The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIS · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility
Maliye ve kamu borcu riski endeksi
Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
Page GRX-IDX-FISEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Belirsizlik
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation
Yapı
7 components
27 leaf indicators
Kapsam
71% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
27
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01İnşaat
From indicators to the composite
One domain view of sovereign fiscal risk that partly penalises weakness in any pillar; the sub-indices stay visible beside it. It is not a debt-distress rating and never replaces the published LIC-DSF or SRDSF signals.
computation
How Fiscal and public debt risk is computedGraph37 nodes
Grafik
01Göstergeler
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Sütun
05Bileşik
100%
Dizin
- Genel devlet brüt borcu, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %All liabilities of general government that require future payment of interest or principal (debt securities, loans, other accounts payable and similar instruments), at nominal or face value, as a percentage of GDP.
- Genel devlet net borcu, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Gross general government debt minus financial assets held in the form of the same debt instruments, as a percentage of GDP.
- Kamu dış borcunun bugünkü değeri, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt, discounted at the LIC-DSF unified discount rate, as a percentage of GDP.
- Kamu dış borcunun bugünkü değeri, ihracatın payıIndicator · IND · %Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services.
- Kamu brüt finansman ihtiyacı, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %General government overall deficit plus amortisation of debt falling due in the year (including short-term debt), as a percentage of GDP.
- Kamu dış borç servisi, gelirlerin payıIndicator · IND · %Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of general government revenue excluding grants.
- Kamu dış borç servisi, ihracatın payıIndicator · IND · %Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of exports of goods, services and primary income.
- Devlet tahvili getiri farkı (gösterge faize göre)Indicator · IND · %Yield spread of the sovereign’s foreign-currency bonds over US Treasury (or Bund) securities of matched duration, in percentage points, period average.
- Genel devlet borcunda döviz cinsinden payIndicator · IND · %Share of general government debt denominated in, or indexed to, a foreign currency, at end of period.
- Genel devlet borcunda kısa vadeli pay (kalan vade)Indicator · IND · %Share of general government debt falling due within twelve months, by residual maturity, at end of period.
- Yerleşik olmayanların elindeki genel devlet borcuIndicator · IND · %Share of general government debt held by non-resident creditors (official and private), at end of period.
- Genel devlet borcunun ortalama vadeye kalan süresiIndicator · IND · aWeighted average residual maturity of general government debt principal, in years, at end of period.
- Kamu dış borcunda imtiyazlı payIndicator · IND · %Share of public and publicly guaranteed external debt contracted on concessional terms (grant element of at least 35%), at end of period.
- Esnek olmayan harcamalar, gelirlerin payıIndicator · IND · %Compensation of employees, interest and social benefits (GFSM 2014 items 21, 24 and 27) together as a percentage of general government revenue.
- Faiz ödemeleri, gelirlerin payıIndicator · IND · %General government interest payments (GFSM 2014 item 24) as a percentage of general government revenue.
- Genel devlet gelirleri, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Total general government revenue as a percentage of GDP.
- Doğal kaynak gelirleri, genel devlet gelirlerinin payıIndicator · IND · %Revenue from oil, gas and mining (royalties, resource taxes, profit transfers from state resource companies) as a percentage of total general government revenue.
- Genel devlet genel dengesi, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %General government revenue minus total expenditure (net lending or net borrowing, GFSM 2014) in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
- Genel devlet faiz dışı dengesi, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Overall general government balance excluding net interest payments, as a percentage of GDP.
- Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)Indicator · IND · %Effective real interest rate on general government debt (interest paid over the previous year’s debt stock, deflated by the GDP deflator) minus real GDP growth, three-year average, in percentage points.
- Finansal olmayan kamu şirketlerinin borcu, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Gross debt of non-financial public corporations (state-owned enterprises outside general government) as a percentage of GDP, where reported.
- Mevcut devlet garantileri, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Stock of explicit one-off loan guarantees issued by general government (including public-private partnership guarantees) outstanding at end of period, as a percentage of GDP.
- Afetlerin beklenen yıllık mali maliyeti, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Modelled average annual cost to the budget of disaster relief, reconstruction of public assets and revenue loss, net of pre-arranged risk financing, as a percentage of GDP.
- Cari işlemler dengesi, GSYH payıIndicator · IND · %Balance of trade in goods and services, primary and secondary income, as a percentage of GDP (BPM6).
- İthalatın kaç ayını karşıladığı cinsinden rezervlerIndicator · IND · moGross international reserves (including gold) divided by the monthly value of imports of goods and services.
- Kısa vadeli dış borç, rezervlerin payıIndicator · IND · %External debt with original maturity of one year or less as a percentage of gross international reserves.
- Dış borç stoku, GSMG payıIndicator · IND · %Total external debt owed to non-residents (public, publicly guaranteed, private non-guaranteed, IMF credit and short-term) as a percentage of GNI.
