The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIS · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility
Índice de riesgo fiscal y de deuda pública
Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
Page GRX-IDX-FISEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Incertidumbre
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation
Estructura
7 components
27 leaf indicators
Cobertura
71% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
27
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
One domain view of sovereign fiscal risk that partly penalises weakness in any pillar; the sub-indices stay visible beside it. It is not a debt-distress rating and never replaces the published LIC-DSF or SRDSF signals.
computation
How Fiscal and public debt risk is computedGraph37 nodes
Grafo
01Indicadores
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Compuesto
100%
Índice
- Deuda bruta del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %All liabilities of general government that require future payment of interest or principal (debt securities, loans, other accounts payable and similar instruments), at nominal or face value, as a percentage of GDP.
- Deuda neta del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Gross general government debt minus financial assets held in the form of the same debt instruments, as a percentage of GDP.
- Valor actual de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt, discounted at the LIC-DSF unified discount rate, as a percentage of GDP.
- Valor actual de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de las exportacionesIndicator · IND · %Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services.
- Necesidades brutas de financiación pública, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %General government overall deficit plus amortisation of debt falling due in the year (including short-term debt), as a percentage of GDP.
- Servicio de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de los ingresosIndicator · IND · %Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of general government revenue excluding grants.
- Servicio de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de las exportacionesIndicator · IND · %Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of exports of goods, services and primary income.
- Diferencial de los bonos soberanos frente a la referenciaIndicator · IND · %Yield spread of the sovereign’s foreign-currency bonds over US Treasury (or Bund) securities of matched duration, in percentage points, period average.
- Proporción en moneda extranjera de la deuda del gobierno generalIndicator · IND · %Share of general government debt denominated in, or indexed to, a foreign currency, at end of period.
- Proporción a corto plazo de la deuda del gobierno general (vencimiento residual)Indicator · IND · %Share of general government debt falling due within twelve months, by residual maturity, at end of period.
- Tenencias de deuda del gobierno general por no residentesIndicator · IND · %Share of general government debt held by non-resident creditors (official and private), at end of period.
- Plazo medio de vencimiento de la deuda del gobierno generalIndicator · IND · aWeighted average residual maturity of general government debt principal, in years, at end of period.
- Proporción concesional de la deuda externa públicaIndicator · IND · %Share of public and publicly guaranteed external debt contracted on concessional terms (grant element of at least 35%), at end of period.
- Gasto rígido, porcentaje de los ingresosIndicator · IND · %Compensation of employees, interest and social benefits (GFSM 2014 items 21, 24 and 27) together as a percentage of general government revenue.
- Pagos de intereses, porcentaje de los ingresosIndicator · IND · %General government interest payments (GFSM 2014 item 24) as a percentage of general government revenue.
- Ingresos del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Total general government revenue as a percentage of GDP.
- Ingresos por recursos naturales, porcentaje de los ingresos del gobierno generalIndicator · IND · %Revenue from oil, gas and mining (royalties, resource taxes, profit transfers from state resource companies) as a percentage of total general government revenue.
- Saldo global del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %General government revenue minus total expenditure (net lending or net borrowing, GFSM 2014) in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
- Saldo primario del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Overall general government balance excluding net interest payments, as a percentage of GDP.
- Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)Indicator · IND · %Effective real interest rate on general government debt (interest paid over the previous year’s debt stock, deflated by the GDP deflator) minus real GDP growth, three-year average, in percentage points.
- Deuda de las sociedades públicas no financieras, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Gross debt of non-financial public corporations (state-owned enterprises outside general government) as a percentage of GDP, where reported.
- Garantías públicas vigentes, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Stock of explicit one-off loan guarantees issued by general government (including public-private partnership guarantees) outstanding at end of period, as a percentage of GDP.
- Costo fiscal anual esperado de los desastres, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Modelled average annual cost to the budget of disaster relief, reconstruction of public assets and revenue loss, net of pre-arranged risk financing, as a percentage of GDP.
- Saldo por cuenta corriente, porcentaje del PIBIndicator · IND · %Balance of trade in goods and services, primary and secondary income, as a percentage of GDP (BPM6).
- Reservas en meses de importacionesIndicator · IND · moGross international reserves (including gold) divided by the monthly value of imports of goods and services.
- Deuda externa a corto plazo, porcentaje de las reservasIndicator · IND · %External debt with original maturity of one year or less as a percentage of gross international reserves.
- Saldo de la deuda externa, porcentaje del INBIndicator · IND · %Total external debt owed to non-residents (public, publicly guaranteed, private non-guaranteed, IMF credit and short-term) as a percentage of GNI.
