The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-HLT · VUL Human and systems vulnerability
شاخص ریسک امنیت سلامت
INFORM-style aggregation, on 0 to 10, of epidemic and AMR hazard, disease burden and undernutrition against health-system and IHR capacity, each component oriented by its own polarity.
Page GRX-IDX-HLTEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.HLT.security.health_security_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
عدم قطعیت
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
ساختار
5 components
25 leaf indicators
پوشش
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
25
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
9
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
Shows where an outbreak is likely, where it would land on a vulnerable population and where the system could not contain it; each sub-index stays visible.
computation
How Health security risk is computedGraph33 nodes
گراف
01شاخص‌ها
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04رکن
05ترکیبی
100%
نمایه
- فراوانی رویدادهای همه‌گیریIndicator · IND · 1Average annual number of distinct infectious-disease outbreak events in the country reported by WHO or a regional public-health agency over the latest five years, counting each event once whatever its duration.
- موارد گزارش‌شدهٔ وبا، به ازای هر 100,000 نفرIndicator · IND · /10*5Cholera cases reported to WHO in the year per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- عفونت‌های جریان خون ناشی از MRSAIndicator · IND · %Share of Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infections that are methicillin-resistant, among patients with a tested blood sample.
- عفونت‌های جریان خون ناشی از E. coli مقاوم به سفالوسپورین‌های نسل سومIndicator · IND · %Share of Escherichia coli bloodstream infections resistant to third-generation cephalosporins, among patients with a tested blood sample.
- نرخ مرگ‌ومیر کودکان زیر پنج سالIndicator · IND · /10*3Probability, per 1,000 live births, that a child born in the year dies before reaching age five at current age-specific mortality.
- نسبت مرگ‌ومیر مادرانIndicator · IND · /10*5Deaths of women from pregnancy-related causes during pregnancy or within 42 days of its end, per 100,000 live births, as modelled by the UN inter-agency group.
- مرگ‌ومیر زودرس ناشی از بیماری‌های غیرواگیر اصلیIndicator · IND · %Probability, in percent, of dying between exact ages 30 and 70 from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease.
- بروز سلIndicator · IND · /10*5Estimated new and relapse tuberculosis cases of all forms per 100,000 population in the year.
- بروز مالاریاIndicator · IND · /10*3Estimated new malaria cases per 1,000 people living in areas at risk of transmission.
- بروز HIVIndicator · IND · /10*3New HIV infections in the year per 1,000 uninfected people of all ages.
- کوتاه‌قدی در کودکان زیر پنج سالIndicator · IND · %Share of children under five whose height-for-age is more than two standard deviations below the WHO Child Growth Standards median (modelled estimate).
- لاغری شدید در کودکان زیر پنج سالIndicator · IND · %Share of children under five whose weight-for-height is more than two standard deviations below the WHO Child Growth Standards median, from the latest national survey.
- کم‌خونی در زنان در سن باروریIndicator · IND · %Share of women aged 15 to 49 with haemoglobin below the WHO threshold for their pregnancy status, adjusted for altitude and smoking.
- پزشکان به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIndicator · IND · /10*3Practising or professionally active medical doctors, generalists and specialists, per 1,000 population.
- پرستاران و ماماها به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIndicator · IND · /10*3Nursing and midwifery personnel, professional and associate, per 1,000 population.
- تخت بیمارستانی به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIndicator · IND · /10*3Inpatient beds in public, private, general and specialised hospitals and rehabilitation centres, per 1,000 population.
- شاخص پوشش خدمات UHCIndicator · IND · scoreIndex from 0 to 100 of the average coverage of essential services across reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health, infectious disease, non-communicable disease and service capacity and access.
- پوشش ایمن‌سازی DTP3Indicator · IND · %Share of surviving infants who received the third dose of diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-containing vaccine, as estimated by WHO and UNICEF.
- پوشش دوز دوم واکسن سرخکIndicator · IND · %Share of children who received the second dose of measles-containing vaccine by the nationally recommended age.
- زایمان‌های انجام‌شده با حضور کارکنان ماهر سلامتIndicator · IND · %Share of live births attended by a doctor, nurse or midwife trained to manage normal deliveries and refer complications.
- هزینهٔ جاری سلامت، سهم از GDPIndicator · IND · %Spending on health goods and services consumed in the year, from all financing sources, as a percentage of GDP (SHA 2011).
