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The Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIS · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

Indeks risiko fiskal dan utang publik

Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-FISEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Ketidakpastian

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation

Struktur

7 components

27 leaf indicators

Cakupan

71% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
27
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Konstruksi

From indicators to the composite

One domain view of sovereign fiscal risk that partly penalises weakness in any pillar; the sub-indices stay visible beside it. It is not a debt-distress rating and never replaces the published LIC-DSF or SRDSF signals.

computation
How Fiscal and public debt risk is computed
Graph37 nodes
Grafik
01Indikator
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Komposit
100%
Indeks
  1. Utang bruto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    All liabilities of general government that require future payment of interest or principal (debt securities, loans, other accounts payable and similar instruments), at nominal or face value, as a percentage of GDP.
  2. Utang neto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross general government debt minus financial assets held in the form of the same debt instruments, as a percentage of GDP.
  3. Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt, discounted at the LIC-DSF unified discount rate, as a percentage of GDP.
  4. Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap ekspor
    Indicator · IND · %
    Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services.
  5. Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government overall deficit plus amortisation of debt falling due in the year (including short-term debt), as a percentage of GDP.
  6. Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap pendapatan
    Indicator · IND · %
    Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of general government revenue excluding grants.
  7. Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap ekspor
    Indicator · IND · %
    Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of exports of goods, services and primary income.
  8. Selisih imbal hasil obligasi negara terhadap acuan
    Indicator · IND · %
    Yield spread of the sovereign’s foreign-currency bonds over US Treasury (or Bund) securities of matched duration, in percentage points, period average.
  9. Porsi valuta asing dalam utang pemerintah umum
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt denominated in, or indexed to, a foreign currency, at end of period.
  10. Porsi jangka pendek utang pemerintah umum (sisa jatuh tempo)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt falling due within twelve months, by residual maturity, at end of period.
  11. Kepemilikan nonresiden atas utang pemerintah umum
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt held by non-resident creditors (official and private), at end of period.
  12. Rata-rata waktu jatuh tempo utang pemerintah umum
    Indicator · IND · a
    Weighted average residual maturity of general government debt principal, in years, at end of period.
  13. Porsi konsesional utang luar negeri pemerintah
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of public and publicly guaranteed external debt contracted on concessional terms (grant element of at least 35%), at end of period.
  14. Belanja kaku, porsi terhadap pendapatan
    Indicator · IND · %
    Compensation of employees, interest and social benefits (GFSM 2014 items 21, 24 and 27) together as a percentage of general government revenue.
  15. Pembayaran bunga, porsi terhadap pendapatan
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government interest payments (GFSM 2014 item 24) as a percentage of general government revenue.
  16. Pendapatan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total general government revenue as a percentage of GDP.
  17. Pendapatan sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap pendapatan pemerintah umum
    Indicator · IND · %
    Revenue from oil, gas and mining (royalties, resource taxes, profit transfers from state resource companies) as a percentage of total general government revenue.
  18. Saldo keseluruhan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government revenue minus total expenditure (net lending or net borrowing, GFSM 2014) in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
  19. Keseimbangan primer pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Overall general government balance excluding net interest payments, as a percentage of GDP.
  20. Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Effective real interest rate on general government debt (interest paid over the previous year’s debt stock, deflated by the GDP deflator) minus real GDP growth, three-year average, in percentage points.
  21. Utang badan usaha publik nonkeuangan, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross debt of non-financial public corporations (state-owned enterprises outside general government) as a percentage of GDP, where reported.
  22. Jaminan pemerintah yang beredar, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Stock of explicit one-off loan guarantees issued by general government (including public-private partnership guarantees) outstanding at end of period, as a percentage of GDP.
  23. Perkiraan biaya fiskal tahunan akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Modelled average annual cost to the budget of disaster relief, reconstruction of public assets and revenue loss, net of pre-arranged risk financing, as a percentage of GDP.
  24. Neraca transaksi berjalan, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Balance of trade in goods and services, primary and secondary income, as a percentage of GDP (BPM6).
  25. Cadangan devisa dalam bulan impor
    Indicator · IND · mo
    Gross international reserves (including gold) divided by the monthly value of imports of goods and services.
  26. Utang luar negeri jangka pendek, porsi terhadap cadangan devisa
    Indicator · IND · %
    External debt with original maturity of one year or less as a percentage of gross international reserves.
  27. Posisi utang luar negeri, porsi terhadap PNB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total external debt owed to non-residents (public, publicly guaranteed, private non-guaranteed, IMF credit and short-term) as a percentage of GNI.
  28. Public debt burden sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
  29. Financing pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
  30. Debt composition risk sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
  31. Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
  32. Fiscal position sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
  33. Contingent liability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
  34. External vulnerability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%
    Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
  35. Indeks risiko fiskal dan utang publik
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
  36. Kerapuhan makrofinansial dan struktural
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  37. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. 27 indicators, 7 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate fiscal and public debt risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
5.0
25
1
–
berjalan di peramban Anda
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Metode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
NONE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
71% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
ahli
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
Ketidakpastian
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM geometric aggregation; IMF SRDSF and IMF/WB LIC-DSF (pillar structure only)
Sangat rendah0.0 hingga < 2.0
Rendah2.0 hingga < 3.5
Sedang3.5 hingga < 5.0
Tinggi5.0 hingga < 6.5
Sangat tinggi6.5 hingga 10.0
04Components

