The Global Risks Index · SR-06 · Strategic systems series
이주와 인구 변화
리스크 증폭 요인으로서의 강제이주, 이주 압력, 고령화, 청년층 급증, 도시화.
Page GRX-SER-SR-06Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports SR-06 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
영역 지수
1
이주 압력
지표
129
4 index domains
Hazard families
14
사회, 분쟁, 경제
방법론
40
Vulnerability, fragility and resilience · Geopolitics, conflict and human security.
1
영역 지수
129
indicators in scope
1
재해 영역
4
client groups
01범위
Scope and questions
The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.
- Where will displacement pressure rise?
- How do demographic shifts change exposure?
- Which hosting systems are near capacity?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Displacement and demographic change index is built
Graph5 nodes
그래프
01영역 지수
02Series index
03Readings
100%
색인
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이주 압력Domain index · IDX · DEMWeighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
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Displacement and demographic change indexSeries index · SERIES · SR-06리스크 증폭 요인으로서의 강제이주, 이주 압력, 고령화, 청년층 급증, 도시화.
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Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
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Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
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Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
실행 전진행 중완료
03지수
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · SR-06 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Displacement and demographic change index, world
–
값은 판과 함께 게시되며, 구간, 등급, 변화가 여기에 표시됩니다.
| 지수 | 값 | 변화 | 변화 % | 90% 구간 | 등급 · 확률 | 추세 | 범위 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
이주 압력NXS-GRX · DEM |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Demography and mobility, Social and human development, Conflict and security, Climate.
04지표
129 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 지표 | 영역 | Sub-domain | 구성 요소 | 단위 | 단계 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
실업률IND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate |
MAC | Labour market | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.5.2 ILO UNE_DEAP_SEX_AGE_RT |
가계부채, GDP 대비 비율IND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSHG_PT |
계좌 보유율, 성인IND.FIN.depth.account_ownership |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2 |
탄소 집약 부문에 대한 은행 노출IND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
높은 물리적 기후 리스크에 노출된 은행 대출IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
개인 송금 유입, GDP 대비 비율IND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp |
ECO | 무역 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2 |
해상 병목 지점에 노출된 해상 무역IND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
산업화 이전 대비 지표면 온난화IND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrial |
CLI | Chronic physical change | hazard | K |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | FAO_FAOSTAT ET |
연 강수량 변화IND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_change |
CLI | Chronic physical change | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
상대 해수면 상승 속도IND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trend |
CLI | Chronic physical change | hazard | mm/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402 |
연중 최고 일최고기온(TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txx |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | Cel |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
온난일 비율(TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90p |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
폭염일(35 °C 이상) 변화IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
온난 기간 지속일수(WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_duration |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
연중 최다 일강수량(Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1day |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | mm |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
연중 최다 5일 강수량(Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5day |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | mm |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
극한 다우일 강수량(R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
최장 연속 건조일수(CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_days |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | exposure | % |
SITE, PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(c) |
산업화 이전 대비 예상 온난화IND.CLI.projection.projected_warming |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | K |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
연중 최고기온의 예상 변화IND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_change |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | K |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
최다 5일 강수량의 예상 변화IND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_change |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
예상 상대 해수면 상승IND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
미래 100년 빈도 해안 홍수 수위 아래 인구, 비율IND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share |
CLI | Scenario projections | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
LULUCF 제외 온실가스 총배출량IND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2 |
1인당 온실가스 배출량IND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capita |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | t/a/{person} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP |
GDP 탄소 집약도IND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | kg/[USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1 |
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi) |
화석연료 지대, GDP 대비 비율IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS |
연료 수출, 상품 수출 대비 비율IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
명시적 화석연료 보조금, GDP 대비 비율IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(b) |
NDC 2030 경제 전반 배출 목표IND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambition |
CLI | Transition exposure | response | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 13.2.1 |
국가 적응 계획 제출 여부IND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | SDG 13.2.1 |
적응 투자에 대한 경제적 준비도IND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN economic |
적응에 대한 거버넌스 준비도IND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN governance |
적응에 대한 사회적 준비도IND.CLI.adaptation.social_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN social |
1인당 국제 적응 재원 수취액IND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | [USD] |
COUNTRY | |
해발 5 m 이하 인구, 비율IND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
심각한 기상학적 가뭄 빈도IND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency |
HAZ | 가뭄 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR |
연간 위험한 습열 일수IND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days |
HAZ | Extreme heat | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501 |
