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The Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CRS · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity

Índice de falta de capacidade de enfrentamento

Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.

Page GRX-IDX-CRSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacityValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Incerteza

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Estrutura

6 components

26 leaf indicators

Cobertura

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 30%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
26
leaf indicators
6
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
3
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.

computation
How Lack of coping capacity is computed
Graph35 nodes
Grafo
01Indicadores
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Composto
100%
Índice
  1. Estratégia nacional de RRD alinhada com o Quadro de Sendai para a Redução do Risco de Desastres
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
  2. Governos locais com estratégias de RRD alinhadas à estratégia nacional
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
  3. Sistemas de monitoramento e previsão multiameaça
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
  4. Pessoas cobertas por informações de alerta precoce
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
  5. Governos locais com um plano para agir com base em alertas precoces
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
  6. Informação e avaliação acessíveis sobre o risco de desastres
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
  7. População exposta protegida por evacuação preventiva
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
  8. Estratégia de financiamento do risco de desastres adotada
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
  9. Participação num pool regional de riscos soberanos
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
  10. Crédito contingente para desastres pré-acordado, em % do PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
  11. Limite de transferência soberana de risco de catástrofes, em % do PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
  12. Prêmios de seguros não vida, em % do PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
  13. Lacuna de proteção de seguros contra catástrofes naturais
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
  14. População a menos de 15 minutos dos serviços de emergência
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
  15. Equipe de busca e salvamento urbano classificada pelo INSARAG
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
  16. Apoio oficial internacional para RRD recebido, em % do PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
  17. Preparação da proteção social responsiva a choques
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
  18. População rural a menos de 2 km de uma estrada transitável o ano todo
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
  19. Desempenho logístico
    Indicator · IND · score
    Overall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
  20. Conectividade do transporte marítimo regular em relação à fronteira
    Indicator · IND · %
    Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
  21. Passageiros aéreos transportados per capita
    Indicator · IND · passengers/a/person
    Passengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
  22. População urbana com acesso conveniente ao transporte público
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
  23. Pessoas que usam a internet
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
  24. População coberta por rede móvel, por tecnologia
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
  25. Assinaturas de banda larga fixa por 100 habitantes
    Indicator · IND · /10*2
    Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
  26. Redundância das rotas de conectividade internacional
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
  27. DRR governance sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
  28. Early warning capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
  29. Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
  30. Response capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
  31. Transport connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
  32. Digital connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
  33. Índice de falta de capacidade de enfrentamento
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
  34. Falta de capacidade de enfrentamento e de adaptação
    Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indices
    Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
  35. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Não executadoEm cursoConcluído
FIG 2. 26 indicators, 6 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate lack of coping capacity on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25
1
–
funciona no seu navegador
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Método

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
30% of weight
Weighting
especialista
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
Incerteza
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
Muito baixo0.0 a < 2.0
Baixo2.0 a < 3.5
Médio3.5 a < 5.0
Alto5.0 a < 6.5
Muito alto6.5 a 10.0
04Components

6 components, 26 indicators

DRR governance sub-index w 1

Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Estratégia nacional de RRD alinhada com o Quadro de Sendai para a Redução do Risco de DesastresIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor50.0%
Governos locais com estratégias de RRD alinhadas à estratégia nacionalIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap50.0%

Early warning capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Sistemas de monitoramento e previsão multiameaçaIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis22.2%
Pessoas cobertas por informações de alerta precoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage/10*5Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments22.2%
Governos locais com um plano para agir com base em alertas precocesIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
Informação e avaliação acessíveis sobre o risco de desastresIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
População exposta protegida por evacuação preventivaIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports11.1%

Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Estratégia de financiamento do risco de desastres adotadaIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy{bool}Class Bwb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications9.1%
Participação num pool regional de riscos soberanosIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership{bool}Class Aarc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports9.1%
Crédito contingente para desastres pré-acordado, em % do PIBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp%Class Awb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases18.2%
Limite de transferência soberana de risco de catástrofes, em % do PIBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp%Class Bwb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed18.2%
Prêmios de seguros não vida, em % do PIBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration%Class Boecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed18.2%
Lacuna de proteção de seguros contra catástrofes naturaisIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap%Class Ceiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat27.3%

Response capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
População a menos de 15 minutos dos serviços de emergênciaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access%Class Dopenstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers42.9%
Equipe de busca e salvamento urbano classificada pelo INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification{bool}Class Ainsarag-classified-teams-list14.3%
Apoio oficial internacional para RRD recebido, em % do PIBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp%Class Boecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor14.3%
Preparação da proteção social responsiva a choquesIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection{score}Class Ewb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies28.6%

Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
População rural a menos de 2 km de uma estrada transitável o ano todoIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access%Class Cwb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop33.3%
Desempenho logísticoIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance{score}Class Ewb-lpi22.2%
Conectividade do transporte marítimo regular em relação à fronteiraIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity%Class Bunctad-lsci, wb-wdi22.2%
Passageiros aéreos transportados per capitaIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc{passengers}/a/{person}Class Bicao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi11.1%
População urbana com acesso conveniente ao transporte públicoIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access%Class Cun-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap11.1%

Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.

IndicadorUnidadeEvidênciasFontesParcela
Pessoas que usam a internetIND.INF.digital.internet_users%Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys33.3%
População coberta por rede móvel, por tecnologiaIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage%Class Bitu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps33.3%
Assinaturas de banda larga fixa por 100 habitantesIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband/10*2Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal16.7%
Redundância das rotas de conectividade internacionalIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy1Class Dtelegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb16.7%
05Domínio

Coping capacity and resilience

Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.

Sub-domainIndicadores
DRR strategy2
Alerta precoce6
Risk financing and protection gap6
Response capacity4

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.

06Indicadores

All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CRS · 18
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndicadorDomínioSub-domainComponenteUnidadeNíveisCrosswalks
Estratégia nacional de RRD alinhada com o Quadro de Sendai para a Redução do Risco de DesastresIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategyCRSDRR strategycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Governos locais com estratégias de RRD alinhadas à estratégia nacionalIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategiesCRSDRR strategycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Pontuação do sistema de alerta precoce multiameaçaIND.CRS.warning.mhews_scoreCRSAlerta precocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-1
Sistemas de monitoramento e previsão multiameaçaIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecastingCRSAlerta precocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-2
Pessoas cobertas por informações de alerta precoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverageCRSAlerta precocecoping capacity/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-3
Governos locais com um plano para agir com base em alertas precocesIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plansCRSAlerta precocecoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-4
Informação e avaliação acessíveis sobre o risco de desastresIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_accessCRSAlerta precocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-5
População exposta protegida por evacuação preventivaIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuationCRSAlerta precocecoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-6
Estratégia de financiamento do risco de desastres adotadaIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategyCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Participação num pool regional de riscos soberanosIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membershipCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Crédito contingente para desastres pré-acordado, em % do PIBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Limite de transferência soberana de risco de catástrofes, em % do PIBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Lacuna de proteção de seguros contra catástrofes naturaisIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gapCRSRisk financing and protection gapvulnerability%COUNTRY
Prêmios de seguros não vida, em % do PIBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetrationCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
População a menos de 15 minutos dos serviços de emergênciaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_accessCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Equipe de busca e salvamento urbano classificada pelo INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classificationCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Apoio oficial internacional para RRD recebido, em % do PIBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdpCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRYSENDAI F-1
Preparação da proteção social responsiva a choquesIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protectionCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07Cotação

Lack of coping capacity index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · CRS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Lack of coping capacity index, world
–
Os valores são publicados com a edição; o intervalo, a classe e a variação aparecem aqui.
Edição anterior
–
Range since 2016
–
Composto acoplado
–
Pontuação de acoplamento S
–
Pulse, última semana
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Método
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Sorteios
1,000
Lack of coping capacity index, world, by edition

Ainda não há valores publicados. A primeira edição traça aqui o histórico com a faixa do intervalo e os limites de classe.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Ainda não há variações. As alterações desde a edição anterior serão listadas aqui a partir da segunda edição, com os indicadores que as motivaram.
08Valores

Country values

FIG 5 · Lack of coping capacity index: countries (values when released)
Carregando o mapa
AndorraAntígua e BarbudaBahreinBarbadosComoresCabo VerdeDominicaMicronésia (Estados Federados da)GranadaQuiribátiSão Cristóvão e NévisSanta LúciaListenstaineMônacoMaldivasIlhas MarshallMaltaMaurícioNauruPalauSingapuraSan MarinoSão Tomé e PríncipeSeichelesTongaTuvaluSanta SéSão Vicente e GranadinasSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Blocos
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Chave de observação
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
SDG11
SENDAI8
WB_WDI5
ISO_371202
11Em todo o Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Citar

Citar e reutilizar

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Lack of coping capacity index (GRX-IDX-CRS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/lack-of-coping-capacity/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000115.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.