7 components, 27 indicators

Public debt burden sub-index w 2

Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Utang bruto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gdd, wb-qpsd37.5%
Utang neto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp%Class Bimf-weo12.5%
Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp%Class Cimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids25.0%
Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap eksporIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports%Class Cimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids25.0%

Financing pressure sub-index w 2

Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp%Class Cimf-dsa, imf-fiscal-monitor, national-dmo37.5%
Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue%Class Bimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids, imf-gfs25.0%
Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap eksporIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports%Class Awb-ids, wb-wdi25.0%
Selisih imbal hasil obligasi negara terhadap acuanIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread%Class Bjpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, imf-dsa12.5%

Debt composition risk sub-index w 1.5

Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Porsi valuta asing dalam utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.fx_share%Class Bwb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa20.0%
Porsi jangka pendek utang pemerintah umum (sisa jatuh tempo)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share%Class Bwb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa20.0%
Kepemilikan nonresiden atas utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share%Class Cimf-sovereign-investor-base, wb-qpsd, national-dmo20.0%
Rata-rata waktu jatuh tempo utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.average_maturityaClass Bnational-dmo, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, imf-dsa20.0%
Porsi konsesional utang luar negeri pemerintahIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share%Class Awb-ids20.0%

Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index w 1

Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Belanja kaku, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue%Class Bderived:imf-gfs28.6%
Pembayaran bunga, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue%Class Aimf-gfs, imf-weo, wb-wdi28.6%
Pendapatan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs, unu-wider-grd28.6%
Pendapatan sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap pendapatan pemerintah umumIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share%Class Bunu-wider-grd, imf-gfs, eiti14.3%

Fiscal position sub-index w 1

Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Saldo keseluruhan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs, wb-wdi33.3%
Keseimbangan primer pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs33.3%
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential%Class Cderived:imf-weo, derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth33.3%

Contingent liability sub-index w 1

Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Utang badan usaha publik nonkeuangan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp%Class Cwb-qpsd, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet, national-soe-reports40.0%
Jaminan pemerintah yang beredar, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp%Class Cnational-fiscal-risk-statements, wb-ppi, imf-dsa40.0%
Perkiraan biaya fiskal tahunan akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp%Class Dundrr-gar-aal, wb-country-climate-development-reports, imf-dsa-climate-annex20.0%

External vulnerability sub-index w 0.5

Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Neraca transaksi berjalan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp%Class Awb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-bop25.0%
Cadangan devisa dalam bulan imporIND.MAC.external.reserves_import_covermoClass Awb-wdi, imf-irfcl25.0%
Utang luar negeri jangka pendek, porsi terhadap cadangan devisaIND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves%Class Awb-ids, wb-wdi25.0%
Posisi utang luar negeri, porsi terhadap PNBIND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni%Class Awb-ids25.0%
05Domain

Fiscal and public debt

Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities.

Sub-domainIndikator
Fiscal balance4
Revenue5
Expenditure3
Debt stock and composition9
Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto5
Kewajiban kontinjensi3
Debt-carrying capacity8

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF GFS 2014; IMF/WB LIC-DSF; IMF SRDSF; Sovereign rating fiscal pillar.

