Indice di mancanza di capacità di risposta
Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
6 components
26 leaf indicators
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 30%
From indicators to the composite
The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.
- Strategia nazionale di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineata al Quadro di riferimento di Sendai per la riduzione del rischio di disastriIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
- Governi locali con strategie di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineate alla strategia nazionaleIndicator · IND · %Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
- Sistemi di monitoraggio e previsione multi-pericoloIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
- Persone raggiunte da informazioni di allerta precoceIndicator · IND · /10*5Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
- Governi locali con un piano per agire in base alle allerte precociIndicator · IND · %Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
- Informazioni e valutazioni accessibili sul rischio di disastriIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
- Popolazione esposta protetta da evacuazione preventivaIndicator · IND · %Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
- Strategia di finanziamento del rischio di disastri adottataIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
- Partecipazione a un pool regionale sovrano di rischioIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
- Credito contingente per disastri predisposto, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
- Limite di trasferimento sovrano del rischio di catastrofi, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
- Premi assicurativi del ramo danni, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
- Divario di protezione assicurativa dalle catastrofi naturaliIndicator · IND · %Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
- Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenzaIndicator · IND · %Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
- Squadra urbana di ricerca e soccorso classificata INSARAGIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
- Sostegno ufficiale internazionale alla riduzione del rischio di disastri ricevuto, quota del PILIndicator · IND · %Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
- Prontezza della protezione sociale reattiva agli shockIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
- Popolazione rurale entro 2 km da una strada percorribile in ogni stagioneIndicator · IND · %Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
- Prestazioni logisticheIndicator · IND · scoreOverall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
- Connettività del trasporto marittimo di linea rispetto alla frontieraIndicator · IND · %Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
- Passeggeri aerei trasportati pro capiteIndicator · IND · passengers/a/personPassengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
- Popolazione urbana con comodo accesso al trasporto pubblicoIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
- Persone che utilizzano InternetIndicator · IND · %Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
- Popolazione coperta da una rete mobile, per tecnologiaIndicator · IND · %Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
- Abbonamenti alla banda larga fissa per 100 abitantiIndicator · IND · /10*2Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
- Ridondanza delle rotte di connettività internazionaleIndicator · IND · 1Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
- DRR governance sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
- Early warning capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
- Disaster risk financing capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
- Response capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
- Transport connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
- Digital connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
- Indice di mancanza di capacità di rispostaDomain index · IDX · geometricIndex on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
- Mancanza di capacità di risposta e di adattamentoPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM 0–10 rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 30% of weight
- Weighting
- esperto
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertezza
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
6 components, 26 indicators
DRR governance sub-index w 1
Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategia nazionale di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineata al Quadro di riferimento di Sendai per la riduzione del rischio di disastriIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 50.0% |
Governi locali con strategie di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineate alla strategia nazionaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap | 50.0% |
Early warning capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sistemi di monitoraggio e previsione multi-pericoloIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis | 22.2% |
Persone raggiunte da informazioni di allerta precoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | /10*5 | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments | 22.2% |
Governi locali con un piano per agire in base alle allerte precociIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
Informazioni e valutazioni accessibili sul rischio di disastriIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
Popolazione esposta protetta da evacuazione preventivaIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports | 11.1% |
Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategia di finanziamento del rischio di disastri adottataIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | {bool} | Class B | wb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications | 9.1% |
Partecipazione a un pool regionale sovrano di rischioIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | {bool} | Class A | arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports | 9.1% |
Credito contingente per disastri predisposto, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | % | Class A | wb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases | 18.2% |
Limite di trasferimento sovrano del rischio di catastrofi, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | % | Class B | wb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed | 18.2% |
Premi assicurativi del ramo danni, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | % | Class B | oecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed | 18.2% |
Divario di protezione assicurativa dalle catastrofi naturaliIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | % | Class C | eiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat | 27.3% |