- ظرفیت آزمایشگاهی IHR (SPAR C4)Indicator · IND · scoreSelf-reported SPAR score, from 0 to 100, for national laboratory systems: specimen referral and transport, biosafety, quality and testing for priority pathogens.
- ظرفیت مراقبت IHR (SPAR C5)Indicator · IND · scoreSelf-reported SPAR score, from 0 to 100, for early-warning, event-based and indicator-based surveillance and event verification.
- ظرفیت مدیریت فوریت‌های سلامت IHR (SPAR C7)Indicator · IND · scoreSelf-reported SPAR score, from 0 to 100, for emergency risk assessment, preparedness planning, emergency operations and logistics.
- ظرفیت ارتباطات ریسک IHR (SPAR C10)Indicator · IND · scoreSelf-reported SPAR score, from 0 to 100, for risk communication systems, community engagement and management of misinformation in emergencies.
- Epidemic and AMR hazard sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of outbreak event frequency, reported cholera and resistance among MRSA and E. coli bloodstream infections.
- Disease burden sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of under-five and maternal mortality, premature non-communicable disease mortality and the incidence of tuberculosis, malaria and HIV.
- Undernutrition sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%Composite of child stunting, child wasting and anaemia among women of reproductive age.
- Health-system capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of doctor, nurse and bed density, UHC service coverage, routine immunisation, skilled birth attendance and health spending.
- IHR operational capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of the SPAR laboratory, surveillance, health emergency management and risk communication capacity scores.
- شاخص ریسک امنیت سلامتDomain index · IDX · geometricINFORM-style aggregation, on 0 to 10, of epidemic and AMR hazard, disease burden and undernutrition against health-system and IHR capacity, each component oriented by its own polarity.
- آسیب‌پذیری انسانی و سامانه‌ایPillar · PILLAR · 8 indicesHow susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
اجرا نشدهدر حال انجامانجام شد
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate health security risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
در مرورگر شما اجرا می‌شود
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03روش
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM 0–10 rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- کارشناس
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- عدم قطعیت
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Risk methodology (geometric dimensions); IHR (2005) monitoring framework; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
بسیار کم0.0 تا < 2.0
کم2.0 تا < 3.5
متوسط3.5 تا < 5.0
زیاد5.0 تا < 6.5
بسیار زیاد6.5 تا 10.0
04Components
5 components, 25 indicators
Epidemic and AMR hazard sub-index w 1
Composite of outbreak event frequency, reported cholera and resistance among MRSA and E. coli bloodstream infections.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
فراوانی رویدادهای همه‌گیریIND.HLT.epidemic.outbreak_event_frequency | 1 | Class B | who-disease-outbreak-news, who-weekly-bulletin-afro, africa-cdc-epidemic-intelligence | 40.0% |
موارد گزارش‌شدهٔ وبا، به ازای هر 100,000 نفرIND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | who-gho, who-cholera-annual-report | 20.0% |
عفونت‌های جریان خون ناشی از MRSAIND.HLT.amr.mrsa_bloodstream | % | Class B | who-glass, who-gho | 20.0% |
عفونت‌های جریان خون ناشی از E. coli مقاوم به سفالوسپورین‌های نسل سومIND.HLT.amr.ecoli_3gc_bloodstream | % | Class B | who-glass, who-gho | 20.0% |
Disease burden sub-index w 1
Composite of under-five and maternal mortality, premature non-communicable disease mortality and the incidence of tuberculosis, malaria and HIV.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
