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⁨The Global Risks Index⁩

The Global Risks Index · XT-12 · Exponential technology series

موقعیت‌یابی، ناوبری و زمان‌سنجی

وابستگی برق، مخابرات، مالیه و حمل‌ونقل به سیگنال‌های مکان‌یابی و زمان‌سنجی؛ پارازیت، جعل و آب‌وهوای فضایی.

Page GRX-SER-XT-12Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports XT-12 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
شاخص‌های حوزه

3

Space-weather exposure · Infrastructure fragility · Cyber risk.

شاخص‌ها

60

3 index domains

Hazard families

21

Space and near-Earth · Information and cyber-physical systems · Built systems.

روش‌ها

64

Critical infrastructure and industrial systems · Hazard science.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
3
شاخص‌های حوزه‌ای
60
indicators in scope
3
hazard domains
4
client groups

01دامنه

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Which systems fail without timing signals?
  2. How widespread is jamming and spoofing exposure?
  3. What backup exists?
02Construction

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Positioning, navigation and timing index is built

Graph7 nodes
گراف
01شاخص‌های حوزه
02Series index
03Readings

100%
نمایه
  1. Space-weather exposure

    Domain index · IDX · SPC
    0–10 index of space-weather exposure as the product of the space-weather hazard and space-service dependence sub-indices; mostly modelled and expert inputs, so its grade is capped.
  2. Infrastructure fragility

    Domain index · IDX · INF
    Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
  3. Cyber risk

    Domain index · IDX · CYB
    Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  4. Positioning, navigation and timing index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-12
    وابستگی برق، مخابرات، مالیه و حمل‌ونقل به سیگنال‌های مکان‌یابی و زمان‌سنجی؛ پارازیت، جعل و آب‌وهوای فضایی.
  5. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  6. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  7. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
اجرا نشدهدر حال انجامانجام شد
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03شاخص‌ها

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-12 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Positioning, navigation and timing index, world
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
شاخص مقدار تغییر تغییر % بازهٔ 90% رده · احتمال روند دامنه
Space-weather exposureNXS-GRX · SPC – – – – –
Infrastructure fragilityNXS-GRX · INF – – – – –
Cyber riskNXS-GRX · CYB – – – – –

Domains read: Space environment, Infrastructure, Cyber and digital.

04شاخص‌ها

60 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
INF · 24CYB · 13SPC · 6
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
نشانگر حوزه Sub-domain جزء واحد سطوح Crosswalks
تجارت دریایی در مواجهه با گلوگاه‌های دریاییIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure exposure % COUNTRY
استاندارد طراحی حفاظت در برابر سیلابIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood coping capacity a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
مساحت سطوح ساخته‌شدهIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area HAZ مواجهه context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
مساحت ساخته‌شده در پهنه‌های پرمخاطرهIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed HAZ مواجهه exposure km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
تراکم جادهIND.ENV.land.road_density ENV Land and forests hazard km/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
پسماند جامد شهری مدیریت‌شده در تأسیسات کنترل‌شدهIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share ENV Pollution and waste coping capacity % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
جریان‌های فاضلابی که به‌صورت ایمن تصفیه می‌شوندIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality coping capacity % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
Severe geomagnetic storm days per yearIND.SPC.weather.severe_geomagnetic_storm_days SPC آب‌وهوای فضایی hazard d/a GLOBAL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0101 EMDAT nat-ext-spa-geo
دامنهٔ میدان ژئوالکتریک در دورهٔ بازگشت 100 سالهIND.SPC.weather.geoelectric_field_rp100 SPC آب‌وهوای فضایی hazard V/km COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Strong solar radiation storm days per yearIND.SPC.weather.radiation_storm_days SPC آب‌وهوای فضایی hazard d/a GLOBAL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0104 EMDAT nat-ext-spa-ene
GDP در فعالیت‌های وابسته به GNSS، سهمIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence exposure % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
خدمات حیاتی متکی به ماهواره بدون پشتیبان، سهمIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
شبکهٔ فشار قوی در پهنه‌های با مخاطرهٔ ژئوالکتریک بالا، سهمIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1
زمان سفر تا نزدیک‌ترین مرکز درمانیIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
جمعیت شهری، سهم از کلIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share DEM Urbanisation context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
رشد جمعیت شهریIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
جمعیت شهری ساکن سکونتگاه‌های غیررسمیIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
قطعی برق تجربه‌شده توسط شرکت‌ها در یک ماه معمولIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
میانگین مدت قطعی سامانه (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
میانگین دفعات قطعی سامانه (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
جمعیت روستایی در فاصلهٔ 2 km از جادهٔ همه‌فصلIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Transport coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
عملکرد لجستیکIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Transport coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
اتصال کشتیرانی خطی نسبت به مرز بهترین عملکردIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Transport coping capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
مسافران هوایی جابه‌جاشده سرانهIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc INF Transport coping capacity {passengers}/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR
جمعیت شهری با دسترسی آسان به حمل‌ونقل عمومیIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access INF Transport coping capacity % CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
شبکهٔ جاده و راه‌آهن در پهنه‌های پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share INF Transport exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
افراد کاربر اینترنتIND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
جمعیت تحت پوشش شبکهٔ تلفن همراه، بر اساس فناوریIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
اشتراک‌های پهن‌باند ثابت به ازای هر 100 نفرIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband INF Digital connectivity coping capacity /10*2 COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2
افزونگی مسیرهای اتصال بین‌المللیIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity coping capacity 1 COUNTRY
ساعات اختلال اینترنت در مقیاس ملیIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
تاب‌آوری شبکهٔ برقIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities coping capacity {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
تاب‌آوری شبکهٔ آبرسانیIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience INF Utilities coping capacity {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
تأسیسات حیاتی دارای برق پشتیبان 72 ساعتهIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
دارایی‌های آبرسانی در پهنه‌های پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
دارایی‌های تولید برق و شبکه در پهنه‌های پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
تأسیسات شریان‌های حیاتی در پهنه‌های پرمخاطره، سهمIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
شکاف سرمایه‌گذاری زیرساختی، سهم از GDPIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
واحدهای زیرساخت‌های حیاتی آسیب‌دیده یا تخریب‌شده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
مراکز درمانی آسیب‌دیده یا تخریب‌شده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
مراکز آموزشی آسیب‌دیده یا تخریب‌شده بر اثر سوانحIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-3
اختلال در خدمات پایه ناشی از سوانحIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-5
زیان اقتصادی مستقیم به زیرساخت‌های حیاتی، سهم از GDPIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
امتیاز ITU Global Cybersecurity IndexIND.CYB.capability.gci_score CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Overall score
ردهٔ ITU Global Cybersecurity IndexIND.CYB.capability.gci_tier CYB Cyber capability vulnerability {class} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Tier
رکن اقدامات حقوقی ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
رکن اقدامات فنی ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_technical CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
رکن اقدامات سازمانی ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
رکن اقدامات توسعهٔ ظرفیت ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_development CYB Cyber capability adaptive capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Capacity Development Measures
رکن اقدامات همکاری ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperation CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Cooperation Measures
تیم ملی واکنش به رویدادهای رایانه‌ای در حال فعالیتIND.CYB.capability.national_cert CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
قوانین حفاظت از داده و حریم خصوصی لازم‌الاجراIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
رویدادهای سایبری مهم به ازای هر میلیون نفرIND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rate CYB Incidents hazard /10*6/a COUNTRY
رویدادهای سایبری مختل‌کنندهٔ خدمات حیاتیIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
ارزش افزودهٔ خدمات ICT، سهم از GDPIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence exposure % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
توسعهٔ دولت الکترونیکIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence exposure {score} COUNTRY
تمرکز ارائه‌دهندگان زیرساخت ابریIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
ظرفیت رایانش هوش مصنوعی تحت کنترل خارجی یا تک‌ارائه‌دهندهIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC هوش مصنوعی vulnerability % COUNTRY
جمعیت در فاصلهٔ 15 دقیقه از خدمات امدادیIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05مخاطرات

