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Il Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index Models · Model · on: trigger study started

Progettare un innesco parametrico

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice.

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Pagina GRX-JRN-PARAMETRICEdizione Edizione di riferimento 2026Chiusura delle evidenze 2026-09-30Lavori 6Valori non ancora pubblicatiMetodo v1.0.0-draft
on: trigger study started · Design a parametric trigger6 jobs · 1 gate · 5 checks
  1. Peril, area and index self-serve
  2. Historical event set 1 day
  3. Basis-risk test 1 day
  4. Calibrate attachment and exit self-serve
  5. Independent review 10 days
  6. Monitoring feed ongoing

01Modello

Progettare un innesco parametrico

Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice.

on: trigger study started

Progettare un innesco parametrico

In progressTriggered by Risk-transfer team6 jobs1 approval gate5 checks

Grafo
01Inquadrare
02Study
03Study
04Calibrate
05Valutazione
06Valutazione

100%
Cronologia
Job0 d2 d4 d6 d8 d10 d12 dTarget
Peril, area and indexYouinstant
Historical event setModel Lab1 d
Basis-risk testVerification engine1 d
Calibrate attachment and exitYouinstant
Independent reviewReviewers10 d
Monitoring feedNXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Intelligenceongoing

End to end on the longest path: about 13.4 d of proposed target service levels, before the jobs that run with no fixed end. Gates wait for the people named; bars with a fading end have no fixed length.

Passaggi
  1. Peril, area and index

    Frame · You · self-serve
    Peril keyed to Hazard Standard · Area of interest · Index candidates
    Model Labhazard standard
  2. Historical event set

    Study · Model Lab · 1 day
    Event catalogue assembled · Losses and responses matched
    Model LabProvenance (W3C PROV)
  3. Basis-risk test

    Study · Verification engine · 1 day
    False positives and misses · Payout correlation with loss
    Verification engineMonte Carlo engine
  4. Calibrate attachment and exit

    Calibrate · You · self-serve
    Attachment, exit and payout curve · Return periods
    Model Lab
  5. Independent review approval

    Review · Reviewers · 10 days
    Method and data reviewed · Limits recorded
    Registro PostgreSQL (sicurezza a livello di riga)
  6. Monitoring feed

    Review · NXS-GRX Intelligence · ongoing
    Index values streamed · Threshold crossings sent for review
    Pulse nowcastWebhooks and streaming
Artefatti
Artefatto Attività Chi Fase
Study brief Peril, area and index Tu Inquadrare
Event set Historical event set Model Lab Study
Basis-risk report Basis-risk test Verification engine Study
Trigger card Calibrate attachment and exit Tu Calibrate
Review record Independent review Reviewers Valutazione
Monitoring subscription Monitoring feed NXS-GRX Intelligence Valutazione
CompletatoIn corsoIn attesa di approvazioneQueuedApproval gateTest jobYou are here
Study an index trigger for pre-arranged finance: event history, basis risk and calibration, with review before any use. Information for design, not advice. The canvas shows where a request stands at the marked job; it is illustrative, not the status of a real request. Durations are proposed target service levels. Select a job for its steps, the people who act, the technology it runs on and what it produces.
02A chi si rivolge

Solutions that use this journey

Settore pubblico

Organismi multilaterali e banche di sviluppo

Screen country and project context, read fiscal resilience and protection gaps, and design pre-arranged finance.

See the solution Enterprise

Assicuratori e riassicuratori

Read hazard, exposure and protection gaps, run tails and study parametric index design.

See the solution

03Tecnologia

8 components

Each job names the component it runs on; open a job on the canvas for its steps, checks and artefacts.

Model Labhazard standardProvenance (W3C PROV)Verification engineMonte Carlo enginePostgreSQL ledger (row-level security)Pulse nowcastWebhooks and streaming

Part of Models of the Index: Scenario pathways, stress tests, tail and exceedance analytics, coupling contagion and forecasting on the open method library, with tests and model cards.

Start this journey

Talk to the Secretariat to start this journey with your team.

Contatti

Stato

La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.

Che cosa non è NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.

Istituzioni e fonti

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Ogni valore riporta l’attribuzione delle proprie fonti, che mantengono le rispettive licenze. I nomi esterni sono citati unicamente a fini di interoperabilità. I testi redatti da Nexus sono destinati alla licenza CC BY 4.0 al momento della pubblicazione.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.