The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIS · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility
Indice di rischio fiscale e del debito pubblico
Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
Page GRX-IDX-FISEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Incertezza
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation
Struttura
7 components
27 leaf indicators
Copertura
71% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
27
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
One domain view of sovereign fiscal risk that partly penalises weakness in any pillar; the sub-indices stay visible beside it. It is not a debt-distress rating and never replaces the published LIC-DSF or SRDSF signals.
computation
How Fiscal and public debt risk is computedGraph37 nodes
Grafo
01Indicatori
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilastro
05Composito
100%
Indice
- Debito lordo delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %All liabilities of general government that require future payment of interest or principal (debt securities, loans, other accounts payable and similar instruments), at nominal or face value, as a percentage of GDP.
- Debito netto delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Gross general government debt minus financial assets held in the form of the same debt instruments, as a percentage of GDP.
- Valore attuale del debito estero pubblico, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt, discounted at the LIC-DSF unified discount rate, as a percentage of GDP.
- Valore attuale del debito estero pubblico, quota delle esportazioniIndicator · IND · %Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services.
- Fabbisogno finanziario lordo pubblico, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %General government overall deficit plus amortisation of debt falling due in the year (including short-term debt), as a percentage of GDP.
- Servizio del debito estero pubblico, quota delle entrateIndicator · IND · %Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of general government revenue excluding grants.
- Servizio del debito estero pubblico, quota delle esportazioniIndicator · IND · %Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of exports of goods, services and primary income.
- Spread dei titoli sovrani rispetto al benchmarkIndicator · IND · %Yield spread of the sovereign’s foreign-currency bonds over US Treasury (or Bund) securities of matched duration, in percentage points, period average.
- Quota in valuta estera del debito delle amministrazioni pubblicheIndicator · IND · %Share of general government debt denominated in, or indexed to, a foreign currency, at end of period.
- Quota a breve termine del debito delle amministrazioni pubbliche (vita residua)Indicator · IND · %Share of general government debt falling due within twelve months, by residual maturity, at end of period.
- Debito delle amministrazioni pubbliche detenuto da non residentiIndicator · IND · %Share of general government debt held by non-resident creditors (official and private), at end of period.
- Vita media residua del debito delle amministrazioni pubblicheIndicator · IND · aWeighted average residual maturity of general government debt principal, in years, at end of period.
- Quota agevolata del debito estero pubblicoIndicator · IND · %Share of public and publicly guaranteed external debt contracted on concessional terms (grant element of at least 35%), at end of period.
- Spesa rigida, quota delle entrateIndicator · IND · %Compensation of employees, interest and social benefits (GFSM 2014 items 21, 24 and 27) together as a percentage of general government revenue.
- Pagamenti per interessi, quota delle entrateIndicator · IND · %General government interest payments (GFSM 2014 item 24) as a percentage of general government revenue.
- Entrate delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Total general government revenue as a percentage of GDP.
- Entrate da risorse naturali, quota delle entrate delle amministrazioni pubblicheIndicator · IND · %Revenue from oil, gas and mining (royalties, resource taxes, profit transfers from state resource companies) as a percentage of total general government revenue.
- Saldo complessivo delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %General government revenue minus total expenditure (net lending or net borrowing, GFSM 2014) in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
- Saldo primario delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Overall general government balance excluding net interest payments, as a percentage of GDP.
- Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)Indicator · IND · %Effective real interest rate on general government debt (interest paid over the previous year’s debt stock, deflated by the GDP deflator) minus real GDP growth, three-year average, in percentage points.
- Debito delle società pubbliche non finanziarie, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Gross debt of non-financial public corporations (state-owned enterprises outside general government) as a percentage of GDP, where reported.
- Garanzie pubbliche in essere, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Stock of explicit one-off loan guarantees issued by general government (including public-private partnership guarantees) outstanding at end of period, as a percentage of GDP.
- Costo fiscale annuo atteso dei disastri, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Modelled average annual cost to the budget of disaster relief, reconstruction of public assets and revenue loss, net of pre-arranged risk financing, as a percentage of GDP.
- Saldo delle partite correnti, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Balance of trade in goods and services, primary and secondary income, as a percentage of GDP (BPM6).
- Riserve in mesi di importazioniIndicator · IND · moGross international reserves (including gold) divided by the monthly value of imports of goods and services.
- Debito estero a breve termine, quota delle riserveIndicator · IND · %External debt with original maturity of one year or less as a percentage of gross international reserves.
- Stock di debito estero, quota del RNLIndicator · IND · %Total external debt owed to non-residents (public, publicly guaranteed, private non-guaranteed, IMF credit and short-term) as a percentage of GNI.
