The Global Risks Index · 46 entries · 2026-10
The risk index landscape
What the world’s risk indices measure, how, and where they stop, so NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) can interoperate with them and close the gaps between them. Source series are read where licences admit and never re-weighted.
페이지 GRX-LND판 2026 기준판근거 마감 2026-09-30값 미게시방법 v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Families read
9 entries
다중재해 재난 및 인도적 리스크
INFORM Risk · INFORM Severity, Climate Change, Warning and subnational models · WorldRiskIndex.
Open
10 entries분쟁, 평화, 취약성 및 거버넌스
Fragile States Index · Global Peace Index and Global Terrorism Index · ACLED Conflict Index.
Open
7 entries경제, 국가채무 및 금융 리스크
Country Risk Classification · Debt sustainability frameworks (LIC-DSF, SRDSF) · Sovereign credit ratings.
Open
4 entries기후, 환경 및 자연
Environmental Performance Index · Central-bank network climate scenarios · Aqueduct water risk.
Open
4 entries보건과 식량
Global Health Security Index · IHR self-assessment (SPAR) and Joint External Evaluation · Integrated Food Security Phase Classification and Cadre Harmonisé.
Open
4 entries기술, 사이버 및 첨단 리스크
Global Cybersecurity Index · National Cyber Security Index · AI indices and incident monitors.
Open
3 entries인식과 전망
Global Risks Report · World Risk Poll · Corporate risk barometers and reinsurer research.
Open
5 entries개발과 회복력
Human Development Index and Multidimensional Poverty Index · SDG Index and Social Progress Index · Sendai Framework Monitor.
열기
46
indices read
8
families
17
gaps addressed
9
standards followed
01Gaps
What no index does yet
Established risk and resilience indices, read for interoperability and validity checks. Names are those of their stewards and are cited for reference only; no text of any index is reproduced and no endorsement is implied. Commercial providers are described by category. Indicator counts change between editions; the current methodology note of each index governs. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) relation: SOURCE (a published series NXS-GRX may read as a source where its licence admits, never re-weighted), CROSSWALK (used for validity checks and mapping), COMPLEMENT (a different object NXS-GRX does not reproduce).
| 격차 | NXS-GRX design |
|---|---|
| No index unifies hazard, vulnerability, conflict, macro-finance, cyber, health, food, nature and technology in one structure | Twenty index domain indices in four pillars, one grammar |
| Systemic and cascading risk is described, not modelled | Coupling instrument: typed dependency networks, contagion models, coupled beside standalone composite |
| 지방 단위 범위가 얇고 비교할 수 없음 | ADM1, ADM2 and one H3 fabric for hazard, exposure and capacity |
| 불확실성은 거의 보고되지 않고, 순위는 과대 해석됨 | 90% intervals, class probabilities and Sobol sensitivity on every value; no league tables |
| 데이터 지연 1~3년 | Pulse instrument: weekly nowcast over admitted event streams |
| 예측이나 사후 검증을 하는 지수는 드묾 | 검증 성적표를 공개하는 전망 도구 |
| 시나리오 전망은 드물고 거시 수준에 한정됨 | Pathways instrument: SSP × warming level and transition families to 2030, 2050 and 2100 |
| 인지된 리스크와 측정된 리스크가 혼재됨 | Perception instrument kept separate, with a published gap |
| Values rarely trace to sources, versions and licences | 기록 수준 출처 이력, 라이선스 통제, 공개 정정 기록 |
| 기계 접근성이 낮음(PDF 및 스프레드시트 배포) | API, SDMX keys, vector tiles, bulk files and versioned releases |
| 라이선스 제한으로 파생 재사용 불가 | 출처별 라이선스 통제. 보류된 값은 집계됨 |
| Coverage gaps cluster in fragile and small-island states | Coverage vector per country; imputation flagged and capped |
| 서류상의 역량을 성과로 오인함 | Capability ladder from listed to demonstrated in real events |
| 방법이 바뀌어 비교 가능성이 깨짐 | 시맨틱 버전, 소급 계열, 릴리스별 다이제스트 |
| Neglected domains: AI, space weather, biosecurity, minerals, digital infrastructure, tail risk | Exponential technology and strategic systems series; Tail instrument |
| 지수 간 공유 분류 체계 없음 | hazards with HIPs crosswalks; indicators with 501 crosswalks to source code lists |
| 평균은 두꺼운 꼬리를 감춤 | Exceedance curves, return-period losses and expected shortfall where loss can be modelled |
02계열
다중재해 재난 및 인도적 리스크