- Public debt burden sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
- Financing pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
- Debt composition risk sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
- Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
- Fiscal position sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
- Contingent liability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
- External vulnerability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
- Maliye ve kamu borcu riski endeksiDomain index · IDX · geometricExpert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
- Makrofinansal ve yapısal kırılganlıkPillar · PILLAR · 5 indicesHow much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
ÇalıştırılmadıSürüyorTamamlandı
02Simülatör
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate fiscal and public debt risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
tarayıcınızda çalışır
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03Yöntem
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- NONE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 71% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- uzman
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Belirsizlik
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM geometric aggregation; IMF SRDSF and IMF/WB LIC-DSF (pillar structure only)
Çok düşük0.0 ile < 2.0 arası
Düşük2.0 ile < 3.5 arası
Orta3.5 ile < 5.0 arası
Yüksek5.0 ile < 6.5 arası
Çok yüksek6.5 ile 10.0
04Components
7 components, 27 indicators
Public debt burden sub-index w 2
Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Genel devlet brüt borcu, GSYH payıIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gdd, wb-qpsd | 37.5% |
Genel devlet net borcu, GSYH payıIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp | % | Class B | imf-weo | 12.5% |
Kamu dış borcunun bugünkü değeri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp | % | Class C | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids | 25.0% |
Kamu dış borcunun bugünkü değeri, ihracatın payıIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports | % | Class C | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids | 25.0% |
Financing pressure sub-index w 2
Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Kamu brüt finansman ihtiyacı, GSYH payıIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp | % | Class C | imf-dsa, imf-fiscal-monitor, national-dmo | 37.5% |
Kamu dış borç servisi, gelirlerin payıIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue | % | Class B | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids, imf-gfs | 25.0% |
Kamu dış borç servisi, ihracatın payıIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports | % | Class A | wb-ids, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Devlet tahvili getiri farkı (gösterge faize göre)IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread | % | Class B | jpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, imf-dsa | 12.5% |
Debt composition risk sub-index w 1.5
Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Genel devlet borcunda döviz cinsinden payIND.FIS.debt.fx_share | % | Class B | wb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Genel devlet borcunda kısa vadeli pay (kalan vade)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share | % | Class B | wb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Yerleşik olmayanların elindeki genel devlet borcuIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share | % | Class C | imf-sovereign-investor-base, wb-qpsd, national-dmo | 20.0% |
Genel devlet borcunun ortalama vadeye kalan süresiIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity | a | Class B | national-dmo, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Kamu dış borcunda imtiyazlı payIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share | % | Class A | wb-ids | 20.0% |
Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index w 1
Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Esnek olmayan harcamalar, gelirlerin payıIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue | % | Class B | derived:imf-gfs | 28.6% |
Faiz ödemeleri, gelirlerin payıIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue | % | Class A | imf-gfs, imf-weo, wb-wdi | 28.6% |
Genel devlet gelirleri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs, unu-wider-grd | 28.6% |
Doğal kaynak gelirleri, genel devlet gelirlerinin payıIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share | % | Class B | unu-wider-grd, imf-gfs, eiti | 14.3% |
Fiscal position sub-index w 1
Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Genel devlet genel dengesi, GSYH payıIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs, wb-wdi | 33.3% |
Genel devlet faiz dışı dengesi, GSYH payıIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs | 33.3% |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential | % | Class C | derived:imf-weo, derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth | 33.3% |
Contingent liability sub-index w 1
Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Finansal olmayan kamu şirketlerinin borcu, GSYH payıIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp | % | Class C | wb-qpsd, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet, national-soe-reports | 40.0% |
Mevcut devlet garantileri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp | % | Class C | national-fiscal-risk-statements, wb-ppi, imf-dsa | 40.0% |
Afetlerin beklenen yıllık mali maliyeti, GSYH payıIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp | % | Class D | undrr-gar-aal, wb-country-climate-development-reports, imf-dsa-climate-annex | 20.0% |
External vulnerability sub-index w 0.5
Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cari işlemler dengesi, GSYH payıIND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp | % | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-bop | 25.0% |
İthalatın kaç ayını karşıladığı cinsinden rezervlerIND.MAC.external.reserves_import_cover | mo | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-irfcl | 25.0% |
Kısa vadeli dış borç, rezervlerin payıIND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves | % | Class A | wb-ids, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Dış borç stoku, GSMG payıIND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni | % | Class A | wb-ids | 25.0% |
05Alan
Fiscal and public debt
Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities.
| Sub-domain | Göstergeler |
|---|---|
| Fiscal balance | 4 |
| Revenue | 5 |
| Expenditure | 3 |
| Debt stock and composition | 9 |
| Brüt finansman ihtiyaçları | 5 |
| Koşullu yükümlülükler | 3 |
| Debt-carrying capacity | 8 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF GFS 2014; IMF/WB LIC-DSF; IMF SRDSF; Sovereign rating fiscal pillar.
