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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Govern · on: scenario pack requested

申请情景包

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises.

Follow the run All journeys
页面 GRX-JRN-BRIEFING版本 2026 基线版证据截止 2026-09-30就业 5数值 尚未发布方法 v1.0.0-draft
on: scenario pack requested · Request a scenario pack5 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Request instant
  2. Scenario set 5 days
  3. Pathway runs 2 days
  4. Analyst review 5 days
  5. Pack delivered 1 day

01流程

申请情景包

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises.

on: scenario pack requested

申请情景包

In progressTriggered by Institution5 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

流程图
01范围
02Configure
03Run
04评审
05交付

100%
时间线
Job0 d2 d4 d6 d8 d10 d12 dTarget
RequestYouinstant
Scenario setAnalysts5 d
Pathway runsNXS-GRX run service2 d
Analyst reviewAnalysts5 d
Pack deliveredFoundry1 d

End to end on the longest path: about 13 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

步骤
  1. Request

    Scope · You · instant
    Countries, domains, horizons
    NXS-GRX 网关
  2. Scenario set

    Configure · Analysts · 5 days
    Scenario families · Shocks and couplings
    经测试的模型内核
  3. Pathway runs matrix · scenario × country × domain

    Run · NXS-GRX run service · 2 days
    Fan charts · Cascades on the network
    NXS-GRX 运行服务蒙特卡罗引擎依赖网络
  4. Analyst review approval

    Review · Analysts · 5 days
    Plausibility and limits
    PostgreSQL 账本（行级安全）
  5. Pack delivered

    Deliver · Foundry · 1 day
    Data, charts and narrative
    Public cut APINexus Reports
产出物
产出物 作业 执行方 阶段
请求记录 Request 您 范围
Scenario specification Scenario set Analysts Configure
Run records Pathway runs NXS-GRX 运行服务 Run
Review note Analyst review Analysts 评审
Scenario pack Pack delivered Foundry 交付
已完成进行中等待批准排队中审批关口矩阵作业当前位置
Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02面向谁

Solutions that use this journey

公共部门

联合国系统和人道主义机构

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution Open commons

公民社会和非政府组织

定位具有公开概况的项目，并贡献本地证据。

See the solution

03技术

8 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

NXS-GRX gatewayTested model kernelsNXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engineDependency networkPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Public cut APINexus Reports

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

联系

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.