Every journey, as a run you can follow
Each action on NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) is a workflow with named jobs, the people who act, the technology each job runs on, the checks it must pass and the gates where it waits for review.
Szenario oder Stresstest durchführen
End to end on the longest path: about 2.2 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.
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Choose the scenario familyDesign · You · instantWarming, socio-economic or transition families · Or a structured shock: fiscal, compound hazard, supplyModel Lab
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Configure shocks and horizonDesign · You · self-serveShock size, timing and entry points · Horizon to 2030, 2050 or 2100Model LabTested model kernels
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Model runs matrix · entities × scenarios × drawsRun · Model Lab · 3 hoursKernels from the method library · Seeds recorded per runModel LabTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
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Coupling propagationPropagate · Dependency network · 1 hourDebtRank and threshold cascades · Cross-border spilloversAbhängigkeitsnetzGetestete Modellkerne
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Tail and exceedancePropagate · Model Lab · 1 hourExceedance curves · 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 losses · Expected shortfallMonte-Carlo-Engine
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Results and driversRead · You · instantFan charts against class bounds · Driver decomposition · Export with citationModel LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
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Analyst sign-off approvalRead · Your reviewer · 2 daysAssumptions and limits recordedPostgreSQL-Register (Sicherheit auf Zeilenebene)
| Artefakt | Auftrag | Wer | Stufe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario spec | Choose the scenario family | Sie | Design |
| Run configuration | Configure shocks and horizon | Sie | Design |
| Run record with seed and digest | Model runs | Model Lab | Run |
| Cascade paths | Coupling propagation | Abhängigkeitsnetz | Propagate |
| Tail report | Tail and exceedance | Model Lab | Propagate |
| Results pack | Results and drivers | Sie | Lesen |
| Sign-off | Analyst sign-off | Your reviewer | Lesen |
Read profiles, maps and series; find the indicator or hazard behind a value.
Eine Berichtigung einreichen
A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernEine API-Anfrage
What happens to a single public request, from the edge to an attributed, licence-filtered response. 6 jobs.
Open the run
Compose a custom index, fuse your data, or build an application on the open API.
Eigenen Index im Index Studio erstellen
Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Data · BuildEigene Daten einbringen
Fuse your own data with NXS-GRX in a private scope: mapped to Indicator Standard, quality-checked and never shared outside your tenant. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · BuildAuf der offenen API aufbauen
Free access to the open cut for applications, research, agents and newsrooms, with licences and attribution resolved for you. 5 jobs.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Data · BuildVon Satellitenbildern zu einem kartierten Risikoprodukt
Search imagery, pass the licence gate, make scenes comparable, detect change, put exposure on H3 cells and publish a spatial risk product as tiles, with every scene and source in its lineage. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.
Open the run
Run scenarios, stress tests, tails and cascades on the method library.
Szenario oder Stresstest durchführen
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
Models of the Index · ModelEinen parametrischen Auslöser entwerfen
Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Intelligence · ModelEin Risiko-Intelligence-Produkt mit der Risk Engine erstellen
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. 10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
Backtest, verify, run sensitivity and reproduce any value from its seed and digest.
Modell testen und validieren
Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Indices · TestJeden Wert reproduzieren
Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.
Open the run
Move from sandbox to production, into a private tenant or a sovereign instance.
API-Zugang beantragen
Institutional access to the NXS-GRX API with service levels, contracted with GCRI Canada. 6 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · DeploySouveräne Instanz bereitstellen
A NXS-GRX instance in national scope: national data stays in country, the national index is co-produced, and a public-safe cut is released only if the institution chooses. 7 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.
Open the run
Production throughput, streaming, webhooks and service levels.
In die Produktion skalieren
From sandbox to production traffic: load testing, keys, streaming and webhooks, with usage and service levels watched continuously. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Data · ScalePortfolio oder Lieferkette prüfen
Locations, assets, suppliers or sovereign exposures matched and overlaid with hazard, country and coupling layers, then read as a portfolio posture. 6 jobs · 3 checks.
Open the run
Watchlists, Pulse, outlooks and analyst-reviewed briefings.
Ein Signal zur Prüfung
How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Intelligence · MonitorMit Beobachtungslisten und Warnungen überwachen
Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Intelligence · MonitorHorizon Scan und Briefing
Emerging risks found, scored for likelihood and impact with uncertainty, and turned into a briefing after review. 6 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.
Recht auf Erwiderung des Landes
A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernDatensatz anbieten
A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernEinen maßgeschneiderten Index beauftragen
A sector, portfolio, city or project index built on the Indicator Standard grammar with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. 7 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernEinen nationalen Index gemeinsam entwickeln
A national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope. 7 jobs · 2 gates.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernSzenariopaket anfordern
Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernDurchlauf zur Veröffentlichung der Ausgabe
From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates.
Open the run
NXS-GRX · GovernExpertengutachter werden
Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate.
Open the run
NXS-GRX Platform · GovernZu Sendai- und SDG-Zielen berichten
Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks.
Open the run
Start a journey
The open commons is free; enterprise and public-sector journeys are agreed with the Secretariat.
Status
Methodik, Struktur und Definitionen des Global Risks Index sind ein vorbereitender Arbeitsentwurf (2026), der zur Prüfung und Stellungnahme und nicht zur Umsetzung verbreitet wird. Kein Wert erscheint, bevor eine Ausgabe aus einem geregelten Evidenzschnitt veröffentlicht ist; die Werte tragen dann Intervalle, Klassen, Quellen und ihren Korrekturweg. Die Simulatoren wenden die veröffentlichten Methoden auf Zahlen an, die Sie wählen, und zeigen niemals einen NXS-GRX-Wert.
Was NXS-GRX nicht ist
NXS-GRX ist eine Forschungs- und Risikoanalyseinformation. Es ist kein Kredit- oder ESG-Rating und verwendet keine Ratingskala, kein Referenzwert für Finanzinstrumente, keine amtliche Statistik, keine Notfallwarnung oder amtliche Einstufung und keine Beratung. Es darf nicht zur Bewertung natürlicher Personen verwendet werden. Risikoklassen sind Bänder auf einer veröffentlichten Skala, niemals Rangfolgen von Ländern oder Personen.
Institutionen und Quellen
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Jeder Wert trägt die Namensnennung seiner Quellen, die ihre eigenen Lizenzen behalten. Externe Namen werden nur zur Interoperabilität zitiert. Von Nexus verfasste Texte sollen bei Veröffentlichung unter CC BY 4.0 stehen.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.