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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Intelligence · Model · on: product requested

リスクエンジンでリスクインテリジェンスのプロダクトを構成

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level.

Follow the run All journeys
ページ GRX-JRN-COMPOSE-PRODUCT版 ベースライン版 2026エビデンス締め切り 2026-09-30雇用 10値 未公開手法 v1.0.0-draft
on: product requested · Compose a risk intelligence product with the risk engine10 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks
  1. Resolve context instant
  2. Purpose and rights check automatic
  3. Discover capabilities instant
  4. Route by quality of intelligence instant
  5. Compile the DAG plan instant
  6. Run governed science operational
  7. Compose across domains instant
  8. Evidence and assurance gate automatic
  9. Project the product instant
  10. Lineage and correction continuous

01モデル化する

リスクエンジンでリスクインテリジェンスのプロダクトを構成

The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level.

on: product requested

リスクエンジンでリスクインテリジェンスのプロダクトを構成

In progressTriggered by You or your system10 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job5 checks1 deployment

グラフ
01背景
02背景
03Plan
04Plan
05Plan
06Run
07Run
08確認
09提供する
10提供する

100%
タイムライン
Job0 h1 hTarget
Resolve contextRisk engineinstant
Purpose and rights checkIdentity and policy authorityinstant
Discover capabilitiesRisk engineinstant
Route by quality of intelligenceRisk engineinstant
Compile the DAG planRisk engineinstant
Run governed scienceNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run serviceoperational
Compose across domainsRisk engineinstant
Evidence and assurance gateRisk engineinstant
Project the productRisk engineinstant
Lineage and correctionRisk enginecontinuous

End to end on the longest path: about 1.1 h of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

ステップ
  1. Resolve context

    Context · Risk engine · instant
    Place, time, asset or portfolio resolved to UNIs · Purpose and tenant scope bound to the request · Source assertions kept, never merged silently
    Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogue
  2. Purpose and rights check approval

    Context · Identity and policy authority · automatic
    Identity and purpose verified · Rights, sovereignty and disclosure policy applied · Refusal is typed, never silent
    FoundryLicence register
  3. Discover capabilities

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Capabilities found by stable ID and version, never by title · Implementation and release state read per capability · Held capabilities excluded
    リスクエンジンテスト済みのモデル・カーネル
  4. Route by quality of intelligence

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Paths scored on latency class and scientific assurance · Fastest path that meets the assurance asked for · Trade-off recorded
    リスクエンジン
  5. Compile the DAG plan

    Plan · Risk engine · instant
    Dependencies ordered topologically · Cycles refused · Plan versioned and hashed
    リスクエンジンNXS-GRX 実行サービス
  6. Run governed science matrix ·

    Run · NXS-GRX run service · operational
    Each node runs on its bound kernel · Seeds, inputs and versions recorded · Failures stay failures
    NXS-GRX 実行サービステスト済みのモデル・カーネルモンテカルロ・エンジン
  7. Compose across domains

    Run · Risk engine · instant
    Products joined on the risk product graph · Weakest assurance carried forward · Every upstream evidence reference kept
    リスクエンジン来歴（W3C PROV）
  8. Evidence and assurance gate

    Check · Risk engine · automatic
    Supported claim level never raised above its inputs · Missing evidence fails closed as INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE · High-reliance projections need complete evidence
    Verification engineProvenance (W3C PROV)
  9. Project the product

    Deliver · Risk engine · instant
    Scalar, table, series, distribution, features, network or evidence pack · Agent-context, feature-vector and compact forms · Each projection carries its UNI and lineage
    リスクエンジン公開カットの APIベクタータイル
  10. Lineage and correction

    Deliver · Risk engine · continuous
    Derivation and composition edges recorded · A superseded input marks every dependent product SUPERSEDED · Stale intelligence never stays current
    訂正履歴PostgreSQL 台帳（行レベル・セキュリティ）
成果物
成果物 ジョブ 担当 段階
Resolved context Resolve context リスクエンジン 背景
Policy decision Purpose and rights check Identity and policy authority 背景
Capability set Discover capabilities リスクエンジン Plan
Route decision Route by quality of intelligence リスクエンジン Plan
Execution plan Compile the DAG plan リスクエンジン Plan
Upstream products Run governed science NXS-GRX 実行サービス Run
Composite product Compose across domains リスクエンジン Run
Assurance record Evidence and assurance gate リスクエンジン 確認
Projection Project the product リスクエンジン 提供する
Lineage graph Lineage and correction リスクエンジン 提供する
Correction notices Lineage and correction リスクエンジン 提供する
完了進行中承認待ちQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobTest jobDeploymentYou are here
The risk engine resolves context, discovers capabilities by stable ID, routes by quality of intelligence, runs governed science and composes a product that keeps every input’s evidence and supported claim level. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02対象者

Solutions that use this journey

Open to every reader. This journey is part of the open commons and governance of NXS-GRX.
03技術

13 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Risk engineNS-1 UNI catalogueFoundryLicence registerTested model kernelsNXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engineProvenance (W3C PROV)Verification enginePublic cut APIVector tilesCorrection logPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)

Part of NXS-GRX Intelligence: Pulse nowcasts, calibrated outlooks, horizon scanning, watchlists and analyst-reviewed briefings, with every signal kept apart from an official warning.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

お問い合わせ

ステータス

The Global Risks Index の手法、構造、定義は準備段階の作業草案（2026 年）であり、レビューと意見募集のために配布されているもので、実施を目的としたものではありません。管理されたエビデンスの区切りから版が公表されるまで、値は一切表示されません。公表後の値には、区間、区分、出典、訂正の経路が付されます。シミュレーターは、公表された手法をあなたが選んだ数値で実行するものであり、NXS-GRX の値を表示することはありません。

NXS-GRX ではないもの

NXS-GRX は研究およびリスク分析の情報です。信用格付や ESG 格付ではなく、格付尺度を用いず、金融商品のベンチマークでも、公的統計でも、緊急警報や公式分類でも、助言でもありません。自然人の評価に用いてはなりません。リスククラスは公開された尺度上の区分であり、国や人の順位付けではありません。

機関と情報源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

すべての値には情報源の帰属表示が付され、情報源はそれぞれ独自のライセンスを保持します。外部の名称は相互運用性のためにのみ引用しています。Nexus が執筆したテキストは、公開時に CC BY 4.0 とする予定です。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.