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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · SR-06 · Strategic systems series

Pengungsian dan perubahan demografis

Pengungsian paksa, tekanan migrasi, penuaan penduduk, ledakan pemuda, dan urbanisasi sebagai pengganda risiko.

Konstruksi Indikator Prospek
Page GRX-SER-SR-06Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports SR-06 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

1

Tekanan pengungsian

Indikator

129

4 index domains

Hazard families

14

Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi

Metode

40

Vulnerability, fragility and resilience · Geopolitics, conflict and human security.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
indeks ranah
129
indicators in scope
1
ranah bahaya
4
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Where will displacement pressure rise?
  2. How do demographic shifts change exposure?
  3. Which hosting systems are near capacity?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Displacement and demographic change index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Tekanan pengungsian

    Domain index · IDX · DEM
    Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
  2. Displacement and demographic change index

    Series index · SERIES · SR-06
    Pengungsian paksa, tekanan migrasi, penuaan penduduk, ledakan pemuda, dan urbanisasi sebagai pengganda risiko.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · SR-06 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Displacement and demographic change index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Tekanan pengungsianNXS-GRX · DEM – – – – –

Domains read: Demography and mobility, Social and human development, Conflict and security, Climate.

04Indikator

129 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CLI · 31DEM · 24SOC · 22CON · 19
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Tingkat pengangguranIND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate MAC Labour market vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.5.2 ILO UNE_DEAP_SEX_AGE_RT
Utang rumah tangga, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp FIN Financial depth and inclusion vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSHG_PT
Kepemilikan rekening, orang dewasaIND.FIN.depth.account_ownership FIN Financial depth and inclusion kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2
Eksposur bank terhadap sektor padat karbonIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Kredit bank yang terpapar risiko iklim fisik tinggiIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Remitansi perorangan yang diterima, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2
Perdagangan laut yang terpapar titik sempit maritimIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Pemanasan permukaan sejak masa praindustriIND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrial CLI Chronic physical change hazard K GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID FAO_FAOSTAT ET
Perubahan curah hujan tahunanIND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_change CLI Chronic physical change hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Laju kenaikan muka laut relatifIND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trend CLI Chronic physical change hazard mm/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402
Hari terpanas dalam setahun (TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txx CLI Acute climate extremes hazard Cel COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Porsi hari hangat (TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90p CLI Acute climate extremes hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Perubahan jumlah hari sangat panas (35 °C atau lebih)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Durasi periode hangat (WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_duration CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Hari terbasah dalam setahun (Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1day CLI Acute climate extremes hazard mm COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Lima hari terbasah dalam setahun (Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5day CLI Acute climate extremes hazard mm COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Curah hujan dari hari sangat basah (R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_share CLI Acute climate extremes hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Periode kering terpanjang (CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_days CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Acute climate extremes keterpaparan % SITE, PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(c)
Proyeksi pemanasan sejak masa praindustriIND.CLI.projection.projected_warming CLI Scenario projections hazard K GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Proyeksi perubahan suhu hari terpanasIND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_change CLI Scenario projections hazard K COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Proyeksi perubahan curah hujan lima hari terbasahIND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_change CLI Scenario projections hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Proyeksi kenaikan muka laut relatifIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise CLI Scenario projections hazard m COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Penduduk di bawah tingkat banjir pesisir 100 tahunan di masa depan, porsiIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share CLI Scenario projections keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Total emisi gas rumah kaca tanpa LULUCFIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total CLI Emissions keterpaparan Mt/a COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
Emisi gas rumah kaca per kapitaIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capita CLI Emissions keterpaparan t/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP
Intensitas karbon PDBIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp CLI Emissions keterpaparan kg/[USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions CLI Emissions keterpaparan Mt/a PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi)
Rente bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS
Ekspor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Subsidi eksplisit bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(b)
Target emisi seluruh perekonomian NDC 2030IND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambition CLI Transition exposure response % COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Rencana adaptasi nasional telah diserahkanIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {bool} COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Kesiapan ekonomi untuk investasi adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Kesiapan tata kelola untuk adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Kesiapan sosial untuk adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.social_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN social
Pendanaan adaptasi internasional yang diterima per kapitaIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif [USD] COUNTRY
Penduduk di bawah ketinggian 5 m, porsiIND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share HAZ Coastal and sea level keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Frekuensi kekeringan meteorologis parahIND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency HAZ Kekeringan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR
