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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · 26 journeys

Every journey, as a run you can follow

Each action on NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) is a workflow with named jobs, the people who act, the technology each job runs on, the checks it must pass and the gates where it waits for review.

Build an index Platform
Halaman GRX-JRNEdisi Edisi Dasar 2026Batas akhir bukti 2026-09-30Nilai belum diterbitkanMetode v1.0.0-draft

on: scenario run requested

Jalankan skenario atau uji tekanan

In progressTriggered by Risk analyst7 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Grafik
01Design
02Design
03Run
04Propagate
05Baca
06Baca

100%
Linimasa
Job0 h10 h20 h30 h40 h50 hTarget
Choose the scenario familyYouinstant
Configure shocks and horizonYouinstant
Model runsModel Lab3 h
Coupling propagationDependency network1 h
Tail and exceedanceModel Lab1 h
Results and driversYouinstant
Analyst sign-offYour reviewer2 d

End to end on the longest path: about 2.2 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Langkah
  1. Choose the scenario family

    Design · You · instant
    Warming, socio-economic or transition families · Or a structured shock: fiscal, compound hazard, supply
    Model Lab
  2. Configure shocks and horizon

    Design · You · self-serve
    Shock size, timing and entry points · Horizon to 2030, 2050 or 2100
    Model LabTested model kernels
  3. Model runs matrix · entities × scenarios × draws

    Run · Model Lab · 3 hours
    Kernels from the method library · Seeds recorded per run
    Model LabTested model kernelsMonte Carlo engine
  4. Coupling propagation

    Propagate · Dependency network · 1 hour
    DebtRank and threshold cascades · Cross-border spillovers
    Jaringan ketergantunganKernel model yang telah diuji
  5. Tail and exceedance

    Propagate · Model Lab · 1 hour
    Exceedance curves · 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 losses · Expected shortfall
    Mesin Monte Carlo
  6. Results and drivers

    Read · You · instant
    Fan charts against class bounds · Driver decomposition · Export with citation
    Model LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
  7. Analyst sign-off approval

    Read · Your reviewer · 2 days
    Assumptions and limits recorded
    Buku besar PostgreSQL (keamanan tingkat baris)
Artefak
Artefak Pekerjaan Siapa Tahap
Scenario spec Choose the scenario family Anda Design
Run configuration Configure shocks and horizon Anda Design
Run record with seed and digest Model runs Model Lab Run
Cascade paths Coupling propagation Jaringan ketergantungan Propagate
Tail report Tail and exceedance Model Lab Propagate
Results pack Results and drivers Anda Baca
Sign-off Analyst sign-off Your reviewer Baca
SelesaiSedang berjalanMenunggu persetujuanDalam antreanGerbang persetujuanTugas matriksAnda di sini
Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
26
journeys
179
jobs
27
approval gates
57
checks

01Jelajahi

Read profiles, maps and series; find the indicator or hazard behind a value.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Ajukan koreksi

A correction to a value or a definition travels from the gateway to a recomputed, steward-reviewed and logged result. 10 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Satu permintaan API

What happens to a single public request, from the edge to an attributed, licence-filtered response. 6 jobs.

Open the run

02Bangun

Compose a custom index, fuse your data, or build an application on the open API.

NXS-GRX Indices · Build

Bangun indeks khusus di Index Studio

Compose an index for a portfolio, sector, city or supply chain on the Indicator Standard grammar, with the same uncertainty, tests and provenance as NXS-GRX itself. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Build

Gunakan data Anda sendiri

Fuse your own data with NXS-GRX in a private scope: mapped to Indicator Standard, quality-checked and never shared outside your tenant. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Build

Bangun di atas API terbuka

Free access to the open cut for applications, research, agents and newsrooms, with licences and attribution resolved for you. 5 jobs.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Build

Dari citra satelit ke produk risiko terpetakan

Search imagery, pass the licence gate, make scenes comparable, detect change, put exposure on H3 cells and publish a spatial risk product as tiles, with every scene and source in its lineage. 9 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run

03Model

Run scenarios, stress tests, tails and cascades on the method library.

Models of the Index · Model

Jalankan skenario atau uji tekanan

Configure a pathway or a structured shock, run it across entities and draws in Model Lab, propagate it through the coupling network and read the tails. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run Models of the Index · Model

Rancang pemicu parametrik

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Model

Susun produk intelijen risiko dengan mesin risiko

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. 10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run

04Uji

Backtest, verify, run sensitivity and reproduce any value from its seed and digest.

Models of the Index · Test

Uji dan validasi model

Every model version is backtested, scored out of sample, compared with established indices and documented in a model card before use. 7 jobs · 1 gate · 11 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Indices · Test

Reproduksi nilai apa pun

Fetch the replication pack for any published value and recompute it from the same inputs, kernel and seed; the digest must match. 5 jobs · 4 checks.

Open the run

05Deploy

Move from sandbox to production, into a private tenant or a sovereign instance.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Minta akses API

Institutional access to the NXS-GRX API with service levels, contracted with GCRI Canada. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Deploy

Terapkan instans berdaulat

A NXS-GRX instance in national scope: national data stays in country, the national index is co-produced, and a public-safe cut is released only if the institution chooses. 7 jobs · 2 gates · 5 checks.

Open the run

06Scale

Production throughput, streaming, webhooks and service levels.

NXS-GRX Platform · Scale

Tingkatkan ke skala produksi

From sandbox to production traffic: load testing, keys, streaming and webhooks, with usage and service levels watched continuously. 6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks.

Open the run NXS-GRX Data · Scale

Saring portofolio atau rantai pasok

Locations, assets, suppliers or sovereign exposures matched and overlaid with hazard, country and coupling layers, then read as a portfolio posture. 6 jobs · 3 checks.

Open the run

07Pantau

Watchlists, Pulse, outlooks and analyst-reviewed briefings.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Sinyal untuk ditinjau

How a weekly anomaly becomes a signal for review by competent authorities, never a public warning. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Pantau dengan daftar pantauan dan peringatan

Watch countries, areas, sites or domains: Pulse nowcasts and outlook changes become signals, reviewed by an analyst before anything reaches you. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Intelligence · Monitor

Pemindaian horizon dan ringkasan

Emerging risks found, scored for likelihood and impact with uncertainty, and turned into a briefing after review. 6 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run

08Tata kelola

Corrections, right of reply, review gates, releases and reporting.

NXS-GRX · Govern

Hak jawab negara

A government or national institution replies to a profile; the reply is reviewed in public and published beside the profile. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Tawarkan set data

A dataset enters NXS-GRX only through a registered source with a recorded licence, then is harmonised and mapped to indicators. 8 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Pesan indeks khusus

A sector, portfolio, city or project index built on the Indicator Standard grammar with the same uncertainty and provenance discipline. 7 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Kembangkan indeks nasional bersama

A national or regional NXS-GRX built with national institutions on their own data and priorities, in their own scope. 7 jobs · 2 gates.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Minta paket skenario

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Proses rilis edisi

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. 13 jobs · 2 gates.

Open the run NXS-GRX · Govern

Jadilah peninjau pakar

Experts review domain indices, instruments and regions, with declared interests and credit. 5 jobs · 1 gate.

Open the run NXS-GRX Platform · Govern

Laporkan capaian target Sendai dan TPB

Assemble indicator evidence for Sendai Framework and SDG reporting from national and NXS-GRX sources, reviewed nationally before submission. 5 jobs · 1 gate · 4 checks.

Open the run

Start a journey

The open commons is free; enterprise and public-sector journeys are agreed with the Secretariat.

Start free

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.