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Il Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CRS · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity

Indice di mancanza di capacità di risposta

Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.

Page GRX-IDX-CRSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacityValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Incertezza

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Struttura

6 components

26 leaf indicators

Copertura

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 30%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
26
leaf indicators
6
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
3
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.

computation
How Lack of coping capacity is computed
Graph35 nodes
Grafo
01Indicatori
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilastro
05Composito
100%
Indice
  1. Strategia nazionale di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineata al Quadro di riferimento di Sendai per la riduzione del rischio di disastri
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
  2. Governi locali con strategie di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineate alla strategia nazionale
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
  3. Sistemi di monitoraggio e previsione multi-pericolo
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
  4. Persone raggiunte da informazioni di allerta precoce
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
  5. Governi locali con un piano per agire in base alle allerte precoci
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
  6. Informazioni e valutazioni accessibili sul rischio di disastri
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
  7. Popolazione esposta protetta da evacuazione preventiva
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
  8. Strategia di finanziamento del rischio di disastri adottata
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
  9. Partecipazione a un pool regionale sovrano di rischio
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
  10. Credito contingente per disastri predisposto, quota del PIL
    Indicator · IND · %
    Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
  11. Limite di trasferimento sovrano del rischio di catastrofi, quota del PIL
    Indicator · IND · %
    Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
  12. Premi assicurativi del ramo danni, quota del PIL
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
  13. Divario di protezione assicurativa dalle catastrofi naturali
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
  14. Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenza
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
  15. Squadra urbana di ricerca e soccorso classificata INSARAG
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
  16. Sostegno ufficiale internazionale alla riduzione del rischio di disastri ricevuto, quota del PIL
    Indicator · IND · %
    Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
  17. Prontezza della protezione sociale reattiva agli shock
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
  18. Popolazione rurale entro 2 km da una strada percorribile in ogni stagione
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
  19. Prestazioni logistiche
    Indicator · IND · score
    Overall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
  20. Connettività del trasporto marittimo di linea rispetto alla frontiera
    Indicator · IND · %
    Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
  21. Passeggeri aerei trasportati pro capite
    Indicator · IND · passengers/a/person
    Passengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
  22. Popolazione urbana con comodo accesso al trasporto pubblico
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
  23. Persone che utilizzano Internet
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
  24. Popolazione coperta da una rete mobile, per tecnologia
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
  25. Abbonamenti alla banda larga fissa per 100 abitanti
    Indicator · IND · /10*2
    Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
  26. Ridondanza delle rotte di connettività internazionale
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
  27. DRR governance sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
  28. Early warning capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
  29. Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
  30. Response capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
  31. Transport connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
  32. Digital connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
  33. Indice di mancanza di capacità di risposta
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
  34. Mancanza di capacità di risposta e di adattamento
    Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indices
    Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
  35. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Non eseguitoIn corsoCompletato
FIG 2. 26 indicators, 6 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate lack of coping capacity on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25
1
–
funziona nel vostro browser
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Metodo

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
30% of weight
Weighting
esperto
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
Incertezza
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
Molto bassoda 0.0 a < 2.0
Bassoda 2.0 a < 3.5
Medioda 3.5 a < 5.0
Altoda 5.0 a < 6.5
Molto altoda 6.5 a 10.0
04Components

6 components, 26 indicators

DRR governance sub-index w 1

Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.

IndicatoreUnitàEvidenzeFontiQuota
Strategia nazionale di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineata al Quadro di riferimento di Sendai per la riduzione del rischio di disastriIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor50.0%
Governi locali con strategie di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineate alla strategia nazionaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap50.0%

Early warning capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.

IndicatoreUnitàEvidenzeFontiQuota
Sistemi di monitoraggio e previsione multi-pericoloIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis22.2%
Persone raggiunte da informazioni di allerta precoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage/10*5Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments22.2%
Governi locali con un piano per agire in base alle allerte precociIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
Informazioni e valutazioni accessibili sul rischio di disastriIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
Popolazione esposta protetta da evacuazione preventivaIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports11.1%

Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.

IndicatoreUnitàEvidenzeFontiQuota
Strategia di finanziamento del rischio di disastri adottataIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy{bool}Class Bwb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications9.1%
Partecipazione a un pool regionale sovrano di rischioIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership{bool}Class Aarc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports9.1%
Credito contingente per disastri predisposto, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp%Class Awb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases18.2%
Limite di trasferimento sovrano del rischio di catastrofi, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp%Class Bwb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed18.2%
Premi assicurativi del ramo danni, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration%Class Boecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed18.2%
Divario di protezione assicurativa dalle catastrofi naturaliIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap%Class Ceiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat27.3%

Response capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.