06Göstergeler
All 37 fiscal and public debt indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Gösterge | Alan | Sub-domain | Bileşen | Birim | Düzeyler | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Genel devlet genel dengesi, GSYH payıIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Genel devlet faiz dışı dengesi, GSYH payıIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP |
Genel devlet yapısal dengesi, potansiyel GSYH payıIND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Genel devlet gelirleri, cari ABD dolarıIND.FIS.revenue.total.usd | FIS | Revenue | context | [USD] | COUNTRY | IMF_GFS 1 |
Genel devlet gelirleri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp | FIS | Revenue | başa çıkma kapasitesi | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS |
Vergi gelirleri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdp | FIS | Revenue | başa çıkma kapasitesi | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11 |
Vergi çabası (fiili vergi / tahmini vergi kapasitesi)IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effort | FIS | Revenue | uyum kapasitesi | 1 | COUNTRY | |
Doğal kaynak gelirleri, genel devlet gelirlerinin payıIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share | FIS | Revenue | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Genel devlet harcamaları, GSYH payıIND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdp | FIS | Expenditure | context | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Esnek olmayan harcamalar, gelirlerin payıIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue | FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Faiz ödemeleri, gelirlerin payıIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue | FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS |
Genel devlet brüt borcu, GSYH payıIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Genel devlet net borcu, GSYH payıIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP |
Genel devlet borcunda döviz cinsinden payIND.FIS.debt.fx_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Genel devlet borcunda kısa vadeli pay (kalan vade)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Genel devlet borcunun ortalama vadeye kalan süresiIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | |
Yerleşik olmayanların elindeki genel devlet borcuIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Kamu dış borcunda imtiyazlı payIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS |
Kamu dış borcunun bugünkü değeri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS |
Kamu dış borcunun bugünkü değeri, ihracatın payıIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS |
Kamu brüt finansman ihtiyacı, GSYH payıIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp | FIS | Brüt finansman ihtiyaçları | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Kamu dış borç servisi, gelirlerin payıIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue | FIS | Brüt finansman ihtiyaçları | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Kamu dış borç servisi, ihracatın payıIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports | FIS | Brüt finansman ihtiyaçları | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1 |
Devlet tahvili getiri farkı (gösterge faize göre)IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread | FIS | Brüt finansman ihtiyaçları | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Beş yıllık devlet kredi temerrüt takası (CDS) primiIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5y | FIS | Brüt finansman ihtiyaçları | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Finansal olmayan kamu şirketlerinin borcu, GSYH payıIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp | FIS | Koşullu yükümlülükler | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Mevcut devlet garantileri, GSYH payıIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp | FIS | Koşullu yükümlülükler | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Afetlerin beklenen yıllık mali maliyeti, GSYH payıIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp | FIS | Koşullu yükümlülükler | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF bileşik gösterge puanı (yayımlanan, referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF eşiği: dış borcun bugünkü değeri / GSYH (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdp | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF eşiği: dış borcun bugünkü değeri / ihracat (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exports | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF eşiği: dış borç servisi / ihracat (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exports | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF eşiği: dış borç servisi / gelirler (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenue | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF ölçütü: toplam kamu borcunun bugünkü değeri / GSYH (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdp | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF borç sıkıntısı riski, yayımlandığı şekliyle (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_published | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} | COUNTRY | |
SRDSF genel devlet borcu stresi riski, yayımlandığı şekliyle (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_published | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} | COUNTRY |
07Gösterge değeri
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · FIS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
–
Değerler baskıyla yayımlanır; aralık, sınıf ve değişim burada görünür.
- Önceki baskı
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Bağlantılı bileşik
- –
- Bağlantı puanı S
- –
- Pulse, son hafta
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Yöntem
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Çekilişler
- 1,000
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world, by edition
Henüz yayımlanmış değer yok. İlk baskı, geçmişi burada aralık bandı ve sınıf sınırlarıyla çizer.
Afrika54
Amerika35
Asya48
Avrupa44
Henüz değişiklik yok. Önceki sürümden bu yana olan değişiklikler, ikinci sürümden itibaren bunlara yol açan göstergelerle birlikte burada listelenir.
08Değerler
Country values
FIG 5 · Fiscal and public debt risk index: countries (values when released)
Harita yükleniyor
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Döşemeler
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fis/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Gözlem anahtarı
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Seriler
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk.→ SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security.→ SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance.→ TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 12 |
IMF_WEO | 6 |
SDG | 2 |
11Nexus genelinde
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Nexus genelinde
Sovereign Capital Nexus · GRA Public Finance and Sovereign Debt · GRA Disaster Risk Finance · Capital Nexus.
12Atıf
Atıf ve yeniden kullanım
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Fiscal and public debt risk index (GRX-IDX-FIS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/fiscal-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000122.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Durum
The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.
NXS-GRX ne değildir
NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.
Kurumlar ve kaynaklar
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.