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The Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-INF · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

Índice de fragilidade das infraestruturas

Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.

Page GRX-IDX-INFEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragilityValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Incerteza

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Estrutura

5 components

24 leaf indicators

Cobertura

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 30%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
24
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
10
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Shows how likely infrastructure is to fail or isolate people under stress, and how much it already has; sub-indices stay visible beside the total.

computation
How Infrastructure fragility is computed
Graph32 nodes
Grafo
01Indicadores
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Composto
100%
Índice
  1. População rural a menos de 2 km de uma estrada transitável o ano todo
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
  2. Desempenho logístico
    Indicator · IND · score
    Overall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
  3. Conectividade do transporte marítimo regular em relação à fronteira
    Indicator · IND · %
    Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
  4. Passageiros aéreos transportados per capita
    Indicator · IND · passengers/a/person
    Passengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
  5. População urbana com acesso conveniente ao transporte público
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
  6. Pessoas que usam a internet
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
  7. População coberta por rede móvel, por tecnologia
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
  8. Assinaturas de banda larga fixa por 100 habitantes
    Indicator · IND · /10*2
    Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
  9. Redundância das rotas de conectividade internacional
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
  10. Resiliência da rede elétrica
    Indicator · IND · score
    Target-defined score (0–1) combining transmission N-1 compliance, share of demand restorable within 24 hours after a major event, black-start capability and hardening of critical substations against flood, wind, heat and geomagnetic stress.
  11. Resiliência da rede de abastecimento de água
    Indicator · IND · score
    Target-defined score (0–1) combining non-revenue water, storage in days of average demand, source redundancy, back-up power at treatment and pumping sites, and planned restoration time after a major event.
  12. Instalações críticas com energia de reserva por 72 horas
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of hospitals, emergency operations centres, water and wastewater plants and telecom core sites with on-site back-up power and fuel for at least 72 hours of operation.
  13. Déficit de investimento em infraestrutura, em % do PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Difference between the estimated annual investment needed to meet infrastructure service and resilience needs (energy, transport, water, telecom) and current-trend investment, as a percentage of GDP.
  14. Cortes de energia sofridos pelas empresas num mês típico
    Indicator · IND · /mo
    Average number of electrical outages that formal private firms report in a typical month, from establishment surveys.
  15. Valor perdido com cortes de energia, em % das vendas das empresas
    Indicator · IND · %
    Losses that firms attribute to power outages as a percentage of annual sales, from establishment surveys.
  16. Duração média das interrupções do sistema (SAIDI)
    Indicator · IND · h/a
    Total minutes of sustained supply interruption per customer served in the year, expressed in hours, as reported by distribution utilities under the IEEE 1366 convention.
  17. Frequência média das interrupções do sistema (SAIFI)
    Indicator · IND · /a
    Number of sustained supply interruptions per customer served in the year, as reported by distribution utilities under the IEEE 1366 convention.
  18. Perdas na transmissão e distribuição de energia elétrica
    Indicator · IND · %
    Electricity lost between generation and the consumer, technical and commercial, as a share of electricity output.
  19. Unidades de infraestrutura crítica danificadas ou destruídas por desastres
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of critical infrastructure units and facilities (health, education, transport, utilities, other) damaged or destroyed by hazardous events in the year.
  20. Estabelecimentos de saúde danificados ou destruídos por desastres
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of health facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events in the year.
  21. Estabelecimentos de ensino danificados ou destruídos por desastres
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of educational facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events in the year.
  22. Interrupções de serviços básicos atribuídas a desastres
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of disruption events to basic services (education, health, and other basic services such as water, power, transport, telecom and waste) caused by hazardous events in the year.
  23. Perda econômica direta na infraestrutura crítica, em % do PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Direct economic loss from damage to or destruction of critical infrastructure by hazardous events in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
  24. Horas de interrupção da internet em escala nacional
    Indicator · IND · h/a
    Total hours in the year during which measured national internet connectivity fell below half of its expected level, whether from shutdowns, cable cuts, power loss or attack.
  25. Transport connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
  26. Digital connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
  27. Utility system fragility sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of the lack of power-grid and water-network resilience and of back-up power at critical facilities, together with the infrastructure investment gap.
  28. Electricity supply unreliability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of firm-reported outages and sales losses, SAIDI, SAIFI and network losses.
  29. Infrastructure disruption impact sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%
    Composite of disaster damage to critical infrastructure, health and education facilities, basic-service disruptions, economic loss to infrastructure and internet disruption hours, normalised over a ten-year rolling window.
  30. Índice de fragilidade das infraestruturas
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
  31. Vulnerabilidade humana e dos sistemas
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  32. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Não executadoEm cursoConcluído
FIG 2. 24 indicators, 5 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate infrastructure fragility on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
25
1
–
funciona no seu navegador
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Método

