Indice de manque de capacité à faire face
Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
6 components
26 leaf indicators
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 30%
From indicators to the composite
The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.
- Stratégie nationale de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignée sur le Cadre de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastropheIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
- Administrations locales dotées de stratégies de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignées sur la stratégie nationaleIndicator · IND · %Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
- Systèmes de surveillance et de prévision multi-aléasIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
- Personnes couvertes par des informations d'alerte précoceIndicator · IND · /10*5Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
- Administrations locales dotées d'un plan d'action sur les alertes précocesIndicator · IND · %Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
- Informations et évaluations accessibles sur les risques de catastropheIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
- Population exposée protégée par une évacuation préventiveIndicator · IND · %Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
- Stratégie de financement des risques de catastrophe adoptéeIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
- Participation à un mécanisme régional souverain de mutualisation des risquesIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
- Crédit conditionnel préétabli en cas de catastrophe, part du PIBIndicator · IND · %Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
- Plafond de transfert souverain du risque de catastrophe, part du PIBIndicator · IND · %Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
- Primes d'assurance non-vie, part du PIBIndicator · IND · %Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
- Déficit de protection d'assurance contre les catastrophes naturellesIndicator · IND · %Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
- Population à moins de 15 minutes des services d'urgenceIndicator · IND · %Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
- Équipe de recherche et de sauvetage en milieu urbain classée INSARAGIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
- Soutien public international reçu pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC), part du PIBIndicator · IND · %Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
- Préparation de la protection sociale réactive aux chocsIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
- Population rurale à moins de 2 km d'une route praticable en toute saisonIndicator · IND · %Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
- Performance logistiqueIndicator · IND · scoreOverall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
- Connectivité des transports maritimes réguliers par rapport à la frontièreIndicator · IND · %Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
- Passagers aériens transportés par habitantIndicator · IND · passengers/a/personPassengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
- Population urbaine ayant un accès pratique aux transports publicsIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
- Personnes utilisant InternetIndicator · IND · %Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
- Population couverte par un réseau mobile, par technologieIndicator · IND · %Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
- Abonnements au haut débit fixe pour 100 habitantsIndicator · IND · /10*2Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
- Redondance des routes de connectivité internationaleIndicator · IND · 1Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
- DRR governance sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
- Early warning capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
- Disaster risk financing capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
- Response capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
- Transport connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
- Digital connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
- Indice de manque de capacité à faire faceDomain index · IDX · geometricIndex on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
- Manque de capacité à faire face et à s'adapterPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM 0–10 rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 30% of weight
- Weighting
- expert
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertitude
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
6 components, 26 indicators
DRR governance sub-index w 1
Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
| Indicateur | Unité | Éléments probants | Sources | Part |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stratégie nationale de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignée sur le Cadre de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastropheIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 50.0% |
Administrations locales dotées de stratégies de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignées sur la stratégie nationaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap | 50.0% |
Early warning capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
| Indicateur | Unité | Éléments probants | Sources | Part |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Systèmes de surveillance et de prévision multi-aléasIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis | 22.2% |
Personnes couvertes par des informations d'alerte précoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | /10*5 | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments | 22.2% |
Administrations locales dotées d'un plan d'action sur les alertes précocesIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
Informations et évaluations accessibles sur les risques de catastropheIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
Population exposée protégée par une évacuation préventiveIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports | 11.1% |
Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
| Indicateur | Unité | Éléments probants | Sources | Part |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stratégie de financement des risques de catastrophe adoptéeIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | {bool} | Class B | wb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications | 9.1% |
Participation à un mécanisme régional souverain de mutualisation des risquesIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | {bool} | Class A | arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports | 9.1% |
Crédit conditionnel préétabli en cas de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | % | Class A | wb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases | 18.2% |
Plafond de transfert souverain du risque de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | % | Class B | wb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed | 18.2% |
Primes d'assurance non-vie, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | % | Class B | oecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed | 18.2% |
Déficit de protection d'assurance contre les catastrophes naturellesIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | % | Class C | eiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat | 27.3% |
Response capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
| Indicateur | Unité | Éléments probants | Sources | Part |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Population à moins de 15 minutes des services d'urgenceIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | % | Class D | openstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers | 42.9% |
Équipe de recherche et de sauvetage en milieu urbain classée INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | {bool} | Class A | insarag-classified-teams-list | 14.3% |
Soutien public international reçu pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC), part du PIBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | % | Class B | oecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 14.3% |
Préparation de la protection sociale réactive aux chocsIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | {score} | Class E | wb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies | 28.6% |
Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
| Indicateur | Unité | Éléments probants | Sources | Part |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Population rurale à moins de 2 km d'une route praticable en toute saisonIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access | % | Class C | wb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop | 33.3% |
Performance logistiqueIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance | {score} | Class E | wb-lpi | 22.2% |
Connectivité des transports maritimes réguliers par rapport à la frontièreIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity | % | Class B | unctad-lsci, wb-wdi | 22.2% |
Passagers aériens transportés par habitantIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc | {passengers}/a/{person} | Class B | icao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
Population urbaine ayant un accès pratique aux transports publicsIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap | 11.1% |
Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
| Indicateur | Unité | Éléments probants | Sources | Part |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Personnes utilisant InternetIND.INF.digital.internet_users | % | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys | 33.3% |
Population couverte par un réseau mobile, par technologieIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage | % | Class B | itu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps | 33.3% |
Abonnements au haut débit fixe pour 100 habitantsIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband | /10*2 | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal | 16.7% |
Redondance des routes de connectivité internationaleIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy | 1 | Class D | telegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb | 16.7% |
Coping capacity and resilience
Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.
