Every risk method, standardised
670 methods across hazard science, exposure, vulnerability, loss, catastrophe, financial, sovereign, systemic, climate, health, cyber and assurance, each with a stable ID, an honest implementation state and the standards that govern it.
23 method fabrics
Every quantitative method the index and its platform may use is registered once, in one fabric, with a stable capability ID; a title is display text only.
What is implemented
169 capabilities are bound to hand-written scientific kernels with golden-value tests in Python, Julia or R. Every capability is release-held, with a supported claim level of integrated.
- Connected
- An existing governed engine path is available; specialist physics still needs validation for the context of use.
- Reference implementation
- Transparent reference mathematics for diagnostics and parity, not institutional-grade calibration.
- Adapter required
- Registered; an execution adapter is still to be built. Requests fail closed.
- Specialist model required
- Needs a specialist domain model. Requests fail closed rather than fabricate an output.
- Data required
- Needs governed data that is not yet available. Requests fail closed.
What every method must carry
The same contract applies to an NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) index, a custom index in Index Studio and a model run in Model Lab.
- Evidencia
- sealed RiskDataCut for data-grounded execution; source release and exact-record lineage; rights/purpose decision; chronotope; model/method version; uncertainty and applicability evidence
- Incertidumbre
- aleatory where applicable, epistemic, parameter, model-form, data, scenario
- Verification and validation
- verification, calibration or justification, validation or benchmark, applicability, reproducibility
- Resultados
uncertainty-packet, evidence-envelope, vvuq-receipt- Refusals
NO_DATA_IS_NOT_ZERONO_UNGROUNDED_MONETARY_TRUTHNO_FAKE_SPATIAL_MATERIALIZATIONNO_CAUSAL_CLAIM_WITHOUT_IDENTIFICATIONNO_CALIBRATION_CLAIM_WITHOUT_EVIDENCENO_AUTHORITY_ESCALATION
What registration does not mean
- Capability registration is not model execution, calibration, observation, validation or assurance.
- CONNECTED means an existing governed engine path is available; specialist domain physics still requires context-of-use validation.
IMPLEMENTED_REFERENCEmeans transparent reference mathematics exists for diagnostics/parity, not institutional-grade calibration.SPECIALIST_MODEL_REQUIREDyDATA_REQUIREDfail closed rather than fabricate outputs.- Cryptographic integrity proves the network's own records relationships, not scientific truth.
Comment on the methodology
Open consultation on normalisation, weighting, aggregation, imputation, uncertainty and validation; every comment receives a disposition in the consultation record.
- 01RellenarLos campos marcados (obligatorio) son necesarios; todo lo demás facilita la revisión.
- 02ReferenciaRecibe una referencia en pantalla; el registro se guarda en la base de datos WordPress de este sitio.
- 03RevisiónEl resultado se registra públicamente. Los datos de contacto permanecen en este sitio y nunca se publican ni se comparten.
Este formulario se abrirá aquí cuando se active. Mientras tanto, envíelo a través de la pasarela Nexus Reports.
Propose a method
New methods are registered with a stable ID, a hand-derived golden test and their evidence obligations before any page uses them.
Estado
La metodología, la estructura y las definiciones de The Global Risks Index son un borrador de trabajo preparatorio (2026), difundido para examen y comentarios y no para su aplicación. Ningún valor aparece hasta que se publica una edición a partir de un corte de evidencia gobernado; los valores incluyen entonces intervalos, clases, fuentes y su vía de corrección. Los simuladores aplican los métodos publicados a las cifras que usted elija y nunca muestran un valor del NXS-GRX.
Lo que NXS-GRX no es
NXS-GRX es información de investigación y analítica de riesgos. No es una calificación crediticia ni ESG y no usa ninguna escala de calificación; no es un índice de referencia para instrumentos financieros, ni estadística oficial, ni una alerta de emergencia o clasificación oficial, ni asesoramiento. No debe usarse para evaluar a personas físicas. Las clases de riesgo son bandas en una escala publicada, nunca clasificaciones de países ni de personas.
Instituciones y fuentes
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Cada valor lleva la atribución de sus fuentes, que conservan sus propias licencias. Los nombres externos se citan únicamente a efectos de interoperabilidad. Los textos de autoría de Nexus están destinados a publicarse bajo CC BY 4.0.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.