- Public debt burden sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
- Financing pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
- Debt composition risk sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
- Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
- Fiscal position sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
- Contingent liability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
- External vulnerability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
- Índice de riesgo fiscal y de deuda públicaDomain index · IDX · geometricExpert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
- Fragilidad macrofinanciera y estructuralPillar · PILLAR · 5 indicesHow much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Sin ejecutarEn cursoCompletado
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate fiscal and public debt risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
se ejecuta en su navegador
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03Método
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- NONE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 71% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- experto
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertidumbre
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM geometric aggregation; IMF SRDSF and IMF/WB LIC-DSF (pillar structure only)
Muy bajo0,0 a < 2,0
Bajo2,0 a < 3,5
Medio3,5 a < 5,0
Alto5,0 a < 6,5
Muy alto6.5 a 10.0
04Components
7 components, 27 indicators
Public debt burden sub-index w 2
Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deuda bruta del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gdd, wb-qpsd | 37.5% |
Deuda neta del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp | % | Class B | imf-weo | 12.5% |
Valor actual de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp | % | Class C | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids | 25.0% |
Valor actual de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de las exportacionesIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports | % | Class C | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids | 25.0% |
Financing pressure sub-index w 2
Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Necesidades brutas de financiación pública, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp | % | Class C | imf-dsa, imf-fiscal-monitor, national-dmo | 37.5% |
Servicio de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de los ingresosIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue | % | Class B | imf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids, imf-gfs | 25.0% |
Servicio de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de las exportacionesIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports | % | Class A | wb-ids, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Diferencial de los bonos soberanos frente a la referenciaIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread | % | Class B | jpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, imf-dsa | 12.5% |
Debt composition risk sub-index w 1.5
Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Proporción en moneda extranjera de la deuda del gobierno generalIND.FIS.debt.fx_share | % | Class B | wb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Proporción a corto plazo de la deuda del gobierno general (vencimiento residual)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share | % | Class B | wb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Tenencias de deuda del gobierno general por no residentesIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share | % | Class C | imf-sovereign-investor-base, wb-qpsd, national-dmo | 20.0% |
Plazo medio de vencimiento de la deuda del gobierno generalIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity | a | Class B | national-dmo, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, imf-dsa | 20.0% |
Proporción concesional de la deuda externa públicaIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share | % | Class A | wb-ids | 20.0% |
Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index w 1
Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gasto rígido, porcentaje de los ingresosIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue | % | Class B | derived:imf-gfs | 28.6% |
Pagos de intereses, porcentaje de los ingresosIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue | % | Class A | imf-gfs, imf-weo, wb-wdi | 28.6% |
Ingresos del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs, unu-wider-grd | 28.6% |
Ingresos por recursos naturales, porcentaje de los ingresos del gobierno generalIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share | % | Class B | unu-wider-grd, imf-gfs, eiti | 14.3% |
Fiscal position sub-index w 1
Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Saldo global del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs, wb-wdi | 33.3% |
Saldo primario del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp | % | Class A | imf-weo, imf-gfs | 33.3% |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential | % | Class C | derived:imf-weo, derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth | 33.3% |
Contingent liability sub-index w 1
Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deuda de las sociedades públicas no financieras, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp | % | Class C | wb-qpsd, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet, national-soe-reports | 40.0% |
Garantías públicas vigentes, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp | % | Class C | national-fiscal-risk-statements, wb-ppi, imf-dsa | 40.0% |
Costo fiscal anual esperado de los desastres, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp | % | Class D | undrr-gar-aal, wb-country-climate-development-reports, imf-dsa-climate-annex | 20.0% |
External vulnerability sub-index w 0.5
Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Saldo por cuenta corriente, porcentaje del PIBIND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp | % | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-bop | 25.0% |
Reservas en meses de importacionesIND.MAC.external.reserves_import_cover | mo | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-irfcl | 25.0% |
Deuda externa a corto plazo, porcentaje de las reservasIND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves | % | Class A | wb-ids, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Saldo de la deuda externa, porcentaje del INBIND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni | % | Class A | wb-ids | 25.0% |
05Dominio
Fiscal and public debt
Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities.
| Sub-domain | Indicadores |
|---|---|
| Fiscal balance | 4 |
| Revenue | 5 |
| Expenditure | 3 |
| Debt stock and composition | 9 |
| Gross financing needs | 5 |
| Contingent liabilities | 3 |
| Debt-carrying capacity | 8 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF GFS 2014; IMF/WB LIC-DSF; IMF SRDSF; Sovereign rating fiscal pillar.
