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Le Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CRS · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity

Indice de manque de capacité à faire face

Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.

Page GRX-IDX-CRSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacityValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Incertitude

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Structure

6 components

26 leaf indicators

Couverture

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 30%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
26
leaf indicators
6
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
3
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.

computation
How Lack of coping capacity is computed
Graph35 nodes
Graphe
01Indicateurs
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilier
05Composite
100%
Liste
  1. Stratégie nationale de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignée sur le Cadre de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
  2. Administrations locales dotées de stratégies de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignées sur la stratégie nationale
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
  3. Systèmes de surveillance et de prévision multi-aléas
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
  4. Personnes couvertes par des informations d'alerte précoce
    Indicator · IND · /10*5
    Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
  5. Administrations locales dotées d'un plan d'action sur les alertes précoces
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
  6. Informations et évaluations accessibles sur les risques de catastrophe
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
  7. Population exposée protégée par une évacuation préventive
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
  8. Stratégie de financement des risques de catastrophe adoptée
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
  9. Participation à un mécanisme régional souverain de mutualisation des risques
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
  10. Crédit conditionnel préétabli en cas de catastrophe, part du PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
  11. Plafond de transfert souverain du risque de catastrophe, part du PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
  12. Primes d'assurance non-vie, part du PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
  13. Déficit de protection d'assurance contre les catastrophes naturelles
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
  14. Population à moins de 15 minutes des services d'urgence
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
  15. Équipe de recherche et de sauvetage en milieu urbain classée INSARAG
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
  16. Soutien public international reçu pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC), part du PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
  17. Préparation de la protection sociale réactive aux chocs
    Indicator · IND · score
    Score (0–1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
  18. Population rurale à moins de 2 km d'une route praticable en toute saison
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
  19. Performance logistique
    Indicator · IND · score
    Overall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
  20. Connectivité des transports maritimes réguliers par rapport à la frontière
    Indicator · IND · %
    Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
  21. Passagers aériens transportés par habitant
    Indicator · IND · passengers/a/person
    Passengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
  22. Population urbaine ayant un accès pratique aux transports publics
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
  23. Personnes utilisant Internet
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
  24. Population couverte par un réseau mobile, par technologie
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
  25. Abonnements au haut débit fixe pour 100 habitants
    Indicator · IND · /10*2
    Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
  26. Redondance des routes de connectivité internationale
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
  27. DRR governance sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
  28. Early warning capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
  29. Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
  30. Response capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
  31. Transport connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
  32. Digital connectivity deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
  33. Indice de manque de capacité à faire face
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
  34. Manque de capacité à faire face et à s'adapter
    Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indices
    Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
  35. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Non exécutéEn coursTerminé
FIG 2. 26 indicators, 6 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate lack of coping capacity on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25
1
–
s’exécute dans votre navigateur
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Méthode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
30% of weight
Weighting
expert
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
Incertitude
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
Très faible0,0 à < 2,0
Faible2,0 à < 3,5
Moyen3,5 à < 5,0
Élevé5,0 à < 6,5
Très élevé6.5 à 10.0
04Composantes

6 components, 26 indicators

DRR governance sub-index w 1

Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Stratégie nationale de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignée sur le Cadre de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastropheIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor50.0%
Administrations locales dotées de stratégies de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignées sur la stratégie nationaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap50.0%

Early warning capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Systèmes de surveillance et de prévision multi-aléasIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis22.2%
Personnes couvertes par des informations d'alerte précoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage/10*5Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments22.2%
Administrations locales dotées d'un plan d'action sur les alertes précocesIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
Informations et évaluations accessibles sur les risques de catastropheIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access{score}Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor22.2%
Population exposée protégée par une évacuation préventiveIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation%Class Eundrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports11.1%

Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Stratégie de financement des risques de catastrophe adoptéeIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy{bool}Class Bwb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications9.1%
Participation à un mécanisme régional souverain de mutualisation des risquesIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership{bool}Class Aarc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports9.1%
Crédit conditionnel préétabli en cas de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp%Class Awb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases18.2%
Plafond de transfert souverain du risque de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp%Class Bwb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed18.2%
Primes d'assurance non-vie, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration%Class Boecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed18.2%
Déficit de protection d'assurance contre les catastrophes naturellesIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap%Class Ceiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat27.3%

Response capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Population à moins de 15 minutes des services d'urgenceIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access%Class Dopenstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers42.9%
Équipe de recherche et de sauvetage en milieu urbain classée INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification{bool}Class Ainsarag-classified-teams-list14.3%
Soutien public international reçu pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC), part du PIBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp%Class Boecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor14.3%
Préparation de la protection sociale réactive aux chocsIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection{score}Class Ewb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies28.6%

Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Population rurale à moins de 2 km d'une route praticable en toute saisonIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access%Class Cwb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop33.3%
Performance logistiqueIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance{score}Class Ewb-lpi22.2%
Connectivité des transports maritimes réguliers par rapport à la frontièreIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity%Class Bunctad-lsci, wb-wdi22.2%
Passagers aériens transportés par habitantIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc{passengers}/a/{person}Class Bicao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi11.1%
Population urbaine ayant un accès pratique aux transports publicsIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access%Class Cun-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap11.1%

Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Personnes utilisant InternetIND.INF.digital.internet_users%Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys33.3%
Population couverte par un réseau mobile, par technologieIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage%Class Bitu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps33.3%
Abonnements au haut débit fixe pour 100 habitantsIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband/10*2Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal16.7%
Redondance des routes de connectivité internationaleIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy1Class Dtelegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb16.7%
05Domaine

Coping capacity and resilience

Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.

Sub-domainIndicateurs
DRR strategy2
Alerte précoce6
Risk financing and protection gap6
Response capacity4

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.

06Indicateurs

All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CRS · 18
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndicateurDomaineSub-domainComposantUnitéNiveauxCrosswalks
Stratégie nationale de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignée sur le Cadre de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastropheIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategyCRSDRR strategycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Administrations locales dotées de stratégies de réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC) alignées sur la stratégie nationaleIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategiesCRSDRR strategycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Score du système d'alerte précoce multi-aléasIND.CRS.warning.mhews_scoreCRSAlerte précocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-1
Systèmes de surveillance et de prévision multi-aléasIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecastingCRSAlerte précocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-2
Personnes couvertes par des informations d'alerte précoceIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverageCRSAlerte précocecoping capacity/10*5COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-3
Administrations locales dotées d'un plan d'action sur les alertes précocesIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plansCRSAlerte précocecoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-4
Informations et évaluations accessibles sur les risques de catastropheIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_accessCRSAlerte précocecoping capacity{score}COUNTRYSENDAI G-5
Population exposée protégée par une évacuation préventiveIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuationCRSAlerte précocecoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1SENDAI G-6
Stratégie de financement des risques de catastrophe adoptéeIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategyCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Participation à un mécanisme régional souverain de mutualisation des risquesIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membershipCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Crédit conditionnel préétabli en cas de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Plafond de transfert souverain du risque de catastrophe, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdpCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Déficit de protection d'assurance contre les catastrophes naturellesIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gapCRSRisk financing and protection gapvulnerability%COUNTRY
Primes d'assurance non-vie, part du PIBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetrationCRSRisk financing and protection gapcoping capacity%COUNTRY
Population à moins de 15 minutes des services d'urgenceIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_accessCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Équipe de recherche et de sauvetage en milieu urbain classée INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classificationCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRY
Soutien public international reçu pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe (RRC), part du PIBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdpCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRYSENDAI F-1
Préparation de la protection sociale réactive aux chocsIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protectionCRSResponse capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07Cotation

Lack of coping capacity index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · CRS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Lack of coping capacity index, world
–
Les valeurs sont publiées avec l'édition ; l'intervalle, la classe et la variation apparaissent ici.
Édition précédente
–
Range since 2016
–
Composite couplé
–
Score de couplage S
–
Pulse, dernière semaine
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Méthode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Tirages
1,000
Lack of coping capacity index, world, by edition

Aucune valeur publiée pour l'instant. La première édition trace ici l'historique avec sa bande d'intervalle et les bornes de classe.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Aucune évolution pour l'instant. Les changements depuis l'édition précédente seront listés ici à partir de la deuxième édition, avec les indicateurs qui les ont déterminés.
08Valeurs

Country values

FIG 5 · Lack of coping capacity index: countries (values when released)
Chargement de la carte
AndorreAntigua-et-BarbudaBahreïnBarbadeComoresCabo VerdeDominiqueMicronésie (États fédérés de)GrenadeKiribatiSaint-Kitts-et-NevisSainte-LucieLiechtensteinMonacoMaldivesÎles MarshallMalteMauriceNauruPalaosSingapourSaint-MarinSao Tomé-et-PrincipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluSaint-SiègeSaint-Vincent-et-les GrenadinesSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Tuiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Clé d'observation
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
SDG11
SENDAI8
WB_WDI5
ISO_371202
11Dans le Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Citer

Citer et réutiliser

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Lack of coping capacity index (GRX-IDX-CRS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/lack-of-coping-capacity/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000115.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.