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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Govern · on: evidence cut

版本发布运行

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release.

Follow the run All journeys
页面 GRX-JRN-RELEASE版本 2026 基线版证据截止 2026-09-30就业 13数值 尚未发布方法 v1.0.0-draft
on: evidence cut · Edition release run13 jobs · 2 gates
  1. Evidence cut frozen 1 hour
  2. Licence gate 1 hour
  3. Harmonise 6 hours
  4. Indicators 4 hours
  5. Sub-indices 1 hour
  6. Domain indices 1 hour
  7. Coupling score 2 hours
  8. 1,000 Monte Carlo draws 3 hours
  9. Intervals, classes, Sobol 1 hour
  10. Statistical audit 10 days
  11. Steward review 10 days
  12. Profiles and series 2 hours
  13. Tiles and bulk files 2 hours

01流程

版本发布运行

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release.

on: evidence cut

版本发布运行

In progressTriggered by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run service13 jobs2 approval gates6 matrix jobs

流程图
01Cut
02Ingest
03Ingest
04指标
05指数
06指数
07指数
08不确定性
09不确定性
10评审
11评审
12发布

100%
时间线
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 dTarget
Evidence cut frozenNXS-GRX run service1 h
Licence gateLicence register1 h
HarmoniseNXS-GRX run service6 h
IndicatorsNXS-GRX run service4 h
Sub-indicesNXS-GRX run service1 h
Domain indicesNXS-GRX run service1 h
Coupling scoreNXS-GRX run service2 h
1,000 Monte Carlo drawsMonte Carlo engine3 h
Intervals, classes, SobolMonte Carlo engine1 h
Statistical auditIndependent reviewer10 d
Steward reviewStewards10 d
Profiles and seriesFoundry2 h
Tiles and bulk filesFoundry2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 20.9 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. Evidence cut frozen

    Cut · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Input vintages pinned
    NXS-GRX 运行服务PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  2. 许可门槛

    Ingest · Licence register · 1 hour
    Admitted, isolated or withheld
    许可登记册
  3. Harmonise matrix · 150 sources

    Ingest · NXS-GRX run service · 6 hours
    Units, areas, time
    NXS-GRX 运行服务指标标准
  4. Indicators matrix · 451 × 195

    Indicators · NXS-GRX run service · 4 hours
    Derivations, flagged imputation
    NXS-GRX 运行服务指标标准
  5. Sub-indices matrix · 86

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Normalise, weight, aggregate
    NXS-GRX 运行服务经测试的模型内核
  6. Domain indices matrix · 20

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    二十个领域指数
    NXS-GRX 运行服务经测试的模型内核
  7. Coupling score

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 2 hours
    DebtRank, clearing, cascades
    依赖网络经测试的模型内核
  8. 1,000 Monte Carlo draws matrix · 1,000

    Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 3 hours
    Weights, normalisation, aggregation, imputation
    蒙特卡罗引擎
  9. Intervals, classes, Sobol

    Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour
    90% intervals · Class probabilities · Sensitivity
    蒙特卡罗引擎
  10. Statistical audit approval

    Review · Independent reviewer · 10 days
    Coherence, stability
    经测试的模型内核
  11. Steward review approval

    Review · Stewards · 10 days
    Method, evidence, public-safe screen
    PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  12. Profiles and series matrix · 195 + 59

    Publish · Foundry · 2 hours
    Published with intervals
    Public cut APINS-1 UNI catalogue
  13. Tiles and bulk files

    Publish · Foundry · 2 hours
    ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3 · Deposit with DOI
    矢量瓦片Zenodo 存缴
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
Cut record Evidence cut frozen NXS-GRX 运行服务 Cut
Withheld counts 许可门槛 许可登记册 Ingest
HAR series Harmonise NXS-GRX 运行服务 Ingest
IND values 指标 NXS-GRX 运行服务 指标
SUB values Sub-indices NXS-GRX 运行服务 指数
IDX values 领域指数 NXS-GRX 运行服务 指数
S per country Coupling score NXS-GRX 运行服务 指数
Draw set with seed 1,000 Monte Carlo draws 蒙特卡罗引擎 不确定性
Uncertainty report Intervals, classes, Sobol 蒙特卡罗引擎 不确定性
Audit note Statistical audit Independent reviewer 评审
Release decision Steward review 管理方 评审
版本 Profiles and series Foundry 发布
瓦片 Tiles and bulk files Foundry 发布
DOI Tiles and bulk files Foundry 发布
已完成进行中等待批准排队中审批关口矩阵作业当前位置
From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02面向谁

Solutions that use this journey

Open to every reader. This journey is part of the open commons and governance of NXS-GRX.
03技术

11 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

NXS-GRX run servicePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Licence registerindicator standardTested model kernelsDependency networkMonte Carlo enginePublic cut APINS-1 UNI catalogueVector tilesZenodo deposit

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

联系

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.