Response capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenzaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | % | Class D | openstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers | 42.9% |
Squadra urbana di ricerca e soccorso classificata INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | {bool} | Class A | insarag-classified-teams-list | 14.3% |
Sostegno ufficiale internazionale alla riduzione del rischio di disastri ricevuto, quota del PILIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | % | Class B | oecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 14.3% |
Prontezza della protezione sociale reattiva agli shockIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | {score} | Class E | wb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies | 28.6% |
Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Popolazione rurale entro 2 km da una strada percorribile in ogni stagioneIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access | % | Class C | wb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop | 33.3% |
Prestazioni logisticheIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance | {score} | Class E | wb-lpi | 22.2% |
Connettività del trasporto marittimo di linea rispetto alla frontieraIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity | % | Class B | unctad-lsci, wb-wdi | 22.2% |
Passeggeri aerei trasportati pro capiteIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc | {passengers}/a/{person} | Class B | icao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
Popolazione urbana con comodo accesso al trasporto pubblicoIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap | 11.1% |
Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
| Indicatore | Unità | Evidenze | Fonti | Quota |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Persone che utilizzano InternetIND.INF.digital.internet_users | % | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys | 33.3% |
Popolazione coperta da una rete mobile, per tecnologiaIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage | % | Class B | itu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps | 33.3% |
Abbonamenti alla banda larga fissa per 100 abitantiIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband | /10*2 | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal | 16.7% |
Ridondanza delle rotte di connettività internazionaleIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy | 1 | Class D | telegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb | 16.7% |
Coping capacity and resilience
Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.
| Sub-domain | Indicatori |
|---|---|
| DRR strategy | 2 |
| Allerta precoce | 6 |
| Risk financing and protection gap | 6 |
| Response capacity | 4 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.
All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators
| Indicatore | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unità | Livelli | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategia nazionale di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineata al Quadro di riferimento di Sendai per la riduzione del rischio di disastriIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
Governi locali con strategie di riduzione del rischio di disastri allineate alla strategia nazionaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
Punteggio del sistema di allerta precoce multi-pericoloIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score | CRS | Allerta precoce | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-1 |
Sistemi di monitoraggio e previsione multi-pericoloIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | CRS | Allerta precoce | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-2 |
Persone raggiunte da informazioni di allerta precoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | CRS | Allerta precoce | coping capacity | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-3 |
Governi locali con un piano per agire in base alle allerte precociIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | CRS | Allerta precoce | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-4 |
Informazioni e valutazioni accessibili sul rischio di disastriIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | CRS | Allerta precoce | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-5 |
Popolazione esposta protetta da evacuazione preventivaIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | CRS | Allerta precoce | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-6 |
Strategia di finanziamento del rischio di disastri adottataIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
Partecipazione a un pool regionale sovrano di rischioIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
Credito contingente per disastri predisposto, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
Limite di trasferimento sovrano del rischio di catastrofi, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
Divario di protezione assicurativa dalle catastrofi naturaliIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Premi assicurativi del ramo danni, quota del PILIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenzaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
Squadra urbana di ricerca e soccorso classificata INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
Sostegno ufficiale internazionale alla riduzione del rischio di disastri ricevuto, quota del PILIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
Prontezza della protezione sociale reattiva agli shockIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY |
Lack of coping capacity index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- Edizione precedente
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Composito accoppiato
- –
- Punteggio di accoppiamento S
- –
- Pulse, ultima settimana
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Metodo
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Estrazioni
- 1,000
Nessun valore ancora pubblicato. La prima edizione traccia qui lo storico con la banda dell'intervallo e i limiti di classe.
Country values
- Tile
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Chiave di osservazione
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
SDG | 11 |
SENDAI | 8 |
WB_WDI | 5 |
ISO_37120 | 2 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Cita e riutilizza
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Stato
La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.
Che cosa non è NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.
Istituzioni e fonti
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Ogni valore riporta l’attribuzione delle proprie fonti, che mantengono le rispettive licenze. I nomi esterni sono citati unicamente a fini di interoperabilità. I testi redatti da Nexus sono destinati alla licenza CC BY 4.0 al momento della pubblicazione.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.