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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Methods · model registry 1.0.0

Every risk method, standardised

670 methods across hazard science, exposure, vulnerability, loss, catastrophe, financial, sovereign, systemic, climate, health, cyber and assurance, each with a stable ID, an honest implementation state and the standards that govern it.

Página GRX-MTHEdição Edição de referência 2026Fecho das evidências 2026-09-30Valores ainda não publicadosMétodo v1.0.0-draft
670
methods
23
fabrics
169
kernel-bound
48
connected or reference

01Fabrics

23 method fabrics

Every quantitative method the index and its platform may use is registered once, in one fabric, with a stable capability ID; a title is display text only.

Fabric Capacidades Kernel-bound Planes Normas
Matemática e estatística universais 38 26 Julia, TypeScript
Ciência das ameaças 37 7 Julia, Python
Inteligência de exposição e de ativos 18 4 TypeScript, Python, SQL
Vulnerabilidade, fragilidade e resiliência 19 8 Julia, Python
Consequências e perdas 18 6 Julia, Python, r
Risco catastrófico 23 13 Julia, Python, r
Redes, dependência e risco sistêmico 21 10 Julia, Python
Risco financeiro 57 13 Julia, Python, r
Seguros e resseguros 38 14 r, Julia
Mercados, comércio e cadeias de suprimentos 30 7 Julia, Python
Sovereign, macroeconomic and development risk 28 5 Julia, Python, r
Políticas, regulação e governança 17 1 Python, Julia
Risco hídrico 26 7 Julia, Python
Alimentos, agricultura e pesca 25 2 Python, Julia
Risco energético 26 7 Julia, Python
Saúde e epidemiologia 25 9 Julia, Python, r
Clima, natureza e biodiversidade 24 3 Python, Julia
Critical infrastructure and industrial risk 27 6 Julia, Python
Cibernética, IA e tecnologias de fronteira 56 6 Python, rust, Julia
Geopolítica, conflito e segurança humana 21 5 Python, Julia
Projetos, programas e investimento em infraestrutura 27 2 Julia, Python
Dados de risco 24 0 TypeScript, Python, rust, SQL
Garantia científica 45 16 Julia, Python, r, rust
02Situação

What is implemented

169 capabilities are bound to hand-written scientific kernels with golden-value tests in Python, Julia or R. Every capability is release-held, with a supported claim level of integrated.

model registry 1.0.0 · 670 capabilities
Connected9
Reference implementation39
Adapter required327
Specialist model required159
Data required136
Kernel bindings by plane
Python161
Julia4
r4
Connected
An existing governed engine path is available; specialist physics still needs validation for the context of use.
Reference implementation
Transparent reference mathematics for diagnostics and parity, not institutional-grade calibration.
Adapter required
Registered; an execution adapter is still to be built. Requests fail closed.
Specialist model required
Needs a specialist domain model. Requests fail closed rather than fabricate an output.
Data required
Needs governed data that is not yet available. Requests fail closed.
03Contract

What every method must carry

The same contract applies to an NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) index, a custom index in Index Studio and a model run in Model Lab.

Evidências
sealed RiskDataCut for data-grounded execution; source release and exact-record lineage; rights/purpose decision; chronotope; model/method version; uncertainty and applicability evidence
Incerteza
aleatory where applicable, epistemic, parameter, model-form, data, scenario
Verification and validation
verification, calibration or justification, validation or benchmark, applicability, reproducibility
Produtos
uncertainty-packet, evidence-envelope, vvuq-receipt
Refusals
NO_DATA_IS_NOT_ZERO NO_UNGROUNDED_MONETARY_TRUTH NO_FAKE_SPATIAL_MATERIALIZATION NO_CAUSAL_CLAIM_WITHOUT_IDENTIFICATION NO_CALIBRATION_CLAIM_WITHOUT_EVIDENCE NO_AUTHORITY_ESCALATION
04Honesty

What registration does not mean

  • Capability registration is not model execution, calibration, observation, validation or assurance.
  • CONNECTED means an existing governed engine path is available; specialist domain physics still requires context-of-use validation.
  • IMPLEMENTED_REFERENCE means transparent reference mathematics exists for diagnostics/parity, not institutional-grade calibration.
  • SPECIALIST_MODEL_REQUIRED e DATA_REQUIRED fail closed rather than fabricate outputs.
  • Cryptographic integrity proves the network's own records relationships, not scientific truth.

Formulário

Comment on the methodology

Open consultation on normalisation, weighting, aggregation, imputation, uncertainty and validation; every comment receives a disposition in the consultation record.

  1. 01PreencherOs campos marcados (obrigatório) são necessários; todo o resto ajuda na análise.
  2. 02ReferênciaVocê recebe uma referência na tela; o registro fica guardado no banco de dados WordPress deste site.
  3. 03AnáliseO resultado é registrado publicamente. Os dados de contato permanecem neste site e nunca são publicados nem compartilhados.
Form · grx-consult

Este formulário abrirá aqui assim que for ativado. Até lá, envie-o pelo gateway Nexus Reports.

Propose a method

New methods are registered with a stable ID, a hand-derived golden test and their evidence obligations before any page uses them.