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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · 20 indices · 451 indicators

Vinte índices temáticos

One index per index domain, each with its own components, weights, aggregation and uncertainty analysis, grouped in four pillars and always shown beside the composite.

Exposição a ameaças Catálogo de indicadores
Página GRX-IDXEdição Edição de referência 2026Fecho das evidências 2026-09-30Valores ainda não publicadosMétodo v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Indicator Standard: indicators by domain and sub-domain
HAZ · 53FIS · 37FIN · 32CLI · 31HLT · 31INF · 24DEM · 24FOO · 23ENE · 23SOC · 22ENV · 22GOV · 20CON · 19CRS · 18ECO · 18MAC · 14
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
20
índices de domínio
86
sub-indices
451
indicadores
501
crosswalks

01HTE

Exposição a ameaças

What can strike, how often, how hard and who and what stands in its way?

HAZMulti-hazard exposure indexINFORM-style 0–10 index of natural-hazard exposure: the geophysical, flood and coastal, storm and climatological sub-indices plus the multi-hazard population share, combined by a geometric mean of complements (10 minus each score) so that one severe hazard is not averaged away.17 indicators CLIClimate physical hazard index0–10 index of physical climate hazard combining chronic change, observed extremes and projected change (projection sub-index taken at SSP2-4.5, 2041–2060 by default, with other scenarios as alternative runs).16 indicators CONConflict risk indexMazziotta–Pareto aggregation, on 0 to 10, of conflict intensity, civilian harm, societal insecurity and external fragility assessments.15 indicators SPCSpace-weather exposure index0–10 index of space-weather exposure as the product of the space-weather hazard and space-service dependence sub-indices; mostly modelled and expert inputs, so its grade is capped.6 indicators CLIClimate transition exposure index0–10 index of an economy’s exposure to a low-carbon transition, combining transition exposure (fossil rents, fuel exports, subsidies) and emissions intensity (per capita and per unit of GDP).5 indicators
02VUL

Vulnerabilidade humana e dos sistemas

How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?

SOCSocio-economic vulnerability indexWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of poverty and deprivation, inequality, human capital deficit, the social protection gap and gender inequality.18 indicators DEMDisplacement pressure indexWeighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.10 indicators FOOFood insecurity risk indexWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.20 indicators WATWater security risk index0–10 index of water security risk combining scarcity and stress, WASH access, water quality and transboundary dependence; geometric so that good access does not offset severe scarcity.11 indicators HLTHealth security risk indexINFORM-style aggregation, on 0 to 10, of epidemic and AMR hazard, disease burden and undernutrition against health-system and IHR capacity, each component oriented by its own polarity.25 indicators ENVEnvironmental pressure index0–10 index of environmental pressure and ecosystem condition combining air pollution, land and forest degradation, biodiversity status, ocean condition and waste pressure.16 indicators ENEEnergy security risk indexIndex of energy access deficit, fuel import dependence, mix rigidity, supply unreliability and critical-mineral dependence on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.20 indicators INFInfrastructure fragility indexIndex of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.24 indicators
03MSF

Fragilidade macrofinanceira e estrutural

How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?

FISFiscal and public debt risk indexExpert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.27 indicators FINFinancial stability risk indexExpert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.28 indicators ECOExternal dependence risk indexWeighted arithmetic mean of the four ECO sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10.22 indicators CYBCyber risk indexIndex of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.12 indicators TECTechnology concentration risk indexIndex of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.10 indicators
04LCC

Falta de capacidade de enfrentamento e de adaptação

Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?

CRSLack of coping capacity indexIndex on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.26 indicators GOVGovernance weakness indexWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.16 indicators

Open any index to see how it is computed

Every index page draws its construction graph from the real weights and lets you run its aggregation on your own numbers.

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Situação

A metodologia, a estrutura e as definições do The Global Risks Index constituem um projeto de trabalho preparatório (2026), divulgado para revisão e comentários e não para implementação. Nenhum valor aparece até que uma edição seja publicada a partir de um corte de evidências governado; os valores passam então a ter intervalos, classes, fontes e o respectivo percurso de correção. Os simuladores executam os métodos publicados sobre números que você escolhe e nunca mostram um valor do NXS-GRX.

O que o NXS-GRX não é

O NXS-GRX é informação de pesquisa e de análise de risco. Não é rating de crédito ou ESG e não usa escala de rating, não é referência para instrumentos financeiros, não é estatística oficial, não é alerta de emergência nem classificação oficial e não é aconselhamento. Não deve ser usado para avaliar pessoas físicas. As classes de risco são faixas em uma escala publicada, nunca classificações de países ou pessoas.

Instituições e fontes

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Cada valor inclui a atribuição das suas fontes, que mantêm as suas próprias licenças. Os nomes externos são citados apenas para fins de interoperabilidade. Os textos de autoria da Nexus destinam-se a ser publicados sob CC BY 4.0.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.