- Public debt burden sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
- Financing pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
- Debt composition risk sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
- Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
- Fiscal position sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
- Contingent liability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
- External vulnerability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
- Indice di rischio fiscale e del debito pubblicoDomain index · IDX · geometricExpert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
- Fragilità macrofinanziaria e strutturalePillar · PILLAR · 5 indicesHow much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Non eseguitoIn corsoCompletato
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate fiscal and public debt risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
funziona nel vostro browser
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03Metodo
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- NONE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 71% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- esperto
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertezza
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM geometric aggregation; IMF SRDSF and IMF/WB LIC-DSF (pillar structure only)
Molto bassoda 0.0 a < 2.0
Bassoda 2.0 a < 3.5
Medioda 3.5 a < 5.0
Altoda 5.0 a < 6.5
Molto altoda 6.5 a 10.0
04Components
7 components, 27 indicators
Public debt burden sub-index w 2
Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Debito lordo delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gdd, wb-qpsd | 37.5% |
Debito netto delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp | % | Class B | imf-weo | 12.5% |
Valore attuale del debito estero pubblico, quota del PILIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp | % | Class C | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids | 25.0% |
Valore attuale del debito estero pubblico, quota delle esportazioniIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports | % | Class C | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids | 25.0% |
Financing pressure sub-index w 2
Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabbisogno finanziario lordo pubblico, quota del PILIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp | % | Class C | imf-dsa, imf-fiscal-monitor, national-dmo | 37.5% |
Servizio del debito estero pubblico, quota delle entrateIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue | % | Class B | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids, imf-gfs | 25.0% |
Servizio del debito estero pubblico, quota delle esportazioniIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports | % | Class A | wb-ids, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Spread dei titoli sovrani rispetto al benchmarkIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread | % | Class B | jpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, imf-dsa | 12.5% |
Debt composition risk sub-index w 1.5
Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Quota in valuta estera del debito delle amministrazioni pubblicheIND.FIS.debt.fx_share | % | Class B | wb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Quota a breve termine del debito delle amministrazioni pubbliche (vita residua)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share | % | Class B | wb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Debito delle amministrazioni pubbliche detenuto da non residentiIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share | % | Class C | imf-sovereign-investor-base, wb-qpsd, national-dmo | 20.0% |
Vita media residua del debito delle amministrazioni pubblicheIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity | a | Class B | national-dmo, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Quota agevolata del debito estero pubblicoIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share | % | Class A | wb-ids | 20.0% |
Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index w 1
Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Spesa rigida, quota delle entrateIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue | % | Class B | derived:imf-gfs | 28.6% |
Pagamenti per interessi, quota delle entrateIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue | % | Class A | imf-gfs, imf-weo, wb-wdi | 28.6% |
Entrate delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs, unu-wider-grd | 28.6% |
Entrate da risorse naturali, quota delle entrate delle amministrazioni pubblicheIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share | % | Class B | unu-wider-grd, imf-gfs, eiti | 14.3% |
Fiscal position sub-index w 1
Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Saldo complessivo delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs, wb-wdi | 33.3% |
Saldo primario delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs | 33.3% |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential | % | Class C | derived:imf-weo, derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth | 33.3% |
Contingent liability sub-index w 1
Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Debito delle società pubbliche non finanziarie, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp | % | Class C | wb-qpsd, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet, national-soe-reports | 40.0% |
Garanzie pubbliche in essere, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp | % | Class C | national-fiscal-risk-statements, wb-ppi, imf-dsa | 40.0% |
Costo fiscale annuo atteso dei disastri, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp | % | Class D | undrr-gar-aal, wb-country-climate-development-reports, imf-dsa-climate-annex | 20.0% |
External vulnerability sub-index w 0.5
Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Saldo delle partite correnti, quota del PILIND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp | % | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-bop | 25.0% |
Riserve in mesi di importazioniIND.MAC.external.reserves_import_cover | mo | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-irfcl | 25.0% |
Debito estero a breve termine, quota delle riserveIND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves | % | Class A | wb-ids, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Stock di debito estero, quota del RNLIND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni | % | Class A | wb-ids | 25.0% |
05Dominio
Fiscal and public debt
Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities.
| Sub-domain | Indicatori |
|---|---|
| Fiscal balance | 4 |
| Revenue | 5 |
| Expenditure | 3 |
| Debt stock and composition | 9 |
| Gross financing needs | 5 |
| Contingent liabilities | 3 |
| Debt-carrying capacity | 8 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF GFS 2014; IMF/WB LIC-DSF; IMF SRDSF; Sovereign rating fiscal pillar.
