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Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Models · Model · on: trigger study started

모수형 트리거 설계

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice.

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페이지 GRX-JRN-PARAMETRIC판 2026 기준판근거 마감 2026-09-30일자리 6값 미게시방법 v1.0.0-draft
on: trigger study started · Design a parametric trigger6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks
  1. Peril, area and index self-serve
  2. Historical event set 1 day
  3. Basis-risk test 1 day
  4. Calibrate attachment and exit self-serve
  5. Independent review 10 days
  6. Monitoring feed ongoing

01모델링

모수형 트리거 설계

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice.

on: trigger study started

모수형 트리거 설계

In progressTriggered by Risk-transfer team6 jobs1 approval gate5 checks

그래프
01구성
02Study
03Study
04Calibrate
05검토
06검토

100%
타임라인
Job0 d2 d4 d6 d8 d10 d12 dTarget
Peril, area and indexYouinstant
Historical event setModel Lab1 d
Basis-risk testVerification engine1 d
Calibrate attachment and exitYouinstant
Independent reviewReviewers10 d
Monitoring feedNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Intelligenceongoing

End to end on the longest path: about 13.4 d of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

단계
  1. Peril, area and index

    Frame · You · self-serve
    Peril keyed to Hazard Standard · Area of interest · Index candidates
    Model Labhazard standard
  2. Historical event set

    Study · Model Lab · 1 day
    Event catalogue assembled · Losses and responses matched
    Model LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
  3. Basis-risk test

    Study · Verification engine · 1 day
    False positives and misses · Payout correlation with loss
    Verification engineMonte Carlo engine
  4. Calibrate attachment and exit

    Calibrate · You · self-serve
    Attachment, exit and payout curve · Return periods
    Model Lab
  5. Independent review approval

    Review · Reviewers · 10 days
    Method and data reviewed · Limits recorded
    PostgreSQL 원장(행 수준 보안)
  6. Monitoring feed

    Review · NXS-GRX Intelligence · ongoing
    Index values streamed · Threshold crossings sent for review
    Pulse nowcastWebhooks and streaming
산출물
산출물 작업 담당 단계
Study brief Peril, area and index 나 구성
Event set Historical event set Model Lab Study
Basis-risk report Basis-risk test Verification engine Study
Trigger card Calibrate attachment and exit 나 Calibrate
Review record Independent review Reviewers 검토
Monitoring subscription Monitoring feed NXS-GRX Intelligence 검토
완료진행 중승인 대기 중QueuedApproval gateTest jobYou are here
Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02대상

Solutions that use this journey

공공 부문

다자기구 및 개발은행

Screen country and project context, read fiscal resilience and protection gaps, and design pre-arranged finance.

See the solution Enterprise

보험사와 재보험사

Read hazard, exposure and protection gaps, run tails and study parametric index design.

See the solution

03기술

8 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Model Labhazard standardProvenance (W3C PROV)Verification engineMonte Carlo enginePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Pulse nowcastWebhooks and streaming

Part of Models of the Index: Scenario pathways, stress tests, tail and exceedance analytics, coupling contagion and forecasting on the open method library, with tests and model cards.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

문의

상태

Global Risks Index의 방법론, 구조, 정의는 검토와 의견 수렴을 위해 배포된 예비 작업 초안(2026)이며 이행용이 아닙니다. 관리되는 근거 마감에 따라 판이 공개되기 전까지는 어떠한 값도 표시되지 않으며, 공개 후 값에는 구간, 등급, 출처, 정정 경로가 함께 표시됩니다. 시뮬레이터는 귀하가 선택한 숫자에 공개된 방법을 적용할 뿐이며 NXS-GRX 값을 표시하지 않습니다.

NXS-GRX가 아닌 것

NXS-GRX는 연구 및 리스크 분석 정보입니다. 신용등급이나 ESG 등급이 아니며 등급 척도를 사용하지 않고, 금융상품의 벤치마크도, 공식 통계도, 긴급 경보나 공식 분류도, 자문도 아닙니다. 자연인 평가에 사용해서는 안 됩니다. 리스크 등급은 공개된 척도 위의 구간이며, 국가나 사람의 순위가 결코 아닙니다.

기관과 출처

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

모든 값에는 출처 표시가 함께 제공되며, 각 출처는 고유한 라이선스를 유지합니다. 외부 명칭은 상호운용성을 위해서만 인용됩니다. Nexus가 작성한 텍스트는 공개 시 CC BY 4.0 적용을 예정합니다.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.