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
فضاBuiltInformation175HAZARDS
3 hazard domains (inner ring) and 21 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
خانواده حوزه مخاطرات Count
Solar-terrestrial storms فضا و نزدیک زمین Geomagnetic storm, Solar flare radio blackout, Solar radiation storm, Ionospheric disturbance, Geomagnetically induced current, Satellite space-environment anomaly, Thermospheric drag surge, Radiation-belt electron enhancement … 9
Impacts and orbital hazards فضا و نزدیک زمین Near-Earth object approach, Meteorite impact, Airburst, Space debris, Orbital collision cascade, Uncontrolled re-entry, Spaceflight accident, Meteoroid stream encounter 8
Malicious compromise سامانه‌های اطلاعاتی و سایبر-فیزیکی Malware outbreak, Ransomware attack, Data breach, Persistent intrusion, Denial-of-service attack, Software or hardware supply-chain compromise, Social-engineering campaign, Online harassment campaign … 9
Information-integrity attacks سامانه‌های اطلاعاتی و سایبر-فیزیکی Disinformation campaign, Data and model integrity attack, Election infrastructure attack, Public record tampering, Misinformation surge and infodemic, Hazardous information disclosure 6
Cyber-physical disruption سامانه‌های اطلاعاتی و سایبر-فیزیکی Industrial control system compromise, Power-grid cyberattack, Transport control-system attack, Health-system cyberattack, Medical device compromise, Water utility cyberattack, Building systems compromise, Mass connected-device manipulation … 11
Signal and platform disruption سامانه‌های اطلاعاتی و سایبر-فیزیکی Satellite-navigation disruption, Major cloud or platform outage, Internet routing or naming failure, Subsea cable damage, Payment system outage, Radio-spectrum interference, Digital public infrastructure failure 7
Identity, trust and cryptographic failure سامانه‌های اطلاعاتی و سایبر-فیزیکی Identity provider compromise, Signing key or certificate compromise, Certificate or credential expiry outage, Cryptographic algorithm or implementation break, Mass account takeover, National digital identity system failure 6
Systemic cyber events سامانه‌های اطلاعاتی و سایبر-فیزیکی Defective update mass outage, Mass vulnerability exploitation, Connected-device botnet, Managed service provider compromise, Firmware or hardware backdoor, Insider threat, Cyber theft from financial infrastructure, Irrecoverable data loss … 9
Structural and civil failure سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall … 22
Water and wastewater system failure سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply … 9
Telecom and data-centre failure سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident … 12
Food system infrastructure failure سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure سامانه‌های ساخته‌شده Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
06روش‌ها

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

27 methods

زیرساخت‌های حیاتی و سامانه‌های صنعتی

Asset Reliability · Process Safety · HAZOP · FMEA FMECA · Industrial Fault Tree · Industrial Event Tree · LOPA …

37 methods

علم مخاطره

Hazard Intensity Footprint Screening · Earthquake Hazard · Earthquake Ground Motion · Earthquake Rupture · Liquefaction · Landslide · Tsunami …

07Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors

Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.

08گزارش‌ها

⁨Nexus Reports⁩

Edition code
XT-12
Edition status
برنامه‌ریزی‌شده
موضوع
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

⁨Nexus Reports⁩

09استناد

استناد و استفادهٔ دوباره

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Positioning, navigation and timing series (GRX-SER-XT-12), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-12/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000099.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-12:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.SPC.weather.space_weather_exposure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragility:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.