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
30% of weight
Weighting
especialista
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
Incerteza
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; Sendai Framework target D; UNDRR Principles for Resilient Infrastructure (2022)
Muito baixo0.0 a < 2.0
Baixo2.0 a < 3.5
Médio3.5 a < 5.0
Alto5.0 a < 6.5
Muito alto6.5 a 10.0
04Components

5 components, 24 indicators

Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 1

Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
População rural a menos de 2 km de uma estrada transitável o ano todoIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access%Class Cwb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop33.3%
Desempenho logísticoIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance{score}Class Ewb-lpi22.2%
Conectividade do transporte marítimo regular em relação à fronteiraIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity%Class Bunctad-lsci, wb-wdi22.2%
Passageiros aéreos transportados per capitaIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc{passengers}/a/{person}Class Bicao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi11.1%
População urbana com acesso conveniente ao transporte públicoIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access%Class Cun-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap11.1%

Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 1

Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Pessoas que usam a internetIND.INF.digital.internet_users%Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys33.3%
População coberta por rede móvel, por tecnologiaIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage%Class Bitu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps33.3%
Assinaturas de banda larga fixa por 100 habitantesIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband/10*2Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal16.7%
Redundância das rotas de conectividade internacionalIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy1Class Dtelegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb16.7%

Utility system fragility sub-index w 1

Composite of the lack of power-grid and water-network resilience and of back-up power at critical facilities, together with the infrastructure investment gap.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Resiliência da rede elétricaIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience{score}Class Dnational-energy-regulators, transmission-system-operator-reports, entso-e-transparency25.0%
Resiliência da rede de abastecimento de águaIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience{score}Class Eibnet-water-utility-database, national-water-regulators, municipal-utility-reports25.0%
Instalações críticas com energia de reserva por 72 horasIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power%Class Ewho-health-facility-assessments, national-civil-protection-inspections25.0%
Déficit de investimento em infraestrutura, em % do PIBIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp%Class Cgi-hub-infrastructure-outlook, wb-ppi-database, imf-investment-and-capital-stock-dataset25.0%

Electricity supply unreliability sub-index w 1

Composite of firm-reported outages and sales losses, SAIDI, SAIFI and network losses.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Cortes de energia sofridos pelas empresas num mês típicoIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages/moClass Bwb-enterprise-surveys, wb-b-ready22.2%
Valor perdido com cortes de energia, em % das vendas das empresasIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss%Class Bwb-enterprise-surveys22.2%
Duração média das interrupções do sistema (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidih/aClass Bwb-b-ready, national-energy-regulators, ceer-benchmarking-report, us-eia-86122.2%
Frequência média das interrupções do sistema (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi/aClass Bwb-b-ready, national-energy-regulators, ceer-benchmarking-report, us-eia-86122.2%
Perdas na transmissão e distribuição de energia elétricaIND.ENE.reliability.td_losses%Class Biea-electricity-information, national-energy-regulators, wb-wdi11.1%

Infrastructure disruption impact sub-index w 0.5

Composite of disaster damage to critical infrastructure, health and education facilities, basic-service disruptions, economic loss to infrastructure and internet disruption hours, normalised over a ten-year rolling window.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Unidades de infraestrutura crítica danificadas ou destruídas por desastresIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage1Class Bundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, desinventar22.2%
Estabelecimentos de saúde danificados ou destruídos por desastresIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged1Class Bundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, who-health-resources-availability-monitoring11.1%
Estabelecimentos de ensino danificados ou destruídos por desastresIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged1Class Bundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, gadrrres-comprehensive-school-safety11.1%
Interrupções de serviços básicos atribuídas a desastresIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions1Class Cundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
Perda econômica direta na infraestrutura crítica, em % do PIBIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp%Class Cundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wb-gfdrr-pdna-reports22.2%
Horas de interrupção da internet em escala nacionalIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hoursh/aClass Dioda-georgia-tech, cloudflare-radar, access-now-keepiton11.1%
05Domínio

Infraestrutura

Critical infrastructure stock, condition, service continuity, connectivity and urban systems.

Sub-domainIndicadores
Transport6
Digital connectivity5
Utilities7
Urban systems1
Service disruption5

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai D; ISO 37120 / 37122 / 37123.

