شاخص شکنندگی زیرساخت
Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
5 components
24 leaf indicators
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 30%
From indicators to the composite
Shows how likely infrastructure is to fail or isolate people under stress, and how much it already has; sub-indices stay visible beside the total.
- جمعیت روستایی در فاصلهٔ 2 km از جادهٔ همهفصلIndicator · IND · %Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
- عملکرد لجستیکIndicator · IND · scoreOverall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
- اتصال کشتیرانی خطی نسبت به مرز بهترین عملکردIndicator · IND · %Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
- مسافران هوایی جابهجاشده سرانهIndicator · IND · passengers/a/personPassengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
- جمعیت شهری با دسترسی آسان به حملونقل عمومیIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
- افراد کاربر اینترنتIndicator · IND · %Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
- جمعیت تحت پوشش شبکهٔ تلفن همراه، بر اساس فناوریIndicator · IND · %Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
- اشتراکهای پهنباند ثابت به ازای هر 100 نفرIndicator · IND · /10*2Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
- افزونگی مسیرهای اتصال بینالمللیIndicator · IND · 1Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
- تابآوری شبکهٔ برقIndicator · IND · scoreTarget-defined score (0–1) combining transmission N-1 compliance, share of demand restorable within 24 hours after a major event, black-start capability and hardening of critical substations against flood, wind, heat and geomagnetic stress.
- تابآوری شبکهٔ آبرسانیIndicator · IND · scoreTarget-defined score (0–1) combining non-revenue water, storage in days of average demand, source redundancy, back-up power at treatment and pumping sites, and planned restoration time after a major event.
- تأسیسات حیاتی دارای برق پشتیبان 72 ساعتهIndicator · IND · %Share of hospitals, emergency operations centres, water and wastewater plants and telecom core sites with on-site back-up power and fuel for at least 72 hours of operation.
- شکاف سرمایهگذاری زیرساختی، سهم از GDPIndicator · IND · %Difference between the estimated annual investment needed to meet infrastructure service and resilience needs (energy, transport, water, telecom) and current-trend investment, as a percentage of GDP.
- قطعی برق تجربهشده توسط شرکتها در یک ماه معمولIndicator · IND · /moAverage number of electrical outages that formal private firms report in a typical month, from establishment surveys.
- ارزش ازدسترفته بر اثر قطعی برق، سهم از فروش شرکتIndicator · IND · %Losses that firms attribute to power outages as a percentage of annual sales, from establishment surveys.
- میانگین مدت قطعی سامانه (SAIDI)Indicator · IND · h/aTotal minutes of sustained supply interruption per customer served in the year, expressed in hours, as reported by distribution utilities under the IEEE 1366 convention.
- میانگین دفعات قطعی سامانه (SAIFI)Indicator · IND · /aNumber of sustained supply interruptions per customer served in the year, as reported by distribution utilities under the IEEE 1366 convention.
- تلفات انتقال و توزیع برقIndicator · IND · %Electricity lost between generation and the consumer, technical and commercial, as a share of electricity output.
- واحدهای زیرساختهای حیاتی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIndicator · IND · 1Number of critical infrastructure units and facilities (health, education, transport, utilities, other) damaged or destroyed by hazardous events in the year.
- مراکز درمانی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIndicator · IND · 1Number of health facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events in the year.
- مراکز آموزشی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIndicator · IND · 1Number of educational facilities damaged or destroyed by hazardous events in the year.
- اختلال در خدمات پایه ناشی از سوانحIndicator · IND · 1Number of disruption events to basic services (education, health, and other basic services such as water, power, transport, telecom and waste) caused by hazardous events in the year.
- زیان اقتصادی مستقیم به زیرساختهای حیاتی، سهم از GDPIndicator · IND · %Direct economic loss from damage to or destruction of critical infrastructure by hazardous events in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
- ساعات اختلال اینترنت در مقیاس ملیIndicator · IND · h/aTotal hours in the year during which measured national internet connectivity fell below half of its expected level, whether from shutdowns, cable cuts, power loss or attack.
- Transport connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
- Digital connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
- Utility system fragility sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of the lack of power-grid and water-network resilience and of back-up power at critical facilities, together with the infrastructure investment gap.
- Electricity supply unreliability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of firm-reported outages and sales losses, SAIDI, SAIFI and network losses.
- Infrastructure disruption impact sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%Composite of disaster damage to critical infrastructure, health and education facilities, basic-service disruptions, economic loss to infrastructure and internet disruption hours, normalised over a ten-year rolling window.