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFORM Risk | EU Joint Research Centre with the IASC reference group | 191 countries | Annual with mid-year update | 3 dimensions, about 15 components, roughly 74 to 80 indicators. Arithmetic means to component level, geometric mean of hazard and exposure, vulnerability and lack of coping capacity; 0–10 | Source series | No financial, cyber or systemic risk; no intervals; one to three year data lag |
| INFORM Severity, Climate Change, Warning and subnational models | EU Joint Research Centre and partners | Crises, projections, admin levels | Monthly to irregular | INFORM grammar applied to severity, projections and subnational units. INFORM method | 대응 매핑 | Subnational models are not mutually comparable and share no grid |
| WorldRiskIndex | NGO alliance with a university institute | 193 countries | 연간 | Exposure × vulnerability (susceptibility, coping, adaptation); more than 100 indicators. Geometric mean; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | Population-driven exposure; no conflict hazard |
| Global Assessment Report and Global Risk Assessment Framework | UNDRR | 글로벌 | About biennial | Thematic assessment; earlier probabilistic global risk model. Probabilistic loss modelling and narrative | Complement | No standing index or API; systemic risk described rather than measured |
| ThinkHazard! | World Bank GFDRR | Admin-2, global | Occasional | 11 hazards by intensity and frequency. Classification in four classes | 대응 매핑 | Hazard only; no vulnerability |
| Climate Risk Index | Germanwatch (NGO) | About 170 to 190 countries | 연간 | 6 loss indicators. Weighted rank sum; single-year and 30-year windows | 대응 매핑 | Backward-looking; inherits loss-database reporting bias |
| ND-GAIN | University of Notre Dame | About 185 countries | 연간 | Vulnerability and readiness; 45 indicators. Arithmetic means; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | Country level only; readiness bias toward high-income countries |
| States of Fragility | OECD | 170+ contexts screened | About biennial | 6 dimensions, about 50 indicators. Principal components and clustering into classes | 대응 매핑 | Classifies rather than measures; not predictive |
| Global Conflict Risk Index | EU Joint Research Centre | About 130 to 190 countries | Annual or semi-annual | About 24 structural variables. Logit models of conflict probability; 0–10 | 대응 매핑 | Structural only; no event nowcast |
03계열
분쟁, 평화, 취약성 및 거버넌스
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fragile States Index | Fund for Peace (NGO) | 179 countries | 연간 | 12 indicators in 4 groups. Content analysis, quantitative data and review; 0–120 | 대응 매핑 | Media-volume bias; reuse restricted |
| Global Peace Index and Global Terrorism Index | Institute for Economics and Peace (NGO) | About 163 countries | 연간 | 23 indicators; 4 terrorism indicators. Banded weighted means; log-banded scores | 대응 매핑 | Contested weights; source-dataset dependency |
| ACLED Conflict Index | ACLED (NGO) | About 240 countries and territories | Annual and weekly | Deadliness, danger, diffusion, fragmentation. Rank-based severity categories | Source series | Licence limits redistribution |
| UCDP | Uppsala University | Global, geocoded events | Annual and monthly | Event data with best, low and high fatality estimates. Event coding; no composite | Source series | Threshold of 25 battle deaths for conflicts |
| V-Dem | University of Gothenburg | 202 countries | 연간 | More than 500 indicators, 5 high-level indices. Bayesian measurement model with credible intervals; 0–1 | 대응 매핑 | Expert subjectivity; one-year lag |
| Worldwide Governance Indicators | World Bank | About 214 economies | 연간 | 6 dimensions from about 35 sources. Unobserved components with standard errors | Source series | Perception-based; correlated source errors |
| Corruption Perceptions Index | Transparency International (NGO) | 180 countries | 연간 | 13 expert and business sources. Standardised mean with confidence intervals; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | No-derivatives licence constrains reuse |
| Global Organised Crime Index | GI-TOC (NGO) | 193 countries | Biennial | Criminal markets, actors and resilience. Expert assessment; 1–10 | 대응 매핑 | Expert-driven |