연간 극한 산불 기상 일수IND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days |
HAZ | 산불 | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
연간 수목 피복 손실률IND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.share |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | EPI TCL |
연간 해양 폭염 일수IND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_days |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, REGION, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708 |
외부 재생 가능 수자원 의존 비율IND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
말라리아 발생률IND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA |
과부담 본인부담 의료비 지출 인구IND.HLT.system.catastrophic_oop |
HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 3.8.2 WB_WDI SH.UHC.OOPC.10.ZS |
건강한 식단 비용IND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost |
FOO | Access and affordability | vulnerability | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI CoHD_PPP |
건강한 식단을 감당할 수 없는 인구IND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable |
FOO | Access and affordability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI CoHD_headcount |
농림어업 부가가치, GDP 대비 비율IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS |
농업 고용, 총고용 대비 비율IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS |
곡물 수확량 변동성(15년)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
경작지 식생 건강 지수IND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_index |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | |
극빈 인구 비율, 하루 USD 3.00(2021 PPP)IND.SOC.poverty.extreme_poverty.usd300 |
SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.DDAY SDG 1.1.1 |
빈곤 인구 비율, 하루 USD 4.20(2021 PPP)IND.SOC.poverty.poverty.usd420 |
SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.LMIC |
빈곤 인구 비율, 하루 USD 8.30(2021 PPP)IND.SOC.poverty.poverty.usd830 |
SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.UMIC |
국가 빈곤선 기준 빈곤 인구 비율IND.SOC.poverty.national_poverty |
SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SI.POV.NAHC SDG 1.2.1 |
다차원 빈곤 인구 비율(글로벌 MPI)IND.SOC.poverty.multidimensional_poverty |
SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 1.2.2 WB_WDI SI.POV.MPWB |
지니계수IND.SOC.inequality.gini |
SOC | Inequality | vulnerability | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.GINI |
하위 40 퍼센트의 소득 또는 소비 비중IND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_income_share |
SOC | Inequality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.DST.FRST.20 |
하위 40 퍼센트의 소비 또는 소득 증가율IND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_growth |
SOC | Inequality | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.SPR.PC40.ZG SDG 10.1.1 |
불평등으로 인한 인간개발 손실IND.SOC.inequality.human_development_loss |
SOC | Inequality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | HDR loss |
평균 교육 연수IND.SOC.education.mean_years_schooling |
SOC | Education | adaptive capacity | a |
COUNTRY | HDR mys |
기대 교육 연수IND.SOC.education.expected_years_schooling |
SOC | Education | adaptive capacity | a |
COUNTRY | HDR eys |
학습 빈곤IND.SOC.education.learning_poverty |
SOC | Education | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SE.LPV.PRIM SDG 4.1.1 |
성인 문해율IND.SOC.education.adult_literacy |
SOC | Education | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SE.ADT.LITR.ZS SDG 4.6.1 |
성불평등지수(UNDP)IND.SOC.gender.gender_inequality_index |
SOC | Gender | vulnerability | {score} |
COUNTRY | HDR gii |
여성 경제활동 참가율IND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.TLF.CACT.FE.ZS |
국회 내 여성 의석 비율IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1 |
최소 한 가지 사회보장 급여를 받는 인구IND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage |
SOC | Social protection | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot |
취업, 교육, 훈련 중 어디에도 속하지 않은 청년IND.SOC.protection.youth_neet |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT |
비공식 고용, 총고용 대비 비율IND.SOC.protection.informal_employment |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 8.3.1 ILO SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT WB_WDI SL.ISV.IFRM.ZS |
아동 노동에 종사하는 5~17세 아동IND.SOC.protection.child_labour |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 8.7.1 ILO SDG_B871_SEX_AGE_RT WB_WDI SL.TLF.0714.ZS |
인간개발지수(UNDP)IND.SOC.development.hdi |
SOC | 인간 개발 | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | HDR hdi |
불평등 조정 인간개발지수(UNDP)IND.SOC.development.ihdi |
SOC | 인간 개발 | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | HDR ihdi |
총인구IND.DEM.population.total |
DEM | 인구 | context | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July |
인구 밀도IND.DEM.population.density |
DEM | 인구 | context | {persons}/km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity |
인구 증가율IND.DEM.population.growth |
DEM | 인구 | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate |
합계출산율IND.DEM.population.fertility_rate |
DEM | 인구 | context | {births}/{woman} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR |
연령 부양비IND.DEM.structure.age_dependency |
DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.DPND |
65세 이상 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.structure.share_65plus |
DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS |
15세 미만 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.structure.share_under15 |
DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS |
도시 인구, 전체 대비 비율IND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share |
DEM | Urbanisation | context | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS |
도시 인구 증가율IND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth |
DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW |
슬럼 거주 도시 인구IND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share |
DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1 |
출신국별 난민IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
출신국별 난민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
수용 난민(비호국 기준)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted |
DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG |
수용 난민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
수용 비호 신청자, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | UNHCR ASY |
국내 실향민, 분쟁 및 폭력(누적)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
국내 실향민, 재난(누적)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_total_displacement |
국내 실향민, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
신규 국내 실향, 분쟁 및 폭력IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
신규 국내 실향, 재난IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS |
신규 국내 실향, 인구 100,000명당IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
순이주IND.DEM.migration.net_migration |
DEM | Migration | context | {persons} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations |
순이주율IND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rate |
DEM | Migration | context | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | UN_WPP CNMR |
국제 이주민 수, 인구 대비 비율IND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_share |
