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Die Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Govern · on: scenario pack requested

Request a scenario pack

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises.

Follow the run All journeys
Page GRX-JRN-BRIEFINGEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Jobs 5Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
on: scenario pack requested · Request a scenario pack5 jobs · 1 gate
  1. Request instant
  2. Scenario set 5 days
  3. Pathway runs 2 days
  4. Analyst review 5 days
  5. Pack delivered 1 day

01Journey

Request a scenario pack

Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises.

on: scenario pack requested

Request a scenario pack

In progressTriggered by Institution5 jobs1 approval gate1 matrix job

Graph
01Omvang
02Configure
03Run
04Review
05Lewer

100%
Timeline
Job0 d2 d4 d6 d8 d10 d12 dTarget
RequestYouinstant
Scenario setAnalysts5 d
Pathway runsNXS-GRX run service2 d
Analyst reviewAnalysts5 d
Pack deliveredFoundry1 d

End to end on the longest path: about 13 d of proposed target service levels. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Steps
  1. Request

    Scope · You · instant
    Countries, domains, horizons
    NXS-GRX gateway
  2. Scenario set

    Configure · Analysts · 5 days
    Scenario families · Shocks and couplings
    Tested model kernels
  3. Pathway runs matrix · scenario × country × domain

    Run · NXS-GRX run service · 2 days
    Fan charts · Cascades on the network
    NXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engineDependency network
  4. Analyst review approval

    Review · Analysts · 5 days
    Plausibility and limits
    PostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)
  5. Pack delivered

    Deliver · Foundry · 1 day
    Data, charts and narrative
    Public cut APINexus Reports
Artefacts
Artefact Job Who Stadium
Request record Request You Omvang
Scenario specification Scenario set Analysts Configure
Run records Pathway runs NXS-GRX run service Run
Review note Analyst review Analysts Review
Scenario pack Pack delivered Foundry Lewer
DoneIn progressWaiting for approvalQueuedApproval gateMatrix jobYou are here
Pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100 and structured stress tests for planning and supervisory exercises. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02Who it is for

Solutions that use this journey

Openbare sektor

UN system and humanitarian agencies

Compare needs with intervals, watch weekly signals and plan anticipatory action from verified outlooks.

See the solution Open commons

Civil society and NGOs

Target programmes with open profiles and contribute local evidence.

See the solution

03Tegnologie

8 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

NXS-GRX gatewayTested model kernelsNXS-GRX run serviceMonte Carlo engineDependency networkPostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Public cut APINexus Reports

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

Kontak

Status

The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.

Wat NXS-GRX nie is nie

NXS-GRX is navorsings- en risiko-analise-inligting. Dit is nie 'n krediet- of ESG-gradering nie en gebruik geen graderingskaal nie, nie 'n maatstaf vir finansiële instrumente nie, nie amptelike statistiek nie, nie 'n noodwaarskuwing of amptelike klassifikasie nie, en nie advies nie. Dit mag nie gebruik word om natuurlike persone te evalueer nie. Risikoklasse is bande op 'n gepubliseerde skaal, nooit ranglyste van lande of mense nie.

Instellings en bronne

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.