Hari panas lembap berbahaya per tahunIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days HAZ Panas ekstrem hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501
Hari cuaca kebakaran ekstrem per tahunIND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days HAZ Kebakaran hutan dan lahan hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Laju kehilangan tutupan pohon tahunanIND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.share ENV Land and forests hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID EPI TCL
Hari gelombang panas laut per tahunIND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_days ENV Ocean hazard d/a COUNTRY, REGION, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708
Rasio ketergantungan pada air terbarukan dari luarIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Insidensi malariaIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA
Penduduk dengan belanja kesehatan pribadi yang katastrofikIND.HLT.system.catastrophic_oop HLT Health system capacity vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 3.8.2 WB_WDI SH.UHC.OOPC.10.ZS
Biaya pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost FOO Access and affordability vulnerability [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI CoHD_PPP
Penduduk yang tidak mampu membeli pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable FOO Access and affordability vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI CoHD_headcount
Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Tenaga kerja di sektor pertanian, porsi terhadap total tenaga kerjaIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Variabilitas hasil panen serealia (15 tahun)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Indeks Kesehatan Vegetasi di lahan pertanianIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_index FOO Agricultural production and dependence hazard {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
Jumlah penduduk miskin ekstrem, USD 3.00 per hari (PPP 2021)IND.SOC.poverty.extreme_poverty.usd300 SOC Poverty vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SI.POV.DDAY SDG 1.1.1
Jumlah penduduk miskin, USD 4.20 per hari (PPP 2021)IND.SOC.poverty.poverty.usd420 SOC Poverty vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SI.POV.LMIC
Jumlah penduduk miskin, USD 8.30 per hari (PPP 2021)IND.SOC.poverty.poverty.usd830 SOC Poverty vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SI.POV.UMIC
Jumlah penduduk miskin menurut garis kemiskinan nasionalIND.SOC.poverty.national_poverty SOC Poverty vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SI.POV.NAHC SDG 1.2.1
Jumlah penduduk miskin multidimensi (MPI global)IND.SOC.poverty.multidimensional_poverty SOC Poverty vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 1.2.2 WB_WDI SI.POV.MPWB
Indeks GiniIND.SOC.inequality.gini SOC Inequality vulnerability {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI SI.POV.GINI
Porsi pendapatan atau konsumsi 40 persen terbawahIND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_income_share SOC Inequality vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SI.DST.FRST.20
Pertumbuhan konsumsi atau pendapatan 40 persen terbawahIND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_growth SOC Inequality kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SI.SPR.PC40.ZG SDG 10.1.1
Kehilangan pembangunan manusia akibat ketimpanganIND.SOC.inequality.human_development_loss SOC Inequality vulnerability % COUNTRY HDR loss
Rata-rata lama sekolahIND.SOC.education.mean_years_schooling SOC Pendidikan kapasitas adaptif a COUNTRY HDR mys
Harapan lama sekolahIND.SOC.education.expected_years_schooling SOC Pendidikan kapasitas adaptif a COUNTRY HDR eys
Kemiskinan pembelajaranIND.SOC.education.learning_poverty SOC Pendidikan vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SE.LPV.PRIM SDG 4.1.1
Angka melek huruf orang dewasaIND.SOC.education.adult_literacy SOC Pendidikan kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SE.ADT.LITR.ZS SDG 4.6.1
Indeks Ketimpangan Gender (UNDP)IND.SOC.gender.gender_inequality_index SOC Gender vulnerability {score} COUNTRY HDR gii
Tingkat partisipasi angkatan kerja perempuanIND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation SOC Gender kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.TLF.CACT.FE.ZS
Kursi yang diduduki perempuan di parlemen nasionalIND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
Penduduk yang tercakup setidaknya satu manfaat perlindungan sosialIND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage SOC Perlindungan sosial kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot
Pemuda yang tidak bekerja, tidak bersekolah, atau tidak mengikuti pelatihanIND.SOC.protection.youth_neet SOC Perlindungan sosial vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT
Pekerjaan informal, porsi terhadap total pekerjaanIND.SOC.protection.informal_employment SOC Perlindungan sosial vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 8.3.1 ILO SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT WB_WDI SL.ISV.IFRM.ZS
Anak usia 5 hingga 17 tahun yang menjadi pekerja anakIND.SOC.protection.child_labour SOC Perlindungan sosial vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 8.7.1 ILO SDG_B871_SEX_AGE_RT WB_WDI SL.TLF.0714.ZS
Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (UNDP)IND.SOC.development.hdi SOC Pembangunan manusia kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY HDR hdi
Indeks Pembangunan Manusia yang disesuaikan dengan ketimpangan (UNDP)IND.SOC.development.ihdi SOC Pembangunan manusia kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY HDR ihdi
Total pendudukIND.DEM.population.total DEM Penduduk context {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID WB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July
Kepadatan pendudukIND.DEM.population.density DEM Penduduk context {persons}/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID WB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity
Pertumbuhan pendudukIND.DEM.population.growth DEM Penduduk vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate
Angka fertilitas totalIND.DEM.population.fertility_rate DEM Penduduk context {births}/{woman} COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR
Rasio ketergantungan usiaIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency DEM Age structure vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.POP.DPND
Penduduk usia 65 tahun ke atas, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus DEM Age structure vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS
Penduduk usia di bawah 15 tahun, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_under15 DEM Age structure vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS
Penduduk perkotaan, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share DEM Urbanisation context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
Pertumbuhan penduduk perkotaanIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
Penduduk perkotaan yang tinggal di permukiman kumuhIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
Pengungsi menurut negara asalIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
Pengungsi menurut negara asal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY SDG 10.7.4