| Sub-domain | Indicateurs |
|---|---|
| DRR strategy | 2 |
| Alerte précoce | 6 |
| Risk financing and protection gap | 6 |
| Response capacity | 4 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.
All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators
| Indicateur | Domaine | Sub-domain | Composant | Unité | Niveaux | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stratégie nationale de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignée sur le Cadre de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastropheIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
Administrations locales dotées de stratégies de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignées sur la stratégie nationaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
Score du système d'alerte précoce multi-aléasIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score | CRS | Alerte précoce | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-1 |
Systèmes de surveillance et de prévision multi-aléasIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | CRS | Alerte précoce | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-2 |
Personnes couvertes par des informations d'alerte précoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | CRS | Alerte précoce | coping capacity | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-3 |
Administrations locales dotées d'un plan d'action sur les alertes précocesIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | CRS | Alerte précoce | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-4 |
Informations et évaluations accessibles sur les risques de catastropheIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | CRS | Alerte précoce | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-5 |
Population exposée protégée par une évacuation préventiveIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | CRS | Alerte précoce | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-6 |
Stratégie de financement des risques de catastrophe adoptéeIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
Participation à un mécanisme régional souverain de mutualisation des risquesIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
Crédit conditionnel préétabli en cas de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
Plafond de transfert souverain du risque de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
Déficit de protection d'assurance contre les catastrophes naturellesIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
Primes d'assurance non-vie, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
Population à moins de 15 minutes des services d'urgenceIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
Équipe de recherche et de sauvetage en milieu urbain classée INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
Soutien public international reçu pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC), part du PIBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
Préparation de la protection sociale réactive aux chocsIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY |
Lack of coping capacity index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- Édition précédente
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Composite couplé
- –
- Score de couplage S
- –
- Pulse, dernière semaine
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Méthode
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Tirages
- 1,000
Aucune valeur publiée pour l'instant. La première édition trace ici l'historique avec sa bande d'intervalle et les bornes de classe.
Country values
- Tuiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Clé d'observation
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
SDG | 11 |
SENDAI | 8 |
WB_WDI | 5 |
ISO_37120 | 2 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Citer et réutiliser
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Statut
La méthodologie, la structure et les définitions de The Global Risks Index constituent un projet de travail préparatoire (2026), diffusé pour examen et commentaires et non pour mise en œuvre. Aucune valeur n'apparaît avant la publication d'une édition à partir d'une coupe de données probantes encadrée ; les valeurs comportent alors des intervalles, des classes, des sources et leur voie de correction. Les simulateurs appliquent les méthodes publiées à des nombres que vous choisissez et n'affichent jamais de valeur NXS-GRX.
Ce que NXS-GRX n'est pas
NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d'analyse des risques. Ce n'est pas une notation de crédit ou ESG et il n'utilise aucune échelle de notation ; ce n'est pas un indice de référence pour des instruments financiers, ni une statistique officielle, ni une alerte d'urgence ou une classification officielle, ni un conseil. Il ne doit pas servir à évaluer des personnes physiques. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, jamais des classements de pays ou de personnes.
Institutions et sources
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
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Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.