  • Open API and SDKs
  • Institutional API with service levels
  • Webhooks and streaming
  • Private tenants, row-level security
  • Sovereign in-country instances
  • Embeds for sites, reports and newsrooms
02Access layers

Public, private, planet

The open commons is free and stays free; enterprise and public-sector layers add private scope, depth and service levels on the same methods.

Everyone: researchers, developers, startups, civil society, media, citizens

Open commons

Free to read, cite, build on and reproduce. The commons is the base every other layer is built on.

  • Country, series and index pages
  • Methodology, Indicator Standard and Hazard Standard definitions and crosswalks
  • Open API cut and SDKs
  • Replication packs: seeds, kernels, digests
  • Embeds with attribution
  • Reference implementations of the published methods
  • Correction log and right of reply
  • Courses with the Risk Academy
Banks, asset managers, insurers, corporates, infrastructure operators

Enterprise

Private scope, service levels and depth: your data fused with NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk), custom indices, models and monitoring.

  • Institutional API with service levels
  • Private tenant with your own data
  • Index Studio and portfolio indices
  • Model Lab: scenarios, stress tests, tails
  • Watchlists, alerts and briefings
  • Supply-chain and site screening
Governments, national agencies, regulators, central banks, cities, multilaterals, the UN system

Öffentlicher Sektor

National co-production and sovereign deployment, with a public-safe cut only where the institution chooses.

  • National and subnational index co-development
  • Sovereign instance in national scope
  • Sendai and SDG reporting support
  • Supervisory scenario design
  • Anticipatory action and early-warning inputs
  • Capacity building with the Risk Academy
The global commons, science partnerships, stewards of systemic risk

Planet

Global systems read directly: coupling across borders, planetary pressures and the tail of the distribution, published as open science.

  • Global Systems series
  • Systemic coupling across trade, finance, energy, food, infrastructure and information
  • Planetary and Earth-system pressures
  • Standing catastrophic tail register
  • Open verification of outlooks
03Lifecycle

Explore, build, model, test, deploy, scale, monitor, govern

Every interaction is a workflow with named jobs, people, technology, checks and gates. Open any journey to follow a run.

Explore. Read profiles, maps and series; find the indicator or hazard behind a value.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Eine API-Anfrage

What happens to a single public request, from the edge to an attributed, licence-filtered response. 6 jobs.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Eine Berichtigung einreichen

A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

Build. Compose a custom index, fuse your data, or build an application on the open API.

NXS-GRX Indices · Build

Eigenen Index im Index Studio erstellen

Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Build

Eigene Daten einbringen

Fuse your own data with NXS-GRX in a private scope: mapped to Indicator Standard, quality-checked and never shared outside your tenant. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Build

Auf der offenen API aufbauen

Free access to the open cut for applications, research, agents and newsrooms, with licences and attribution resolved for you. 5 jobs.

Open the run

Model. Run scenarios, stress tests, tails and cascades on the method library.

Models of the Index · Model

Szenario oder Stresstest durchführen

Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run Models of the Index · Model

Einen parametrischen Auslöser entwerfen

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run

Test. Backtest, verify, run sensitivity and reproduce any value from its seed and digest.

Models of the Index · Test

Modell testen und validieren

Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Indices · Test

Jeden Wert reproduzieren

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.

Open the run

Deploy. Move from sandbox to production, into a private tenant or a sovereign instance.

NXS-GRX · Govern

API-Zugang beantragen

Institutional access to the NXS-GRX API with service levels, contracted with GCRI Canada. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Deploy

Souveräne Instanz bereitstellen

A NXS-GRX instance in national scope: national data stays in country, the national index is co-produced, and a public-safe cut is released only if the institution chooses. 7 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run

Scale. Production throughput, streaming, webhooks and service levels.

NXS-GRX Platform · Scale

In die Produktion skalieren

From sandbox to production traffic: load testing, keys, streaming and webhooks, with usage and service levels watched continuously. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Scale

Portfolio oder Lieferkette prüfen

Locations, assets, suppliers or sovereign exposures matched and overlaid with hazard, country and coupling layers, then read as a portfolio posture. 6 jobs · 3 checks.