Pengungsi yang ditampung (negara suaka)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted DEM Forced displacement keterpaparan {persons} COUNTRY UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG
Pengungsi yang ditampung, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k DEM Forced displacement keterpaparan /10*5 COUNTRY
Pencari suaka yang ditampung, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k DEM Forced displacement keterpaparan /10*5 COUNTRY UNHCR ASY
Pengungsi internal, konflik dan kekerasan (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
Pengungsi internal, bencana (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC disaster_total_displacement
Pengungsi internal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Pengungsian internal baru, konflik dan kekerasanIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
Pengungsian internal baru, bencanaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS
Pengungsian internal baru, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Migrasi netoIND.DEM.migration.net_migration DEM Migrasi context {persons} COUNTRY WB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations
Angka migrasi netoIND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rate DEM Migrasi context /10*3 COUNTRY UN_WPP CNMR
Stok migran internasional, porsi terhadap populasiIND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_share DEM Migrasi context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS
Korban jiwa yang dilaporkan akibat kekerasan politik terorganisasiIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED fatalities
Korban jiwa konflik per 100,000 pendudukIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 SDG 16.1.2
Kematian terkait pertempuran (UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths CON Organised violence hazard {persons} COUNTRY WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH
Peristiwa kekerasan politikIND.CON.violence.political_violence_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Political violence
Peristiwa konflik bersenjataIND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence
Sebaran geografis konflikIND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion CON Organised violence keterpaparan % COUNTRY ACLED Diffusion
Fragmentasi aktor bersenjataIND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY ACLED Fragmentation
Angka pembunuhan disengajaIND.CON.violence.homicide_rate CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1
Belanja militer, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
Personel angkatan bersenjata, porsi terhadap angkatan kerjaIND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS
Peristiwa yang menyasar warga sipilIND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events CON Civilian harm hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians
Korban jiwa warga sipil akibat kekerasan yang menyasar, per 100,000 pendudukIND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k CON Civilian harm impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 ACLED Danger
Serangan terhadap layanan kesehatanIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care CON Civilian harm impact 1 COUNTRY
Korban ranjau darat dan sisa bahan peledak perangIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties CON Civilian harm impact {persons} COUNTRY
Kerusuhan dan demonstrasi dengan kekerasanIND.CON.peace.riot_events CON Peacefulness hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ACLED Riots
Skor keseluruhan Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score CON Peacefulness vulnerability {score} COUNTRY GPI Overall Score
Skor domain konflik berlangsung Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict CON Peacefulness hazard {score} COUNTRY GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict
Klasifikasi OECD States of FragilityIND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class CON Fragility vulnerability {class} COUNTRY OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts
Status situasi rapuh dan terdampak konflik menurut Bank DuniaIND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status CON Fragility vulnerability {bool} COUNTRY
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
Porsi energi terbarukan dalam total konsumsi energi finalIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec ENE Energy mix kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
Intensitas energi primer PDBIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity ENE Energy mix vulnerability MJ/[USD] COUNTRY SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
Porsi fosil dalam pembangkitan listrikIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
Kapasitas pembangkit terbarukan terpasang per kapitaIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc ENE Energy mix kapasitas adaptif W/{person} COUNTRY SDG 7.b.1
Derajat hari pemanasan dan pendinginanIND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days ENE Reliability hazard K.d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Penduduk perkotaan dengan akses mudah ke transportasi umumIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan % CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Fasilitas pendidikan yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-3
Kesiapan perlindungan sosial adaptif guncanganIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
Masyarakat130HAZARDS
1 hazard domains (inner ring) and 14 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
Organised and collective violence Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … 15
Governance and institutional failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … 18
Financial-system fragility Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … 12
Labour and technology transition Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … 12
Cultural heritage loss Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
06Prospek

How the outlooks for this series are verified

FIG 5 · Explainer: how forecasts are verified
0.15
1.4
1
0
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berjalan di peramban Anda

Explainer: 3,000 synthetic forecasts and outcomes from your settings, scored the way every Outlook model version is scored: reliability diagram, Brier score, skill against climatology and ROC area.
07Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

19 methods

Kerentanan, kerapuhan, dan ketahanan

Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening · Fragility Curve · Vulnerability Curve · Multi-State Damage · Component Fragility · Structural Vulnerability · Infrastructure Fragility …

21 methods

Geopolitik, konflik, dan keamanan manusia

Interstate Conflict Risk · Civil Conflict Risk · Political Violence Risk · Displacement Risk · Humanitarian Access Risk · Geopolitical Sanctions Risk · Geoeconomic Fragmentation …

08Users

Who uses it

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Masyarakat sipil dan LSM

Target programmes. Use open profiles. Contribute local evidence.

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.

09Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
SR-06
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Edisi Nexus Reports

10Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Displacement and demographic change series (GRX-SER-SR-06), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-06/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000079.
Series key
grix:SER.SR-06:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.