06Indicadores
All 37 fiscal and public debt indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Indicador | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unidad | Niveles | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saldo global del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Saldo primario del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP |
Saldo estructural del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIB potencialIND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdp | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential | FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Ingresos del gobierno general, dólares estadounidenses corrientesIND.FIS.revenue.total.usd | FIS | Revenue | context | [USD] | COUNTRY | IMF_GFS 1 |
Ingresos del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp | FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS |
Ingresos tributarios, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdp | FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11 |
Esfuerzo tributario (recaudación real sobre capacidad tributaria estimada)IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effort | FIS | Revenue | adaptive capacity | 1 | COUNTRY | |
Ingresos por recursos naturales, porcentaje de los ingresos del gobierno generalIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share | FIS | Revenue | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Gasto del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdp | FIS | Expenditure | context | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Gasto rígido, porcentaje de los ingresosIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue | FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Pagos de intereses, porcentaje de los ingresosIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue | FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS |
Deuda bruta del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Deuda neta del gobierno general, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP |
Proporción en moneda extranjera de la deuda del gobierno generalIND.FIS.debt.fx_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Proporción a corto plazo de la deuda del gobierno general (vencimiento residual)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Plazo medio de vencimiento de la deuda del gobierno generalIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | |
Tenencias de deuda del gobierno general por no residentesIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Proporción concesional de la deuda externa públicaIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS |
Valor actual de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS |
Valor actual de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de las exportacionesIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports | FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS |
Necesidades brutas de financiación pública, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Servicio de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de los ingresosIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Servicio de la deuda externa pública, porcentaje de las exportacionesIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1 |
Diferencial de los bonos soberanos frente a la referenciaIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Diferencial de las permutas de incumplimiento crediticio soberano a cinco añosIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5y | FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Deuda de las sociedades públicas no financieras, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp | FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Garantías públicas vigentes, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp | FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Costo fiscal anual esperado de los desastres, porcentaje del PIBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp | FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Puntuación del indicador compuesto del LIC-DSF (publicada, referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Umbral del LIC-DSF: VA de la deuda externa respecto del PIB (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdp | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Umbral del LIC-DSF: VA de la deuda externa respecto de las exportaciones (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exports | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Umbral del LIC-DSF: servicio de la deuda externa respecto de las exportaciones (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exports | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Umbral del LIC-DSF: servicio de la deuda externa respecto de los ingresos (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenue | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Referencia del LIC-DSF: VA de la deuda pública total respecto del PIB (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdp | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % | COUNTRY | |
Riesgo de sobreendeudamiento según el LIC-DSF, tal como se publica (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_published | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} | COUNTRY | |
Riesgo global de tensión soberana según el SRDSF, tal como se publica (referencia)IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_published | FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} | COUNTRY |
07Cita
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · FIS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
–
Los valores se publican con la edición; el intervalo, la clase y la variación aparecen aquí.
- Edición anterior
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Compuesto acoplado
- –
- Puntuación de acoplamiento S
- –
- Pulso, última semana
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Método
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Extracciones
- 1,000
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world, by edition
Aún no hay valores publicados. La primera edición trazará aquí la serie histórica con su banda de intervalo y los límites de clase.
África54
Américas35
Asia48
Europa44
Aún no hay movimientos. A partir de la segunda edición, aquí se enumeran los cambios respecto de la edición anterior, con los indicadores que los provocaron.
08Valores
Country values
FIG 5 · Fiscal and public debt risk index: countries (values when released)
Cargando el mapa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Teselas
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fis/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Clave de observación
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Serie
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk.→ SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security.→ SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance.→ TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 12 |
IMF_WEO | 6 |
SDG | 2 |
11En todo el Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
En todo el Nexus
Sovereign Capital Nexus · GRA Public Finance and Sovereign Debt · GRA Disaster Risk Finance · Capital Nexus.
12Citar
Citar y reutilizar
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Fiscal and public debt risk index (GRX-IDX-FIS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/fiscal-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000122.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Estado
La metodología, la estructura y las definiciones de The Global Risks Index son un borrador de trabajo preparatorio (2026), difundido para examen y comentarios y no para su aplicación. Ningún valor aparece hasta que se publica una edición a partir de un corte de evidencia gobernado; los valores incluyen entonces intervalos, clases, fuentes y su vía de corrección. Los simuladores aplican los métodos publicados a las cifras que usted elija y nunca muestran un valor del NXS-GRX.
Lo que NXS-GRX no es
NXS-GRX es información de investigación y analítica de riesgos. No es una calificación crediticia ni ESG y no usa ninguna escala de calificación; no es un índice de referencia para instrumentos financieros, ni estadística oficial, ni una alerta de emergencia o clasificación oficial, ni asesoramiento. No debe usarse para evaluar a personas físicas. Las clases de riesgo son bandas en una escala publicada, nunca clasificaciones de países ni de personas.
Instituciones y fuentes
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Cada valor lleva la atribución de sus fuentes, que conservan sus propias licencias. Los nombres externos se citan únicamente a efectos de interoperabilidad. Los textos de autoría de Nexus están destinados a publicarse bajo CC BY 4.0.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.