Open the run

Monitor. Watchlists, Pulse, outlooks and analyst-reviewed briefings.

NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Mit Beobachtungslisten und Warnungen überwachen

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Horizon Scan und Briefing

Emerging risks found, scored for likelihood and impact with uncertainty, and turned into a briefing after review. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Ein Signal zur Prüfung

How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

Govern. Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Durchlauf zur Veröffentlichung der Ausgabe

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Recht auf Erwiderung des Landes

A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Govern

Zu Sendai- und SDG-Zielen berichten

Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks.

Open the run

04A run

Index Studio, end to end

A custom index passes the same licence gate, uncertainty analysis, validation suite and review as NXS-GRX itself before it reaches your tenant.

on: studio project created

Eigenen Index im Index Studio erstellen

In progressTriggered by You9 jobs2 approval gates2 matrix jobs5 checks1 deployment

Graph
01Geltungsbereich
02Geltungsbereich
03Daten
04Daten
05Construct
06Construct
07Testen
08Testen
09Ship

100%
Zeitachse
Job0 d1 d2 d3 d4 d5 dTarget
Define scope and questionYouinstant
Select indicatorsYouinstant
Licence and coverage gateNXS-GRX run serviceinstant
Harmonise and imputeNXS-GRX run service1 h
Normalise, weight and aggregateYouinstant
Uncertainty: 1,000 drawsMonte Carlo engine1 h
Validation suiteNXS-GRX run service1 h
Method reviewIndex editors5 d
Publish to your tenantNXS-GRX Platforminstant

End to end on the longest path: about 5.1 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Schritte
  1. Define scope and question

    Scope · You · instant
    Entities: countries, ADM areas, sites or assets · Question and decision the index serves · Risk-chain components to cover
    Index Studio
  2. Select indicators

    Scope · You · self-serve
    Search 451 indicator definitions · Add your own indicators · Polarity and unit checked
    Index Studioindicator standard
  3. Licence and coverage gate approval

    Data · NXS-GRX run service · automatic
    Each input’s licence checked for the use · Coverage per entity measured · Gaps flagged, never zero-filled
    LizenzregisterPostgreSQL-Register (Sicherheit auf Zeilenebene)
  4. Harmonise and impute matrix · indicators × entities

    Data · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Units and periods aligned · Flagged imputation only at indicator level
    NXS-GRX-AusführungsdienstIndikatorstandard
  5. Normalise, weight and aggregate

    Construct · You · self-serve
    Normalisation per indicator · Expert or statistical weights · Geometric, arithmetic or penalised aggregation
    Index StudioTested model kernels
  6. Uncertainty: 1,000 draws matrix · 1,000 draws

    Construct · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour
    Weights, normalisation and imputation varied · 90% intervals and class probabilities
    Monte-Carlo-Engine
  7. Validation suite

    Test · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Internal coherence · Sensitivity (Sobol) · Correlation with established indices · Leave-one-out stability
    Verification engineTested model kernels
  8. Methodenprüfung Freigabe

    Test · Index editors · 5 days
    Method and tests reviewed · Disposition recorded
    PostgreSQL-Register (Sicherheit auf Zeilenebene)
  9. Publish to your tenant

    Ship · NXS-GRX Platform · instant
    API endpoint and tiles · Dashboard and embeds · Model card
    Private tenant (row-level security)Public cut APIVector tiles
Artefakte
Artefakt Auftrag Wer Stufe
Studio project Define scope and question Sie Geltungsbereich
Indicator set Select indicators Sie Geltungsbereich
Coverage report Licence and coverage gate NXS-GRX-Ausführungsdienst Daten
Harmonised panel Harmonise and impute NXS-GRX-Ausführungsdienst Daten
Method record Normalise, weight and aggregate Sie Construct
Draws file with seed Uncertainty: 1,000 draws Monte-Carlo-Engine Construct
Validierungsbericht Validation suite NXS-GRX-Ausführungsdienst Testen
Review note Methodenprüfung Index-Redaktion Testen
Index endpoint Publish to your tenant NXS-GRX Platform Ship
Model card Publish to your tenant NXS-GRX Platform Ship
ErledigtIn BearbeitungWartet auf FreigabeQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here
Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
05Lösungen

Built for each kind of institution

Öffentlicher Sektor

Regierungen und nationale Behörden

Prioritise prevention, plan subnationally and report on Sendai and SDG targets with national data in national scope.