DEM | Migration | context | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS |
조직적 정치 폭력으로 인한 보고된 사망자IND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED fatalities |
인구 100,000명당 분쟁 사망자IND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | SDG 16.1.2 |
전투 관련 사망자(UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | {persons} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH |
정치 폭력 사건IND.CON.violence.political_violence_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Political violence |
무력 분쟁 사건IND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence |
분쟁의 지리적 확산IND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion |
CON | Organised violence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | ACLED Diffusion |
무장 행위자의 분열IND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY | ACLED Fragmentation |
고의적 살인율IND.CON.violence.homicide_rate |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1 |
군사비 지출, GDP 대비 비율IND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS |
군 병력, 노동력 대비 비율IND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS |
민간인 대상 사건IND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events |
CON | Civilian harm | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians |
표적 폭력으로 인한 민간인 사망자, 인구 100,000명당IND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | ACLED Danger |
보건의료에 대한 공격IND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
지뢰 및 폭발성 전쟁 잔류물로 인한 사상자IND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | |
폭동 및 폭력 시위IND.CON.peace.riot_events |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ACLED Riots |
세계평화지수 종합 점수(IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score |
CON | Peacefulness | vulnerability | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Overall Score |
세계평화지수 진행 중 분쟁 영역 점수(IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict |
OECD 취약국 분류IND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {class} |
COUNTRY | OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts |
세계은행 취약 및 분쟁 영향 상황 지위IND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
정치적 안정성과 폭력 부재(WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
출생 등록 완전성IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
마지막 인구 센서스 이후 경과 연수IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census |
GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
최종 에너지 소비 중 재생에너지 비중IND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec |
ENE | Energy mix | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS |
GDP 1차 에너지 집약도IND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | MJ/[USD] |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD |
발전량 중 화석연료 비중IND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS |
1인당 재생에너지 설비 용량IND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc |
ENE | Energy mix | adaptive capacity | W/{person} |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.b.1 |
난방 및 냉방 도일IND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days |
ENE | Reliability | hazard | K.d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
대중교통을 편리하게 이용할 수 있는 도시 인구IND.INF.transport.public_transport_access |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | % |
CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY | SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
재난으로 손상되거나 파괴된 교육 시설IND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged |
INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-3 |
충격 대응형 사회보장 준비도IND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY |
05재해
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| 계열 | 영역 | 재해 | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Organised and collective violence | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence | 5 |
| Conflict-induced harm | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial | 4 |
| Humanitarian crises | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption | 6 |
| Crowd and collective behaviour | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster | 3 |
| Economic shocks and governance failure | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty | 8 |
| Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … | 15 |
| Governance and institutional failure | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … | 18 |
| Financial-system fragility | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … | 12 |
| Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … | 12 |
| Labour and technology transition | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock | 7 |
| Population structure and movement | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … | 12 |
| Social cohesion and atrocity risk | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … | 9 |
| Organised crime and illicit economies | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … | 12 |
| Cultural heritage loss | 사회, 분쟁, 경제 | Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation | 7 |
06전망
How the outlooks for this series are verified
FIG 5 · Explainer: how forecasts are verified
–
브라우저에서 실행됨
07방법론
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
19 methods
취약성, 불안정성 및 회복력
Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening · Fragility Curve · Vulnerability Curve · Multi-State Damage · Component Fragility · Structural Vulnerability · Infrastructure Fragility …
21 methods
지정학, 분쟁 및 인간 안보
Interstate Conflict Risk · Civil Conflict Risk · Political Violence Risk · Displacement Risk · Humanitarian Access Risk · Geopolitical Sanctions Risk · Geoeconomic Fragmentation …
08Users
Who uses it
UN system and humanitarian organisations
Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
시민사회 및 NGO
Target programmes. Use open profiles. Contribute local evidence.
International financial institutions and development banks
Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.
09보고서
Nexus Reports
- Edition code
SR-06- Edition status
- 계획
- 주제
- Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning
10인용
인용과 재사용
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Displacement and demographic change series (GRX-SER-SR-06), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-06/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000079.
- Series key
grix:SER.SR-06:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
상태
Global Risks Index의 방법론, 구조, 정의는 검토와 의견 수렴을 위해 배포된 예비 작업 초안(2026)이며 이행용이 아닙니다. 관리되는 근거 마감에 따라 판이 공개되기 전까지는 어떠한 값도 표시되지 않으며, 공개 후 값에는 구간, 등급, 출처, 정정 경로가 함께 표시됩니다. 시뮬레이터는 귀하가 선택한 숫자에 공개된 방법을 적용할 뿐이며 NXS-GRX 값을 표시하지 않습니다.
NXS-GRX가 아닌 것
NXS-GRX는 연구 및 리스크 분석 정보입니다. 신용등급이나 ESG 등급이 아니며 등급 척도를 사용하지 않고, 금융상품의 벤치마크도, 공식 통계도, 긴급 경보나 공식 분류도, 자문도 아닙니다. 자연인 평가에 사용해서는 안 됩니다. 리스크 등급은 공개된 척도 위의 구간이며, 국가나 사람의 순위가 결코 아닙니다.
기관과 출처
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
모든 값에는 출처 표시가 함께 제공되며, 각 출처는 고유한 라이선스를 유지합니다. 외부 명칭은 상호운용성을 위해서만 인용됩니다. Nexus가 작성한 텍스트는 공개 시 CC BY 4.0 적용을 예정합니다.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.