| Basel AML Index | Basel Institute on Governance (NGO) | About 160 to 200 jurisdictions | 연간 | 17 to 18 indicators in 5 domains. Weighted mean; 0–10 | 대응 매핑 | Depends on evaluation cycles |
| Bertelsmann Transformation Index and Ibrahim Index of African Governance | 기초 | 137 and 54 countries | Biennial | Expert criteria; about 96 indicators. Expert scores; arithmetic means | 대응 매핑 | Partial coverage |
04계열
경제, 국가채무 및 금융 리스크
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country Risk Classification | OECD (export credits arrangement) | About 200 countries | Three times a year | Model plus expert adjustment. Classes 0–7 | 대응 매핑 | Transfer and convertibility risk only; model unpublished |
| Debt sustainability frameworks (LIC-DSF, SRDSF) | IMF and World Bank | Low-income and market-access countries | Per review | Thresholds, stress tests, fan charts. Mechanical signals plus judgement | Source series | Per-country, not a comparable index; NXS-GRX never reproduces the published signals |
| Sovereign credit ratings | Commercial rating agencies (category) | About 130 to 150 sovereigns | Ongoing | Committee scorecards. Letter grades | Complement | Paywalled; NXS-GRX is not a rating and uses no rating scale |
| Early-warning indicators and financial stress indices | BIS and central banks | 40+ economies | Daily to quarterly | Credit gaps, debt service, stress composites. Gaps, thresholds, portfolio weights | Source series | Advanced economies mostly |
| Global Supply Chain Pressure Index | Federal Reserve Bank of New York | 글로벌 | Monthly | 27 variables. Principal components; standard deviations | 대응 매핑 | No country decomposition |
| Logistics Performance Index | World Bank | 139 countries | Every 3 to 5 years | 6 dimensions plus tracking KPIs. Survey; 1–5 | 대응 매핑 | Infrequent; perception-based |
| Economic complexity | University research centres | About 130 to 145 countries | 연간 | Export diversity and ubiquity. Eigenvector method | 대응 매핑 | Structural signal, not risk |
05계열
기후, 환경 및 자연
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Environmental Performance Index | Yale and Columbia universities | 180 countries | About biennial | 58 indicators, 11 issue categories. Weighted mean; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | Performance, not risk |
| Central-bank network climate scenarios | Network of central banks and supervisors | Global, regional, country | About annual | 6 to 7 scenario families. Integrated assessment and macro models | Source series | Pathways, not an index; physical risk understated |
| Aqueduct water risk | World Resources Institute (NGO) | Global sub-basins | Occasional | 13 indicators. Weighted; 0–5 with projections | Source series | Coarse units; ageing layers |
| Biodiversity intactness, ENCORE and the Ocean Health Index | Museums, UNEP-WCMC, universities | Global grid, sectors, EEZs | Varies | Models, dependency matrices, goals. Statistical models; materiality ratings; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | Weak link to local ground truth |
06계열
보건과 식량
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Health Security Index | NGO and university partnership | 195개국 | 2019 and 2021 | 6 categories, 37 indicators. Weighted mean; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | Measured capacity on paper; not updated since 2021 |
| IHR self-assessment (SPAR) and Joint External Evaluation | WHO | 196 States Parties | Annual and ad hoc | 15 capacities; 19 technical areas. Self and external scoring; 1–5 | Source series | Self-reporting bias |
| Integrated Food Security Phase Classification and Cadre Harmonisé | Multi-agency technical partnership | Assessed areas | Per country cycle | Phases 1–5, current and projected. Evidence convergence by technical working groups | Source series | Limited to assessed areas |
| Global Hunger Index and Global Report on Food Crises | NGOs; FAO, WFP and EU network | About 50 to 136 countries | 연간 | 4 indicators; headcounts. Standardised sum; aggregation | 대응 매핑 | Three-year lag; aggregation rather than scoring |
07계열
기술, 사이버 및 첨단 리스크
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Cybersecurity Index | ITU | 194 countries | About biennial | 5 pillars. Questionnaire; 5 tiers since 2024 | Source series | Measures commitment, not threat or incidents |