See the solution Public sector

Multilaterale Organisationen und Entwicklungsbanken

Screen country and project context, read fiscal resilience and protection gaps, and design pre-arranged finance.

See the solution Public sector

UN-System und humanitäre Organisationen

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution Public sector

Zentralbanken und Aufsichtsbehörden

Aufsichtliche Szenarien entwerfen, systemische Kopplung lesen und Methoden replizieren.

See the solution Enterprise

Versicherer und Rückversicherer

Read hazard, exposure and protection gaps, run tails and study parametric index design.

See the solution Enterprise

Banken und Vermögensverwalter

Read sovereign and systemic context, run climate pathways and build portfolio postures.

See the solution Enterprise

Unternehmen und Lieferketten

Standorte und Lieferanten prüfen, Engpässe beobachten und den Länderkontext aktuell halten.

See the solution Public sector

Städte und Infrastrukturbetreiber

Read hexagon-level hazard and dependency layers for planning, investment and continuity.

See the solution Open commons

Forschung und Wissenschaft

Jeden Wert replizieren, die Methoden studieren und erweitern, Daten und Prüfungen beitragen.

See the solution Open commons

Entwickler und Entwickler von Frontier-Technologien

Build applications, models and agents on open risk data with clear licences and attribution.

See the solution Open commons

Zivilgesellschaft und NGOs

Programme mit offenen Profilen gezielt ansprechen und lokale Evidenz beitragen.

See the solution Open commons

Medien und Bürgerinnen und Bürger

Explain risk with intervals and classes, and embed maps and charts with attribution.

See the solution

06Portfolio

13 products and services

OPENCountry risk profiles195 country profiles: twenty domain indices, four pillars, the composite with intervals and class, the hazard profile, Nexus couplings, instruments and sources. OPENSpecialised index seriesGlobal, sector, strategic-system, technology, thematic and regional series, each with its own method record, indicator set and edition. OPENMethodology, indicator standard and crosswalksThe full construction method, the indicator definitions, the hazard keys and crosswalks to source code lists and established indices. INSTNXS-GRX API and data servicesREST endpoints, SDMX-compatible observation keys, vector tiles (ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3), bulk files and webhooks for threshold crossings; public anonymous cut for open values. INSTPulse and watchlistsWeekly nowcast by country and domain with signals for review and subscriber alerts. Signals are information for review, not warnings. INSTOutlook forecastsProbabilistic outlooks at 1, 3, 12 and 36 months for defined events, with verification scorecards. INSTScenario and stress-test packsPathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests (compound hazards, transition shocks, fiscal shocks) for planning and supervisory exercises. INSTTail and protection-gap analyticsExceedance curves, return-period losses and protection-gap readings where loss can be modelled, and the catastrophic risk register. INSTBespoke and portfolio indicesIndices built for a sector, portfolio, supply chain, city or project on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. Portfolio postures are exposure-weighted views, never ratings. INSTSubnational and hexagon risk layersADM1, ADM2 and H3 layers for site screening, planning and allocation. PROGNational index co-developmentA national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope, with a public-safe cut where they choose. PROGTraining and capacity buildingCourses and labs with the Risk Academy on composite indicators, uncertainty, forecasting verification and risk communication. PROGMethod review and replicationReplication packs and method reviews of risk indices, including NXS-GRX itself, using the published construction steps.
07Every product

What every product carries

Intervals everywhere

Every value with a 90% interval and class probability.

Driver decomposition

Each value broken down to indicator contributions.

What changed and why

Every update explains its movement by indicator and source.