نرخ مرگ‌ومیر کودکان زیر پنج سالIND.HLT.burden.under5_mortality | /10*3 | Class C | un-igme, wb-wdi, who-gho | 16.7% |
نسبت مرگ‌ومیر مادرانIND.HLT.burden.maternal_mortality | /10*5 | Class C | un-mmeig, wb-wdi, who-gho | 16.7% |
مرگ‌ومیر زودرس ناشی از بیماری‌های غیرواگیر اصلیIND.HLT.burden.ncd_premature_mortality | % | Class C | who-ghe, wb-wdi | 16.7% |
بروز سلIND.HLT.burden.tb_incidence | /10*5 | Class C | who-global-tb-programme, wb-wdi | 16.7% |
بروز مالاریاIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence | /10*3 | Class C | who-world-malaria-report, wb-wdi | 16.7% |
بروز HIVIND.HLT.burden.hiv_incidence | /10*3 | Class C | unaids, wb-wdi, who-gho | 16.7% |
Undernutrition sub-index w 0.5
Composite of child stunting, child wasting and anaemia among women of reproductive age.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
کوتاه‌قدی در کودکان زیر پنج سالIND.HLT.nutrition.stunting | % | Class C | unicef-who-wb-jme, wb-wdi, who-gho | 33.3% |
لاغری شدید در کودکان زیر پنج سالIND.HLT.nutrition.wasting | % | Class B | unicef-who-wb-jme, wb-wdi, smart-surveys | 33.3% |
کم‌خونی در زنان در سن باروریIND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women | % | Class C | who-gho, wb-wdi | 33.3% |
Health-system capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of doctor, nurse and bed density, UHC service coverage, routine immunisation, skilled birth attendance and health spending.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
پزشکان به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIND.HLT.system.physician_density | /10*3 | Class B | who-nhwa, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
پرستاران و ماماها به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIND.HLT.system.nurse_midwife_density | /10*3 | Class B | who-nhwa, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
تخت بیمارستانی به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIND.HLT.system.hospital_beds | /10*3 | Class B | who-gho, wb-wdi, oecd-health | 11.1% |
شاخص پوشش خدمات UHCIND.HLT.system.uhc_service_coverage | {score} | Class C | who-gho, wb-wdi | 22.2% |
پوشش ایمن‌سازی DTP3IND.HLT.system.dtp3_coverage | % | Class C | who-unicef-wuenic, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
پوشش دوز دوم واکسن سرخکIND.HLT.system.mcv2_coverage | % | Class C | who-unicef-wuenic, wb-hnp-stats | 11.1% |
زایمان‌های انجام‌شده با حضور کارکنان ماهر سلامتIND.HLT.system.skilled_birth_attendance | % | Class B | unicef-who-joint-database, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
هزینهٔ جاری سلامت، سهم از GDPIND.HLT.system.health_expenditure.gdp | % | Class B | who-ghed, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
IHR operational capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of the SPAR laboratory, surveillance, health emergency management and risk communication capacity scores.
| نشانگر | واحد | شواهد | منابع | سهم |
|---|---|---|---|---|
ظرفیت آزمایشگاهی IHR (SPAR C4)IND.HLT.security.spar_laboratory | {score} | Class B | who-spar, who-jee | 25.0% |
ظرفیت مراقبت IHR (SPAR C5)IND.HLT.security.spar_surveillance | {score} | Class B | who-spar, who-jee | 25.0% |
ظرفیت مدیریت فوریت‌های سلامت IHR (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management | {score} | Class B | who-spar, who-jee | 25.0% |
ظرفیت ارتباطات ریسک IHR (SPAR C10)IND.HLT.security.spar_risk_communication | {score} | Class B | who-spar, who-jee | 25.0% |
05حوزه
سلامت
Disease burden, health-system capacity and health-security preparedness.
| Sub-domain | شاخص‌ها |
|---|---|
| Disease burden and mortality | 8 |
| Health system capacity | 11 |
| Health security (IHR) | 5 |
| Epidemic and outbreak | 2 |
| Antimicrobial resistance | 2 |
| Nutrition | 3 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WHO GHO; IHR JEE 3rd ed.; IHR SPAR 2nd ed.; SDG 3.