06Indikator

All 37 fiscal and public debt indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FIS · 37
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndikatorDomainSub-domainKomponenUnitTingkatCrosswalks
Saldo keseluruhan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS
Keseimbangan primer pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP
Saldo struktural pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB potensialIND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differentialFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRY
Pendapatan pemerintah umum, dolar AS berlakuIND.FIS.revenue.total.usdFISRevenuecontext[USD]COUNTRYIMF_GFS 1
Pendapatan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdpFISRevenuekapasitas penanggulangan%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS
Penerimaan pajak, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdpFISRevenuekapasitas penanggulangan%COUNTRYWB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11
Upaya pajak (aktual terhadap estimasi kapasitas pajak)IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effortFISRevenuekapasitas adaptif1COUNTRY
Pendapatan sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap pendapatan pemerintah umumIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_shareFISRevenuevulnerability%COUNTRY
Belanja pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdpFISExpenditurecontext%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS
Belanja kaku, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenueFISExpenditurevulnerability%COUNTRY
Pembayaran bunga, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenueFISExpenditurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS
Utang bruto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS
Utang neto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP
Porsi valuta asing dalam utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.fx_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
Porsi jangka pendek utang pemerintah umum (sisa jatuh tempo)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
Rata-rata waktu jatuh tempo utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.average_maturityFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerabilityaCOUNTRY
Kepemilikan nonresiden atas utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
Porsi konsesional utang luar negeri pemerintahIND.FIS.debt.concessional_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS
Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS
Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap eksporIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exportsFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS
Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdpFISKebutuhan pembiayaan brutovulnerability%COUNTRY
Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenueFISKebutuhan pembiayaan brutovulnerability%COUNTRY
Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap eksporIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exportsFISKebutuhan pembiayaan brutovulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1
Selisih imbal hasil obligasi negara terhadap acuanIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spreadFISKebutuhan pembiayaan brutovulnerability%COUNTRY
Selisih credit default swap negara lima tahunIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5yFISKebutuhan pembiayaan brutovulnerability%COUNTRY
Utang badan usaha publik nonkeuangan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdpFISKewajiban kontinjensivulnerability%COUNTRY
Jaminan pemerintah yang beredar, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdpFISKewajiban kontinjensivulnerability%COUNTRY
Perkiraan biaya fiskal tahunan akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdpFISKewajiban kontinjensivulnerability%COUNTRY
Skor indikator komposit LIC-DSF (terbitan, rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicatorFISDebt-carrying capacitykapasitas penanggulangan{score}COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: nilai kini utang luar negeri terhadap PDB (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdpFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: nilai kini utang luar negeri terhadap ekspor (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exportsFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: pembayaran utang luar negeri terhadap ekspor (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exportsFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: pembayaran utang luar negeri terhadap pendapatan (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenueFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
Tolok ukur LIC-DSF: nilai kini total utang publik terhadap PDB (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdpFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
Risiko kesulitan utang LIC-DSF, sesuai terbitan (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_publishedFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext{class}COUNTRY
Risiko tekanan negara keseluruhan SRDSF, sesuai terbitan (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_publishedFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext{class}COUNTRY
07Kuotasi

Fiscal and public debt risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FIS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Edisi sebelumnya
–
Range since 2016
–
Komposit terkait
–
Skor keterkaitan S
–
Pulse, minggu terakhir
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Metode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Sampel
1,000
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world, by edition

Belum ada nilai yang diterbitkan. Edisi pertama menggambar riwayat di sini dengan pita interval dan batas kelas.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Afrika54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
Amerika35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
Asia48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
Eropa44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
Oseania14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
Belum ada pergerakan. Perubahan sejak edisi sebelumnya dicantumkan di sini mulai edisi kedua, beserta indikator yang mendorongnya.
08Nilai

Country values

FIG 5 · Fiscal and public debt risk index: countries (values when released)
Memuat peta
AndorraAntigua dan BarbudaBahrainBarbadosKomoroTanjung VerdeDominikaMikronesiaGrenadaKiribatiSaint Kitts dan NevisSaint LuciaLiechtensteinMonakoMaladewaKepulauan MarshallMaltaMauritiusNauruPalauSingapuraSan MarinoSao Tome dan PrincipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluVatikanSaint Vincent dan GrenadineSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Ubin peta
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fis/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Kunci observasi
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Seri

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk. SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security. SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance. TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI12
IMF_WEO6
SDG2
11Di seluruh Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Fiscal and public debt risk index (GRX-IDX-FIS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/fiscal-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000122.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.