- شاخص شکنندگی زیرساختDomain index · IDX · geometricIndex of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
- آسیبپذیری انسانی و سامانهایPillar · PILLAR · 8 indicesHow susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM 0–10 rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 30% of weight
- Weighting
- کارشناس
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- عدم قطعیت
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; Sendai Framework target D; UNDRR Principles for Resilient Infrastructure (2022)
5 components, 24 indicators
Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 1
Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
جمعیت روستایی در فاصلهٔ 2 km از جادهٔ همهفصلIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access | % | Class C | wb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop | 33.3% |
عملکرد لجستیکIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance | {score} | Class E | wb-lpi | 22.2% |
اتصال کشتیرانی خطی نسبت به مرز بهترین عملکردIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity | % | Class B | unctad-lsci, wb-wdi | 22.2% |
مسافران هوایی جابهجاشده سرانهIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc | {passengers}/a/{person} | Class B | icao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
جمعیت شهری با دسترسی آسان به حملونقل عمومیIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap | 11.1% |
Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 1
Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
افراد کاربر اینترنتIND.INF.digital.internet_users | % | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys | 33.3% |
جمعیت تحت پوشش شبکهٔ تلفن همراه، بر اساس فناوریIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage | % | Class B | itu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps | 33.3% |
اشتراکهای پهنباند ثابت به ازای هر 100 نفرIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband | /10*2 | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal | 16.7% |
افزونگی مسیرهای اتصال بینالمللیIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy | 1 | Class D | telegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb | 16.7% |
Utility system fragility sub-index w 1
Composite of the lack of power-grid and water-network resilience and of back-up power at critical facilities, together with the infrastructure investment gap.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
تابآوری شبکهٔ برقIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience | {score} | Class D | national-energy-regulators, transmission-system-operator-reports, entso-e-transparency | 25.0% |
تابآوری شبکهٔ آبرسانیIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience | {score} | Class E | ibnet-water-utility-database, national-water-regulators, municipal-utility-reports | 25.0% |
تأسیسات حیاتی دارای برق پشتیبان 72 ساعتهIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power | % | Class E | who-health-facility-assessments, national-civil-protection-inspections | 25.0% |
شکاف سرمایهگذاری زیرساختی، سهم از GDPIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp | % | Class C | gi-hub-infrastructure-outlook, wb-ppi-database, imf-investment-and-capital-stock-dataset | 25.0% |
Electricity supply unreliability sub-index w 1
Composite of firm-reported outages and sales losses, SAIDI, SAIFI and network losses.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
قطعی برق تجربهشده توسط شرکتها در یک ماه معمولIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages | /mo | Class B | wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-b-ready | 22.2% |
ارزش ازدسترفته بر اثر قطعی برق، سهم از فروش شرکتIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss | % | Class B | wb-enterprise-surveys | 22.2% |
میانگین مدت قطعی سامانه (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi | h/a | Class B | wb-b-ready, national-energy-regulators, ceer-benchmarking-report, us-eia-861 | 22.2% |
میانگین دفعات قطعی سامانه (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi | /a | Class B | wb-b-ready, national-energy-regulators, ceer-benchmarking-report, us-eia-861 | 22.2% |
تلفات انتقال و توزیع برقIND.ENE.reliability.td_losses | % | Class B | iea-electricity-information, national-energy-regulators, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
Infrastructure disruption impact sub-index w 0.5
Composite of disaster damage to critical infrastructure, health and education facilities, basic-service disruptions, economic loss to infrastructure and internet disruption hours, normalised over a ten-year rolling window.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
واحدهای زیرساختهای حیاتی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage | 1 | Class B | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, desinventar | 22.2% |
مراکز درمانی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged | 1 | Class B | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, who-health-resources-availability-monitoring | 11.1% |
مراکز آموزشی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged | 1 | Class B | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, gadrrres-comprehensive-school-safety | 11.1% |
اختلال در خدمات پایه ناشی از سوانحIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions | 1 | Class C | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
زیان اقتصادی مستقیم به زیرساختهای حیاتی، سهم از GDPIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp | % | Class C | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wb-gfdrr-pdna-reports | 22.2% |
ساعات اختلال اینترنت در مقیاس ملیIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours | h/a | Class D | ioda-georgia-tech, cloudflare-radar, access-now-keepiton | 11.1% |
زیرساخت
Critical infrastructure stock, condition, service continuity, connectivity and urban systems.
| Sub-domain | شاخصها |
|---|---|
| Transport | 6 |
| Digital connectivity | 5 |
| Utilities | 7 |
| Urban systems | 1 |
| Service disruption | 5 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai D; ISO 37120 / 37122 / 37123.