06شاخص‌ها
All 31 health indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| نشانگر | حوزه | Sub-domain | جزء | واحد | سطوح | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
نرخ مرگ‌ومیر کودکان زیر پنج سالIND.HLT.burden.under5_mortality | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.DYN.MORT SDG 3.2.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000007 |
نرخ مرگ‌ومیر نوزادانIND.HLT.burden.neonatal_mortality | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.DYN.NMRT SDG 3.2.2 |
نسبت مرگ‌ومیر مادرانIND.HLT.burden.maternal_mortality | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | /10*5 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.MMRT SDG 3.1.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000026 |
امید به زندگی در بدو تولدIND.HLT.burden.life_expectancy | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.DYN.LE00.IN WHO_GHO WHOSIS_000001 |
مرگ‌ومیر زودرس ناشی از بیماری‌های غیرواگیر اصلیIND.HLT.burden.ncd_premature_mortality | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.DYN.NCOM.ZS SDG 3.4.1 WHO_GHO NCDMORT3070 |
بروز سلIND.HLT.burden.tb_incidence | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*5 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.TBS.INCD SDG 3.3.2 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000020 |
بروز مالاریاIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA |
بروز HIVIND.HLT.burden.hiv_incidence | HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.TL.P3 SDG 3.3.1 WHO_GHO SDGHIV WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.ZS |
پزشکان به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIND.HLT.system.physician_density | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MED.PHYS.ZS WHO_GHO HWF_0001 SDG 3.c.1 |
پرستاران و ماماها به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIND.HLT.system.nurse_midwife_density | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MED.NUMW.P3 WHO_GHO HWF_0006 SDG 3.c.1 |
تخت بیمارستانی به ازای هر 1,000 نفرIND.HLT.system.hospital_beds | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | /10*3 | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MED.BEDS.ZS WHO_GHO WHS6_102 |
شاخص پوشش خدمات UHCIND.HLT.system.uhc_service_coverage | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SDG 3.8.1 WHO_GHO UHC_INDEX_REPORTED WB_WDI SH.UHC.SRVS.CV.XD |
جمعیت دارای هزینه‌های کمرشکن سلامت از جیبIND.HLT.system.catastrophic_oop | HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 3.8.2 WB_WDI SH.UHC.OOPC.10.ZS |
پرداخت از جیب، سهم از هزینهٔ جاری سلامتIND.HLT.system.oop_share | HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.XPD.OOPC.CH.ZS WHO_GHO GHED_OOPSCHE_SHA2011 |
هزینهٔ جاری سلامت، سهم از GDPIND.HLT.system.health_expenditure.gdp | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS |
پوشش ایمن‌سازی DTP3IND.HLT.system.dtp3_coverage | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WHO_GHO WHS4_100 WB_WDI SH.IMM.IDPT SDG 3.b.1 |
پوشش دوز دوم واکسن سرخکIND.HLT.system.mcv2_coverage | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WHO_GHO MCV2 WB_WDI SH.IMM.MEA2 SDG 3.b.1 |
زایمان‌های انجام‌شده با حضور کارکنان ماهر سلامتIND.HLT.system.skilled_birth_attendance | HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.BRTC.ZS SDG 3.1.2 |
زمان سفر تا نزدیک‌ترین مرکز درمانیIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time | HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | min | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
امتیاز ظرفیت هسته‌ای IHR (SPAR)IND.HLT.security.spar_capacity | HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SDG 3.d.1 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2021 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2018 |
ظرفیت آزمایشگاهی IHR (SPAR C4)IND.HLT.security.spar_laboratory | HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SPAR C4 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C04 JEE D1 |
ظرفیت مراقبت IHR (SPAR C5)IND.HLT.security.spar_surveillance | HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SPAR C5 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C05 JEE D2 |
ظرفیت مدیریت فوریت‌های سلامت IHR (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management | HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1 |
ظرفیت ارتباطات ریسک IHR (SPAR C10)IND.HLT.security.spar_risk_communication | HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SPAR C10 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C10 JEE R5 |
فراوانی رویدادهای همه‌گیریIND.HLT.epidemic.outbreak_event_frequency | HLT | Epidemic and outbreak | hazard | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
موارد گزارش‌شدهٔ وبا، به ازای هر 100,000 نفرIND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k | HLT | Epidemic and outbreak | hazard | /10*5 | COUNTRY | WHO_GHO CHOLERA_0000000001 |
عفونت‌های جریان خون ناشی از MRSAIND.HLT.amr.mrsa_bloodstream | HLT | Antimicrobial resistance | hazard | % | COUNTRY | WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_MRSA SDG 3.d.2 |
عفونت‌های جریان خون ناشی از E. coli مقاوم به سفالوسپورین‌های نسل سومIND.HLT.amr.ecoli_3gc_bloodstream | HLT | Antimicrobial resistance | hazard | % | COUNTRY | WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_ECOLI SDG 3.d.2 |
کوتاه‌قدی در کودکان زیر پنج سالIND.HLT.nutrition.stunting | HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.STNT.ME.ZS SDG 2.2.1 WHO_GHO NUTSTUNTINGPREV FAO_FAOSTAT 21025 |
لاغری شدید در کودکان زیر پنج سالIND.HLT.nutrition.wasting | HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.STA.WAST.ZS SDG 2.2.2 WHO_GHO NUTRITION_WH_2 FAO_FAOSTAT 21026 |
کم‌خونی در زنان در سن باروریIND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women | HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.ANM.ALLW.ZS WHO_GHO NUTRITION_ANAEMIA_REPRODUCTIVEAGE_PREV SDG 2.2.3 FAO_FAOSTAT 21043 |
07Quote
Health security risk index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · HLT · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Health security risk index, world
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
- Previous edition
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Coupled composite
- –
- Coupling score S
- –
- Pulse, latest week
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- روش
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Draws
- 1,000
Health security risk index, world, by edition
No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.
