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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Govern · on: evidence cut

Edition release run

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release.

Follow the run All journeys
Page GRX-JRN-RELEASEEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Jobs 13Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
on: evidence cut · Edition release run13 jobs · 2 gates
  1. Evidence cut frozen 1 hour
  2. Licence gate 1 hour
  3. Harmonise 6 hours
  4. Indicators 4 hours
  5. Sub-indices 1 hour
  6. Domain indices 1 hour
  7. Coupling score 2 hours
  8. 1,000 Monte Carlo draws 3 hours
  9. Intervals, classes, Sobol 1 hour
  10. Statistical audit 10 days
  11. Steward review 10 days
  12. Profiles and series 2 hours
  13. Tiles and bulk files 2 hours

01Journey

Edition release run

From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release.

on: evidence cut

Edition release run

In progressTriggered by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) run service13 jobs2 approval gates6 matrix jobs

Graph
01Cut
02Ingest
03Ingest
04اشاریے
05Indices
06Indices
07Indices
08غیر یقینی صورتحال
09غیر یقینی صورتحال
10جائزہ
11جائزہ
12Publish

100%
Timeline
Job0 d5 d10 d15 d20 dTarget
Evidence cut frozenNXS-GRX run service1 h
Licence gateLicence register1 h
HarmoniseNXS-GRX run service6 h
IndicatorsNXS-GRX run service4 h
Sub-indicesNXS-GRX run service1 h
Domain indicesNXS-GRX run service1 h
Coupling scoreNXS-GRX run service2 h
1,000 Monte Carlo drawsMonte Carlo engine3 h
Intervals, classes, SobolMonte Carlo engine1 h
Statistical auditIndependent reviewer10 d
Steward reviewStewards10 d
Profiles and seriesFoundry2 h
Tiles and bulk filesFoundry2 h

End to end on the longest path: about 20.9 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Evidence cut frozen

    Cut · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Input vintages pinned
    NXS-GRX run servicePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  2. Licence gate

    Ingest · Licence register · 1 hour
    Admitted, isolated or withheld
    Licence register
  3. Harmonise matrix · 150 sources

    Ingest · NXS-GRX run service · 6 hours
    Units, areas, time
    NXS-GRX run serviceindicator standard
  4. Indicators matrix · 451 × 195

    Indicators · NXS-GRX run service · 4 hours
    Derivations, flagged imputation
    NXS-GRX run serviceindicator standard
  5. Sub-indices matrix · 86

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Normalise, weight, aggregate
    NXS-GRX run serviceTested model kernels
  6. Domain indices matrix · 20

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 1 hour
    Twenty domain indices
    NXS-GRX run serviceTested model kernels
  7. Coupling score

    Indices · NXS-GRX run service · 2 hours
    DebtRank, clearing, cascades
    Dependency networkTested model kernels
  8. 1,000 Monte Carlo draws matrix · 1,000

    Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 3 hours
    Weights, normalisation, aggregation, imputation
    Monte Carlo engine
  9. Intervals, classes, Sobol

    Uncertainty · Monte Carlo engine · 1 hour
    90% intervals · Class probabilities · Sensitivity
    Monte Carlo engine
  10. Statistical audit approval

    Review · Independent reviewer · 10 days
    Coherence, stability
    Tested model kernels
  11. Steward review approval

    Review · Stewards · 10 days
    Method, evidence, public-safe screen
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  12. Profiles and series matrix · 195 + 59

    Publish · Foundry · 2 hours
    Published with intervals
    Public cut APINS-1 UNI catalogue
  13. Tiles and bulk files

    Publish · Foundry · 2 hours
    ISO3, ADM1, ADM2, H3 · Deposit with DOI
    Vector tilesZenodo deposit
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Stage
Cut record Evidence cut frozen NXS-GRX run service Cut
Withheld counts Licence gate Licence register Ingest
HAR series Harmonise NXS-GRX run service Ingest
IND values اشاریے NXS-GRX run service اشاریے
SUB values Sub-indices NXS-GRX run service Indices
IDX values Domain indices NXS-GRX run service Indices
S per country Coupling score NXS-GRX run service Indices
Draw set with seed 1,000 Monte Carlo draws Monte Carlo engine غیر یقینی صورتحال
Uncertainty report Intervals, classes, Sobol Monte Carlo engine غیر یقینی صورتحال
Audit note Statistical audit Independent reviewer جائزہ
Release decision Steward review Stewards جائزہ
ایڈیشن Profiles and series Foundry Publish
Tiles Tiles and bulk files Foundry Publish
DOI Tiles and bulk files Foundry Publish
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
From the evidence cut to published profiles, tiles and API: every stage keeps provenance and two review gates stand before release. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02یہ کس کے لیے ہے

Solutions that use this journey

Open to every reader. This journey is part of the open commons and governance of NXS-GRX.
03ٹیکنالوجی

11 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

NXS-GRX run servicePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Licence registerindicator standardTested model kernelsDependency networkMonte Carlo enginePublic cut APINS-1 UNI catalogueVector tilesZenodo deposit

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

رابطہ

حیثیت

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

What NXS-GRX is not

NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.

Institutions and sources

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.