Provenance on click

Source release, licence, method version and transformation chain.

Coupled and standalone

Systemic coupling shown beside standalone risk.

Method explainer

Interactive aggregation explainer on every index page, run on your own numbers.

Machine access

API, SDMX keys, tiles, bulk files, JSON-LD on every page.

Corrections in public

Correction log and propagation to every dependent value.

Both themes, accessible

Light and dark, keyboard navigation, no colour-only meaning.

Live where licensed

Pages hydrate from the NXS-GRX public cut; static pages stay complete without it.

08Nutzungsbedingungen

Nutzungsbedingungen

The NXS-GRX platform as designed: product lines, access layers, audiences, the user lifecycle and the journeys that run each step. Availability is stated per capability; nothing here is offered as a rating, warning, benchmark, certification or advice. Target service levels are proposals for design review.

NIS outputs are indicator composites with published methodology, not opinions on the creditworthiness of any entity, debt or issuer, and use no rating-category scale (EU Regulation 1060/2009 and equivalents).

NIS indices are not licensed as benchmarks for financial instruments, financial contracts or fund performance; any such use needs a separate licence and an administrator assessment under the EU and UK Benchmarks Regulations and the IOSCO principles.

NIS outputs are Nexus-modelled; they are not official statistics and are not endorsed by any source publisher.

NIS outputs must not be used to evaluate natural persons (creditworthiness, insurance pricing, access to essential services); such uses are high-risk under the EU AI Act Annex III.

Formular

Request institutional access

Requests for the engines, API keys, bulk files and service levels for institutions; the reply states plan, terms and limits.

  1. 01AusfüllenMit (erforderlich) markierte Felder sind Pflicht; alles andere hilft bei der Prüfung.
  2. 02ReferenzSie erhalten eine Referenz auf dem Bildschirm; der Eintrag wird in der WordPress-Datenbank dieser Website gespeichert.
  3. 03PrüfungDas Ergebnis wird öffentlich festgehalten. Kontaktdaten bleiben auf dieser Website und werden nie veröffentlicht oder weitergegeben.
Form · grx-access

Dieses Formular öffnet sich hier, sobald es freigeschaltet ist. Bis dahin senden Sie es bitte über das Nexus Reports Gateway.

Build on NXS-GRX

Start free on the open commons, or talk to the Secretariat about enterprise, public-sector and sovereign deployments.

Start free Talk to the Secretariat

Status

Methodik, Struktur und Definitionen des Global Risks Index sind ein vorbereitender Arbeitsentwurf (2026), der zur Prüfung und Stellungnahme und nicht zur Umsetzung verbreitet wird. Kein Wert erscheint, bevor eine Ausgabe aus einem geregelten Evidenzschnitt veröffentlicht ist; die Werte tragen dann Intervalle, Klassen, Quellen und ihren Korrekturweg. Die Simulatoren wenden die veröffentlichten Methoden auf Zahlen an, die Sie wählen, und zeigen niemals einen NXS-GRX-Wert.

Was NXS-GRX nicht ist

NXS-GRX ist eine Forschungs- und Risikoanalyseinformation. Es ist kein Kredit- oder ESG-Rating und verwendet keine Ratingskala, kein Referenzwert für Finanzinstrumente, keine amtliche Statistik, keine Notfallwarnung oder amtliche Einstufung und keine Beratung. Es darf nicht zur Bewertung natürlicher Personen verwendet werden. Risikoklassen sind Bänder auf einer veröffentlichten Skala, niemals Rangfolgen von Ländern oder Personen.

Pulse-Signale und Ausblickwahrscheinlichkeiten sind Informationen zur Prüfung durch zuständige Behörden, niemals öffentliche Warnungen; amtliche Warnungen kommen nur von beauftragten Behörden.

Institutionen und Quellen

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Jeder Wert trägt die Namensnennung seiner Quellen, die ihre eigenen Lizenzen behalten. Externe Namen werden nur zur Interoperabilität zitiert. Von Nexus verfasste Texte sollen bei Veröffentlichung unter CC BY 4.0 stehen.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.