آفریقا54
قارهٔ آمریکا35
آسیا48
اروپا44
هنوز هیچ جابه‌جایی‌ای نیست. از ویراست دوم به بعد، تغییرات نسبت به ویراست پیشین همراه با نشانگرهایی که آن‌ها را رقم زده‌اند در اینجا فهرست می‌شوند.
08مقادیر
Country values
FIG 5 · Health security risk index: countries (values when released)
در حال بارگذاری نقشه
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Tiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/hlt/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- راهنمای مشاهدات
nis:IDX.HLT.security.health_security_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09مجموعه‌ها
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access.→ SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security.→ SR-12Health security and biosecurityPandemic and epidemic preparedness, antimicrobial resistance, zoonotic spillover and biosecurity controls, at public-safe level.→ XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published.→ XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks.→ XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.→ TH-01Nexus InterdependencyThe water, energy, food, health and biodiversity systems read together: drought to energy stress, energy disruption to health stress, biodiversity loss to food-system stress, flood to water contamination, heat to health and grid stress, cyber-physical disruption across all five.→ TH-04Disaster Risk Intelligence (DRI)Signals, observations, event streams, geospatial layers and scenario packs turned into structured risk intelligence for preparedness and planning.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WHO_GHO | 22 |
WB_WDI | 18 |
SDG | 17 |
SPAR | 4 |
JEE | 4 |
FAO_FAOSTAT | 3 |
11Across the Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Across the Nexus
Health Nexus · GCRI Biotechnology and Biosecurity · Health Nexus and Biosecurity Governance · Insurance Nexus.
12استناد
استناد و استفادهٔ دوباره
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Health security risk index (GRX-IDX-HLT), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/health-security-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000126.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
وضعیت
روش‌شناسی، ساختار و تعاریف The Global Risks Index پیش‌نویس کاری مقدماتی (2026) است که برای بررسی و اظهارنظر منتشر شده و برای اجرا نیست. هیچ مقداری نمایش داده نمی‌شود تا ویراستی از یک برش شواهد تحت حکمرانی منتشر شود؛ آنگاه مقادیر همراه با بازه‌ها، رده‌ها، منابع و مسیر اصلاح خود ارائه می‌شوند. شبیه‌سازها روش‌های منتشرشده را بر روی اعدادی که شما برمی‌گزینید اجرا می‌کنند و هرگز مقداری از NXS-GRX نشان نمی‌دهند.
آنچه NXS-GRX نیست
NXS-GRX اطلاعات پژوهشی و تحلیلی ریسک است. رتبه‌بندی اعتباری یا ESG نیست و از هیچ مقیاس رتبه‌بندی استفاده نمی‌کند، شاخص مرجع ابزارهای مالی نیست، آمار رسمی نیست، هشدار اضطراری یا طبقه‌بندی رسمی نیست و توصیه نیست. نباید برای ارزیابی اشخاص حقیقی به کار رود. طبقه‌های ریسک بازه‌هایی روی یک مقیاس منتشرشده‌اند، هرگز رتبه‌بندی کشورها یا افراد نیستند.
نهادها و منابع
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
هر مقدار انتساب منابع خود را در بر دارد و آن منابع پروانه‌های خود را حفظ می‌کنند. نام‌های بیرونی تنها برای میان‌کنش‌پذیری ذکر می‌شوند. متون نگاشتهٔ Nexus برای انتشار با پروانهٔ CC BY 4.0 در نظر گرفته شده‌اند.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.