IndicatoreUnitàEvidenzeFontiQuota
Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenzaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access%Class Dopenstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers42.9%
Squadra urbana di ricerca e soccorso classificata INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification{bool}Class Ainsarag-classified-teams-list14.3%
Sostegno ufficiale internazionale alla riduzione del rischio di disastri ricevuto, quota del PILIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp%Class Boecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor14.3%
Prontezza della protezione sociale reattiva agli shockIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection{score}Class Ewb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies28.6%

Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.

IndicatoreUnitàEvidenzeFontiQuota
Popolazione rurale entro 2 km da una strada percorribile in ogni stagioneIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access%Class Cwb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop33.3%
Prestazioni logisticheIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance{score}Class Ewb-lpi22.2%
Connettività del trasporto marittimo di linea rispetto alla frontieraIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity%Class Bunctad-lsci, wb-wdi22.2%
Passeggeri aerei trasportati pro capiteIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc{passengers}/a/{person}Class Bicao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi11.1%
Popolazione urbana con comodo accesso al trasporto pubblicoIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access%Class Cun-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap11.1%

Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.

IndicatoreUnitàEvidenzeFontiQuota
Persone che utilizzano InternetIND.INF.digital.internet_users%Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys33.3%
Popolazione coperta da una rete mobile, per tecnologiaIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage%Class Bitu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps33.3%
Abbonamenti alla banda larga fissa per 100 abitantiIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband/10*2Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal16.7%
Ridondanza delle rotte di connettività internazionaleIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy1Class Dtelegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb16.7%
05Dominio

Coping capacity and resilience

Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.

Sub-domainIndicatori
DRR strategy2
Allerta precoce6
Risk financing and protection gap6
Response capacity4

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.

06Indicatori

All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CRS · 18
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndicatoreDominioSub-domainComponenteUnitàLivelliCrosswalks
Strategia nazionale di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineata al Quadro di riferimento di Sendai per la riduzione del rischio di disastriIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategyCRSDRR strategycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Governi locali con strategie di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineate alla strategia nazionaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategiesCRSDRR strategycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Punteggio del sistema di allerta precoce multi-pericoloIND.CRS.warning.mhews_scoreCRSAllerta precocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-1
Sistemi di monitoraggio e previsione multi-pericoloIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecastingCRSAllerta precocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-2
Persone raggiunte da informazioni di allerta precoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverageCRSAllerta precocecoping capacity/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-3
Governi locali con un piano per agire in base alle allerte precociIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plansCRSAllerta precocecoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-4
Informazioni e valutazioni accessibili sul rischio di disastriIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_accessCRSAllerta precocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-5
Popolazione esposta protetta da evacuazione preventivaIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuationCRSAllerta precocecoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-6
Strategia di finanziamento del rischio di disastri adottataIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategyCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Partecipazione a un pool regionale sovrano di rischioIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membershipCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Credito contingente per disastri predisposto, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Limite di trasferimento sovrano del rischio di catastrofi, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Divario di protezione assicurativa dalle catastrofi naturaliIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gapCRSRisk financing and protection gapvulnerability%COUNTRY
Premi assicurativi del ramo danni, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetrationCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenzaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_accessCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Squadra urbana di ricerca e soccorso classificata INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classificationCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Sostegno ufficiale internazionale alla riduzione del rischio di disastri ricevuto, quota del PILIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdpCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRYSENDAI F-1
Prontezza della protezione sociale reattiva agli shockIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protectionCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07Quotazione

Lack of coping capacity index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · CRS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Lack of coping capacity index, world
–
I valori sono pubblicati con l'edizione; qui compaiono intervallo, classe e variazione.
Edizione precedente
–
Range since 2016
–
Composito accoppiato
–
Punteggio di accoppiamento S
–
Pulse, ultima settimana
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Metodo
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Estrazioni
1,000
Lack of coping capacity index, world, by edition

Nessun valore ancora pubblicato. La prima edizione traccia qui lo storico con la banda dell'intervallo e i limiti di classe.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Nessuna variazione per ora. Dalla seconda edizione in poi, le variazioni rispetto all’edizione precedente sono elencate qui, insieme agli indicatori che le hanno determinate.
08Valori

Country values

FIG 5 · Lack of coping capacity index: countries (values when released)
Caricamento della mappa
AndorraAntigua e BarbudaBahreinBarbadosComoreCapo VerdeDominicaMicronesia (Stati Federati di)GrenadaKiribatiSaint Kitts e NevisSanta LuciaLiechtensteinMonacoMaldiveIsole MarshallMaltaMauritiusNauruPalauSingaporeSan MarinoSão Tomé e PríncipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluSanta SedeSaint Vincent e GrenadineSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Tile
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Chiave di osservazione
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
SDG11
SENDAI8
WB_WDI5
ISO_371202
11In tutto il Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Cita

Cita e riutilizza

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Lack of coping capacity index (GRX-IDX-CRS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/lack-of-coping-capacity/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000115.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.