06Indicatori
All 37 fiscal and public debt indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Indicatore | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unità | Livelli | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saldo complessivo delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Saldo primario delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP |
Saldo strutturale delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PIL potenzialeIND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Entrate delle amministrazioni pubbliche, dollari USA correntiIND.FIS.revenue.total.usd | FIS | Revenue | context | [USD] | COUNTRY | IMF_GFS 1 |
Entrate delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp | FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS |
Entrate fiscali, quota del PILIND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdp | FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11 |
Sforzo fiscale (effettivo rispetto alla capacità fiscale stimata)IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effort | FIS | Revenue | adaptive capacity | 1 | COUNTRY | |
Entrate da risorse naturali, quota delle entrate delle amministrazioni pubblicheIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share | FIS | Revenue | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Spesa delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdp | FIS | Expenditure | context | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Spesa rigida, quota delle entrateIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue | FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Pagamenti per interessi, quota delle entrateIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue | FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS |
Debito lordo delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Debito netto delle amministrazioni pubbliche, quota del PILIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP |
Quota in valuta estera del debito delle amministrazioni pubblicheIND.FIS.debt.fx_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Quota a breve termine del debito delle amministrazioni pubbliche (vita residua)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Vita media residua del debito delle amministrazioni pubblicheIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | |
Debito delle amministrazioni pubbliche detenuto da non residentiIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Quota agevolata del debito estero pubblicoIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS |
Valore attuale del debito estero pubblico, quota del PILIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS |
Valore attuale del debito estero pubblico, quota delle esportazioniIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS |
Fabbisogno finanziario lordo pubblico, quota del PILIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Servizio del debito estero pubblico, quota delle entrateIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Servizio del debito estero pubblico, quota delle esportazioniIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1 |
Spread dei titoli sovrani rispetto al benchmarkIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Spread dei credit default swap sovrani a cinque anniIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5y | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Debito delle società pubbliche non finanziarie, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp | FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Garanzie pubbliche in essere, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp | FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Costo fiscale annuo atteso dei disastri, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp | FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Punteggio dell'indicatore composito LIC-DSF (pubblicato, riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Soglia LIC-DSF: VA del debito estero rispetto al PIL (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdp | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Soglia LIC-DSF: VA del debito estero rispetto alle esportazioni (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exports | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Soglia LIC-DSF: servizio del debito estero rispetto alle esportazioni (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exports | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Soglia LIC-DSF: servizio del debito estero rispetto alle entrate (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenue | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Benchmark LIC-DSF: VA del debito pubblico totale rispetto al PIL (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdp | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Rischio di sofferenza debitoria LIC-DSF, come pubblicato (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_published | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} | COUNTRY | |
Rischio complessivo di stress sovrano SRDSF, come pubblicato (riferimento)IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_published | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} | COUNTRY |
07Quotazione
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · FIS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
–
I valori sono pubblicati con l'edizione; qui compaiono intervallo, classe e variazione.
- Edizione precedente
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Composito accoppiato
- –
- Punteggio di accoppiamento S
- –
- Pulse, ultima settimana
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Metodo
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Estrazioni
- 1,000
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world, by edition
Nessun valore ancora pubblicato. La prima edizione traccia qui lo storico con la banda dell'intervallo e i limiti di classe.
Africa54
Americhe35
Asia48
Europa44
Nessuna variazione per ora. Dalla seconda edizione in poi, le variazioni rispetto all’edizione precedente sono elencate qui, insieme agli indicatori che le hanno determinate.
08Valori
Country values
FIG 5 · Fiscal and public debt risk index: countries (values when released)
Caricamento della mappa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Tile
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fis/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Chiave di osservazione
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Serie
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk.→ SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security.→ SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance.→ TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 12 |
IMF_WEO | 6 |
SDG | 2 |
11In tutto il Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
In tutto il Nexus
Sovereign Capital Nexus · GRA Public Finance and Sovereign Debt · GRA Disaster Risk Finance · Capital Nexus.
12Cita
Cita e riutilizza
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Fiscal and public debt risk index (GRX-IDX-FIS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/fiscal-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000122.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Stato
La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.
Che cosa non è NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.
Istituzioni e fonti
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Ogni valore riporta l’attribuzione delle proprie fonti, che mantengono le rispettive licenze. I nomi esterni sono citati unicamente a fini di interoperabilità. I testi redatti da Nexus sono destinati alla licenza CC BY 4.0 al momento della pubblicazione.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.