06Indicadores

All 24 infrastructure indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
INF · 24
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndicadorDomínioSub-domainComponenteUnidadeNíveisCrosswalks
População rural a menos de 2 km de uma estrada transitável o ano todoIND.INF.transport.rural_road_accessINFTransportcoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 9.1.1
Desempenho logísticoIND.INF.transport.logistics_performanceINFTransportcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
Conectividade do transporte marítimo regular em relação à fronteiraIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivityINFTransportcoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Passageiros aéreos transportados per capitaIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pcINFTransportcoping capacity{passengers}/a/{person}COUNTRYWB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR
População urbana com acesso conveniente ao transporte públicoIND.INF.transport.public_transport_accessINFTransportcoping capacity%CITY, ADM1, COUNTRYSDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Rede rodoviária e ferroviária em zonas de alta ameaça, em %IND.INF.transport.network_exposed.shareINFTransportexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Pessoas que usam a internetIND.INF.digital.internet_usersINFDigital connectivitycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYSDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
População coberta por rede móvel, por tecnologiaIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverageINFDigital connectivitycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 9.c.1
Assinaturas de banda larga fixa por 100 habitantesIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadbandINFDigital connectivitycoping capacity/10*2COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2
Redundância das rotas de conectividade internacionalIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancyINFDigital connectivitycoping capacity1COUNTRY
Horas de interrupção da internet em escala nacionalIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hoursINFDigital connectivityimpacth/aCOUNTRY
Resiliência da rede elétricaIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilienceINFUtilitiescoping capacity{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Resiliência da rede de abastecimento de águaIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilienceINFUtilitiescoping capacity{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Instalações críticas com energia de reserva por 72 horasIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_powerINFUtilitiescoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Ativos de abastecimento de água em zonas de alta ameaça, em %IND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.shareINFUtilitiesexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Ativos de geração e de rede elétrica em zonas de alta ameaça, em %IND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.shareINFUtilitiesexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Instalações vitais em zonas de alta ameaça, em %IND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.shareINFUtilitiesexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Déficit de investimento em infraestrutura, em % do PIBIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdpINFUtilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hoursINFUrban systemsvulnerabilityh/aCITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Unidades de infraestrutura crítica danificadas ou destruídas por desastresIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damageINFService disruptionimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Estabelecimentos de saúde danificados ou destruídos por desastresIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damagedINFService disruptionimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI D-2
Estabelecimentos de ensino danificados ou destruídos por desastresIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damagedINFService disruptionimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI D-3
Interrupções de serviços básicos atribuídas a desastresIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptionsINFService disruptionimpact1COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI D-5
Perda econômica direta na infraestrutura crítica, em % do PIBIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdpINFService disruptionimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI C-5
07Cotação

Infrastructure fragility index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · INF · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Infrastructure fragility index, world
–
Os valores são publicados com a edição; o intervalo, a classe e a variação aparecem aqui.
Edição anterior
–
Range since 2016
–
Composto acoplado
–
Pontuação de acoplamento S
–
Pulse, última semana
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Método
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Sorteios
1,000
Infrastructure fragility index, world, by edition

Ainda não há valores publicados. A primeira edição traça aqui o histórico com a faixa do intervalo e os limites de classe.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Ainda não há variações. As alterações desde a edição anterior serão listadas aqui a partir da segunda edição, com os indicadores que as motivaram.
08Valores

Country values

FIG 5 · Infrastructure fragility index: countries (values when released)
Carregando o mapa
AndorraAntígua e BarbudaBahreinBarbadosComoresCabo VerdeDominicaMicronésia (Estados Federados da)GranadaQuiribátiSão Cristóvão e NévisSanta LúciaListenstaineMônacoMaldivasIlhas MarshallMaltaMaurícioNauruPalauSingapuraSan MarinoSão Tomé e PríncipeSeichelesTongaTuvaluSanta SéSão Vicente e GranadinasSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Blocos
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/inf/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Chave de observação
nis:IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragility:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Séries

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-09Global InfrastructureInfrastructure fragility, service continuity, interdependency of power, water, transport and telecommunications, and investment exposure. GS-10Global CitiesUrban exposure, heat, flooding, informal settlement, service dependency and the economic weight of cities at risk. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. XT-03Telecommunications, open radio networks and edgeTelecom resilience, open and AI-native radio access networks, private wireless, edge compute and spectrum constraints. XT-06SemiconductorsSemiconductor supply concentration, fabrication chokepoints, materials and equipment dependency and export-control exposure. XT-08Drones, robotics and autonomous systemsAutonomous and robotic systems in logistics, agriculture, industry and security: failure, misuse and safety oversight. XT-09Sensors, IoT and industrial IoTConnected sensing and control across cities, utilities and industry: attack surface, data integrity and dependency. XT-12Positioning, navigation and timingDependency of power, telecom, finance and transport on positioning and timing signals; jamming, spoofing and space weather. TH-02Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)Hazard, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, preparedness, redundancy and recovery readings for planning and learning, aligned to the Sendai Framework targets.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI8
SDG6
SENDAI5
ISO_371203
ISO_371233
11Em todo o Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Citar

Citar e reutilizar

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Infrastructure fragility index (GRX-IDX-INF), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/infrastructure-fragility/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000127.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.