All 24 infrastructure indicators
| نشانگر | حوزه | Sub-domain | جزء | واحد | سطوح | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
جمعیت روستایی در فاصلهٔ 2 km از جادهٔ همهفصلIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access | INF | Transport | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 9.1.1 |
عملکرد لجستیکIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance | INF | Transport | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ |
اتصال کشتیرانی خطی نسبت به مرز بهترین عملکردIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity | INF | Transport | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ |
مسافران هوایی جابهجاشده سرانهIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc | INF | Transport | coping capacity | {passengers}/a/{person} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR |
جمعیت شهری با دسترسی آسان به حملونقل عمومیIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access | INF | Transport | coping capacity | % | CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY | SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
شبکهٔ جاده و راهآهن در پهنههای پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share | INF | Transport | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
افراد کاربر اینترنتIND.INF.digital.internet_users | INF | Digital connectivity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS |
جمعیت تحت پوشش شبکهٔ تلفن همراه، بر اساس فناوریIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage | INF | Digital connectivity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 9.c.1 |
اشتراکهای پهنباند ثابت به ازای هر 100 نفرIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband | INF | Digital connectivity | coping capacity | /10*2 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2 |
افزونگی مسیرهای اتصال بینالمللیIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy | INF | Digital connectivity | coping capacity | 1 | COUNTRY | |
ساعات اختلال اینترنت در مقیاس ملیIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours | INF | Digital connectivity | impact | h/a | COUNTRY | |
تابآوری شبکهٔ برقIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience | INF | Utilities | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
تابآوری شبکهٔ آبرسانیIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience | INF | Utilities | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
تأسیسات حیاتی دارای برق پشتیبان 72 ساعتهIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power | INF | Utilities | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
داراییهای آبرسانی در پهنههای پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share | INF | Utilities | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
داراییهای تولید برق و شبکه در پهنههای پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share | INF | Utilities | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
تأسیسات شریانهای حیاتی در پهنههای پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share | INF | Utilities | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
شکاف سرمایهگذاری زیرساختی، سهم از GDPIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp | INF | Utilities | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours | INF | Urban systems | vulnerability | h/a | CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
واحدهای زیرساختهای حیاتی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage | INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2 |
مراکز درمانی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged | INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-2 |
مراکز آموزشی آسیبدیده یا تخریبشده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged | INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-3 |
اختلال در خدمات پایه ناشی از سوانحIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions | INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-5 |
زیان اقتصادی مستقیم به زیرساختهای حیاتی، سهم از GDPIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp | INF | Service disruption | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-5 |
Infrastructure fragility index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- Previous edition
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Coupled composite
- –
- Coupling score S
- –
- Pulse, latest week
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- روش
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Draws
- 1,000
No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.
Country values
- Tiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/inf/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- راهنمای مشاهدات
nis:IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragility:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 8 |
SDG | 6 |
SENDAI | 5 |
ISO_37120 | 3 |
ISO_37123 | 3 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Across the Nexus
GCRI Trade and Strategic Resources · Food Nexus · GCRI Advanced Industry and Robotics.
استناد و استفادهٔ دوباره
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
وضعیت
روششناسی، ساختار و تعاریف The Global Risks Index پیشنویس کاری مقدماتی (2026) است که برای بررسی و اظهارنظر منتشر شده و برای اجرا نیست. هیچ مقداری نمایش داده نمیشود تا ویراستی از یک برش شواهد تحت حکمرانی منتشر شود؛ آنگاه مقادیر همراه با بازهها، ردهها، منابع و مسیر اصلاح خود ارائه میشوند. شبیهسازها روشهای منتشرشده را بر روی اعدادی که شما برمیگزینید اجرا میکنند و هرگز مقداری از NXS-GRX نشان نمیدهند.
آنچه NXS-GRX نیست
NXS-GRX اطلاعات پژوهشی و تحلیلی ریسک است. رتبهبندی اعتباری یا ESG نیست و از هیچ مقیاس رتبهبندی استفاده نمیکند، شاخص مرجع ابزارهای مالی نیست، آمار رسمی نیست، هشدار اضطراری یا طبقهبندی رسمی نیست و توصیه نیست. نباید برای ارزیابی اشخاص حقیقی به کار رود. طبقههای ریسک بازههایی روی یک مقیاس منتشرشدهاند، هرگز رتبهبندی کشورها یا افراد نیستند.
نهادها و منابع
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
هر مقدار انتساب منابع خود را در بر دارد و آن منابع پروانههای خود را حفظ میکنند. نامهای بیرونی تنها برای میانکنشپذیری ذکر میشوند. متون نگاشتهٔ Nexus برای انتشار با پروانهٔ CC BY 4.0 در نظر گرفته شدهاند.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.