| National Cyber Security Index | Government-backed academy | 170+ countries | Rolling | 12 capacities, 46 indicators. Evidence-checked; 0–100 | 대응 매핑 | Capacity only |
| AI indices and incident monitors | Universities, OECD and NGOs | Varies | Annual or continuous | Descriptive indicators, responsible-AI scores, incident data. Mixed | 대응 매핑 | No probabilistic national AI-risk index exists |
| Global catastrophic risk assessments | University centres and foundations | 글로벌 | Irregular | Narrative and elicited probabilities. Expert elicitation | Complement | No standardised country index |
08계열
인식과 전망
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Risks Report | World Economic Forum (not-for-profit foundation) | 글로벌 | 연간 | Survey of experts rating about 33 global risks over 2- and 10-year horizons. Perception survey | 대응 매핑 | Perception only; no probabilities; respondent pool skewed |
| World Risk Poll | Lloyd’s Register Foundation (charity) | About 142 countries | Biennial | Experienced and perceived risk. Household poll | 대응 매핑 | Survey cadence |
| Corporate risk barometers and reinsurer research | Commercial insurers and reinsurers (category) | 글로벌 | 연간 | Surveys and loss databases. Perception and proprietary loss data | Complement | Proprietary inputs |
09계열
개발과 회복력
| 지수 | Steward | 적용 범위 | 주기 | Structure and method | Relation | Limitation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human Development Index and Multidimensional Poverty Index | UNDP with OPHI | 193 and about 110 countries | 연간 | 3 dimensions; 10 indicators. Geometric mean; Alkire–Foster | Source series | Survey lags |
| SDG Index and Social Progress Index | UN SDSN; a non-profit | About 167 to 170 countries | 연간 | 17 goals; 12 components. Arithmetic means; PCA weights | 대응 매핑 | Outcome dashboards, not risk |
| Sendai Framework Monitor | UNDRR | Reporting countries | 연간 | 38 indicators under 7 targets. National self-reporting | Source series | Uneven reporting |
| Global Innovation Index | WIPO | About 133 countries | 연간 | 7 pillars, about 80 indicators. Arithmetic means with a published statistical audit | 대응 매핑 | Innovation, not risk; a model of audit transparency |
| Business Ready (B-READY) | World Bank | 101 economies (2025), expanding | 연간 | 3 pillars over 10 topics. Expert questionnaires and firm surveys; 0–100 | Source series | Coverage still expanding |
10표준
Standards NXS-GRX follows
STDOECD/JRC Handbook on Constructing Composite IndicatorsThe ten construction steps NXS-GRX follows→ STDJRC COIN statistical audit practiceCorrelation structure, coherence, Monte Carlo uncertainty and rank stability→ STDISO 31000 and IEC 31010Risk-management vocabulary and assessment techniques (referenced; no conformance claimed)→ STDSendai Framework for Disaster Risk ReductionTargets A–G and 38 indicators as crosswalk keys→ STDUNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025)Canonical hazard keys through Hazard Standard crosswalks→ STDIRDR peril classificationCrosswalk for loss databases→ STDSDMX (ISO 17369)Observation keys, code lists and statistical exchange→ STDUN Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics and the NQAF manualQuality dimensions (relevance, accuracy, timeliness, accessibility, coherence)→ STDW3C PROV-O, DCAT, STAC, OGC API and FAIRProvenance, catalogue, geospatial and access standards→
Steward of an index listed here?
Tell us if a description is wrong or out of date; corrections are made in the open.
상태
Global Risks Index의 방법론, 구조, 정의는 검토와 의견 수렴을 위해 배포된 예비 작업 초안(2026)이며 이행용이 아닙니다. 관리되는 근거 마감에 따라 판이 공개되기 전까지는 어떠한 값도 표시되지 않으며, 공개 후 값에는 구간, 등급, 출처, 정정 경로가 함께 표시됩니다. 시뮬레이터는 귀하가 선택한 숫자에 공개된 방법을 적용할 뿐이며 NXS-GRX 값을 표시하지 않습니다.
NXS-GRX가 아닌 것
NXS-GRX는 연구 및 리스크 분석 정보입니다. 신용등급이나 ESG 등급이 아니며 등급 척도를 사용하지 않고, 금융상품의 벤치마크도, 공식 통계도, 긴급 경보나 공식 분류도, 자문도 아닙니다. 자연인 평가에 사용해서는 안 됩니다. 리스크 등급은 공개된 척도 위의 구간이며, 국가나 사람의 순위가 결코 아닙니다.
기관과 출처
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
모든 값에는 출처 표시가 함께 제공되며, 각 출처는 고유한 라이선스를 유지합니다. 외부 명칭은 상호운용성을 위해서만 인용됩니다. Nexus가 작성한 텍스트는 공개 시 CC BY 4.0 적용을 예정합니다.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.